Will Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

“Suh is a known conservative ex-mayor, but incumbency/party dynamics and candidate selection uncertainty make him an underdog this close to the election absent clear evidence he leads the field.”

“Suh Byung-soo is a progressive candidate in a traditionally conservative region. Recent polls show him trailing the conservative frontrunner, making a win less likely.”

“As incumbent PPP mayor in conservative-leaning Busan, Suh Byung-soo has structural advantages, though national political headwinds against PPP could narrow the race. Slight favorite.”