Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

“Despite Houthi attacks on shipping, the strait has not been fully closed. Commercial traffic continues with increased risk premiums and rerouting. A complete closure would require a major escalation beyond current patterns, which remains unlikely by May 31.”

“The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is a crucial maritime chokepoint. Closure is rare due to significant global trade impact. No recent major conflicts or blockades suggest closure by May 31 is unlikely.”

“While tensions exist, major powers have strong incentives to keep this critical shipping lane open. Recent diplomatic efforts and naval patrols suggest partial disruptions possible but not complete closure.”