Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

“Ciotti is a high-profile local figure with a strong right-wing base in Alpes-Maritimes, making him a plausible favorite, but municipal races are candidate- and coalition-sensitive, so the edge is modest.”

“Ciotti is the incumbent and has strong local support. Despite national challenges, he is favored to win re-election in Nice.”

“Estrosi's camp remains dominant in Nice; Ciotti, though allied with RN, faces an uphill battle against the incumbent machine. Polls historically favor the sitting mayor's successor.”