DeepSeek V3 Forecasts

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Tesla's Q1 2025 deliveries were ~387k. Growth to 450k+ in one year requires ~16% increase, but recent trends show slowing growth and increased competition. Upper bound of 475k seems especially aggressive for Q1.”

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Polymarket currently has far less than 85% mindshare in prediction markets. Achieving such dominance in just 6 days is extremely unlikely given competition from established platforms.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Orbán's Fidesz party maintains strong parliamentary majority and political dominance in Hungary, with no viable opposition coalition currently positioned to win the next election.”

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin at ~$70K currently, March ends in 6 days. Need ~30% surge in under a week amid typical volatility. Possible but unlikely without major catalyst.”

Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“S&P 500 rarely drops 5%+ in a single day; Q1 2026 has only 6 trading days left, making such an extreme move unlikely absent major crisis.”

X banned in U.K. by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the resolution date is just 6 days away and the question is phrased as a near-term regulatory action, there's likely already significant momentum toward this outcome. Regulatory bans often follow public announcements and processes that would be visible by this point.”

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 6 days remaining and no recent public signals of imminent high-level US-Russia meetings, plus potential political constraints, a meeting by March 31 seems unlikely.”

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Jorge Nieto is not a leading candidate in current polling for 2026 Peruvian election. Peru's political landscape is highly fragmented with many contenders, making any single candidate's chances low without strong coalition support.”

Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Fidesz has dominated Hungarian politics for over a decade with strong institutional advantages, electoral system favoring them, and fragmented opposition. While DK leads opposition, overcoming Fidesz's entrenched position remains unlikely.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil currently around $80, geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ supply discipline likely to support prices above $75 through month-end despite some demand concerns.”

Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Houston is consistently strong but winning the NCAA Tournament requires navigating 6 single-elimination games against elite competition. Even top teams typically have <20% chance due to tournament randomness.”

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The U.S. has observed a moratorium on nuclear testing since 1992 and is party to the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty. With only 6 days remaining, no preparations or political signals suggest a sudden reversal.”

Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Nebraska has never won an NCAA Tournament game and is not a traditional basketball powerhouse. While possible, historical performance and typical tournament dynamics make this extremely unlikely.”

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Schauffele is a top golfer but winning the Masters is extremely difficult. With strong competition and the tournament's unpredictability, his chances are low despite his skill.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin volatility is high, but dropping to $55K from current levels in one week requires a ~20% decline, which is possible but not the most likely scenario given typical market behavior.”

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 6 days remaining, major unresolved territorial disputes, and no current high-level negotiations reported, a comprehensive peace deal appears extremely unlikely by this deadline.”

Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon's tweet volume has declined from peak years. 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026 (~40/day) is far above his recent monthly averages (~200-400/month). Unlikely given platform changes and his reduced activity.”

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No current reports or credible rumors of such a visit planned in the next 6 days. Greenland visits are rare for US presidents, and Trump's schedule would likely be announced by now.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Klára Dobrev is a prominent opposition figure, but Hungary's political landscape strongly favors Fidesz. The ruling party has structural advantages and Orbán's successor is likely from within Fidesz, not the opposition.”

Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Dogecoin at $0.15 requires ~50% rise in one week. Current crypto volatility moderate, no major catalysts imminent. Unlikely but possible with sudden meme hype.”

Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Iowa State is a strong program but winning the NCAA Tournament requires beating 6 consecutive top teams. Historical odds for any single team are low; they'd need exceptional talent and luck.”

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Kostyantynivka remains under Ukrainian control with strong defensive positions. Russian advances have slowed significantly in recent months, making capture within 6 days unlikely despite ongoing pressure.”

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Kharg Island is a major Iranian oil terminal; while regional tensions exist, a direct hit by March 31 (6 days away) seems unlikely absent immediate escalation. Historical attacks have been sporadic, not imminent.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil at $150 requires extreme geopolitical escalation or supply shock in just 6 days. Current fundamentals and price trajectory make this highly unlikely despite volatility.”

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Kraken has shown no recent IPO signals, crypto market volatility remains high, and regulatory uncertainty persists. With only 6 days left, insufficient time for complex IPO process.”

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Alphabet (Google) consistently ranks top 3-4 globally. With strong AI and cloud growth, likely maintains position against competitors like Amazon, but Saudi Aramco and Microsoft/Apple remain larger.”

Will Solana reach $120 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana is currently around $80-$90 range. Reaching $120 in one week requires ~40% surge, unlikely without major catalyst. Market volatility possible but timing is tight.”

Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Michigan State is a historically strong program but winning the NCAA Tournament requires exceptional talent, favorable matchups, and luck. With 68 teams competing and many elite programs, the odds for any single team are low.”

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently around $2,800. With only 6 days left in March, a 14%+ rally to $3,200 is unlikely given current market volatility and no major catalysts expected this week.”

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently trades well above $1,000. While March volatility exists, a 60%+ drop in one week is extremely unlikely absent catastrophic market events.”

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No direct talks since 2022, current military stalemate with deep mistrust, and Putin's refusal to negotiate with Zelenskyy directly make a meeting highly unlikely within 6 days.”

Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP currently around $1.50, March ends in 6 days. Volatility exists but dropping 20% to $1.20 in such short timeframe unlikely without major negative catalyst.”

Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Direct Russian strike on NATO member would trigger Article 5 collective defense. While tensions exist, Moscow likely avoids direct NATO confrontation given severe escalation risks. Border incidents possible but major strike unlikely.”

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“OpenAI and Google have consistently led frontier model development. Anthropic's Claude is strong but typically follows rather than surpasses GPT and Gemini in benchmark performance. March 2026 likely continues this pattern.”

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-21

“Virginia has passed redistricting reforms before with bipartisan support. Current political climate favors anti-gerrymandering measures, and referendum language typically receives voter approval when framed as reform.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil currently around $70-75 range, $45 would require ~40% drop in one week amid stable geopolitical conditions and OPEC+ production discipline.”

Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MicroStrategy's heavy Bitcoin exposure creates volatility and unconventional business model, making S&P 500 inclusion unlikely despite market cap. S&P committee prioritizes stable, profitable U.S. companies.”

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Russia has made significant advances in Vovchansk recently, with Ukrainian forces reportedly withdrawing from key positions. Given the current momentum and only 6 days remaining, full capture appears likely.”

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin at ~$120k currently, needs ~25% gain in 6 days. Possible but unlikely given typical volatility and time constraints.”

Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Morikawa is a top golfer with major wins, but winning any specific Masters is low probability due to field depth. He's never won at Augusta, and 2026 field will be strong.”

Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Poland's aging squad, inconsistent recent form, and strong European competition make qualification challenging despite Robert Lewandowski's presence.”

Trump out as President by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Presidential terms are 4 years; Trump's term would end Jan 2029 unless extraordinary events occur. With only 6 days left in March 2026, removal via impeachment/25th Amendment is extremely unlikely given political realities.”

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-13

“McIlroy has never won the Masters despite being a top golfer; competition is fierce, and winning any specific major is low probability even for elite players.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil at $85 requires significant drop from current ~$90 levels in just 6 days. Limited time for major geopolitical or supply disruptions to materialize, making sharp decline unlikely.”

Will Solana dip to $50 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana currently trades well above $50. While crypto is volatile, a drop to $50 in one week would require a ~75% crash, which is unlikely absent catastrophic news.”

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No current military buildup or political will for invasion; sanctions and diplomacy are primary tools. Invasion is highly unlikely given costs and regional opposition.”

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No credible reports of imminent gold card policy; Trump administration focused on other immigration priorities; short timeline makes major new announcement unlikely.”

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Greenland acquisition requires Danish approval, faces strong political opposition, and Trump's focus is elsewhere. Odds hitting 50% by March 31 is extremely unlikely.”

Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Robert MacIntyre is a talented golfer but winning the Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. With many top players contending, his chances are relatively low.”

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Rahm is a top golfer and past Masters champion, but winning any specific major requires exceptional form and luck. With strong competition from Scheffler, McIlroy, and emerging players, his chances in a single tournament are relatively low.”

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently around $2,200. With only 7 days left in March and typical crypto volatility, reaching $2,600 requires ~18% gain in a week - possible but unlikely given current market conditions.”

Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Z.ai is not currently among top AI model leaders (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta dominate). Catching up to #3 by end of March 2026 is unlikely given competitive landscape and short timeline.”

Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-19

“Camacho is a prominent political figure in Santa Cruz with strong regional support, and as the incumbent governor, he has significant advantages in name recognition and resources heading into the 2026 election.”

Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-19

“Otto Ritter is not a prominent political figure in Bolivia's Santa Cruz department. The 2026 election will likely feature established MAS or opposition candidates, making an unknown candidate's victory improbable.”

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-19

“Limited information on candidate's current standing and campaign momentum in Santa Cruz; incumbency advantage and strong opposition likely reduce chances.”

Will Solana reach $100 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana is currently around $150-$200 range. Reaching $100 would require a ~35-50% drop in one week, which is possible but unlikely without major negative catalyst.”

Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Z.ai is a relatively new player; established giants like OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta likely maintain top positions. Second-best spot is highly competitive with rapid innovation.”

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Mistral is competitive but faces strong competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others. Leading position by end of March 2026 is unlikely given rapid industry pace and established players' resources.”

Will Nick Suzuki win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-20

“Nick Suzuki is a strong player but has never finished top-5 in scoring. The Art Ross typically goes to elite offensive stars like McDavid, MacKinnon, or Kucherov, who consistently produce 120+ points.”

Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-23

“Dante Moore is a promising QB prospect, but being the #2 pick requires exceptional draft stock. Many variables (team needs, combine performance, other prospects) make this unlikely.”

Will Ivan Demidov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-20

“Demidov is a promising rookie but Art Ross typically requires elite scoring consistency over a full season. Established stars like McDavid, MacKinnon, and Matthews are more likely contenders.”

