Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?

“Recent months have consistently shown anomalies above 1.3°C due to ongoing warming trend, though post-El Niño cooling may bring values closer to threshold. April 2024 was ~1.58°C, April 2025 likely similar; 1.29°C is a relatively low bar.”

“Recent monthly global anomalies have often exceeded ~1.3°C above preindustrial, though 2026 may be cooler than 2023–24 El Niño peaks. April remains likely to stay above 1.29°C, but not overwhelmingly so.”

“April 2026 is only days away; current temperature anomalies are moderate. Exceeding 1.29°C above pre-industrial levels for the month is unlikely given recent trends and short lead time.”