Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?

“Direct Iranian strikes on Kuwaiti infrastructure are extremely rare and would be a major escalation. No current intelligence suggests such an imminent action within the short timeframe.”

“Iran has no known motive to strike Al Zour Refinery in Kuwait. Such an attack would be unprecedented, risk massive international backlash, and contradict Iran's regional strategy. No credible intelligence suggests this.”

“Direct strike on Kuwait's critical infrastructure would risk major regional escalation and US retaliation; Iran prefers proxy attacks and calibrated escalation.”

“Iran has historically avoided direct strikes on major infrastructure to prevent escalation. No recent intelligence suggests an imminent attack on Al Zour Refinery by April 30.”