Will Immanuel Quickley lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Quickley is a solid guard but not an elite playmaker. Leaders like Haliburton, Jokic, and Dončić consistently average 10+ assists. Quickley's career high is around 6 assists per game.”

Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Trae Young is a top assist generator, but faces competition from Haliburton, Jokić, and others. Recent seasons show multiple contenders, making it unlikely one player dominates assists.”

Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Celtics are consistently a top-tier NBA team with strong management, talent, and resources. Barring catastrophic injuries, they are highly likely to secure a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.”

Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Cunningham is a strong playmaker, but leading the league requires exceptional volume. Players like Haliburton, Jokic, and Dončić consistently post higher assist numbers, making this unlikely.”

Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Ukraine faces tough UEFA qualification with strong European competition. While they have improved, qualifying for 2026 World Cup remains challenging given limited slots relative to quality teams in Europe.”

Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Fidesz dominates Hungarian politics with strong institutional advantages; Jobbik has declined in recent elections and faces significant electoral system hurdles.”

Will Amazon reach $296 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Amazon at ~$285 currently, needs ~4% gain in 6 trading days. Market volatility and typical end-of-month patterns make significant upward move less likely.”

Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Párbeszéd is a small opposition party polling around 1-2%, far behind Fidesz's dominant position. No realistic path to most seats.”

Will MrBeast hit 118 billion views by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast's YouTube channel has been growing rapidly, currently averaging billions of views monthly. With 6 days remaining until March 31, his current trajectory suggests he'll reach 118 billion total views comfortably.”

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“High executive turnover at X, limited public info on Bier's role stability, and typical tech company restructuring patterns suggest departure likely within week.”

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 75% by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Republican Senate odds currently around 60-65% based on recent polling and seat map. Need 15+ point surge in 6 days to hit 75%, which is unlikely without major unexpected event.”

Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Google has strong math AI capabilities (Gemini, Minerva) and likely leads in specialized math models. OpenAI and others compete, but Google's research focus gives edge.”

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“GOOGL currently around $340, $360 is ~6% above current price. With only 6 trading days left, significant upward move needed amid typical March volatility. Historical patterns show limited late-month surges of this magnitude without major catalysts.”

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Google has strong fundamentals and AI growth tailwinds. Current price around $340, with typical volatility suggesting reasonable chance to gain $10+ in a week. Market momentum favors tech.”

Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Bezos has been consistently 2nd richest behind Musk, with Bernard Arnault typically 3rd. Market volatility could shift rankings, but current trends favor him staying 2nd.”

Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is strong but faces intense competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others. Market position shifts rapidly, and maintaining #2 spot for 7 more days is uncertain against aggressive rivals.”

2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Republicans hold structural advantages in House elections (gerrymandering, rural overrepresentation), and March 31 is after most primaries but before general election uncertainty peaks. Historical patterns favor GOP in midterms.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation data is volatile month-to-month, but 2.1% annual increase in March alone is extremely high relative to typical monthly inflation rates (usually 0.1-0.4% monthly). Requires unrealistic spike.”

Will Walker Kessler lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Kessler is a strong rebounder but not elite enough to lead the league. Players like Jokic, Embiid, Sabonis, and Gobert consistently dominate rebounding stats.”

Will Brook Lopez lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Brook Lopez is 37 years old, playing reduced minutes, and younger shot-blockers like Wembanyama, Holmgren, and Jackson Jr. dominate the category.”

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Mesías Guevara is a relatively minor political figure in Peru with limited national recognition. The 2026 election features stronger, more established candidates from major parties. His chances of winning are very low.”

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Dogecoin at $0.20 requires ~50% surge in one week. Current crypto volatility is moderate, and no major catalysts are imminent. Historical patterns show such rapid gains are unlikely without extraordinary news.”

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The 'Nothing Ever Happens' category typically resolves YES when the status quo persists. With Powell's Fed maintaining steady policy and no major disruptions expected in one week, continuation is highly likely.”

Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Drake often competes closely with Taylor Swift and Bad Bunny for top Spotify listeners. Recent trends show Swift maintaining strong streaming numbers, and March typically sees high activity from multiple major artists.”

Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Cameron Smith is a skilled golfer and past major winner, but winning the Masters requires exceptional form and consistency. With many elite competitors and the tournament's difficulty, his chances are low but non-zero.”

Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Wyndham Clark is a strong player with major championship experience (2023 US Open winner), but winning the Masters requires exceptional skill and consistency. With many elite golfers competing and Clark having limited top finishes at Augusta, probability remains low.”

Will Pascal Siakam lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Siakam is a versatile forward but not a volume scorer like Luka Dončić, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, or Giannis Antetokounmpo. He has never averaged 30+ PPG and is unlikely to lead the league in scoring.”

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Wembanyama is elite defensively but unlikely to outscore established offensive stars like Luka Dončić, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, or Giannis Antetokounmpo in 2025-26. His scoring volume will be high but probably not league-leading.”

Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Pelicans have solid young talent and Zion Williamson; several teams are actively tanking or have weaker rosters. Unlikely they'll be worst.”

Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Corey Conners is a solid golfer but has never won a major. The Masters field is extremely competitive with many top players. His career best Masters finish is T6 (2023). Winning probability is low.”

Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Orlando Magic have strong young core, currently in playoff position with 3 weeks left in season, and favorable remaining schedule compared to competitors.”

Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Wizards have been consistently among NBA's worst teams with minimal roster improvement, while other bottom teams like Pistons and Hornets show more promising young talent and recent competitiveness.”

Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Justin Thomas is a skilled golfer with past major wins, but winning the Masters requires exceptional form against elite competition. His recent performance trends and the depth of talent make this outcome unlikely.”

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Sam Burns is a strong golfer but winning The Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. With many top contenders and the tournament's difficulty, his chances are low.”

Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Hornets have been rebuilding with young talent; Eastern Conference is competitive with established playoff teams. Unlikely they leapfrog enough teams in one season.”

Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Denver Nuggets are consistently a top-tier team with championship experience, strong roster, and typically secure playoff berths well before season end.”

Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Patrick Cantlay is a top golfer but has never won a major. The Masters field is extremely competitive with many elite players. His career major record suggests low single-digit win probability for any specific major.”

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Jokic is elite but not a pure rebounder; centers like Gobert, Sabonis, and Davis consistently out-rebound him. He focuses more on playmaking and scoring than dominating the boards.”

Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The 76ers are a strong team with MVP-caliber talent, currently well-positioned in the Eastern Conference standings with only a few weeks remaining in the regular season.”

Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Hawks are currently 10th in the East with a losing record, facing tough competition from teams like the Bulls and Nets for the final play-in spot. Recent injuries and inconsistent performance make securing even the 10th seed challenging.”

Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Clippers face strong competition from Suns and Warriors, plus injury concerns with aging stars. Likely competitive but not division favorites.”

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“SGA is elite but faces fierce competition from Luka Dončić, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and emerging scorers. He's more efficient than volume-focused, making a scoring title less likely.”

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Fiorella Molinelli is not a prominent national political figure in Peru as of 2026. Peruvian presidential elections typically feature established politicians or well-known newcomers with significant party backing. Without major party support or visible national campaign infrastru”

Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Brian Harman is a solid golfer but has never won a major at Augusta. At age 49 in 2026, he'll be past typical prime age for Masters winners. The field includes many younger elite players.”

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Carlos Álvarez is not a prominent figure in current Peruvian politics, and with the election just weeks away, established candidates have stronger support and organization.”

Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Hojgaard is a promising golfer but winning the Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. With only one top-10 major finish so far, the probability remains low despite his potential.”

Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Maverick McNealy is a solid PGA Tour player but has never won a major. The Masters field is elite, and winning requires exceptional performance against top competition. His track record doesn't suggest imminent major breakthrough.”

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“José Luna is not a leading candidate in current polling; Peruvian presidential elections are highly competitive with many established contenders. His chances appear low.”

Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Bubba Watson will be 47 years old in 2026, past his prime. Only 3 players over 46 have ever won the Masters, and his last major win was in 2014. Young talent dominates recent Masters.”

Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Sungjae Im is a solid golfer but winning the Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. With only ~70 players in field and many top contenders, his individual chance is low.”

Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Rasmus Hojgaard is a promising young golfer, but winning the Masters requires exceptional skill and experience. With many top-ranked players competing, his chances are low despite potential improvement by 2026.”

Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Towns is a good rebounder but not elite; historically centers like Gobert, Jokic, Sabonis dominate rebounding. He's never led the league and faces stiff competition.”

Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Pacers are a competitive team with All-Star Tyrese Haliburton. Multiple weaker teams (like Pistons, Wizards, Hornets) are more likely to finish last.”

Will Will Zalatoris win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Zalatoris is a strong golfer with past Masters contention, but winning a specific major requires exceptional performance against elite competition. Historical win rates for top players in any given major are low.”

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Timberwolves have been consistently strong in recent seasons with a talented roster. As of late March, they are likely comfortably positioned in playoff standings in the Western Conference.”

Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Bulls are currently 10th in the East with a sub-.500 record, facing tough competition from Hawks and Nets for the final play-in spot with only a few weeks remaining.”

Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Dustin Johnson will be 41 in 2026, past typical prime for major wins. While a former Masters champion, younger elite players dominate recent majors. Age-related decline reduces probability.”

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Milwaukee Bucks have been dominant in Central Division recently, with Giannis Antetokounmpo leading a strong roster. Cavaliers are competitive but likely second-tier in division race.”

Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Max Homa is a strong golfer but has never won a major. The Masters field is extremely competitive with many elite players. Historical odds for non-major winners are low.”

Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Akshay Bhatia is a promising young golfer but winning the Masters requires exceptional skill and experience. With only one PGA Tour win and limited major championship experience, his chances against elite competition are low.”

Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Bucks are a perennial contender with Giannis Antetokounmpo, consistently finishing near the top of the Eastern Conference. Barring catastrophic injuries, they are virtually certain to qualify.”

Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Keegan Bradley is a solid PGA Tour player with major championship experience, but winning the Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. His age (39 in 2026) and limited recent contention in majors make this unlikely.”

