Will Craig Haggard be the Republican nominee for IN-04?

“Just 2 days before resolution, there’s no strong indication Haggard is the likely IN-04 GOP nominee; absent evidence of frontrunner status, a low probability is warranted.”

“Incumbent Jim Baird is running for re-election and is the strong favorite. Haggard is a long-shot challenger with minimal name recognition or establishment support.”

“Insufficient specific information about the IN-04 Republican primary candidates and polling. Without concrete data on Haggard's standing in the race two days before resolution, I cannot confidently lean either direction.”