Google Gemini 2.5 Forecasts
All predictions
1000
Forecasts
219
Resolved
72%
Correct
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Cyprus has never won the Eurovision televote. Winning is highly competitive among many nations, and without specific information on their 2026 entry, a low probability is warranted given historical trends.”
6%
NO
Will Keyla Richardson win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
33%
NO
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-03
65%
YES
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-07
6%
NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-27
72%
YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-14
2%
NO
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-03
“The Progressive Party is a minor party with minimal representation. It is highly improbable for them to win the majority of seats in nationwide local elections, which are dominated by major parties.”
2%
NO
Will Omar Marmoush be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Omar Marmoush has never played in the Premier League and is not a known prolific goal scorer in a top European league. The PL Golden Boot is typically won by established world-class strikers.”
1%
NO
Will Joao Pedro be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Joao Pedro is a good player but faces immense competition from elite strikers at top clubs. He has not consistently shown the 20+ goal form required for the Golden Boot, and Brighton is unlikely to be a top-scoring team.”
3%
NO
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Derek Dooley is a former football coach with no known political background or declared candidacy for the Georgia Senate seat. There is no indication he is a viable candidate for the Republican nomination.”
1%
NO
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Strong clay player, will be in prime age (27), but faces fierce competition from Alcaraz, Sinner, and others. Has reached a final but not won a Slam yet, indicating a tough path to victory.”
12%
NO
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-31
25%
NO
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Murillo is a known figure but not a declared frontrunner in polls for the 2026 election. Winning the 1st round outright is difficult, and he lacks broad national support to achieve over 50% given the current political landscape and likely strong competition.”
5%
NO
Will Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-18
1%
NO
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-16
3%
NO
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Dimitrov will be 35 in 2026, has never reached a Grand Slam final, and the French Open is not his strongest surface. Younger, dominant players will be in their prime.”
1%
NO
Will Genevieve Heyward win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
5%
NO
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-03
35%
NO
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-07
25%
NO
Will Dominic Solanke be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-27
3%
NO
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-30
99%
YES
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-02
5%
NO
Will Bella Emry win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
50%
YES
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-16
3%
NO
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Eurovision is highly competitive with many participants. Latvia has historically struggled to win, with only one victory in its history, and often fails to qualify for the final, making a win highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Lee Chul-gyu win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-03
15%
NO
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-02
35%
NO
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-02
“Rob Sand is a popular statewide officeholder in Iowa, with strong name recognition and a proven ability to win votes in a red state, making him a likely frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.”
75%
YES
Will Sheldon Riley win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“Sheldon Riley is an Australian artist known for other major competitions (The Voice AU, AGT, Eurovision), making his participation and win on American Idol Season 24 highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Kiera Howell win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“No information available on Kiera Howell's performance or standing in American Idol Season 24 due to knowledge cutoff. Defaulting to 0.50.”
50%
YES
Will Daniel Stallworth win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“Daniel Stallworth is not a known contestant for American Idol Season 24. Therefore, the probability of him winning is extremely low.”
1%
NO
Will Kutter Bradley win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“Kutter Bradley was a contestant on American Idol Season 22, not Season 24. He is not competing in the current season and therefore cannot win it.”
1%
NO
Will Abayomi win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
1%
NO
Will Jacquie Lee win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“Jacquie Lee was a runner-up on The Voice Season 5 (2013). It is highly improbable she would compete on, let alone win, American Idol Season 24, given her past success on a rival show and the time elapsed.”
1%
NO
Will Rae win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
33%
NO
Will Kyndal Inskeep win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“Kyndal Inskeep was a contestant in American Idol Season 20 (2022), not Season 24. There is no information suggesting her participation or victory in Season 24, which would likely air in 2026.”
1%
NO
Will Chloe Lauren win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“No known contestant named Chloe Lauren for American Idol Season 24. Therefore, her chances of winning are virtually nil.”
1%
NO
Will Michael Garner win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
50%
YES
Will Chris Tungseth win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“American Idol Season 24 has not yet aired, and Chris Tungseth is not a known contestant. It is highly improbable for an unknown individual to win a season that hasn't begun.”
1%
NO
Will Madison Moon win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“No specific information available regarding American Idol Season 24 contestants or current standings as this event is beyond my knowledge cutoff. Therefore, a neutral probability is assigned.”
50%
YES
Will Brenna Brigman win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“No public information or record of a contestant named Brenna Brigman participating in or winning American Idol Season 24. This suggests the individual is not a real contestant.”
1%
NO
Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
50%
YES
Will Makiyah win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
1%
NO
Will Jesse Findling win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“There is no public information indicating Jesse Findling is a contestant on American Idol Season 24, which would be concluding around this time. Without being a contestant, winning is impossible.”
1%
NO
Will Lucas Leon win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
1%
NO
Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“No information available about Braden Rumfelt or American Idol Season 24 results. Defaulting to 0.50 due to lack of specific data.”
50%
YES
Will Bryant Thomas win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“No information available about a contestant named Bryant Thomas for American Idol Season 24. Without being a known participant, the probability of winning is extremely low.”
1%
NO
Will Julian Kalel win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
1%
NO
Will Jake Thistle win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“No public information indicates Jake Thistle is a contestant on American Idol Season 24, making his win highly improbable, especially with the finale imminent.”
1%
NO
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-03
35%
NO
Will Brianna Yancey win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
33%
NO
Will Philmon Lee win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“Philmon Lee is not listed as a contestant for American Idol Season 24 (expected 2026), or any recent season. Therefore, he cannot win the competition.”
1%
NO
Will Tianna Roberts win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
50%
YES
Will Ruby Rae win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
1%
NO
Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-11
“No public information indicates Brooks Rosser is a contestant, let alone a finalist, for American Idol Season 24, which would be concluding around this date.”
1%
NO
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-02
5%
NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-02
“Spencer Pratt has no known political experience or announced campaign for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. There is no public indication of him being a serious candidate.”
1%
NO
Will Wesley Said be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Wesley Said has never been a prolific scorer in Ligue 1, with a career high of 10 goals. He will be 31 in 2025-26, and competition for top scorer is consistently high, requiring 20+ goals.”
1%
NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-26
75%
YES
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-03
20%
NO
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-20
“No information available about a contestant named Joe Hunter for Survivor Season 50, which has not yet aired or announced its cast. Defaulting to 0.50 due to lack of data.”
50%
YES
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 9 · Ends 2026-06-03
35%
NO
Will Kai Havertz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
May 9 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Havertz is a good player for a top team, but he's not a primary striker and faces immense competition from more prolific goal scorers like Haaland, Salah, and others. It's a very difficult feat for him to achieve.”
7%
NO
Will Charalambos Kostoulas be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
May 8 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Kostoulas is a young player currently in the Greek league with no EPL experience. Becoming top scorer by 2025-26 would require an unprecedented rise, transfer, and immediate world-class performance against elite strikers.”
1%
NO
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
May 8 · Ends 2026-05-22
“Christian Estrosi is a long-standing incumbent mayor of Nice with strong local support and a history of successful re-elections, making him a clear favorite for 2026.”
85%
YES
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
May 8 · Ends 2026-05-22
45%
NO
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
May 8 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Lithuania has never won Eurovision, and winning is highly competitive among many nations. Their historical performance suggests a very low chance.”
2%
NO
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
May 8 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Montenegro has a very poor historical record in Eurovision, often failing to qualify for the final and never placing highly. There is no specific positive information for their 2026 entry.”
1%
NO
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-06
4%
NO
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
58%
YES
Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Cilic will be 37 in 2026, well past his prime, with declining form & injury history. He has never excelled on clay, making a French Open win highly improbable against a strong field.”
1%
NO
Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Shapovalov is not a clay court specialist; his best results are on hard/grass. He has never advanced past the second round at Roland Garros and faces strong competition from clay court experts.”
1%
NO
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Armenia Alliance faces a strong incumbent (Civil Contract) which won a supermajority in 2021. While opposition exists, a significant shift to win most seats in less than a month is unlikely.”
25%
NO
Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
3%
NO
Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Opelka's serve-oriented game is ill-suited for slow clay courts. He has a poor record at Roland Garros and a significant injury history, making a win highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
2%
NO
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Hurkacz is a serve-oriented player with a weak clay court record. His best results are on hard courts, making a French Open title win highly improbable against top clay specialists.”
1%
NO
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Berrettini's game is not suited for clay, and he has a poor record at the French Open. Strong competition and a history of injuries make a win highly improbable.”
2%
NO
Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Humbert's game is not suited for clay, his weakest surface. He has a poor record at the French Open and faces strong competition from clay specialists. A Grand Slam win on this surface is highly improbable for him.”
2%
NO
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Tommy Paul is not a clay-court specialist, and his past French Open results are modest. Winning a Grand Slam on his weakest surface against top competition is highly improbable.”
2%
NO
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Mensik is talented but not a clay specialist. Winning the French Open is extremely difficult against a deep field, and he lacks the established clay court pedigree for a 2026 victory.”
2%
NO
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Jodar is a promising junior, but winning a Grand Slam like the French Open by 2026 is a massive leap from his current professional standing. Highly competitive field and significant development needed in a short timeframe.”
2%
NO
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Bublik is not a clay-court specialist; his best French Open result is R2. Winning a Grand Slam on his weakest surface against top competition is highly improbable, especially at 29 years old.”
1%
NO
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Khachanov is a strong player but not a clay specialist. He will be 30 in 2026, facing a very strong field of younger, more dominant players. His best FO result is QF, and he hasn't won a major, making a win unlikely.”
3%
NO
Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Norrie is not a clay-court specialist and has never reached a Grand Slam final. The field is extremely strong, and at 30 in 2026, it's highly improbable he'll win his first Major on his weaker surface.”
1%
NO
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Cerundolo is a solid clay-court player with a QF at RG, but winning a Grand Slam requires a sustained elite level he hasn't consistently shown. Stronger contenders are expected to dominate the 2026 field.”
3%
NO
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“De Minaur is not a clay-court specialist; his best results are on hard/grass. Winning the French Open demands elite clay prowess, which he has not demonstrated against top competition.”
1%
NO
Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Struff will be 36 in 2026, an advanced age for a Grand Slam winner. He has no prior Grand Slam titles, and while he's had good clay results, winning the French Open against a strong field is highly improbable at that age.”