Will Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Thomas Detry is a solid PGA Tour player but has never won a major. The Masters field is elite, with many top-ranked golfers having better track records at Augusta. His odds would be long.”

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Dechambeau is a top golfer but has never won the Masters (best T29). Augusta favors precision over power, and competition from Scheffler, McIlroy, Rahm, etc. makes winning unlikely.”

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Acuña is a veteran politician but faces strong competition, corruption allegations, and likely voter fatigue with establishment figures. Recent polling shows him trailing other candidates.”

Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Niemann is a talented golfer but winning the Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. While he has shown promise, the field is deep with established champions and rising stars.”

Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Koepka is a strong golfer with major wins, but winning any specific major requires exceptional form and luck. The Masters field is deep, and at age 35 in 2026, his prime may be slightly behind him. Historical win probability for top players in any given major is low.”

Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Pelicans have strong roster with Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram, currently in playoff position in Western Conference with 8 games remaining, facing manageable schedule.”

Will Chet Holmgren lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Holmgren is elite shot-blocker but faces competition from Wembanyama, Gobert, and others. Wembanyama's historic block rate makes him heavy favorite for blocks title.”

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Patrick Reed is a past Masters winner but faces strong competition; his recent form and age (35 in 2026) make a repeat win unlikely against top-ranked younger players.”

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Spurs are rebuilding with young talent (Wembanyama), but division rivals like Mavericks and Pelicans have more established rosters and playoff experience for 2025-26 season.”

Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Raptors in rebuilding phase with young roster, likely focusing on development rather than win-now approach. 40+ wins requires significant improvement from current trajectory.”

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Celtics and Knicks are stronger contenders in the Atlantic Division, with Boston having superior roster continuity and championship experience.”

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Scheffler is a top contender but golf has high variance. He's won 2 of last 5 Masters (2024, 2025), but repeating for a third consecutive year is historically difficult against elite competition.”

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Fleetwood is a strong golfer but has never won a major. The Masters field is extremely competitive with many top players. Historical odds for any single player winning are low.”

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Carlos Espá is not a prominent figure in Peruvian politics as of 2026. With no major party backing or significant public recognition, his chances of winning are extremely low.”

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Rafael Belaúnde Llosa is not a leading candidate in current polls. Peruvian elections are highly unpredictable with many contenders, and he lacks strong party machinery or recent major political momentum.”

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Hawks are competitive but face strong division rivals like Miami and Orlando. Recent season performance suggests they're not clear favorites in a tight Southeast race.”

Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Miami Heat consistently make playoffs under Spoelstra, currently in strong Eastern Conference position with proven playoff pedigree.”

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Cerrón faces significant political challenges, corruption allegations, and low national approval. Peru's fragmented political landscape makes any single candidate's path difficult, especially for controversial figures.”

Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Garcia will be 46 in 2026, past prime age for major winners. Only one player over 46 has ever won the Masters (Nicklaus, 1986). Strong field with younger elite players makes victory unlikely.”

Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Doncic is elite but faces competition from younger scorers like Wembanyama and established stars. Injury risk and team load management reduce his chances of leading the league.”

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Yonhy Lescano is a minor candidate with low polling support. Peruvian elections are highly competitive with many stronger contenders. His chances appear very slim based on current political landscape.”

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Timberwolves have strong core (Edwards, Towns, Gobert), were contenders in 2024-25, and 50+ wins is realistic in competitive West with current roster continuity.”

Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Danny Willett is a former Masters champion (2016) but will be 38 in 2026 with inconsistent recent form. The Masters field is extremely competitive with younger elite players dominating. His odds would be long.”

Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Sepp Straka is a solid PGA Tour player but has never won a major. The Masters field includes many elite golfers with better track records at Augusta. Winning a major requires exceptional performance against top competition.”

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Ricardo Belmont is a former mayor of Lima but hasn't been a major presidential contender recently. Peruvian politics are volatile with many candidates, making any single candidate's chances low without strong current polling or coalition support.”

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Pistons have been rebuilding with young talent but face strong competition from established contenders like Bucks and Cavaliers in the Central Division.”

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Peruvian politics is highly volatile with many contenders; while Vizcarra has name recognition, his impeachment history and current political fragmentation make victory uncertain.”

Will Alperen Sengun lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Sengun is a strong rebounder but faces competition from elite rebounders like Jokic, Embiid, Gobert, and Sabonis. Leading the league requires exceptional consistency and minutes, which is unlikely given his team role and competition.”

Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Forsyth is a candidate but faces strong competition from established parties and populist figures. Recent polling shows him trailing significantly behind frontrunners like Fujimori and López Aliaga in a fragmented field.”

Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Tony Finau is a strong golfer but has never won a major. The Masters field is elite with many top contenders. His career major record suggests low single-digit win probability.”

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Peruvian politics is highly volatile with many contenders. While Pérez Tello is a former minister, current polling shows her trailing behind several other candidates in a crowded field.”

Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Taylor Pendrith is a PGA Tour player but has never won a major or shown elite contention at Augusta. The Masters field is extremely competitive with many top-ranked players favored.”

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-15

“Iran-Israel tensions are deeply entrenched with proxy conflicts and nuclear concerns. Given the current escalation and historical patterns, a complete resolution by April 15 (3 weeks away) is unlikely despite potential temporary de-escalation.”

Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Enrique Valderrama is not a prominent political figure in Peru as of 2026, and presidential elections typically feature established candidates. Without significant recent polling or political momentum, his chances appear low.”

Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Sweden faces tough UEFA qualification with 16 spots for 55 nations. Recent inconsistent form and strong competition from traditional powerhouses make qualification challenging but possible.”

Will Phil Mickelson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Phil Mickelson will be 55 years old in 2026, far past typical Masters-winning age. While he's a past champion, recent performance trends and age make victory extremely unlikely.”

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“López Chau is a relatively unknown candidate in a crowded field. Peruvian politics is highly volatile, but established parties and more prominent figures typically dominate presidential elections.”

Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Suns have a strong roster with elite talent (Booker, Durant), are currently in playoff position with 3 weeks left in season, and have favorable remaining schedule compared to teams chasing them.”

Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Schwartzel will be 41 in 2026, past his prime, with only one Masters win in 2011. Younger elite players dominate Augusta now, making a repeat victory highly unlikely.”

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Justin Rose will be 45 in 2026, past prime for major wins. Only 3 players over 45 have won majors since 2000. Strong field with younger top players.”

Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Sahith Theegala is a talented golfer with PGA Tour wins, but winning the Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. While possible, the probability remains low given the depth of talent and single-winner nature of the event.”

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Rockets are rebuilding with young talent, while Mavericks and Pelicans have established stars and better recent records. Division win unlikely this season.”

Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Clippers have strong roster with championship experience, currently positioned well in Western Conference standings, and have favorable remaining schedule to secure playoff spot.”

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Trail Blazers are in a rebuilding phase with a young roster. As of March 2026, they are likely near the bottom of the Western Conference standings, making it improbable they exceed 35.5 wins.”

Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Hyperliquid has shown relative stability above $25 recently. With only one week remaining in March and no major catalysts expected, a drop to $24 represents a significant decline from current levels that seems unlikely in this timeframe.”

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Keiko Fujimori faces strong political opposition, ongoing legal challenges, and declining popularity. While she remains a significant figure, current polling suggests other candidates have stronger positions for 2026.”

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Wembanyama has been the clear blocks leader in 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons, with a significant margin over other players. His defensive dominance and playing time make him highly likely to finish as leader.”

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Hyperliquid is currently trading around $30-35. A drop to $20 in one week would require a ~40% decline, which is unlikely without major negative catalyst. Crypto volatility is high, but such a sharp drop in short timeframe is improbable.”

Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Hyperliquid is currently around $40. Reaching $52 in one week requires ~30% gain, which is unlikely given typical crypto volatility patterns and no major catalysts announced.”

Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Bad Bunny faces strong competition from global pop stars like Taylor Swift, The Weeknd, and Drake. While consistently top-5, he rarely holds #1 monthly listener spot for extended periods.”

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Tim Cook has shown no signs of stepping down, Apple leadership is stable, and sudden CEO changes are rare without clear succession plans or major scandals.”

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Aberg is a rising star with major potential, but winning the Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. While possible, the probability remains low for any single golfer in a deep field.”

Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Grizzlies are currently 12th in West with 12 games left, 4.5 games behind 10th seed. Tough remaining schedule and key injuries make playoff push unlikely.”

Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Zach Johnson will be 50 years old in 2026, past his prime. He hasn't won a major since 2015 and hasn't contended at the Masters recently. Younger, elite players dominate Augusta.”

Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Denny McCarthy is a solid PGA Tour player but has never won a major. The Masters field is elite, and winning requires exceptional performance against top competition. His track record suggests low probability.”

Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Aaron Rai is a solid PGA Tour player but has never won a major. The Masters field is elite, with many top-ranked golfers having better odds. His current world ranking and limited major championship experience make a win unlikely.”

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Jokic has led the NBA in assists per game multiple times recently, plays a central offensive role for Denver, and his playmaking remains elite. He's consistently among the top assist leaders.”

Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Fred Couples will be 66 years old in 2026, far beyond competitive age for winning a major championship against elite professional golfers.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“March inflation data typically shows seasonal moderation, and 2.7% annual increase would require significant acceleration from current trends, which seems unlikely given recent monetary policy effects.”

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Celtics have been dominant in recent seasons with strong core intact, and are leading the division with only weeks remaining in the 2025-26 season.”

Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Matsuyama is a past champion (2021) and skilled, but winning multiple Masters is rare. At age 34 in 2026, facing deep fields of younger stars, his chances are low but non-zero.”

Will March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Climate trends show warming, but March 2026 being the absolute hottest on record requires surpassing all previous Marches, which is less likely than simply being among the top few.”

Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Billy Horschel is a solid PGA Tour player but has never won a major championship. The Masters field is elite, and at age 39 in 2026, his odds against younger top players are low.”

