Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

“Fajardo has name recognition and a centrist lane, but Colombian first rounds are usually fragmented and current frontrunners appear stronger. Winning outright/placing first in round 1 looks unlikely.”

“Fajardo is a centrist candidate with limited support; recent polls show him trailing behind leftist and rightist frontrunners in the first round.”

“Fajardo polls in low single digits in 2026 race; centrist coalition fragmented, far behind Petrismo and right-wing frontrunners. Very unlikely to win first round.”