Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

“Bulgaria's fragmented political landscape makes it uncertain. GERB has historically been the strongest party, though PB (PP-DB coalition) has been competitive. Without clear polling dominance, GERB remains the slight favorite to win the most seats.”

“Progressive Bulgaria is a smaller center-right party that typically polls around 5-10%. Winning most seats would require surpassing established major parties like GERB and PP-DB, which seems unlikely given current political fragmentation.”

“PB is a relatively new party with growing influence, but traditionally established parties have stronger bases. Current polls and political dynamics suggest they are unlikely to win the most seats in 2026.”