Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

“Hong Ihk-pyo is a plausible opposition contender but not a clear frontrunner. Seoul often swings, yet incumbency, party dynamics, and candidate uncertainty make his outright win notably less likely than not.”

“Hong Ihk-pyo is a minor candidate with low name recognition and limited party support. Major candidates from leading parties are far more likely to win.”

“Plausible DPK contender but uncertain nomination and competitive race”