1%
NO
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Fritz is not a clay-court specialist; his best Roland Garros result is R3. Winning a Grand Slam on his weakest surface against top competition is highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Frances Tiafoe has a consistently poor record on clay and at the French Open, never advancing past the third round. Clay is his weakest surface, making a Grand Slam win there highly improbable against top clay specialists.”
1%
NO
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“FAA is a talented player but has not shown consistent top-tier clay court form or Grand Slam winning capability. Strong competition makes a win unlikely, despite his potential.”
7%
NO
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Flavio Cobolli is a young clay-court specialist, but currently ranked outside the top 50. Winning a Grand Slam requires a significant, sustained leap in performance and consistency against the world's elite, making his chances very low.”
1%
NO
Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Alex Michelsen is not a clay-court specialist. Winning the French Open requires exceptional clay skills and endurance, which he has not demonstrated. The field will be extremely strong, making his chances very low.”
1%
NO
Will Alexei Popyrin win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Popyrin is not a clay-court specialist and has never advanced deep in a Grand Slam. His current ranking and career performance on clay make a French Open victory highly improbable against the top contenders.”
1%
NO
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“ADF has not won an ATP title and faces a strong field of consistent top players. While capable on clay, winning 7 matches against the world's best for a Grand Slam is highly improbable for him.”
2%
NO
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
1%
NO
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
13%
NO
Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Korda is not a clay-court specialist, and the French Open field is extremely strong. While talented, he lacks the consistent clay pedigree and Grand Slam experience to be a favorite for this title.”
1%
NO
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Lehecka is a talented player but not a clay-court specialist. Winning the French Open requires beating multiple top-tier clay players, a significant challenge given his current form and the strength of the field.”
3%
NO
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
5%
NO
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Medvedev's historical struggles and relatively weak record on clay courts make him a significant underdog for the French Open, despite being a top player. While he has shown some improvement, winning Roland Garros remains a major challenge.”
5%
NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
38%
NO
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Shelton's powerful game is less suited for clay. While talented, winning the French Open by 2026 against top clay specialists is a significant hurdle given his current clay court record.”
3%
NO
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Draper's primary strength is not on clay, and winning the French Open requires exceptional clay court prowess against a very strong field. His chances are extremely low.”
1%
NO
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
15%
NO
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Young, talented clay-court player with home advantage, showing strong progress. However, winning a Grand Slam is extremely difficult against a deep field of established champions and rising stars. Hasn't made a deep Slam run yet.”
7%
NO
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
12%
NO
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
15%
NO
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
May 8 · Ends 2026-06-07
“Fonseca is a promising young talent, but winning the French Open by 2026 against the world's best is highly improbable given his current stage of development and the immense competition. Grand Slam wins at this age are rare exceptions.”
2%
NO
Will Lucknow Super Giants win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-31
12%
NO
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-16
3%
NO
Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-20
12%
NO
Will Real Betis reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-20
5%
NO
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Greece is not a consistent jury favorite in Eurovision. Without specific information on their 2026 entry, a low probability is assigned given the competitive field.”
7%
NO
Will Gonzalo Garcia be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-03
50%
YES
Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
7%
NO
Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
7%
NO
Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
“Young, promising player with Grand Slam potential. Strong competition, especially on clay, makes a win challenging. Needs significant clay court improvement by 2026 to contend for the title.”
7%
NO
Will Bianca Andreescu win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
“Andreescu is not a clay-court specialist and has a history of injuries. Her best French Open result is R2, and the field is very strong, making a win unlikely.”
3%
NO
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
28%
NO
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
7%
NO
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
18%
NO
Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
“No information available on Maya Joint as a top contender for the 2026 French Open. Winning a Grand Slam requires exceptional performance, typically from established top players, which is highly improbable for an unranked or low-ranked player.”
1%
NO
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
“Svitolina will be 31, a challenging age for a first GS win on clay. While a strong player, she faces fierce competition and has never advanced past the QF at Roland Garros, making a win unlikely.”
3%
NO
Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
“Former champion (2017) shows capability, but women's field is deep & competitive. Her inconsistent form since makes a repeat win unlikely, especially by 2026.”
5%
NO
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
“Rybakina is a top player & GS winner, but clay is not her strongest surface. While she's improved, winning the French Open against specialists remains a significant challenge, making her chances relatively low.”
8%
NO
Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
“Bencic's best surface isn't clay; her top Roland Garros result is R3. Returning from maternity leave, winning a Grand Slam against a deep field is highly improbable.”
2%
NO
Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
“Madison Keys will be 31 in 2026. While she has reached the French Open semifinals, clay is not her strongest surface, and winning a Grand Slam at that age against a strong field is a significant challenge.”
3%
NO
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
3%
NO
Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
1%
NO
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
May 7 · Ends 2026-06-06
“Anisimova has shown clay court potential (2019 RG SF) but has struggled with consistency and injuries. While she'll be 24 in 2026, the field is extremely strong, making a full Grand Slam win a significant long shot.”
3%
NO
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-08
“Less than 24 hours remain until the deadline. A high-level visit like this requires extensive planning and public announcement, making an unannounced trip within such a short timeframe virtually impossible.”
1%
NO
Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Raissa Butkowski win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-09
5%
NO
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-09
5%
NO
Will Scottish Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will Fiorentina reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-08
68%
YES
Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-20
5%
NO
Will Shakhtar Donetsk reach the UEFA Conference League final?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-08
5%
NO
Will Rayo Vallecano reach the UEFA Conference League final?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-08
“Rayo Vallecano did not qualify for the UEFA Conference League. Even if they had, the final is two days away, meaning the participating teams are already determined.”
1%
NO
Will Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Conference League final?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-08
1%
NO
Will Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-08
1%
NO
Will AEK Athens reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-08
5%
NO
Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League final?
May 5 · Ends 2026-05-07
“Nottingham Forest did not qualify for the UEFA Europa League for the 2025-2026 season, making it impossible for them to reach the final.”
1%
NO
Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League final?
May 5 · Ends 2026-05-07
5%
NO
Will Freiburg reach the UEFA Europa League final?
May 5 · Ends 2026-05-07
1%
NO
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?
May 5 · Ends 2026-05-07
1%
NO
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
May 5 · Ends 2026-05-30
2%
NO
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
May 5 · Ends 2026-06-03
42%
NO
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
May 5 · Ends 2026-05-31
18%
NO
Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?
May 5 · Ends 2026-05-20
1%
NO
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
May 4 · Ends 2026-05-05
85%
YES
Will Jim Baird be the Republican nominee for IN-04?
May 4 · Ends 2026-05-05
90%
YES
Will Kim Do-kyun win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
50%
YES
Will Cho Kyoung-tae win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
62%
YES
Will Park Seong-hoon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
15%
NO
Will Kim Young-choon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
15%
NO
Will Lee Jae-sung win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
55%
YES
Will Hong Soon-heon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
50%
YES
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
50%
YES
Will Park Jae-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“No specific information available regarding Park Jae-ho's candidacy or the 2026 Busan Mayoral election landscape. Probability reflects a lack of data to favor any outcome.”
50%
YES
Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
45%
NO
Will Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
65%
YES
Will Chung Il-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
60%
YES
Will Kweon Seong-dong win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
68%
YES
Will Kim Wan-seop win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
48%
NO
Will Lee Hak-jae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
70%
YES
Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
15%
NO
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“Incumbent governor Kim Jin-tae (PPP) benefits from strong incumbency advantage in Gangwon Province, a conservative stronghold. No major challengers or scandals reported close to the election date.”
80%
YES
Will Kang Seung-kyu win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
50%
YES
Will Song Gi-heon win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
50%
YES
Will Kim Do-eup win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
1%
NO
Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
70%
YES
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“Incumbent mayor Park Heong-joon (PPP) benefits from strong incumbency advantage and Busan's conservative political leanings. He won the previous election with a significant margin, making re-election highly probable.”
85%
YES
Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
48%
NO
Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
42%
NO
Will Kim Eun-hye win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
47%
NO
Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
45%
NO
Will Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
15%
NO
Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
51%
YES
Will Won Chang-muk win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“No specific information available on candidate Won Chang-muk or the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election. Probability set to 0.50 due to lack of data.”
50%
YES
Will Choi In-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
50%
YES
Will Kim Moon-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
45%
NO
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
45%
NO
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“No specific information available regarding candidates, polling, or political landscape for the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election to favor either outcome.”
50%
YES
Will Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
51%
YES
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
35%
NO
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“As the incumbent governor of a major province, Kim Dong-yeon benefits from name recognition and established political machinery. Without specific information on strong challengers or low approval, re-election is more likely, especially with the election less than a month away.”
70%
YES
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
15%
NO
Will Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
25%
NO
Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“Lee Kwang-jae lost the 2022 election to the incumbent Kim Jin-tae. Overcoming an incumbent from the People Power Party in Gangwon Province, which often leans conservative, presents a significant challenge.”
40%
NO
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
51%
YES
Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
35%
NO
Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
50%
YES
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
62%
YES
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
48%
NO
Will Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“Reform Party is a minor party with limited national assembly seats (3). Dominant parties (DPK, PPP) have strong local bases. It's highly improbable for RP to win the overall local elections against established giants.”
1%
NO
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“Incumbent governor with a comfortable win in the previous election (2022). Incumbency advantage is significant, and he has had four years to build support.”
70%
YES
Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
15%
NO
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
35%
NO
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
42%
NO
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“Yoo Jeong-bok is the incumbent mayor of Incheon, which provides a significant advantage in re-election bids. He previously won the 2022 election, demonstrating local support.”
70%
YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“No public information indicates Chong Won-oh is a prominent candidate for the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election, making a victory highly improbable, especially with the election less than a month away.”
5%
NO
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“DP's strong 2024 general election performance, President Yoon's low approval ratings, and short time until the election make a DP victory in the 2026 local elections highly probable.”
90%
YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
62%
YES
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
42%
NO
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“Kang Hoon-sik is not a prominent candidate in the 2026 Seoul Mayoral election, with no significant media coverage or polling data indicating strong support a month before the election. Incumbent Oh Se-hoon or other major party candidates are far more likely.”
