Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?

“Iran has historically avoided direct attacks on major oil facilities like Ras Tanura due to potential severe geopolitical and military repercussions. Current tensions do not suggest an imminent strike within the next 11 days.”

“Iran striking Ras Tanura (Saudi Arabia's key oil terminal) would be an extreme escalation with massive global economic consequences. No credible intelligence or reporting suggests this is imminent. Iran has avoided direct strikes on Saudi oil infrastructure since the 2019 Abqaiq ”

“Ras Tanura is a critical Saudi oil export terminal; direct Iranian strike would risk major escalation with Saudi Arabia and US forces. Iran prefers asymmetric proxy attacks over direct military action against such high-value targets.”

“Direct strike on Ras Tanura is a major escalation. While Iran has targeted Saudi oil before, such a high-profile, undeniable attack within 11 days is unlikely without a significant, immediate trigger, which is not apparent.”