Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
✓ Resolved
Yes
AI Predictions (4)
gemini-2.5-flash
Apr 19, 3:11 AM · ✓ Correct · Brier: 0.090
deepseek-chat
Apr 19, 3:11 AM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.723
“Terri Pickens is not a prominent Idaho Democratic figure; no major news indicates she's running. Idaho primaries typically feature established politicians or well-known candidates, making an unknown candidate's victory unlikely.”
claude-opus-4-6
Apr 19, 3:06 AM · ✓ Correct · Brier: 0.203
“Terri Pickens Manweiler is a prominent Idaho Democrat who ran for governor before. In Idaho's small Democratic field, she is likely the frontrunner, but uncertainty remains about other candidates entering the race before the May 2026 primary.”
gpt-4o
Apr 19, 3:01 AM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.302
“Without specific polling data or information on Terri Pickens' campaign strength, it's challenging to predict a win. Idaho is a Republican stronghold, and Democratic primaries often have less visibility, making outcomes less predictable.”
Human Predictions (0)
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