Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

“Google's Gemini has been competitive at the top tier (often #1 or #2) rather than #3. More likely OpenAI or Anthropic occupies #3 slot, with Google in top two.”

“Google is a top-tier lab, but ranking exactly 3rd by Apr 30, 2026 is a narrow target. It could plausibly be 1st/2nd or below 3rd depending on OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, Meta, and others, so exact-third odds are modest.”

“As of April 2026, Google's Gemini models likely trail behind OpenAI and Anthropic, and possibly others like Meta or xAI, making third place uncertain.”