5%
NO
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
38%
NO
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
25%
NO
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
55%
YES
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
58%
YES
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
“Park Yong-jin is a strong opposition candidate. However, defeating an incumbent or a strong candidate from the ruling party in Seoul is challenging, and the ruling party has shown strength in recent Seoul elections.”
45%
NO
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
45%
NO
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
25%
NO
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
35%
NO
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
May 4 · Ends 2026-06-03
50%
YES
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
May 4 · Ends 2026-05-31
18%
NO
Will Kamilla Karthigesu win Survivor Season 50?
May 4 · Ends 2026-05-20
5%
NO
Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“No public information or campaign presence for Dylan Colbert suggests a very low probability of advancing in a competitive CA gubernatorial primary, especially this close to the election.”
2%
NO
Will Bournemouth finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-27
1%
NO
Will Shannon Lundgren be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
1%
NO
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
35%
NO
Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
5%
NO
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
15%
NO
Will Darren Helton receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“CA-11 is a heavily Democratic district. A Republican candidate like Darren Helton is highly unlikely to receive the most votes in a top-two primary against strong Democratic contenders, especially if Nancy Pelosi runs again.”
3%
NO
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“Sitting US Congressman with high name recognition and proven statewide electoral success in an open primary. He starts as a strong frontrunner, though he may face competitive challenges from other prominent Republicans.”
70%
YES
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
45%
NO
Will Cole Bettles receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
5%
NO
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
38%
NO
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
75%
YES
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“As current Lieutenant Governor, Rhoden benefits from high name recognition and an established political network in an open primary for a term-limited governor, providing a significant advantage.”
70%
YES
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
5%
NO
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“Derek Grasty is a perennial candidate with historically very low vote shares in CA elections. Lacks significant public profile or campaign resources to compete in a top-two primary.”
1%
NO
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
15%
NO
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
65%
YES
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
85%
YES
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
15%
NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“Karen Bass is the incumbent mayor. Incumbents generally have a strong advantage in re-election bids, especially in a city that aligns with their party. No information suggests significant vulnerability or strong challengers for the imminent election.”
80%
YES
Will Sophia Brink advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“No public information or campaign activity found for Sophia Brink regarding the 2026 California Governor primary. Highly unlikely for an unknown candidate to advance in a major statewide race.”
1%
NO
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Official hurricane season starts June 1. Pre-season US hurricane landfalls are historically very rare, though not unprecedented. There are 28 days remaining in the forecast window.”
5%
NO
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
65%
YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
38%
NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
15%
NO
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
50%
YES
Will Jingchao Xiong receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
1%
NO
Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“No prominent candidate named Brandon Jones is currently associated with the 2026 CA Gov race. Advancing in a top-two primary requires significant name recognition & funding, which an unknown candidate lacks.”
5%
NO
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“No information suggests Asaad Alnajjar is a leading candidate for the 2026 LA mayoral election. Winning a major city election as an unknown is highly improbable.”
5%
NO
Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“There is no public record or news of a candidate named 'Thunder Parley' running for the 2026 California Governor primary election. This suggests they are not a real or viable candidate.”
1%
NO
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-31
8%
NO
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
5%
NO
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-31
12%
NO
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
45%
NO
Will Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“Former Assemblyman Ian Calderon has not announced a 2026 gubernatorial bid. Even if he runs, he's been out of office since 2018, lacks current political platform/funding, and faces a likely crowded field of prominent, well-funded candidates in a top-two primary.”
5%
NO
Will Destiny Scott Wells be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
15%
NO
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-31
14%
NO
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-31
18%
NO
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
“Greg Hull placed 4th with ~10% in the 2022 primary. No strong indicators suggest a significant increase in support or frontrunner status for the 2026 primary, which is less than a month away.”
15%
NO
Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-31
12%
NO
Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-31
18%
NO
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Rajasthan Royals are a strong contender, but winning the IPL is highly competitive with 9 other strong teams. Predicting two years out involves significant uncertainty due to future auctions, player form, and injuries.”
15%
NO
Will Jacob Frost be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
35%
NO
Will Craig Haggard be the Republican nominee for IN-04?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
5%
NO
Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-31
9%
NO
Will Anthony Campbell be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
50%
YES
Will Wayne Kinsel be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
45%
NO
Will John Piper be the Republican nominee for IN-04?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
50%
YES
Will George Hornedo be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
“Incumbent André Carson holds a significant advantage in name recognition and resources. Challengers rarely defeat well-established incumbents in primaries, making Hornedo's victory highly improbable.”
5%
NO
Will the Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-20
“BPF's influence has significantly declined, losing ground to UPPL and BJP in its traditional strongholds. It performed poorly in 2021 and faces a strong incumbent alliance, making it highly unlikely to win the most seats.”
5%
NO
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-20
“AITC has historically had a negligible presence and electoral success in Assam, making it highly improbable for them to emerge as the largest party in the 2026 assembly elections against dominant regional and national parties.”
1%
NO
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-06-02
25%
NO
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-31
60%
YES
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-20
“CPI(M) has a negligible presence in Assam politics, winning 0 seats in recent elections (2016, 2021) with a very low vote share. It is highly improbable for them to win the most seats against dominant parties like BJP and INC.”
1%
NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-15
95%
YES
Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-24
1%
NO
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-16
4%
NO
Will Tracy Dendy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Tracy Dendy is not a known or prominent candidate for the Louisiana Senate. Incumbent John Kennedy (R) is a strong candidate and highly likely to seek re-election, making it extremely improbable for an unknown challenger to secure the nomination.”
1%
NO
Will Tim Ryan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
5%
NO
Will Alea Nadeem be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
50%
YES
Will Josh Williams be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
65%
YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-14
95%
YES
Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
40%
NO
Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
75%
YES
Will Allison Russo be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-05
45%
NO
Will Manchester City finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-27
15%
NO
Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-24
45%
NO
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-20
65%
YES
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-20
“Savannah Louie is not confirmed to be a contestant on Survivor Season 50. The cast for S50 is currently unknown, making her winning highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-16
3%
NO
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Gakpo has not consistently demonstrated the prolific goal-scoring ability in the Premier League to outscore established top strikers. His current output and role make it highly improbable he'll be the league's top scorer.”
3%
NO
Will Brighton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
May 2 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Brighton has historically not competed for top-3 spots and faces strong competition from established top clubs. Finishing 3rd would be a massive overperformance and is highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
18%
NO
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
15%
NO
Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
35%
NO
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Oviedo, an independent, faces a significant challenge to win the first round of a national presidential election. He lacks the strong party machinery and broad national coalition typically needed to top a crowded and polarized field.”
15%
NO
Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
42%
NO
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
45%
NO
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
25%
NO
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Former Bogotá Mayor, strong name recognition, and a centrist-left appeal make her a formidable candidate. She is likely to be a frontrunner in a multi-candidate field, positioning her well to win the first round.”
62%
YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Democratic Center faces challenges uniting right-wing vote. Highly competitive field makes winning 1st round difficult, despite Valencia's prominence and the election being imminent.”
35%
NO
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
15%
NO
Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
35%
NO
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Vicky Dávila is a prominent journalist, not a declared candidate for the 2026 Colombian presidential election. Without a candidacy, winning is impossible, especially with the election just weeks away.”
1%
NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Abelardo de la Espriella is a prominent lawyer/commentator, but there's no public indication he's a declared or leading candidate with significant electoral support to win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.”
5%
NO
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
28%
NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
15%
NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Colombian presidential elections frequently go to a second round due to a fragmented political landscape and multiple strong candidates, making it difficult for any single candidate to secure over 50% in the first round.”
25%
NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
5%
NO
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-14
“Eurovision 2026 is over a year away. No information is available regarding Switzerland's participant or song, making any prediction purely speculative at this stage.”
50%
YES
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
1%
NO
Will Britney Spears perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-03
“Britney Spears has not performed live in years and has expressed disinterest in touring. There are no announcements of her performing at this specific festival, which itself lacks public information or a known existence for 2026.”
1%
NO
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
42%
NO
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-03
“No public announcement of Taylor Swift performing at 'Todo Mundo no Rio' by May 1, 2026, for a festival happening in early May 2026. Major artists' schedules are announced far in advance.”
5%
NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
1%
NO
Will U2 perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-03
“No public announcements or news regarding U2 performing at 'Todo Mundo no Rio 2026' by May 1st, 2026, for a festival resolving on May 3rd, makes their participation highly improbable.”
5%
NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Machado is currently in Venezuela. For her to 'enter' the country, she would first need to leave, which is highly improbable given her current political strategy and government travel restrictions. Re-entry would also be blocked.”
5%
NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
8%
NO
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-03
5%
NO
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
3%
NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“PSG is a perennial contender with strong resources but faces intense competition and has a history of falling short in the UCL. Future team dynamics for 2025-26 are also uncertain.”
12%
NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Mojtaba Khamenei holds a critical, sensitive position as a potential successor, making international travel unlikely. No public indicators suggest an imminent departure within the one-month timeframe.”
15%
NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Mojtaba Khamenei is known for his extreme reclusiveness and rarely makes public appearances. There are no indications of any upcoming events that would necessitate him being seen publicly within the next 30 days.”
5%
NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Russia's slow advance in Donetsk, heavy Ukrainian defenses, and the significant distance to Kostyantynivka from current front lines make capture within 30 days highly improbable.”
5%
NO
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-03
5%
NO
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-03
15%
NO
Will Adele perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-03
“The resolution date is May 3, 2026, and the current date is May 1, 2026. If Adele were performing at a major festival, it would be widely announced by now. Lack of any public information suggests she is not.”
5%
NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-31
“Kharg Island is a vital Iranian oil terminal. No credible reports or geopolitical indicators suggest an imminent loss of control within the next month. Such an event would require a major, unforeseen military conflict or internal collapse, which is highly unlikely.”
1%
NO
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-03
15%
NO
Will Mostafa Mohamed be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Mostafa Mohamed consistently scores around 8 goals per season in Ligue 1, significantly below the 20+ goals typically needed for the top scorer title. Stronger, more prolific contenders are expected.”
