Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

“Israel is a strong Eurovision country and can attract televote support, but a top-5 finish is hard in a crowded field. Base rate for any one country is low; absent standout song/performance evidence, below one-third seems reasonable.”

“Israel has not finished top 5 since 2018, and 2026 field is strong. Political tensions may also affect jury/televote support.”

“Israel has placed top 5 in recent years (2nd in 2024, 2nd in 2025) due to strong televote, but political controversy and uncertain song quality make top 5 uncertain. Around 1-in-3 chance.”