Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

“Fed cautious amid inflation concerns; likely hold”

“The April meeting is typically less likely for a move than marquee meetings, and by late Apr 2026 the Fed may prefer to wait for more inflation/labor data. A 25 bps cut is plausible but still clearly less likely than no cut.”

“Inflation remains above target but slowing; market odds slightly favor a 25bp cut. However, Fed may hold due to persistent price pressures.”