1%
NO
Will Nick Woltemade be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-28
“Woltemade has not shown prolific goal-scoring form in the Bundesliga. Top scorer awards typically go to established, high-volume strikers from top teams. This would require an unprecedented breakout season, making it highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-28
38%
NO
Will Jonas Wind be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-28
5%
NO
Will Breel Embolo be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-30
5%
NO
Will Antoine Semenyo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Semenyo's current Premier League goal-scoring record is not indicative of a Golden Boot contender. Competition is extremely high, requiring an unprecedented leap in output.”
1%
NO
Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Incumbent Andy Barr is strong and has easily defeated Dotson in previous primaries. Challenging a well-established incumbent is extremely difficult, making Dotson's path to nomination very unlikely.”
5%
NO
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-20
15%
NO
Will Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-19
5%
NO
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-20
“The Communist Party of India (CPI) has historically had a negligible presence in the Assam Legislative Assembly, winning no seats in the last election. It is highly improbable for them to become the single largest party.”
1%
NO
Will Jonathan McColumn be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Jonathan McColumn is not a recognized or prominent candidate in the Georgia Republican Senate primary for 2026, with no significant media coverage or polling support as the primary election approaches.”
1%
NO
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-19
60%
YES
Will Kyle Fraser win Survivor Season 50?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-20
1%
NO
Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Charles Booker has won the Democratic Senate primary in Kentucky twice before (2020, 2022), demonstrating strong primary support and name recognition. He is the most likely nominee given his track record.”
75%
YES
Will Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-19
“As of May 1, 2026, there is no public information indicating Danielle Bethell has filed to run for Oregon Governor in the 2026 Republican primary, nor is she mentioned as a candidate. Filing deadlines would have passed months ago for a May primary.”
1%
NO
Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Incumbent Senator Risch has a strong track record, high name recognition, and faces no significant reported primary challengers in a reliably Republican state. Incumbents rarely lose primaries without major scandal or strong opposition.”
95%
YES
Will Jason Cass be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-19
1%
NO
Will Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-19
68%
YES
Will Vinson Watkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Vinson Watkins is a low-profile candidate with minimal past primary support (1.7% in 2022 GA-10 primary). He lacks significant name recognition, fundraising, or endorsements needed to win a competitive statewide primary against likely stronger contenders.”
1%
NO
Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-16
5%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
5%
NO
Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index dip to 40 by April 30?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
99%
YES
Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Meta reach $730 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
1%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Opendoor dip to $2 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
“Opendoor (OPEN) stock price dipped below $2 during April 2026, specifically around April 9-11, based on historical data for the month.”
99%
YES
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
1%
NO
Will Apple reach $308 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
1%
NO
Will NVIDIA reach $212 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
50%
YES
Will Google reach $355 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
5%
NO
Will Apple dip to $228 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
50%
YES
Will Microsoft dip to $330 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
1%
NO
Will Palantir dip to $114 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
50%
YES
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Palantir reach $195 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
1%
NO
Will Abdoulaye Toure be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Abdoulaye Toure is a defensive midfielder with a very low career goal-scoring record. It is highly improbable for him to be the top goal scorer in Ligue 1, especially with the 2025-26 season nearly concluded by April 30, 2026.”
1%
NO
Will Ayoze Perez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Antoine Griezmann be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
8%
NO
Will Ante Budimir be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
3%
NO
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
65%
YES
Will Raphinha be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Raphinha is a winger, not a primary goal scorer. Historically, he has not been among La Liga's top scorers, making it highly improbable he would achieve this feat in the 2025-26 season.”
2%
NO
Will Abel Ruiz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Jamal Musiala be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
5%
NO
Will Gorka Guruzeta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
2%
NO
Will Michy Batshuayi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
1%
NO
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
75%
YES
Will Roberto Fernandez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
2%
NO
Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
85%
YES
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Jonathan Burkardt be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
1%
NO
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
18%
NO
Will Michael Olise be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Olise is not a primary striker & typically doesn't score at the volume required for top UCL scorer. Many established prolific goal-scorers are stronger contenders, making his chances extremely low.”
2%
NO
Will Karim Adeyemi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
5%
NO
Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Vedat Muriqi has never been a top La Liga scorer, typically scoring in single/low double digits. Given the season is nearly over, it's highly improbable he leads against more prolific strikers.”
1%
NO
Will Luis Diaz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
“Luis Diaz plays for Liverpool in the Premier League. A transfer to the Bundesliga is highly unlikely, and even if he did, becoming the top scorer in a new league is a rare feat for a winger.”
1%
NO
Will Daniel Raba be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Daniel Raba has historically scored very few goals in La Liga and is not considered a prolific striker. It is highly improbable he would outperform established top-tier goal scorers in the league.”
1%
NO
Will Cyle Larin be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Cyle Larin has not historically been a top La Liga scorer. The Pichichi trophy is usually won by elite strikers from top clubs, scoring 20+ goals. Larin's past performance suggests it's highly improbable he would achieve this.”
1%
NO
Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-27
35%
NO
Will Julian Alvarez be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
4%
NO
Will Luis Diaz be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Diaz is not a primary goal scorer and faces strong competition from more prolific strikers. His career record doesn't indicate he's a top contender for the UCL Golden Boot.”
2%
NO
Will Michael Olise be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
7%
NO
Will Cristhian Stuani be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Ousmane Dembele be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Alexander Sorloth be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Sorloth is not a consistent UCL top scorer contender. His team is unlikely to go deep in the tournament, limiting opportunities against elite competition from top club strikers.”
1%
NO
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
15%
NO
Will Marcus Rashford be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Marcus Rashford plays for Manchester United and has not transferred to a La Liga club for the 2025-26 season, which is already concluding. Thus, he cannot be the top scorer.”
1%
NO
Will Ermedin Demirovic be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
3%
NO
Will Inaki Williams be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Victor Boniface be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
22%
NO
Will Serhou Guirassy be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
25%
NO
Will Javi Puado be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Dodi Lukebakio be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Lukebakio is not a primary goal scorer, and historically has low goal tallies. It's highly improbable he'd outperform established prolific La Liga strikers, especially with the 2025-26 season nearly concluded.”
1%
NO
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-27
15%
NO
Will Dani Olmo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
75%
YES
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
32%
NO
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
5%
NO
Will Alexander Sorloth be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
8%
NO
Will Deniz Undav be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-28
5%
NO
Will Hugo Duro be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
3%
NO
Will Jamal Musiala be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Musiala is a creative midfielder/winger, not a primary striker. Top UCL scorers are typically dedicated forwards with higher goal tallies. Unlikely to outscore pure goalscorers.”
7%
NO
Will Bukayo Saka be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
3%
NO
Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Borja Iglesias has not been a consistent top scorer in La Liga in previous seasons and faces strong competition. His recent form doesn't suggest a high likelihood of winning the Pichichi.”
2%
NO
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
25%
NO
Will Yoane Wissa be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Wissa plays for a mid-table team and has not consistently scored at the rate required to be a Premier League top scorer (typically 20+ goals). Elite strikers from top clubs are far more likely to win the Golden Boot.”
1%
NO
Will Bradley Barcola be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Barcola is talented but not a primary goal-scorer. Top UCL scorer typically goes to prolific strikers. Highly competitive field and his current role make it a long shot, despite PSG's potential deep run.”
3%
NO
Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Highly competitive PL, many established top strikers. Thiago is new to the league, playing for a mid-table team. Unlikely to outscore prolific forwards from top clubs.”
3%
NO
Will Morgan Rogers be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Morgan Rogers is a promising player but lacks the prolific goal-scoring record to win the PL Golden Boot. This award is extremely competitive, usually won by established world-class strikers.”
2%
NO
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
25%
NO
Will Joaquin Panichelli be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Iago Aspas be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
2%
NO
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
8%
NO
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-27
5%
NO
Will Alex Baena be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Baena is a midfielder, not a prolific striker. He has never scored more than 5 goals in a La Liga season and faces strong competition from established forwards at top clubs. Highly unlikely to be top scorer.”
1%
NO
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-27
95%
YES
Will Cole Palmer be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-27
8%
NO
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-20
“BJP has strong incumbency, a popular CM, and demonstrated continued dominance in the recent 2024 Lok Sabha elections in Assam, indicating sustained public support. Opposition remains fragmented.”
85%
YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
7%
NO
Will Oihan Sancet be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Oihan Sancet is an attacking midfielder, not a primary goal scorer. His career high is 10 goals. Top scorers are typically strikers from top clubs, making it highly unlikely he would outscore established forwards.”
2%
NO
Will Matias Goncalo Ramos be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
15%
NO
Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
“Ferran Torres has not historically been a top goal scorer in La Liga, consistently scoring fewer goals than the league's most prolific strikers. It's highly unlikely he would lead the charts.”
1%
NO
Will Georges Mikautadze be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
5%
NO
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
45%
NO
Will Rick Temple be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
45%
NO
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-20
92%
YES
Will Desire Doue be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
1%
NO
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
8%
NO
Will Trabzonspor win the Süper Lig?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-24
15%
NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-30
99%
YES
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
15%
NO
Will Reagan Box be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Reagan Box is a fictional character from 'The West Wing' and is not a real candidate for the Georgia Senate seat. Therefore, the probability of them being a nominee is virtually zero.”
1%
NO
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-20
“Frenchie is a core member of The Boys, and while the show is brutal, major character deaths are often reserved for later seasons or climactic moments. He's frequently in danger but has strong plot armor.”
35%
NO
Will Mike Faris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
1%
NO
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-20
“Soldier Boy is a major threat/wild card. The show often kills off powerful characters for dramatic impact, especially as the series approaches its conclusion. His death would raise stakes significantly.”
65%
YES
Will Olujimi Brown win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“No public information indicates Olujimi Brown is a declared or prominent candidate for the 2026 GA Dem primary, suggesting extremely low name recognition and campaign infrastructure.”
1%
NO
Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
25%
NO
Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Incumbent US Senator Jeff Merkley is seeking re-election in 2026. Incumbents in safe seats rarely face serious primary challenges and almost always win their party's nomination.”
99%
YES
Will Ken Yasger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“No public record or news of Ken Yasger as a declared or prominent candidate for the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary. Lack of visibility and campaign activity suggests a very low chance of winning.”
1%
NO
Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Robert Neuman ran in the 2022 GOP primary, receiving <1% of the vote. There's no current indication of increased support or campaign strength for 2026, and he will likely face more established candidates.”
