Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?

“No credible reports of past Iranian strikes on Ras Laffan. Striking Qatar would be a major, unprecedented escalation with severe repercussions, highly unlikely in the next 11 days given current regional dynamics.”

“Iran has no known history of striking Ras Laffan (Qatar's major LNG facility). Qatar and Iran share the South Pars/North Dome gas field and maintain cooperative relations. A strike would be extraordinarily escalatory with no strategic rationale. Extremely unlikely by April 30.”

“Iran previously struck Ras Laffan in April 2026, making repeat strikes less likely due to heightened defenses and diplomatic pressure. However, ongoing regional tensions maintain some risk.”

“Iran's strategic interests and international pressure make repeated strikes unlikely. No recent escalation signals or threats suggest an imminent attack before April 30.”