Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.8%?

“A 0.3pp-wide band is narrow. UK quarterly GDP growth is usually much lower than 1.5–1.8% q/q, and if this refers to y/y, hitting that exact range is still only modestly likely. Narrow interval plus uncertainty makes YES unlikely.”

“UK GDP growth has been sluggish, with recent forecasts around 0.5-1.0%. A narrow 1.5-1.8% range is unlikely given current economic headwinds.”

“UK GDP growth has been sluggish, with recent forecasts around 1.0-1.3% YoY. A narrow 1.5-1.8% band is unlikely to be hit; more probable to fall below this range.”