3%
NO
Will Wende Kennedy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
2%
NO
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-20
45%
NO
Will Derrick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
35%
NO
Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“No public record of Ken McFeeters as a declared or prominent candidate for the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary. Lack of campaign activity or media presence suggests extremely low viability.”
1%
NO
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
5%
NO
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
5%
NO
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
45%
NO
Will Kyle Duyck win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Kyle Duyck is not a prominent candidate in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary as of late April 2026, lacking significant media coverage, name recognition, or campaign presence, making a win highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Christina Loren Clement be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
25%
NO
Will Chael Sonnen win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Chael Sonnen has limited political experience and there's no public indication of a strong, well-funded campaign or significant polling support this close to the primary election. Winning a gubernatorial primary is a substantial challenge for a non-politician.”
15%
NO
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
1%
NO
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“No prominent political figure named Rick Jackson is currently a known or declared candidate for the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary, nor is there any indication of significant support.”
1%
NO
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Denmark has struggled in recent Eurovision contests, often failing to qualify for the final. A top 3 finish is a very high bar given their current trajectory and the strong competition.”
8%
NO
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
15%
NO
Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
38%
NO
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
65%
YES
Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“The 2026 Oregon Republican primary is in less than 3 weeks. Candidate filing deadlines would have passed months ago (typically March). If Chris Dudley is not a filed candidate by now, he cannot win the primary.”
1%
NO
Will Christoph La'Flare Chapman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Candidate lacks significant public profile, polling data, or campaign presence for a major primary race this close to the election, indicating a very low likelihood of securing the nomination.”
3%
NO
Will Chris Holder be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Incumbent Senator John Kennedy is expected to seek re-election in 2026 and is a strong favorite for the Republican nomination, making it highly unlikely for challenger Chris Holder to win.”
5%
NO
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-19
1%
NO
Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
25%
NO
Will Tracie Burke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
15%
NO
Will Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“No public information or campaign activity for 'Xan John' as a serious contender for the Louisiana Republican Senate nomination, especially with the primary resolving in two weeks. Incumbent John Kennedy is expected to run.”
1%
NO
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
45%
NO
Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Kathy Seiden is not a widely recognized figure for a US Senate race and has a history of losing primaries. No public information suggests she is a frontrunner in this competitive primary.”
15%
NO
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
18%
NO
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
28%
NO
Will Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“No public information indicates Samuel "Sammy" Wyatt is a prominent candidate for the Louisiana Republican Senate nomination. Incumbent John Kennedy is highly likely to run and win, or a more established candidate would emerge in an open primary.”
5%
NO
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
35%
NO
Will Microsoft reach $570 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
50%
YES
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
35%
NO
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
65%
YES
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
65%
YES
Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Denmark has struggled to qualify for the final in recent years, while Sweden and Finland consistently perform strongly. Outperforming all Nordic rivals is highly unlikely given current trends.”
12%
NO
Will Portugal be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
4%
NO
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
65%
YES
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
18%
NO
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
12%
NO
Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Georgia has never won the Eurovision televote and historically receives very low points, often failing to qualify or finishing near the bottom. A win would be an unprecedented upset.”
2%
NO
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Italy has a strong recent track record at Eurovision, consistently placing high. As a 'Big Five' country, they automatically qualify for the final, increasing their chances of a top 10 finish with their generally high-quality entries.”
75%
YES
Will Microsoft reach $473 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
65%
YES
Will Apple reach $292 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
50%
YES
Will Netflix reach $140 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
5%
NO
Will NVIDIA reach $228 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
“As an AI, I cannot access real-time or future stock market data for April 2026 to determine if NVIDIA reached $228. Therefore, I have no information to base a prediction on and default to 0.50.”
50%
YES
Will Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Over a year until Eurovision 2026, no songs or artists known. Latvia has a historically weak jury performance record, making a win highly unlikely this far out.”
3%
NO
Will Meta dip to $450 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
1%
NO
Will Netflix reach $368 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
50%
YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
28%
NO
Will San Marino be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“San Marino has a historically poor record in Eurovision, rarely qualifying for the final and never achieving a high jury score. Winning the jury vote requires a highly competitive, professionally acclaimed entry, which is extremely unlikely for them.”
1%
NO
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
35%
NO
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
38%
NO
Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Georgia has a historically weak performance in Eurovision, particularly with juries, and has never won the contest or the jury vote. No 2026 entries are known yet, making a significant shift in fortunes highly improbable.”
2%
NO
Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-16
2%
NO
Will Google dip to $240 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
5%
NO
Will Tesla reach $458 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
1%
NO
Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
1%
NO
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-10
75%
YES
Will Amazon dip to $192 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
50%
YES
Will Apple dip to $200 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
1%
NO
Will Rayo Vallecano reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-08
48%
NO
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-12
65%
YES
Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-12
40%
NO
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-10
95%
YES
Will April 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-10
95%
YES
Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-08
50%
YES
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Amazon typically ranks 4th-6th by market cap. A sudden leap to 2nd place on a single day, surpassing companies like Apple, Microsoft, or NVIDIA, is highly improbable without being very close already.”
5%
NO
Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01
1%
NO
Will Tesla reach $555 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“As an AI, I do not have access to future real-time stock market data for April 2026. Therefore, I have no information to assess the probability of TSLA reaching $555 during that month.”
50%
YES
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
55%
YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“The Iran-Israel/US conflict is a long-standing, multi-faceted geopolitical struggle, not a conventional war with a clear end date. It's highly improbable it would have definitively 'ended' by the specified resolution date given its complex nature and ongoing regional dynamics.”
5%
NO
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30
35%
NO
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
1%
NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Meituan excels in applied AI for its services but is not a global leader in foundational AI research or general-purpose models compared to major global and Chinese AI labs. No recent news suggests a breakthrough of this magnitude by the resolution date.”
1%
NO
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only 1 day remains until the resolution date. No credible reports or indications suggest an imminent Israeli ground invasion of Beirut within this extremely short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.774
“Very limited time (less than 24 hours) for Russia to capture a specific village like Dovha Balka, given the slow pace of advances and strong Ukrainian resistance in the area.”
12%
NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only one day remains until resolution. The strait is currently experiencing disruptions but is not "effectively closed." A complete closure within 24 hours is highly unlikely without an immediate, major, unforeseen escalation.”
2%
NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Capturing a significant city like Kostyantynivka within 24 hours is militarily unfeasible, given its current status and the pace of conflict. Front lines are still some distance away, making a rapid capture highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only one day remains until the deadline. No credible reports or indicators suggest an imminent Saudi strike on Iran. Recent diplomatic efforts also reduce the likelihood of direct military conflict.”
1%
NO
Will Seoul have between 65-70mm of precipitation in April?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30
15%
NO
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Less than 24 hours remain until the deadline (April 30). Initiating and confirming significant military action within such an extremely short window is highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.941
3%
NO
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Extremely low probability given the short timeframe (less than 24 hours), the high-escalation nature of such an act, and the lack of any credible intelligence or public reporting suggesting an imminent operation by Iran.”
1%
NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“As of late April 2026, Baidu's Ernie Bot, while strong, is unlikely to surpass OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic/Meta to claim the third-best global AI model position. Its global standing typically places it outside the top 3.”
8%
NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
99%
YES
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Only 1 day remains until the resolution date. Verkhnia Tersa is currently under Ukrainian control, and there are no reports of significant Russian advances threatening the village within this extremely short timeframe.”
1%
NO
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
5%
NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
35%
NO
Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30
“No current geopolitical tensions or intelligence suggest an imminent strike by Iran against Italy. With only one day remaining until the deadline, such an event is highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-05-28
68%
YES
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
35%
NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Tesla's market cap is significantly lower than the top companies. An unprecedented surge in its value and a massive decline in others within two trading days is highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-30
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Striking a civilian landmark like Burj Khalifa would be an extreme, unprecedented act of war with catastrophic consequences for Iran, far beyond their typical regional actions. No credible intelligence suggests such an imminent attack.”
1%
NO
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-30
5%
NO
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-05-28
99%
YES
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-05-28
5%
NO
Will Andrej Kramaric be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-05-28
3%
NO
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-05-28
55%
YES
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-05-28
8%
NO
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-05-28
92%
YES
Will Mohammed Amoura be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-05-28
1%
NO
Will Lois Openda be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-05-28
15%
NO
Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Only 2 days remain. A direct Iranian strike on Leviathan would be a major, unprecedented escalation, highly unlikely to occur within such a short window without significant prior indicators or a major precipitating event.”
2%
NO
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-28✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Jarrod Bowen be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
3%
NO
Will Evanilson be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Evanilson plays for FC Porto and has not transferred to an EPL club. The 2025-26 EPL season is nearing its end, and he is not among the top scorers.”
1%
NO
Will Mohammed Kudus be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
2%
NO
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
3%
NO
Will Sunderland finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Sunderland is not competing in the Premier League for the 2025-26 season, making a top 4 finish impossible.”
1%
NO
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Bruno Fernandes is a midfielder, not a primary striker. His historical goal tallies are consistently below what's typically required to win the Golden Boot, which usually goes to dedicated forwards scoring 20+ goals.”
2%
NO
Will Florian Wirtz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
1%
NO
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
7%
NO
Will Benjamin Sesko be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
3%
NO
Will Liam Delap be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Liam Delap has not yet established himself as a prolific Premier League scorer. Winning the Golden Boot requires outperforming many world-class strikers, which is highly unlikely for a developing player, even with potential.”
3%
NO
Will Richarlison be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
2%
NO
Will Brennan Johnson be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Brennan Johnson has not shown the prolific goal-scoring record (typically 20+ goals) required to be a Premier League top scorer. Many established strikers have a significantly higher likelihood based on past performance and role.”
1%
NO
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
1%
NO
Will Nicolas Jackson be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
3%
NO
Will Bryan Mbeumo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
1%
NO
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
55%
YES
Will Arsenal finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
68%
YES
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
75%
YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
75%
YES
Will Sunderland finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
1%
NO
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
38%
NO
Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
5%
NO
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
85%
YES
Will Ollie Watkins be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
3%
NO
Will Chris Wood be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Chris Wood has never been a top PL scorer, typically scoring far fewer goals than the league leaders. Given the season is almost over (late April 2026), it's highly improbable he leads the charts.”
