Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

“Murillo is a minor candidate polling in low single digits; frontrunners are from Petro's coalition and the right. Unlikely to win first round.”

“Murillo, while VP, is not a frontrunner in current hypothetical polls. The political landscape is competitive, and the current administration faces approval challenges, making a first-round win unlikely.”

“Winning Colombia’s 1st round usually requires broad national frontrunner status. Murillo has profile and coalition potential but, as of mid-May 2026, appears a long shot to lead the field outright.”

“Murillo is a minor candidate with low polling numbers; frontrunners like Petro or others are more likely to win the first round.”