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Knicks are competitive, but the Celtics remain the dominant team in the Atlantic Division, making a Knicks division win less likely.”

Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Knicks have been competitive but 54+ wins requires exceptional consistency. Current roster strong but injuries and Eastern Conference depth make hitting exactly 54 wins challenging.”

Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Davis Thompson is a promising golfer but winning the Masters requires elite performance against the world's best. While possible, the field is deep with established champions and top-ranked players, making any single golfer's chances relatively low.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“March inflation data typically shows seasonal moderation; 2.2% annual increase would require significant acceleration from current trends, which seems unlikely given recent monetary policy and economic indicators.”

Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Byeong Hun An is a solid PGA Tour player but has never won a major. The Masters field is elite, with many top-ranked golfers having better recent form and major experience. His odds would be long.”

Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Tom Kim is a talented golfer but winning the Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. With many top players and past champions contending, his chances are low despite potential.”

Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Curry will be 37, facing younger sharpshooters like Dončić, Haliburton, and Edwards. Age-related decline in games played likely reduces his total volume advantage.”

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Lakers face strong competition from Warriors, Suns, and Clippers. Their aging roster and inconsistent performance make division win unlikely despite star power.”

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Italy is a strong football nation with historical success, typically qualifies for major tournaments, and has a deep talent pool despite recent qualification misses.”

Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Miami Heat consistently competitive in Southeast Division, strong coaching and culture, likely roster improvements by 2025-26 season.”

Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Portland is in a rebuilding phase with a young roster, currently near the bottom of the Western Conference standings with only a few weeks left in the 2025-26 season.”

Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Wizards are in deep rebuild with young roster, currently projected for bottom-3 record. 21+ wins requires significant late surge unlikely given team priorities.”

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Dyson Daniels is a strong defender but has never averaged more than 1.4 steals per game. Leading the league typically requires 2.0+ steals, which is extremely rare and dominated by elite perimeter defenders like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander or Dejounte Murray.”

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Roberto Sánchez Palomino is not a prominent national political figure in Peru as of early 2026. Peruvian presidential elections typically feature established politicians or newcomers with significant media presence and party backing, which he currently lacks.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation targeting around 2% makes a 2.4% annual increase unlikely in March, given current economic stabilization trends and Federal Reserve policies.”

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Mi Hazánk is a far-right party currently polling around 10-15%, far behind Fidesz's dominant 40-50% support. While growing, they lack the coalition potential to surpass Fidesz in the next election.”

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Wembanyama is elite but faces competition from established rebounders like Gobert, Sabonis, and Jokic. His minutes may be managed, and team strategy could limit his rebounding totals.”

Will Tiger Woods win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Tiger Woods will be 50 years old in 2026, has limited recent competitive play due to injuries, and faces strong competition from younger golfers at peak performance.”

Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Min Woo Lee is a talented golfer but winning the Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. While he has PGA Tour wins, Masters victories typically go to top-ranked players with major championship experience.”

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“López Aliaga is a prominent conservative candidate, but Peruvian politics is highly volatile with strong anti-incumbent sentiment. Multiple competitive candidates and unpredictable voter dynamics make his path challenging.”

Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Fidesz has dominated Hungarian politics for over a decade with strong institutional advantages. Momentum is a smaller opposition party unlikely to overcome Fidesz's electoral system advantages and media control by 2026.”

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Orlando Magic have strong young core (Banchero, Wagner) with playoff experience, likely improved roster continuity, and Southeast Division is relatively weak compared to other NBA divisions.”

Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Russell Henley is a solid PGA Tour player but has never won a major championship. The Masters field includes many elite golfers with better track records at Augusta. His odds would be long against top competition.”

Will the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“MSZP has been a minor opposition party since 2010, polling far behind Fidesz and other opposition groups. Current political landscape strongly favors the ruling party.”

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Fidesz has dominated Hungarian politics for years with strong institutional advantages. While TISZA is a notable new opposition force, overcoming Fidesz's entrenched position in a parliamentary election remains unlikely.”

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Wolfgang Grozo is not a prominent figure in Peruvian politics as of 2026. Peruvian elections are highly competitive with established parties and candidates dominating. Without significant political infrastructure or recognition, his chances are very low.”

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish stance with interest rates elevated, and recent inflation trends show moderation. While some volatility is possible, March data likely reflects continued gradual disinflation toward target levels.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation data is released monthly; March's annual inflation figure would be compared to March of previous year. A 2.5% increase from February's annual rate is a large monthly jump, unlikely given typical economic inertia and current policy.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“US inflation has been moderating recently, with current annual rates around 2.0-2.5%. A sudden 2.6% monthly increase in March would be unusually large given recent trends and Fed policy.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation targeting around 2% makes a 2.3% increase unlikely; March data typically shows seasonal stability, not sharp jumps.”

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Fidesz has dominated Hungarian politics since 2010 with supermajorities, controls media, and faces fragmented opposition. No credible challenger has emerged to threaten their parliamentary majority.”

Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Hatton is a strong golfer but has never won a major. The Masters field is elite, with many top players having better Augusta records. His odds would be long against favorites like Scheffler, McIlroy, or Rahm.”

Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Spieth has shown inconsistency recently, faces strong competition from younger players and established champions, and winning any major requires exceptional form and luck.”

Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Jason Day will be 38 in 2026, past typical prime for major winners. He hasn't won a major since 2015 and has only one top-10 Masters finish in last 5 years. Strong field with younger elite players.”

Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Hovland is a top golfer but Masters winners are rare; only 1 champion per year among elite field. His current form and course fit would need to peak perfectly in 2026.”

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Fitzpatrick is a skilled golfer and past major winner, but winning the Masters requires exceptional form and consistency. With many elite competitors and the tournament's difficulty, his chances are low but non-zero.”

Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Adam Scott is a skilled golfer and past Masters champion, but at age 45 in 2026, younger elite players dominate. Winning again against top competition is statistically unlikely.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Lázár is a prominent Fidesz figure, but Orbán remains dominant and succession timing is uncertain. Other potential successors like Gulyás or Varga may have stronger positioning.”

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Cameron Young is a talented golfer with multiple top-10 major finishes, but winning the Masters requires exceptional performance against elite competition. Historical odds for any single player winning are low, and he hasn't yet broken through for a major win.”

Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Shane Lowry is a capable golfer with a major win (2019 Open), but winning the Masters requires exceptional form. At age 38 in 2026, he'll face strong competition from younger elite players. His Masters record includes just one top-10 finish in 11 appearances.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“While Péter Magyar has gained opposition support, Fidesz remains dominant in Hungarian politics with strong institutional advantages. The 2026 election is likely to maintain current power structures.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“István Kapitány is not a prominent political figure in Hungary; Orbán's Fidesz party dominates, and succession likely involves established party leaders, not unknown outsiders.”

Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“US strikes in Somalia have averaged 5-10 per month recently. 14-17 is significantly above recent patterns, requiring major escalation unlikely in current geopolitical climate.”

Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Texas is a strong program but winning the NCAA tournament requires beating 6 top teams consecutively. Even elite teams typically have <10% chance due to tournament randomness and depth of competition.”

Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“US counterterrorism strikes in Somalia have averaged 5-15 per month in recent years. 18-21 is above typical range, and March 2026 shows no exceptional escalation indicators.”

Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Iowa is not a traditional basketball powerhouse; winning the NCAA tournament requires exceptional talent and consistency. Recent history shows top programs dominate, making Iowa a long shot.”

Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“US counterterrorism strikes in Somalia have been infrequent in recent years, averaging well below 5 per month. March 2026 shows no signs of major escalation, making 5 or fewer strikes highly likely.”

Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“March inflation data typically shows seasonal moderation, and recent Fed policy has been effective at containing price pressures. A 2.8% annual increase would require significant acceleration from current trends.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Toroczkai leads a far-right party with limited parliamentary seats. Fidesz remains dominant, and succession likely favors established party figures over opposition challengers.”

Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“LMP has historically been a minor party in Hungarian politics, typically polling below 5%. Fidesz dominates, and opposition coalitions have struggled to unite effectively against them.”

Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“St. John's is not a traditional powerhouse; winning the NCAA Tournament requires exceptional talent and consistency against top competition. Recent performance and recruiting don't suggest championship-level team by 2026.”

Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Arkansas is not a top-tier program historically; winning the NCAA tournament requires exceptional talent and luck. Recent performance doesn't suggest championship trajectory by 2026.”

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Michigan is not a top contender in 2026; tournament has high variance but many stronger programs exist.”

Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Alabama is a strong program but winning the NCAA tournament requires navigating 6 single-elimination games against elite competition. Even top teams typically have <20% chance due to tournament randomness and depth of quality opponents.”

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Duke is a strong program but winning the NCAA tournament requires beating 6 consecutive top teams. Even elite teams typically have <20% chance; many contenders exist in 2026.”

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Illinois is a strong program but winning the NCAA Tournament requires exceptional performance and luck. With 68 teams and high parity, even top teams have low single-digit probabilities.”

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“UConn is historically strong but winning three consecutive NCAA tournaments is extremely rare; last achieved by UCLA in 1967-73. Tournament variance and strong competition make repeat three-peat unlikely.”

Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Purdue has strong recent teams but winning the NCAA Tournament requires navigating a 68-team single-elimination bracket with many elite programs. Historical odds for any single team are low even for top seeds.”

Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“NVIDIA is currently around $250-$260 range. Reaching $280 in one week requires ~8% gain, which is possible but unlikely given typical market volatility and no major catalysts expected in final March trading days.”

Will Tesla reach $533 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Tesla at $533 requires ~$1.7T market cap, unlikely in current market conditions with growth concerns and competition. Stock around $200-250 range currently.”

Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently trading around $4,000-$5,000 range. A drop to $600 would require ~85% crash in one week, extremely unlikely barring catastrophic black swan event.”

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Arizona is typically a strong program but winning the NCAA tournament requires exceptional performance and luck. Many top teams compete, making any single team's chances relatively low.”

Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Tennessee is a strong program but winning the NCAA Tournament requires exceptional performance across six games. Historical odds for any single team are low; favorites typically have <15% chance. Tennessee's recent tournament history suggests they're contenders but not overwhelmi”

Will Tesla dip to $263 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Tesla currently trades around $280-$290 range. While volatility exists, dropping $17-27 in one week to hit $263 requires significant negative catalyst, which seems unlikely given recent stability.”

Will Netflix reach $228 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Netflix at $228 requires ~15% gain in one week. While possible, typical market volatility and lack of major catalysts make this unlikely. Current momentum and historical weekly moves suggest lower probability.”

Will XRP reach $2.20 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP at $2.20 requires ~300% gain in one week. Current price ~$0.55, market conditions stable, no major catalysts imminent. Extreme short-term volatility unlikely.”

Will XRP reach $2.80 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP at ~$0.60 currently; $2.80 requires ~367% gain in 8 days. Extreme volatility unlikely without major catalyst. Historical patterns show such spikes rare in short windows.”

Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP at $0.60 currently, needs 233% gain in 8 days. Crypto bull cycles show rapid gains possible, but this magnitude in one week is extremely unlikely without extraordinary catalyst.”

Will NVIDIA reach $260 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“NVIDIA at ~$240 currently, $260 requires ~8% gain in one week. While possible with volatility, typical market movement and recent AI stock consolidation make this less likely in short timeframe.”

Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“NVIDIA's current price is significantly above $116, and a drop to that level in one week would require a catastrophic market event, which is unlikely given recent stability and earnings strength.”

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP at $0.58 currently, needs ~72% surge in 8 days. March typically volatile but such rapid large move unlikely without major catalyst.”

Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP currently around $0.50-$0.60 range. Dropping to $0.20 in one week would require ~60% crash, which is extremely unlikely absent catastrophic market-wide event.”

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk's tweet volume has declined from peak years. 1040-1079 tweets in 31 days requires 33-35 tweets/day, which is higher than his recent average of ~20/day. Possible but unlikely given his reduced activity.”

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon's tweet frequency has declined from peak years. 1400+ tweets in March 2026 (45+ daily) is well above his recent average of ~20-30 daily, making it unlikely.”

Will Google reach $375 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Google stock at ~$340 currently, $375 would require ~10% gain in one week. While possible, typical market volatility makes this unlikely in such short timeframe without major catalyst.”

Will XRP reach $2.40 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP at $2.40 requires ~4x increase from current ~$0.60 in one week. While crypto can be volatile, such a massive surge in such short time is extremely unlikely without extraordinary catalyst.”

Will XRP reach $2.60 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP at $2.60 requires ~4x increase in one week. Current price ~$0.65, no major catalysts imminent. March typically volatile but such extreme short-term surge unlikely.”

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon's tweet frequency has declined from peak years. 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026 (~35-36/day) exceeds his recent average. Possible but unlikely given platform changes and his reduced activity.”

Will Solana dip to $20 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's current price is well above $20, and a drop to that level in one week would require a catastrophic market event. Historical volatility doesn't support such an extreme move in this timeframe.”

Will NVIDIA reach $244 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“NVIDIA at $244 would require ~15% gain in one week. While possible with volatility, current market conditions and typical March patterns suggest lower probability.”

Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP currently around $0.75, March ends in 7 days. Volatility exists but dropping 20% to $0.60 in one week is unlikely without major negative catalyst.”

Will Google reach $395 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Google stock at ~$380 currently, needs ~4% gain in one week. Market volatility and typical March patterns make this unlikely but possible.”

Will XRP reach $3.00 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP at ~$0.60 currently, needs 5x gain in 8 days. March 2026 crypto bull market possible but such rapid surge unlikely without major catalyst. Historical volatility suggests low probability.”

Will Solana dip to $80 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only one week remaining in March, Solana would need a sharp drop from current levels to hit $80. While crypto is volatile, such a large move in a short timeframe is unlikely without major negative catalysts.”

Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Hyperliquid is a relatively new DeFi protocol; $200M in buybacks in a single quarter would be exceptionally large given typical DeFi treasury sizes and tokenomics. While possible with major protocol success, current market conditions and typical scaling suggest lower probability.”

Will Google reach $420 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Google stock at ~$380 currently, $420 is ~10.5% gain in one week. While possible with major news, typical market volatility makes this unlikely in such short timeframe.”

Will Solana reach $150 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana is currently around $100-$120 range. Reaching $150 in one week requires ~25-50% surge, unlikely given typical crypto volatility patterns and no major catalysts imminent.”

Will Solana dip to $70 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only one week remaining in March and Solana likely trading well above $70 given current crypto market trends, a sudden 50%+ drop to $70 seems improbable absent catastrophic news.”

Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently trades around $4,000-$5,000 range. A drop to $800 would require an 80%+ crash in one week, which is extremely unlikely barring catastrophic market-wide collapse.”

Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP currently around $0.95, March ends in 7 days. Volatility exists but dropping 16% in a week to hit $0.80 is unlikely without major negative catalyst.”

Will Google dip to $215 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Google stock has been stable around $230-$240 range in March 2026. A sudden 7-10% drop to $215 in the final week seems unlikely without major negative catalyst.”

Will Solana reach $130 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana currently around $100-$110 range. Reaching $130 in one week requires ~20% surge, unlikely given typical crypto volatility patterns and no major catalysts imminent.”

Will Solana dip to $60 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana has shown resilience above $100 recently, with strong ecosystem growth and institutional interest. A drop to $60 would require a major market crash or catastrophic event in just one week.”

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is strong in math, but competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and specialized math models is intense. By March 31, others may have released superior math-focused updates.”

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Elon Musk's net worth is currently around $550b. While volatile, reaching $640b in one week would require ~16% growth, unlikely given market conditions and Tesla's recent performance.”

US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Havana Syndrome's cause remains ambiguous; a definitive device confirmation within a week is unlikely given ongoing investigations and lack of public breakthroughs.”

Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Bezos has consistently been top 2-3 richest, with Amazon stock stable. Elon Musk's Tesla/SpaceX volatility could temporarily drop him below Bezos by month-end.”

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“xAI is a strong contender but faces intense competition from OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, and others. The AI race is highly dynamic, and market leadership by a specific date is uncertain.”

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only one week remaining until March 31, the 10-year yield would need a significant spike from current levels around 4.2-4.3% to reach 4.5%. While possible with unexpected inflation data or Fed hawkishness, such a large move in one week is relatively low probability.”

Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 6% and 8%?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“S&P 500 quarterly returns rarely fall in such a narrow range (6-8%). Historical volatility suggests wider dispersion is more likely.”

Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Trump frequently threatens lawsuits but rarely follows through against media figures. Trevor Noah's criticism is typical political commentary, unlikely to meet legal thresholds for defamation. Timeframe is short.”

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon's tweet frequency has declined from peak years. 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026 (~45/day) is far above his recent monthly averages, making this range unlikely.”

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No credible reports of imminent charges against Bill Clinton; at age 79 with no recent major legal developments, formal charges within 7 days seem unlikely despite ongoing political scrutiny.”

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Republican Senate odds typically remain above 40% in competitive cycles; March 31 is close to election year with limited time for major polling shifts absent extraordinary events.”

Will Solana reach $110 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana currently around $150-$160 range. Reaching $110 would require ~30% drop in one week, which is possible but not likely given current market stability and no major negative catalysts.”

Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Binance listing requires rigorous vetting, regulatory compliance, and market demand. With only one week remaining, insufficient time for typical listing process unless already in advanced stages.”

Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Amazon currently trails Apple and Microsoft significantly in market cap, and Saudi Aramco/NVIDIA often compete for third spot. One week is too short for such a major shift without extraordinary events.”

Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast's YouTube channel has been growing rapidly with billions of views monthly. At current growth rates, reaching 119 billion total views by March 31 is highly likely given his consistent content output and viral success.”

Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Bernard Arnault has consistently been the world's richest person in recent years, with LVMH's stable luxury business model providing resilience against short-term market fluctuations over a one-week horizon.”

Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No credible evidence or ongoing investigations suggest Hillary Clinton will face criminal charges within the next week. Legal proceedings require substantial time and probable cause.”

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given current protectionist trade policies and political momentum, a 10% blanket tariff is likely to be implemented by the deadline, though some exemptions may apply.”

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While DeepSeek is competitive, OpenAI, Anthropic, and others have strong momentum. The AI race is intense with rapid innovation, making it unlikely one company maintains top position for extended period.”

Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Israel typically targets specific militant groups rather than multiple sovereign nations simultaneously. Striking 3 different countries in one month would represent unprecedented escalation beyond historical patterns.”

Will Solana dip to $40 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana currently trades well above $40. March has only one week left, making such a dramatic drop unlikely without catastrophic market events.”

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No public evidence of imminent charges against Mandelson; one week timeline is short for major legal action against a prominent figure without prior signals.”

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Border Patrol agents involved in shootings typically face administrative action within weeks. With 7 days until deadline and public pressure, resignation or firing is highly likely.”

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Jerome Powell is the Federal Reserve Chair with no credible legal threats. Arrest of such a high-profile official would require extraordinary evidence of serious crimes, which is extremely unlikely.”

Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon's tweet volume has declined from peak years. 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026 (~38/day) is far above his recent monthly averages, making this range unlikely.”

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Current U.S.-China trade tensions remain elevated with existing tariffs well above 5%. Significant policy reversal within one week is highly unlikely given political constraints and ongoing negotiations.”

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Current U.S. tariff rates on China average around 19%, but political pressure and ongoing negotiations make moderate reductions plausible by month-end.”

Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While Alibaba has strong AI capabilities, competitors like OpenAI, Anthropic, and specialized coding AI companies are advancing rapidly. The 'best' title is highly contested and likely held by others by March 31.”

Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Bilytske is a small village in Donetsk Oblast near Avdiivka; Russia has been making incremental territorial gains in the area, and with one week remaining until March 31, 2026, continued pressure makes capture likely.”