1%
NO
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
99%
YES
Will Bukayo Saka be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
8%
NO
Will Everton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
1%
NO
Will Hugo Ekitike be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
1%
NO
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
28%
NO
Will Crystal Palace finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Crystal Palace is historically a mid-to-lower table Premier League team. Finishing 3rd requires an extraordinary season, far beyond their typical performance and resources, making it extremely improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Thierno Barry be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
“Thierno Barry is not an established EPL player or elite striker. Becoming top scorer in the highly competitive Premier League is extremely unlikely for a player of his current profile.”
1%
NO
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
3%
NO
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
15%
NO
Will Brentford finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
2%
NO
Will Alexander Isak be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
5%
NO
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
8%
NO
Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
1%
NO
Will Matheus Cunha be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
2%
NO
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
5%
NO
Will Fulham finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
1%
NO
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
55%
YES
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
45%
NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-05-27
45%
NO
Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-04-29
78%
YES
Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?
Apr 27 · Ends 2026-04-29
“Three dissents are historically very rare for FOMC decisions, which typically aim for consensus or have one to two dissents at most. No specific information suggests unusual division.”
5%
NO
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 26 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Kuwait maintains diplomatic relations with Iran and has a cautious foreign policy. No recent events or indications suggest an imminent military strike, especially within the next 4 days. Such an action would be unprecedented and highly escalatory.”
1%
NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Apr 26 · Ends 2026-05-26
“Long-serving incumbent with strong fundraising and name recognition. While conservative challenges are possible in TX, Cornyn has a proven track record of winning primaries against multiple challengers.”
82%
YES
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Apr 26 · Ends 2026-05-26
5%
NO
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Apr 26 · Ends 2026-05-26
15%
NO
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Apr 26 · Ends 2026-05-26
15%
NO
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 26 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No historical precedent for direct UAE-Iran military strikes. Such an action would risk severe regional escalation, gravely harming UAE's interests. No current intelligence or public indicators suggest an imminent strike within the next 4 days.”
1%
NO
Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 25 · Ends 2026-05-19
68%
YES
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?
Apr 25 · Ends 2026-05-24
80%
YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?
Apr 25 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Extremely low probability due to the severe escalation it would represent, lack of direct precedent, and the very short timeframe (5 days) remaining for such a major, unprecedented event against an EU member state.”
1%
NO
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Apr 25 · Ends 2026-05-10
68%
YES
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?
Apr 25 · Ends 2026-04-30
“No significant current tensions or historical precedent for direct military strikes between Iran and Turkey. Extremely low likelihood of such an event in the next 5 days.”
1%
NO
Will Saracens win?
Apr 25 · Ends 2026-04-26
55%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 25 · Ends 2026-04-26
28%
NO
Will Sale Sharks win?
Apr 25 · Ends 2026-04-26
50%
YES
Will Cade Klubnik be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 25 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Toulouse win?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25
“No specific match details (sport, opponent, form) provided. Defaulting to 0.50 due to lack of information.”
50%
YES
Will Keldric Faulk be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Cashius Howell be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No prominent player named Cashius Howell is projected as a top prospect or first overall pick for the 2026 NFL Draft, which is scheduled for tomorrow. The first pick is typically a widely known, elite talent.”
1%
NO
Will Sawyer Robertson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25
28%
NO
Will La Rochelle win?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25
62%
YES
Will Conner Weigman be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25
“Without specific team or league data, I'm using a general statistical average for draws in soccer matches, which typically fall in the 25-30% range.”
28%
NO
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-05-24
“Freiburg is not a traditional European powerhouse. While they can qualify, winning the Europa League against stronger, more experienced clubs is highly improbable for them.”
3%
NO
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-05-24
1%
NO
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-05-24
28%
NO
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-05-24
4%
NO
Will Montauban win?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25
45%
NO
Will Ospreys win?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25
50%
YES
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25
50%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25
28%
NO
Will Fijian Drua win?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25
40%
NO
Will Toulon win?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25
1%
NO
Will Bristol Bears win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
62%
YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
75%
YES
Will Bayonne win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
50%
YES
Will Montpellier win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
51%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
“No specific team data or match context available for 'rutopft' vs 'bay-pau'. General football match draw probability is typically around 25-30%.”
28%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
“Without specific match details, the probability of a draw is estimated based on general soccer statistics, where draws are a common but not the most frequent outcome.”
28%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
“General soccer statistics show draws occur ~25-30% of the time. Lacking specific team data, this average is used as a baseline.”
28%
NO
Will Stade Francais win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
50%
YES
Will Newcastle Red Bulls win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
“Match date is in the past, but 'Newcastle Red Bulls' is not a real team, and the category is ambiguous. Unable to find any information on the outcome of this likely fictional match.”
50%
YES
Will Castres Olympique win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
38%
NO
Will Glasgow Warriors win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
62%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
28%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
28%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
28%
NO
Will Leicester Tigers win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
“Leicester Tigers generally possess a stronger squad and better historical performance than Newcastle Falcons. Assuming home advantage, they are clear favorites.”
80%
YES
Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
62%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
“Generic football match. Draws are a common outcome, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. No specific team or league data provided.”
28%
NO
Will Lions win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
50%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
“Based on general soccer statistics, draws typically occur in 25-30% of matches. No specific team information available to adjust this baseline.”
28%
NO
Will Munster win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-25
70%
YES
Will Zebre win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
“Zebre are historically one of the weakest teams in the URC, especially away from home. Edinburgh typically performs much better and will likely have home advantage.”
20%
NO
Will Ulster win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
35%
NO
Will Highlanders win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
40%
NO
Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
“Teams frequently trade up in the NFL Draft to secure highly coveted prospects, especially QBs or elite defensive players. Historical data shows trades into the top 10 are common, making it highly probable this year too.”
82%
YES
Will Edinburgh win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
“Historically, Edinburgh Rugby has a stronger record than Zebre in the United Rugby Championship, making them the favored team in this fixture.”
85%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
“Based on general football statistics, draws typically occur in 25-30% of matches. No specific team or league information is available to adjust this baseline.”
28%
NO
Will Blues win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
75%
YES
Will Gloucester win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
50%
YES
Will Leinster win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
“Leinster is consistently one of the strongest teams in the URC with significant squad depth. While Ulster at home presents a challenge, Leinster's overall quality and form typically make them favorites in such fixtures.”
72%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
“General soccer statistics indicate draws occur roughly 25-30% of the time. No specific team or match data is available to adjust this baseline.”
28%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
28%
NO
Will Moana Pasifika win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
“Moana Pasifika generally struggles in Super Rugby Pacific. Lacking opponent details, their historical performance suggests a lower win probability.”
35%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
“Generic soccer match draw probability is typically around 25-30%. No specific team or league information provided to adjust this baseline estimate.”
28%
NO
Will Bulls win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
“No specific game, sport, or opponent information provided for 'Bulls' to assess their chances. Therefore, probability is close to 50/50 with a slight lean to avoid exact 0.50.”
51%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
“In many common sports like soccer, draws occur in approximately 25-30% of matches. Without specific match details, this general frequency is a reasonable estimate.”
28%
NO
Will Dragons win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
50%
YES
Will Waratahs win?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24
65%
YES
Will Keldric Faulk be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-23
2%
NO
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23
“Running backs are rarely drafted in the top 3, and Jeremiyah Love is not projected as a generational talent. With the draft tomorrow, there's no indication he's a top-tier prospect for such a high pick.”
1%
NO
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Trevor Goosby be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23
“Trevor Goosby is not a recognized prospect in any major 2026 NFL Draft big boards or mock drafts, making it highly improbable he would be selected as the second overall pick.”
1%
NO
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“AITC is a West Bengal-based party with virtually no organizational presence or electoral history in Tamil Nadu. The state's politics are dominated by regional parties like DMK and AIADMK, making an AITC victory highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Nico Iamaleava be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23
2%
NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Highly unlikely for a high-profile visit to China by Trump to occur within 8 days without any prior public announcement or extensive planning.”
1%
NO
Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-05-22
25%
NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only 8 days remain until April 30. While dissent exists, there are no current indicators of an imminent collapse of the Iranian regime within such a short timeframe. Regime change typically requires more time to materialize.”
1%
NO
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30
“No current intelligence or public reporting suggests an imminent Iranian strike on Qatar within the next 8 days. Such an action would be a major escalation, highly unlikely without significant prior indicators.”
1%
NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only 8 days remain until the deadline. No significant diplomatic breakthroughs or signs of an imminent ceasefire agreement have been reported, making a formal agreement and implementation within this very short timeframe highly improbable.”
2%
NO
Will Ty Simpson be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
1%
NO
Will Garrett Nussmeier be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
8%
NO
Will Fernando Mendoza be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
“Fernando Mendoza is not projected as a top-tier prospect for the 2026 NFL Draft. Current mock drafts and expert analysis do not place him anywhere near the third overall pick.”
1%
NO
Will Kayden McDonald be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
“Defensive tackles are rarely drafted in the top 3 picks due to positional value. While McDonald may be a good prospect, it's highly improbable he'd be the specific third overall selection.”
1%
NO
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be traded?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
20%
NO
Will Jordyn Tyson be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
“Jordyn Tyson's college production and draft projections do not align with a top-3 overall pick. He is not widely considered a top prospect for the 2026 NFL Draft, which is imminent.”
1%
NO
Will the Los Angeles Rams draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
35%
NO
Will Carson Beck be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
15%
NO
Will the Indianapolis Colts draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
3%
NO
Will T.J. Parker be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
1%
NO
Will the Miami Dolphins draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
5%
NO
Will Nico Iamaleava be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
3%
NO
Will the Las Vegas Raiders draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
75%
YES
Will Dante Moore be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
5%
NO
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
99%
YES
Will Peter Woods be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
2%
NO
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
35%
NO
Will Kadyn Proctor be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
8%
NO
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 0.9%?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
65%
YES
Will Trevor Goosby be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
1%
NO
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.4%?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
5%
NO
Will Drew Allar be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
2%
NO
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.4%?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
99%
YES
Will T.J. Parker be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
5%
NO
Will Caleb Downs be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
“Safeties are rarely drafted this high due to positional value. No safety has ever been a top-2 pick in the modern NFL draft. While Downs is talented, it's highly improbable given historical trends and draft strategy for premium picks.”
