Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?

“UK quarterly GDP is volatile but outright contraction is less likely than weak positive growth. Recent UK activity has been sluggish, yet absent a clear shock, Q1 2026 negative growth is somewhat below even odds.”

“Recent UK economic data shows modest growth, and Q1 2026 is likely to continue this trend. Negative GDP is less probable given current indicators.”

“UK Q1 2026 GDP preliminary estimate typically released mid-May. Recent trends show modest positive growth; consensus and BoE forecasts pointed to slight positive Q1 growth, though risks exist.”