Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

“Iran has targeted ships in regional waters before, but hitting 4-5 specific ships in 10 days requires sustained operational tempo and success rate that seems unlikely given defensive measures and international monitoring.”

“Iran has historically targeted ships, but 4-5 successful attacks in a short timeframe is unlikely given international monitoring and defense measures. No recent escalation suggests such a high number by April 30.”