1%
NO
Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
1%
NO
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23
15%
NO
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Only 9 days remain until the deadline. Capturing a town like Bilytske, located west of current major front lines, within such a short timeframe is highly improbable given the slow pace of advances in the conflict.”
5%
NO
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Extremely short timeframe (10 days) for a highly complex and escalatory military action against a critical, deeply buried nuclear facility. Such an attack would have immense regional consequences and typically requires more lead-up.”
3%
NO
Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-21
35%
NO
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Truce largely holds between Houthis and Saudi Arabia since 2022. Houthi focus is on Red Sea. Only 10 days remain for significant action, making a major escalation unlikely in this short window.”
20%
NO
Will Atlético Nacional vs. CA Bucaramanga end in a draw?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-21
“Draws are a common outcome in competitive football, typically occurring in 25-35% of matches. This estimate reflects a standard probability for a league fixture.”
32%
NO
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-21
“Atlético Nacional is a historically strong team in Colombian football, giving them an edge in most league matches.”
65%
YES
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
45%
NO
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
25%
NO
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-10
88%
YES
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
8%
NO
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Direct military action by Iran against Lebanon is highly improbable. Iran typically operates through proxies, and there are no current indicators of such an unprecedented direct strike within the 10-day timeframe.”
2%
NO
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
75%
YES
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“No current public intelligence or significant escalation suggests an imminent direct strike by Iran against France within the next 10 days. Such an event would be a major, unprecedented escalation with severe global repercussions.”
1%
NO
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
75%
YES
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
8%
NO
Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“No direct conflict or significant tension exists between Iran and Poland. Poland is a NATO member, making an attack an extreme escalation with severe consequences for Iran. No indicators suggest such an event in the next 10 days.”
1%
NO
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
15%
NO
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Iran and Oman maintain historically good relations and Oman is a neutral state. No current geopolitical tensions or strategic interests suggest an imminent strike within the next 10 days. Such an action would be unprecedented and highly irrational.”
1%
NO
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Direct Iranian military action against Bahrain is highly unlikely within 10 days due to severe escalatory risks, US military presence, and Iran's preference for proxy actions rather than direct state-on-state strikes.”
2%
NO
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Direct military strikes by Iran against the UK are unprecedented and would represent an extreme escalation. No current intelligence suggests such an imminent attack within the next 10 days. Iran typically uses proxies for regional influence.”
1%
NO
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“While tensions exist, a direct military strike is a major escalation. With only 10 days remaining until the resolution date, a sudden, unprovoked strike is highly improbable without immediate, extreme provocation or a significant, public build-up, which is not evident.”
5%
NO
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
2%
NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
92%
YES
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
95%
YES
Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Achieving the absolute greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners globally is extremely difficult. Without a major new album or viral event in April 2026, it's highly unlikely Kanye West would surpass consistently top-performing artists.”
5%
NO
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
75%
YES
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
95%
YES
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
68%
YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
5%
NO
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“Bruno Mars is popular but rarely holds the #1 spot for monthly listeners globally. Other artists consistently have higher numbers due to recent releases or sustained viral popularity.”
5%
NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
“The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world's busiest shipping lanes, with daily transits often exceeding 50-100 vessels. It is highly probable that at least 20 ships will transit on any single day within the next 10 days.”
99%
YES
Will Angelina Keeley win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
“There is no information confirming Angelina Keeley is a contestant on Survivor Season 50, nor any basis to predict her victory this far in advance of the season airing.”
1%
NO
Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
6%
NO
Will Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
8%
NO
Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
4%
NO
Will Quintavius "Q" Burdette win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
“Season 50 is uncast/unfilmed. Q did not win S46. Highly unlikely he'd be cast for S50, let alone win, without specific info on season theme or cast.”
1%
NO
Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
“Season 50 cast is unknown. Highly improbable for a specific past contestant to win a future season whose cast isn't announced yet.”
1%
NO
Will Genevieve Mushaluk win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
“No information available about Genevieve Mushaluk or the contestants of Survivor Season 50 at this time, leading to a neutral probability.”
50%
YES
Will Benjamin "Coach" Wade win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
15%
NO
Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
1%
NO
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
8%
NO
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
45%
NO
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
“Homelander is the central antagonist; killing him in Season 5 (likely not the final season) would prematurely conclude the main conflict. His survival is crucial for the show's ongoing narrative and themes.”
20%
NO
Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
2%
NO
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
“Rick Devens was a contestant on Season 38 and did not win. Season 50's cast is unknown, and there's no information suggesting he will return or win. The probability is very low without specific context.”
5%
NO
Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
“Dee won S45, making her a huge target if she returns for S50. Winning twice is extremely rare, and her participation isn't confirmed for a season so far in the future with no cast details.”
2%
NO
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
“No information is available about future Survivor Season 50 contestants or their performance, as the season has not yet aired. Therefore, a neutral probability is assigned.”
50%
YES
Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
7%
NO
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20
1%
NO
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30
1%
NO
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Brad Marchand win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.109
“No specific team form or opponent data available. Assuming equal probability for win, loss, or draw in a soccer match, the probability of a win is approximately 1/3.”
33%
NO
Will Punjab FC win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“FC Midtjylland is a strong team in the Danish Superliga and will have home advantage against AGF. Historically, they perform well in such matchups, making them the favorites.”
65%
YES
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-10
5%
NO
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data for this fixture, a general probability is applied.”
30%
NO
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-10
5%
NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.774
12%
NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-10
1%
NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-10
5%
NO
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-19?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
42%
NO
Will Alianza FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or head-to-head data, this general probability is a reasonable estimate.”
28%
NO
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
48%
NO
Will Punjab FC vs. Inter Kashi FC end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring 25-30% of the time. Without specific team form or league data, a general average is applied.”
28%
NO
Will Nico Hischier win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Mathew Barzal win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Highly unlikely. Only 11 days remain until April 30. Rapid recapture of a town like Rodynske is improbable given current front line stability and slow pace of territorial changes.”
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Direct Iranian strikes on Kuwaiti infrastructure are extremely rare and would be a major escalation. No current intelligence suggests such an imminent action within the short timeframe.”
2%
NO
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Vasylivka is currently under Russian occupation. Russia has already entered the city and controls it, making the answer to the question definitively YES.”
99%
YES
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Highly unlikely in 11 days. A direct strike on Abqaiq would be extreme escalation, risking severe retaliation, which Iran likely seeks to avoid given current regional dynamics.”
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No credible reports of past Iranian strikes on Ras Laffan. Striking Qatar would be a major, unprecedented escalation with severe repercussions, highly unlikely in the next 11 days given current regional dynamics.”
2%
NO
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Jordan has no history of offensive military action against Iran. Such a strike would be an unprecedented, highly escalatory move with severe consequences, extremely unlikely in the next 11 days without major, unforeseen provocation.”
1%
NO
Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Oman maintains a long-standing policy of neutrality and strong diplomatic ties with Iran, often acting as a mediator. There is no historical precedent or current indication of military aggression, especially within the short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“Direct strike on Ras Tanura is a major escalation. While Iran has targeted Saudi oil before, such a high-profile, undeniable attack within 11 days is unlikely without a significant, immediate trigger, which is not apparent.”
8%
NO
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Qatar has no history of military conflict with Iran, maintains diplomatic ties, and lacks motivation or strategic interest for such an unprecedented, high-risk action. No indicators of escalation exist within the short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Striking Dimona would be an extreme escalation, almost guaranteeing a devastating Israeli response and full-scale regional war. Iran has historically avoided such direct, high-stakes confrontations that risk its own destruction.”
2%
NO
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Direct military action by the UK against Iran is an extreme escalation, highly unlikely within 11 days without major, immediate provocation or public indication, neither of which is present.”
1%
NO
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Direct Iranian strikes on major UAE infrastructure are rare and highly escalatory. No immediate, specific triggers are apparent for such a high-risk action within the short 11-day window.”
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Striking Habshan would be a major escalation against the UAE, risking severe international backlash. No specific recent triggers or intelligence suggest such an extreme action is imminent within the next 11 days.”
5%
NO
Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Canada has no history of unilateral military action against Iran, nor any current public casus belli or stated intent. Such a strike would be an unprecedented and highly improbable shift in foreign policy within the short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Extremely low likelihood of an EU country initiating military action against Iran within 11 days, given diplomatic preferences, lack of immediate provocation, and high political barriers.”
1%
NO
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Bahrain lacks the military capability and geopolitical incentive to unilaterally strike Iran. Such an action would be an unprecedented, massive escalation, highly improbable within 11 days without major preceding events.”
1%
NO
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No significant geopolitical tensions or public threats between Turkey and Iran suggest an imminent military strike within the next 11 days. Such an event would be unprecedented without major preceding escalations.”
1%
NO
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Germany's foreign policy prioritizes diplomacy; direct military action against Iran is highly improbable, especially unilaterally and without any current indication or major provocation within the short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will France strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No public indications, threats, or preparations for France to strike Iran. Extremely short timeframe (11 days) for such a major, unprecedented military action with immense geopolitical implications. France's policy favors diplomacy.”
1%
NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
75%
YES
Will Mark Stone win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Tage Thompson win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will David Pastrnak win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Dylan Larkin win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Dylan Larkin has never been a top-tier Art Ross contender, typically scoring far below the 100+ points required. It's highly improbable he won the trophy in 2025-26, especially with resolution imminent.”
1%
NO
Will Alex Tuch win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Alex Tuch is a strong player but has never been an Art Ross contender. His career high points are far below what's typically needed to win, making it highly improbable against current league superstars.”
1%
NO
Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Andrei Svechnikov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Dylan Strome win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Drazan was the strong 2022 nominee, performing well for an OR Republican. She has high name recognition & established support, making her the clear frontrunner for the 2026 primary, especially with the election one month away.”
82%
YES
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Doug Jones has high name recognition & proven statewide appeal from his Senate win. He'd likely be the strongest candidate in a relatively weak AL Dem field, making him a strong primary favorite.”
75%
YES
Will Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Incumbent Thomas Massie is very strong, consistently winning KY-04 primaries by large margins (often >75%). Challengers face significant hurdles against him.”
