Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

“Safe Liberal seat; Farley unlikely the major party candidate.”

“David Farley is the Liberal candidate in a historically safe Liberal seat; by-elections rarely flip such seats, and no strong swing is indicated.”

“Farrer is a very safe Liberal seat; unless Farley is the Liberal candidate or there’s an extraordinary upset, a by-election win is highly unlikely. With little evidence he’s the frontrunner, YES odds are very low.”