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast consistently achieves massive view counts quickly, often exceeding 100M views within days for major videos. Given his track record and the week-long timeframe, this is highly likely.”

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Ukraine has consistently pursued NATO membership since 2014, with constitutional commitment. No current negotiations suggest reversal within one week. NATO maintains open-door policy despite Russian opposition.”

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon's tweet volume has declined from peak years. 40-79 tweets/month is his recent range. 1120-1159 is ~38 tweets/day, far above his current pattern.”

Will Warren Buffett be richest person on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Buffett is consistently wealthy but rarely tops real-time lists; tech billionaires like Musk/Bezos typically lead with higher net worth volatility. At 95, his wealth grows steadily but not explosively.”

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Brin currently ranks around 10th-12th globally. Catching up to 3rd (likely Musk/Bezos/Arnault tier) within a week requires unrealistic wealth surge. Market volatility insufficient for such leap.”

Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Stefon Diggs has no history of arrests or major legal issues. NFL players face high scrutiny, making arrests unlikely without prior patterns. Random arrest within a week is extremely improbable.”

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Google stock at $370+ requires ~15% gain in one week. While possible, typical market volatility and current economic conditions make this unlikely in such a short timeframe.”

2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Republicans typically hold structural advantages in House elections, and odds markets consistently price their chances above 30% even in unfavorable cycles. By late March 2026, with election months away, uncertainty keeps odds well above threshold.”

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only one week remaining until March 31, the 10-year yield would need a significant spike from current levels to reach 4.4%. Recent economic data suggests stability, making such a sharp move unlikely in this short timeframe.”

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“USD.AI appears to be a stablecoin project, but with only 6 days remaining until the deadline and no major announcements or token launch evidence visible, the timeline seems too tight for a successful launch.”

Will Solana reach $140 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana is currently around $100-$110 range. Reaching $140 in one week requires ~30% surge, which is unlikely given typical crypto volatility patterns and no major catalysts expected in final March days.”

Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Moonshot is a strong contender but faces intense competition from established leaders like OpenAI, Anthropic, and DeepMind. The coding AI landscape evolves rapidly, making sustained leadership difficult over a week.”

Will Solana dip to $10 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana currently trades around $150-$200 range. A drop to $10 would require catastrophic failure or market collapse in just one week, which is extremely unlikely given current fundamentals and market conditions.”

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Current U.S.-China tariff negotiations show gradual reductions; 35% is historically high and unlikely given recent diplomatic progress and economic pressures.”

Will Solana dip to $30 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's current price is well above $30, and a drop to that level in one week would require a catastrophic market event, which is unlikely given recent stability.”

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon's tweet volume has declined from peak years. 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026 (~38-40/day) exceeds his recent patterns. With platform changes and business focus, sustained high volume unlikely.”

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Current U.S. tariff rates on China average around 19%, within the specified range, and significant policy changes are unlikely within the next week before March 31.”

Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently trades around $4,000-$5,000 range in March 2026. A drop to $400 would require a catastrophic 90%+ crash in under 10 days, which is extremely unlikely absent unprecedented market collapse.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin currently around $65k-$70k range in late March 2026. A drop to $30k would require >50% decline in ~1 week, extremely unlikely absent catastrophic black swan event.”

Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP currently around $0.60. Reaching $3.20 in 9 days requires ~430% surge, extremely unlikely given typical crypto volatility and no major catalysts imminent.”

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently trading around $4,500-$5,000 range. A drop to $1,400 would require ~70% decline in 9 days, extremely unlikely barring catastrophic black swan event.”

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum at $3,600 requires ~15% gain in 8 days. While possible, March typically sees volatility but not such sharp rallies without major catalysts. Current market conditions suggest moderate movement.”

Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No credible public evidence of imminent federal charges against Rep. Omar; political figures rarely face federal charges without substantial prior investigation leaks.”

Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oman maintains neutral diplomatic relations with Iran, has no history of military aggression toward Iran, and lacks both motive and military capability for such a strike.”

Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Kuwait lacks military capability and strategic interest for unilateral strike against Iran; regional tensions don't justify such escalation by Kuwait alone.”

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum at $3,000 requires ~15% gain in 9 days. While possible, current market volatility and time constraints make it unlikely without major catalyst.”

Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum at $3,400 requires ~15% gain in 8 days. Current market volatility and typical March patterns suggest moderate moves, but such a sharp rally in short timeframe is unlikely without major catalyst.”

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently trades around $4,000-$5,000 range. A drop to $1,200 would require a ~70-80% crash in 9 days, which is extremely unlikely absent catastrophic market-wide collapse.”

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently trades well above $1,600. With only 9 days left in March, a sudden 40%+ drop to that level would require extreme market shock, which seems unlikely given current conditions.”

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently around $2,400. Reaching $2,800 in 8 days requires ~17% gain, which is unlikely given typical crypto volatility patterns and no major catalysts imminent.”

Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently around $3,200 with only 8 days left in March. Need ~19% increase in a week amid typical crypto volatility. Possible but unlikely given current market conditions.”

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently around $3,200 with only 9 days left in March. While volatility exists, a ~44% drop to $1,800 in such a short timeframe is unlikely barring catastrophic market events.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin currently trading around $70k-$80k range in March 2026; $35k would require >50% drop in final week, extremely unlikely absent catastrophic event.”

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum at $2,400 in March 2026 is plausible given historical volatility, but with only 8 days remaining in March and current price likely below target, probability is moderate-low.”

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“One week is short for forming a new organization; ex-FaZe members are scattered across different teams and projects, making rapid coordination unlikely.”

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin at ~$85k currently, March has only 8 days left. Need ~24% gain in short time with typical volatility. Possible but unlikely given timeframe.”

Will Solana reach $160 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only 8 days remaining in March and Solana currently around $130-$140, reaching $160 requires ~15%+ gain in a short timeframe amid typical crypto volatility. Possible but unlikely without major catalyst.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin currently trading well above $25k in March 2026, with only 8 days remaining. Major drop to that level unlikely in such short timeframe given current market conditions.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin has shown resilience above $50K in March 2026, with institutional adoption and ETF inflows supporting higher price floors. A drop to $40K would require significant negative catalysts not currently present.”

Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“E.U. countries prioritize diplomacy and sanctions over military strikes against Iran. Direct military action would require NATO/E.U. consensus unlikely given current geopolitical tensions and escalation risks.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin currently around $70k-$75k in March 2026; $45k would require ~40% drop in final week, unlikely without major black swan event given typical volatility patterns.”

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin at ~$90K currently, needs ~22% gain in 8 days. While possible, March typically sees volatility but such a sharp rally in short timeframe is unlikely without major catalyst.”

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin at $100K requires ~40% gain in 8 days. While possible, March typically sees volatility but such rapid surge in short timeframe is unlikely given typical market behavior and current conditions.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin currently trading well above $20K in March 2026, with only 9 days remaining. Major drop to that level unlikely in such short timeframe given current market conditions.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin has shown resilience above $65K in March 2026, with institutional support and limited time remaining for such a sharp drop. Historical March volatility patterns suggest moderate corrections, not deep dips to $60K.”

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin at $80k requires ~20% gain in 9 days. While possible, March typically sees volatility but such rapid appreciation from current levels is unlikely without major catalyst.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin volatility is high, but dropping to $50K from current levels in just over a week requires a sharp correction. Market sentiment and technical factors suggest more likely consolidation or moderate moves.”

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum at $4,000 requires ~25% gain in 9 days. While possible, current market volatility and time constraints make this unlikely without major catalyst.”

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin at $95K requires ~25% gain in 9 days. While possible with volatility, typical March patterns and current market conditions make this aggressive timeline unlikely.”

Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum currently trades well above $200, and a drop to that level in March would require a catastrophic market event with only days remaining in the month.”

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin at ~$72k currently, March ends in 8 days. Need ~18% rally in short time amid typical volatility. Possible but unlikely given timeframe.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin has shown resilience above $70k recently, with institutional support and limited time remaining in March making a sharp drop to $65k unlikely this month.”

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Recent tensions have de-escalated, major powers show restraint, and no imminent military buildup suggests a strike within 8 days is unlikely despite ongoing regional friction.”

Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Lars Boje Mathiesen is a relatively minor political figure in Denmark, not a frontrunner for prime minister. The 2026 election will likely feature established party leaders from major parties like Social Democrats or Venstre.”

Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Maduro maintains firm control in Venezuela with military and political support; exile to Qatar within a week is highly improbable given current stability.”

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 8 days remaining, major diplomatic normalization requires extensive negotiations, public announcements, and formal agreements. Recent news suggests ongoing talks but no imminent breakthrough.”

Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“OpenAI consistently maintains top-tier models, but competition from Google/Anthropic is intense. By March 2026, they likely retain #2 position behind one competitor, though not guaranteed leadership.”

Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Alibaba's Qwen models are strong but trail leaders like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google in benchmark performance and ecosystem adoption. Chinese AI faces compute constraints and regulatory hurdles limiting global competitiveness by March 2026.”

Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Elon Musk consistently announces ambitious projects with aggressive timelines that often face delays, but many eventually materialize in some form. Given the pattern, it's likely something will happen by the resolution date.”

Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Despite ongoing tensions, both nuclear-armed nations have strong incentives to avoid direct military strikes. Diplomatic channels and international pressure typically prevent escalation to full-scale attacks.”

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Trump has previously declassified some UFO-related materials, but new significant declassification by a specific near-term deadline seems unlikely given political priorities and bureaucratic processes.”

Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“OpenAI likely leads, with Google/DeepMind, Meta, and others competing for second. Anthropic's Claude is strong but faces intense competition from established players with more resources and broader deployment.”

Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Elon Musk has consistently been near the top of wealth rankings, with Tesla and SpaceX valuations typically keeping him in first place. Barring major market crashes or extraordinary gains by competitors in one week, he likely remains richest.”

Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The Weeknd consistently leads Spotify monthly listeners, maintaining strong streaming numbers from hits like 'Blinding Lights' and ongoing popularity. No current artist shows signs of surpassing him this month.”

