Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

“Park Hong-keun is a known Democratic politician but not a clear frontrunner for Seoul mayor as of early May 2026. Seoul is highly competitive and major-party nominee status plus polling strength are uncertain, keeping his win chances low.”

“Park Hong-keun is one of several DPK contenders; even if nominated, faces tough race against incumbent Oh Se-hoon. Low base rate without strong indication of nomination/lead.”

“Park Hong-keun is a minor opposition candidate; Seoul leans conservative and the main opposition People Power Party candidate is favored. Incumbent party advantage and polling suggest low chance.”