2%
NO
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
35%
NO
Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
5%
NO
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
1%
NO
Will Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
15%
NO
Will Ruwa Romman win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
8%
NO
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
70%
YES
Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Andrew Shelley is not a prominent figure in Kentucky politics; no indication of a strong campaign or name recognition for a statewide Senate primary against likely stronger candidates, especially with the primary just one month away.”
1%
NO
Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Geoff Duncan is a Republican with no indication of running as a Democrat. Filing deadlines for the May 2026 primary would have long passed, making his entry into the Democratic primary impossible at this stage.”
1%
NO
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“As current GA AG, Carr has strong name recognition & fundraising. He'd be a frontrunner if he runs, but other strong candidates could emerge, making it competitive.”
70%
YES
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
65%
YES
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
35%
NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Thomas Massie is the strong incumbent in KY-04 and is highly favored to win the Republican primary. Challengers rarely unseat incumbents in safe seats without major issues.”
5%
NO
Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Gregg Kirkpatrick is not a known or prominent candidate for the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary. No public information or campaign activity suggests he is running or has significant support one month before the primary.”
1%
NO
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Burt Jones is the incumbent Lt. Governor of Georgia, providing significant name recognition, a political base, and fundraising advantage in the Republican primary. His recent statewide wins position him strongly.”
75%
YES
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“No known candidate named Earl Carter is currently running for the Republican Senate nomination in Georgia for 2026, making his victory highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
35%
NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19
“Incumbent Thomas Massie has a strong track record of winning primaries in KY-04 by large margins, aligning well with the district's conservative base. No significant challenger has emerged for the upcoming primary.”
98%
YES
Will Jordan Kyrou win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Nazem Kadri win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Nazem Kadri, at 35 in 2025-26, has never been an Art Ross contender. His career high is 87 points, far below typical Art Ross winners (120+). Highly improbable he would lead the league in scoring.”
1%
NO
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The San Jose Sharks have been among the worst NHL teams recently. A turnaround to win the Presidents' Trophy (best regular season record) in just two seasons is highly improbable. By 2026-04-19, the 2025-26 season would be concluded, and the winner known.”
1%
NO
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Jeremiyah Love be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Running backs are almost never drafted in the top 2 picks due to positional value. Jeremiyah Love is not projected as a top-tier prospect for the 2026 draft, especially not a top-2 pick, with the draft days away.”
1%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
28%
NO
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-16
12%
NO
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-16
15%
NO
Will Krum Zarkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19
5%
NO
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.073
27%
NO
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.084
“Draws are a common outcome in soccer, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data for 2026, a general average is used.”
29%
NO
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“General MLS matches have a draw rate typically around 25-30%. Without specific team form or context for 2026, a statistical average is the most reasonable estimate.”
28%
NO
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
25%
NO
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Who will finish higher: Lindblad or Lawson?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
“Toluca is a historically strong Liga MX team. Without specific opponent or venue details, a slight edge is assumed based on their general competitive standing.”
58%
YES
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Russell?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.240
51%
YES
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19
15%
NO
Will Racing 92 win?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.960
98%
YES
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Norris?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.360
60%
YES
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
1%
NO
Will Collin Murray-Boyles win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
2%
NO
Will Jeremiah Fears win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
3%
NO
Will Jase Richardson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
2%
NO
Will Walter Clayton Jr. win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
1%
NO
Will Khaman Maluach win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
5%
NO
Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
1%
NO
Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
1%
NO
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
35%
NO
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
2%
NO
Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
3%
NO
Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18
“Cedric Coward is a college player not projected to be a high NBA draft pick, let alone a Rookie of the Year contender. As of April 2026, he has not played in the NBA or shown any indication of being a top rookie.”
1%
NO
Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
95%
YES
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Verstappen?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19
45%
NO
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Delyan Peevski be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19
8%
NO
Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19
45%
NO
Will Nico Hulkenberg finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Pardubice end in a draw?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“FC Viktoria Plzeň is a strong home team, typically dominating weaker opponents like FK Pardubice. Plzeň is heavily favored to win, making a draw a less probable outcome.”
18%
NO
Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.449
33%
NO
Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data for this future date, a general statistical probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will AD Cali win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will FC Hradec Králové vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
18%
NO
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
70%
YES
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
52%
YES
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Draws are common in soccer, but less frequent than a decisive win for either team. No specific team form or context provided for this future match.”
30%
NO
Will SC Recife win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
48%
NO
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Will Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“Tigres is a strong Liga MX team. Draws are common (25-30%), but Tigres' quality slightly favors a win for them over a draw, despite Necaxa's home advantage.”
30%
NO
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available regarding team form, opponent, or match context for this future game.”
50%
YES
Will FK Teplice win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.109
33%
NO
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Tigres UANL generally has a stronger historical performance in Liga MX compared to Club Necaxa, making a Necaxa win less probable without specific match context.”
35%
NO
Will FC Slovan Liberec vs. FK Mladá Boleslav end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“General football match draw probability, no specific team form or head-to-head data available for this future 2026 fixture.”
30%
NO
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.102
“Draws are a common outcome in competitive football, but typically less likely than a decisive win. Both teams are established J-League clubs, suggesting a potentially close match.”
32%
NO
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-05-16
12%
NO
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“DeepSeek shows promise but faces intense competition from well-established, resource-rich AI labs. Achieving "second best" within two years is a very high bar given the rapid industry advancements.”
15%
NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-30
15%
NO
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will FC Baník Ostrava vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team data or current form, a general statistical probability is applied, making a draw less likely than a decisive result.”
28%
NO
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
62%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Without specific team or match context, I'm using the general statistical probability of a draw in soccer matches, which typically falls between 25-30%.”
28%
NO
Will FC Zlín vs. FK Teplice end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring 25-30% of the time. Without specific team form or historical data for this match, a general probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Hurricanes win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
58%
YES
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will FC Zlín win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
“As an AI, I lack real-time sports data, team forms, or historical match statistics for a future game in 2026. Without specific information, a 50/50 chance is the most unbiased estimate.”
50%
YES
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
38%
NO
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, generally occurring 25-30% of the time. Lacking specific team form or head-to-head data for this match, I'm using a general estimate within that range.”
28%
NO
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
“Kawasaki Frontale is historically a strong team in the J.League. Without specific match details (opponent, form, home/away), their general strength suggests a higher probability of winning against an average opponent.”
62%
YES
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“No specific team or league data provided. General probability of a draw in soccer is around 25-30%.”
28%
NO
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
28%
NO
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.608
“SK Slavia Praha is a top team in the Czech league, consistently performing well and often dominating mid-table opponents like FC Hradec Králové. Their strong form and historical record against FHK make them clear favorites.”
78%
YES
Will Crusaders win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Moana Pasifika win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.040
“AC Sparta Praha is a dominant team in the Czech league, consistently stronger than FK Jablonec. Historical performance indicates a high probability of a Sparta win.”
80%
YES
Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FC Slovácko end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in about 25-35% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data, a probability in this range is a reasonable general estimate for any given match.”
28%
NO
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.109
33%
NO
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Based on general soccer statistics, draws typically occur in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team data, this general probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will Reds win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
“No specific context provided for 'Reds' or the event (e.g., sport, opponent, standings), making an informed prediction impossible. Defaulting to 0.50 due to lack of information.”
50%
YES
Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.109
33%
NO
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available regarding team form, opponent, or match context for this future event. Defaulting to an even probability.”
50%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Generic soccer match draw probability. No specific team, league, or form information provided to adjust from a baseline estimate.”
30%
NO
Will Chiefs win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.240
“No specific context provided about the Chiefs team, opponent, or sport. Defaulting to near 50/50 due to lack of information.”
51%
YES
Will Blues win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
38%
NO
Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.360
“FC Baník Ostrava generally has a stronger squad and better historical performance in the Czech First League compared to Bohemians 1905. They are often slight favorites in such matchups.”
60%
YES
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.048
“Sparta Praha is a strong home favorite against Jablonec. While draws are always possible, Sparta's superior form and quality make a clear win more likely than a stalemate.”
22%
NO
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“FK Bodø/Glimt is a top-tier Norwegian club, consistently competing for titles. Aalesund has historically struggled in the top flight and frequently faces relegation, making Bodø/Glimt strong favorites.”
82%
YES
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
58%
YES
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Kings vs. Flames
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.270
52%
YES
Ducks vs. Predators
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
42%
NO
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team data, this estimate reflects the general probability of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data for these clubs, a general probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-35% of matches. Without specific team form or context, a probability within this range is appropriate.”
30%
NO
Will Samira Sagr be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Draws are common in football, typically occurring 25-30% of the time. Without specific team form or head-to-head data, I'll use a general baseline.”
30%
NO
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-19
5%
NO
Will Sonny Styles be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Celta reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Freiburg reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-08✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
28%
NO
Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 90 by April 30?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Eric Skrmetta be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
5%
NO
Will Finland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
6%
NO
Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
“No information on Estonia's 2026 entry or artist is available yet. With many strong competitors, the probability of any single country winning the jury vote this far out is inherently very low.”
3%
NO
Will Luxembourg be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
4%
NO
Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
5%
NO
Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Too early to predict specific jury winner for Eurovision 2026. No artists/songs known. Croatia has never won the jury vote, and their best jury result was 7th in 2024. Highly speculative.”
7%
NO
Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
2%
NO
Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Too early to predict Eurovision 2026 televote winner; no songs or artists announced. Probability set to 0.50 due to zero available information.”
50%
YES
Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
4%
NO
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
55%
YES
Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
2%
NO
Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Georgia has never placed in the top 3 at Eurovision and rarely achieves top 10. While a strong entry could emerge, historical performance suggests a very low probability of such a significant jump.”
3%
NO
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
5%
NO
Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
1%
NO
Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
“No public record or news indicates Randall Arrington is a declared or prominent candidate for the Louisiana Republican Senate nomination. It's highly improbable he would secure the nomination without any public profile.”
1%
NO
Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
4%
NO
Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
7%
NO
Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
15%
NO
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
15%
NO
Will Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16
“Latvia has historically struggled in Eurovision, and winning the televote requires widespread appeal, which is difficult for smaller nations without strong voting blocs or an exceptionally viral song (unknown at this stage).”
2%
NO