Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?

“Recent UK economic data shows sluggish growth, with Q1 2026 likely below 0.9% due to persistent inflation and weak consumer spending.”

“A 0.9%–1.2% q/q UK GDP print is unusually high versus recent norms, where quarterly growth is typically near 0.0%–0.4%. Such a strong quarter is possible but rare, so the interval has low probability.”

“UK GDP growth has been sluggish; consensus forecasts for Q1 2026 cluster around 0.2-0.4% QoQ or ~1% YoY. The 0.9-1.2% range is plausible if measured YoY but narrow, making hit unlikely.”