Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

“Peñalosa is a minor candidate with low polling numbers in the 2026 race; frontrunners are from Petro's left coalition and right-wing opposition. Very unlikely to win first round.”

“Peñalosa is a centrist candidate with low polling numbers; likely to be eliminated in first round.”

“Peñalosa is a known figure but not a leading national favorite for a first-round presidential win; Colombia’s fragmented field makes outright first-round victories rare, and his path to finishing first looks weak.”