Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

“Galán is a known centrist but has not led national polling; Colombia’s fragmented field makes a first-round win hard, and frontrunners typically need broad momentum he appears unlikely to have by late May 2026.”

“Galán (Nuevo Liberalismo) polls in single digits to low teens, trailing frontrunners. Unlikely to win first round in fragmented field.”

“Galán is a centrist candidate with limited national recognition. Polls show him trailing behind leftist and rightist frontrunners, making a 1st round win unlikely.”