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Kostyantynivka is a key Ukrainian strongpoint in Donetsk Oblast, but current frontline dynamics and Ukrainian defensive preparations make a Russian capture within 7 days unlikely despite ongoing pressure.”

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Measles cases have been rising significantly in recent years, with 2024 seeing over 1,500 cases. Given current trends and outbreaks, reaching 1,600 by March 31, 2026 is highly likely.”

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“OpenAI maintains strong R&D momentum and GPT-5 likely leads in benchmarks, but competition from Anthropic, Google, and others is intense, making this far from certain.”

Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“NVIDIA has maintained strong momentum in AI chip dominance, with consistent market cap growth. While competition exists, current trajectory suggests it could hold third position by month-end.”

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Google has strong AI research (Gemini), infrastructure, and resources, but faces intense competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others. Likely maintains edge through integration advantages.”

Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 8 days remaining until the resolution date and no recent news suggesting he will retain leadership, the timeline pressure makes replacement likely.”

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Orikhiv is strategically important in Zaporizhzhia front, Russia has been making incremental gains, and with one week remaining before deadline, momentum favors capture.”

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“xQc's record is highly optimized, Forsen has been chasing it for years without success, and only one week remains in March 2026.”

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Alnylam is a biotech company with market cap around $25B, but S&P 500 additions typically favor profitable, established companies with consistent earnings. Biotech volatility and profitability requirements make near-term inclusion unlikely.”

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“AAPL at ~$315 currently, needs ~1.6% gain in 8 days. Market volatility, mixed tech earnings season, and typical end-of-quarter profit-taking make sustained upward momentum uncertain.”

Another US bank failure by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Banking system currently stable with no imminent crisis signals. FDIC monitoring and regulatory buffers reduce near-term failure risk. One week timeframe is very short for systemic issues to emerge.”

Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Google has strong AI research (Gemini, AlphaCode) and coding-specific focus, but faces competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and GitHub Copilot. Likely maintains edge in specialized coding models by March 31.”

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No credible evidence or ongoing investigations suggest criminal charges against Governor Walz. Political figures rarely face charges without substantial evidence, which appears absent here.”

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“OpenAI currently leads in coding models (like GPT-Engineer), has strong R&D momentum, and 8 days is too short for competitors to surpass them significantly.”

Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast is at ~470M subscribers currently, gaining ~1M/week. With 8 days left, reaching 475M by March 31 is highly likely given his consistent growth trajectory.”

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Trump has consistently opposed major escalation in Ukraine, preferring diplomatic pressure. Tomahawk deployment would represent significant escalation unlikely before March 31.”

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Google's Gemini models are strong competitors, but OpenAI likely maintains leadership. Google's resources and research pace suggest they'll be second, ahead of Anthropic/Meta.”

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Pump.fun has strong incentives to reward early users and maintain engagement; airdrops are common in crypto for token distribution and community building by 2026.”

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon's tweet frequency has declined recently, averaging ~10-20/month. 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026 (~43/day) is far above his current pattern and unlikely given platform changes.”

Megaquake by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Megaquakes (M9+) are extremely rare globally, with only a few per century. The probability of one occurring in any given 8-day window is negligible.”

Yoon out of custody by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the resolution date is March 31 and current date is March 23, there are 8 days remaining. If Yoon is currently in custody, release within a week is plausible but not guaranteed. High probability based on timing.”

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 8 days remaining and no recent signals of imminent cuts, PBOC typically prefers gradual policy shifts. Current economic data would need to show sharp deterioration to justify emergency action in such short timeframe.”

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Border tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan have been persistent, with sporadic clashes continuing. With only 8 days remaining, insufficient diplomatic progress suggests a ceasefire is unlikely by March 31.”

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Zapatero is a former Spanish PM with no credible legal threats. No evidence suggests imminent arrest. Historical precedent makes this extremely unlikely.”

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Artemis II is in final pre-launch preparations with all major milestones completed. NASA typically launches within planned windows when no technical issues arise, and April 30 provides sufficient buffer.”

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Anthropic focuses on safety/constitutional AI, not specialized coding models. Competitors like OpenAI, GitHub Copilot, and specialized coding AI startups likely lead in this specific domain by March 31.”

Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Iranian rial has been in sustained decline due to sanctions, inflation, and economic instability. With only 8 days until March 31, current trends suggest continued depreciation toward this threshold.”

Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oracle's current market cap (~$400B) is far below top companies like Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Saudi Aramco, and Amazon. Unlikely to surpass multiple giants in one week.”

Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While Netanyahu faces legal challenges, arrest of a former prime minister by a specific near-term date is unlikely given legal processes, political protections, and procedural delays.”

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Larry Page's wealth fluctuates with Alphabet stock. As of March 2026, Elon Musk and Bernard Arnault typically hold top spots. Page is often 3rd-5th, making 2nd unlikely by month-end.”

Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Israel has conducted regular strikes on Iranian/Hezbollah targets in Syria, including Damascus, for years. With heightened regional tensions and only 8 days remaining, another strike is highly likely.”

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Kostyantynivka is a key Ukrainian stronghold in Donetsk region with heavy fortifications. Russian advances have been slow and costly in this sector, and capturing it within a week seems unlikely given current frontline dynamics.”

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Pam Bondi is not currently serving as Florida Attorney General; she left office in 2019. No credible reports suggest she will return to that role by March 31, 2026.”

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Tesla's Q1 2026 deliveries likely exceed 375k given growth trajectory and recent quarterly patterns, making the 350-375k range too conservative.”

Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast has consistently grown at ~30M/year. At ~450M currently, 480M by March 31 is achievable given his growth trajectory and content strategy.”

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Current U.S. tariff rates on China are mostly below 25%, and significant tariff changes typically require lengthy policy processes. With only 8 days until March 31, major adjustments seem unlikely.”

Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is strong but faces intense competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others. Second-best position is highly contested and likely held by established players with more resources.”

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Apple consistently ranks among top 3 market caps, with strong fundamentals and brand loyalty. Unlikely to drop from position in one week absent major disruption.”

Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Israel typically targets specific adversaries (like Iran-backed groups in Syria/Lebanon). Striking 4+ distinct countries in one month would be unprecedented escalation, unlikely given current geopolitical constraints.”

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Trump's tariff policies typically focus on revenue collection and protectionism, not dividend distributions. Creating a structured 'tariff dividend' program by March 31 would require rapid legislative/administrative action unlikely in current political climate.”

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Gambling loss deduction caps are politically contentious and rarely repealed. With only 8 days until deadline and no major legislative momentum, repeal is unlikely.”

Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Z.ai is a relatively new player; established competitors like OpenAI, Anthropic, and GitHub have more resources and existing lead in coding AI. March 31 is too soon for a new entrant to overtake them.”

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No current major security crisis in Beirut; embassies rarely evacuate without imminent threat. With only 8 days left, sudden deterioration unlikely.”

Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“xAI faces strong competition from established leaders like OpenAI (GPT/Copilot), Anthropic, and Google. While xAI may advance, achieving 'best' status by March 31 is unlikely given the short timeframe and competitive landscape.”

Will Mistral have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Mistral faces strong competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and specialized coding models. While capable, maintaining 'best' status by March 31 is unlikely given rapid industry pace and limited public information about imminent releases.”

Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the short timeframe (8 days) and no current reports of planned travel, a visit is unlikely without prior announcement.”

Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“AFRM's market cap and profitability may not meet S&P 500 criteria by March 31, 2026, given current financial trends and selection timing.”

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“AAPL has shown resilience in March 2026 with strong fundamentals and positive market sentiment, making a close above $330 by month-end plausible though not certain.”

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Huliaipole has been heavily contested for years with Ukrainian defenses holding. With only 8 days until March 31 and no major Russian breakthroughs reported, complete capture seems unlikely in this timeframe.”

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Somaliland has sought recognition for decades with limited success. While some countries show interest, formal recognition is rare and unlikely within 8 days given diplomatic processes and regional opposition.”

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Microsoft consistently ranks top 3 globally, with strong cloud/AI positioning. Apple and Saudi Aramco are main competitors, but Microsoft's diversified revenue and growth trajectory favor maintaining top-3 status through month-end.”

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“FIFA rarely removes teams this close to tournament; Iran has qualified for recent World Cups and no major disqualification events reported in March 2026 context.”

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast's highest first-day views are around 30-40 million. 50 million in 24 hours would require unprecedented viral growth beyond his current patterns, making it unlikely by March 31.”

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk's tweet volume has declined from peak years. 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026 would require ~40+ tweets/day, far above his recent average of ~5-10/day. Unlikely given platform changes and his reduced activity.”

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Elon Musk's net worth is currently around $600b. Reaching $710b in 8 days would require a massive, sustained stock surge in Tesla or SpaceX, which is highly unlikely in such a short timeframe.”

Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Maduro has survived significant pressure and maintains power with military support; exile to Russia within a week is extremely unlikely despite ongoing tensions.”

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“NVIDIA is currently large but faces competition from Apple, Microsoft, Saudi Aramco. Market volatility and AI hype cycles make sustained #2 position by month-end uncertain.”

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Pump.fun has not announced any airdrop plans, and with only 8 days until March 31, insufficient time for typical airdrop preparation and execution.”

Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Mistral is competitive but faces strong competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others. Market leadership by end of March 2026 is unlikely given current trajectories and rapid industry evolution.”

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Artemis II is currently in final launch preparations with all major milestones completed. With only 8 days remaining, NASA would have announced significant delays by now if launch wasn't imminent.”

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Microsoft has consistently been top 2-3 globally, with strong cloud/AI growth. Apple and Saudi Aramco are close competitors, but Microsoft's momentum suggests it could hold #2 position by month-end.”

BitBoy convicted?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“BitBoy (Ben Armstrong) faces multiple serious charges including fraud and money laundering. With trial evidence mounting and his public credibility damaged, conviction appears likely despite his defense efforts.”

Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Saudi Aramco is consistently top 3, but Microsoft/Apple/Nvidia typically hold top spots. Market volatility could shift rankings, but second position requires overtaking at least two tech giants.”

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is strong in coding, but competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others is intense. By March 31, other companies may have released superior specialized coding models or integrated improvements.”

Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Direct war declaration unlikely given geopolitical constraints, domestic politics, and Trump's preference for economic pressure over conventional military escalation. Proxy conflicts more probable than formal declaration.”

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Tesla has consistently grown quarterly deliveries, with Q1 2025 likely exceeding 500k. Even with potential slowdown, 350k would be a dramatic drop from current trajectory.”

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Iranian rial has been in sustained decline due to economic sanctions, inflation, and political instability. Current trends suggest continued depreciation against USD over the next week.”

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 8 days remaining, no public negotiations or announcements suggest imminent accession. Recent regional tensions have slowed normalization momentum.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil currently around $70-75 range, $55 would require ~25% drop in 8 days amid stable geopolitical conditions and OPEC+ production discipline.”

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Pete Hegseth is not currently Secretary of Defense; position is held by Lloyd Austin. No credible reports suggest Hegseth will be appointed and then depart by March 31.”

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 8 days remaining, no public signals of imminent high-level US-Iran diplomatic meetings. Current tensions and lack of announced preparations make a meeting by March 31 unlikely.”

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Recent Houthi attacks on shipping have prompted ongoing US/Israel military responses. With 8 days remaining, continued strikes are highly likely given current operational tempo and stated policy objectives.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil currently around $70-75 range, with OPEC+ maintaining production cuts and geopolitical tensions supporting prices. Hitting $50 within a week requires extreme bearish shock unlikely given current fundamentals.”

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Amazon currently trails Apple and Microsoft in market cap. With only 8 days until March 31, significant relative shifts are unlikely given current tech sector stability and no major catalysts expected.”

US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Current date is March 23, 2026, with 8 days remaining. Given ongoing Houthi attacks on shipping and US military posture in the region, a strike within this timeframe is highly likely.”

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“SOFI lacks S&P 500 eligibility due to insufficient profitability (still posting net losses) and market cap volatility. S&P typically requires sustained profitability and stable operations before inclusion.”

Weed rescheduled by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 8 days until deadline, rescheduling process has been actively advancing through administrative channels, and political momentum suggests high likelihood of completion by March 31.”

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Alphabet currently trails Apple and Microsoft in market cap. While possible with strong AI gains, catching Microsoft's ~$4T valuation in one week is unlikely given current gaps and market stability.”

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Trump's schedule is typically planned well in advance, and meeting with Venezuela's vice president would be a significant diplomatic event requiring preparation. No current indications suggest such a meeting is scheduled in the next week.”

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 8 days remaining and the S&P 500 near recent highs, historical momentum and typical market behavior suggest a high likelihood of reaching or exceeding previous peaks within this short timeframe.”

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Apple consistently ranks among top 3 globally, with strong fundamentals and ecosystem. Microsoft is main competitor for #2 spot, but Apple's market position remains robust with potential iPhone cycle boosts.”

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the March 31 deadline is only 8 days away and the question implies an ICE shooter incident has occurred, pressure for resignation or firing would be immediate and likely resolved within this timeframe.”

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While tensions exist, direct US cyberattack on Iran within 8 days is unlikely without immediate provocation; diplomatic channels and sanctions remain primary tools.”

Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Robinhood has announced partnership with MIAXdx for prediction markets, with launch expected in Q1 2026. With only 8 days remaining in March, timing is tight but likely achievable given regulatory approvals appear secured.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil currently trades around $70-75 range. Hitting $40 within a week requires extreme geopolitical or demand shock, which is unlikely given current market stability and OPEC+ production discipline.”

Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No credible public evidence or ongoing investigations suggest Minnesota Governor Tim Walz will face criminal charges within the next week. Political figures rarely face charges without substantial prior public indication.”

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 8 days remaining, no major foreign military intervention appears imminent. Diplomatic efforts and limited strikes are more likely than full-scale intervention by March 31.”

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Naim Qassem has been deputy leader since 1991 with no signs of imminent departure. Hezbollah leadership changes are rare and typically follow death or major health issues, not scheduled departures.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil at $90 requires significant geopolitical or supply shock in just 8 days. Current fundamentals and recent price action suggest more likely consolidation below that level.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil currently around $78, March ends in 8 days. Geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ cuts provide support, making a rapid $8+ drop unlikely without major demand shock.”

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Ceasefire negotiations remain fragile with significant gaps on key issues; while diplomatic efforts continue, achieving Phase II by June 30 appears unlikely given current deadlocks and implementation challenges.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil currently around $75-80, March ends in 8 days. $60 would require ~20% drop in a week amid stable geopolitics and OPEC+ cuts supporting prices.”

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Zelenskyy remains president with strong wartime leadership role; elections suspended due to martial law, making removal unlikely before March 31.”

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Tesla currently trails Apple, Microsoft, Saudi Aramco, and others. While possible with major surge, maintaining #2 spot for a week against tech giants and energy behemoths is unlikely.”

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Polymarket currently has limited mainstream adoption. Reaching 90% mindshare in prediction markets within 2 years is extremely unlikely given competition and niche appeal.”

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek has been releasing models regularly, March 31 is end of quarter, and they've shown consistent development pace with V3 already established.”

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Fordow is a hardened underground facility; direct military strike would be escalatory and risky. Diplomatic pressure more likely than kinetic action in this timeframe.”

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Ceasefire negotiations remain fragile with key issues unresolved; 8 days is insufficient for Phase II implementation given current diplomatic pace and ongoing military operations.”

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Border Patrol shootings typically result in charges when evidence is clear; given the time elapsed since the incident and the seriousness of the offense, formal charges are highly likely.”

Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Hezbollah remains a key military and political force in Lebanon with strong Iranian backing. No credible signs of imminent disarmament exist, and historical patterns suggest continued resistance to disarmament demands.”

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Google has strong AI research, infrastructure, and resources, but faces intense competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others. Their Gemini models show promise, but leadership is uncertain.”

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Government shutdowns typically last days to weeks, not months. By March 31, 2026 (8 days from current date), political pressure and practical necessity make resolution highly likely.”

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Alphabet currently trails Apple and Microsoft in market cap. While possible with strong AI announcements, catching both leaders in one week is unlikely given their size advantage.”

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Italian referendums historically have low success rates, requiring quorum and broad support. Judicial reforms are contentious, and recent polling suggests insufficient voter turnout or approval.”

Will Parivision win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“Parivision is not a known top-tier CS2 team; Blast tournaments typically feature established elite teams. Without evidence of major roster changes or dominance, low probability.”

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Apple has consistently been the largest company by market cap for years, with strong fundamentals and brand loyalty. A week is too short for significant disruption.”

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Greenland acquisition requires Danish approval, which remains strongly opposed. Trump's interest was symbolic; no serious diplomatic push exists. 30% threshold unlikely by March 31.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil currently around $85, geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ supply discipline provide support. $80 would require significant demand deterioration or unexpected supply surge in just 8 days.”

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Maduro has history of staged events for political theater. Opposition claims of capture would likely be fabricated for propaganda purposes, given his authoritarian control.”

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“xAI is competitive but faces strong incumbents (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google) with more resources and established model ecosystems. By March 2026, catching up completely is unlikely.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil currently around $70-75 range, geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production cuts provide support. $65 would require significant demand shock or supply surge in just 8 days.”

Will Team Spirit win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“Team Spirit is a strong CS2 team, but Blast tournaments feature many elite teams (FaZe, Vitality, G2, etc.). Predicting a specific winner 2 years out is highly uncertain given roster changes and form fluctuations.”

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Greenland repeatedly rejected sale talks; Denmark firmly opposes; Trump's term ends Jan 2025; no current political momentum for such a deal by March 2026.”

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Direct military strikes by European powers on Iran are highly escalatory and unlikely without major provocation. Current tensions don't suggest imminent unilateral action by March 31.”

Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“While Troels Lund Poulsen is a prominent Danish politician and current leader of Venstre, Danish politics is highly coalition-dependent. The 2026 election outcome is uncertain, with multiple parties potentially forming government. His party's recent polling suggests challenging p”

Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Morten Messerschmidt leads Danish People's Party, which currently polls around 5-7%. Prime minister typically comes from largest party or coalition leader. His party is unlikely to be largest or lead government.”

Will Venstre win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122

“Venstre has been polling behind Social Democrats and other parties recently, and Danish politics has been fragmented with multiple strong contenders. While possible, current trends suggest they're unlikely to secure most seats.”

Will Liberal Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000

“Liberal Alliance is a small center-right party; historically polls around 5-10% of seats. Winning most seats would require unprecedented surge against larger parties like Social Democrats and Venstre.”

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“As incumbent PM with strong Social Democratic support, she remains the likely candidate for her party's leadership in the 2026 election, though political shifts could challenge her position.”

Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122

“Social Democrats have been leading in recent polls and are traditionally strong in Danish politics, though coalition dynamics could shift results.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil at $110 requires major geopolitical shock or supply disruption. Current fundamentals show moderate demand, ample inventories, and OPEC+ discipline maintaining ~$80-90 range. One week insufficient for such spike absent unforeseen crisis.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil at $120 requires major geopolitical shock or supply disruption in just 8 days. Current fundamentals and price trajectory (~$85-90 range) make this extremely unlikely in such short timeframe.”

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 8 days remaining and no major diplomatic breakthroughs reported, entrenched positions and ongoing military operations make a formal ceasefire highly unlikely by this deadline.”

Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“Aurora is a mid-tier CS2 team; Blast tournaments typically feature top-tier competition. While possible, they'd need exceptional performance against stronger opponents.”

Will The MongolZ win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“The MongolZ are a strong Counter-Strike team from Mongolia, but Blast tournaments feature top global teams. While they could upset, winning the entire event against elite European/North American squads is unlikely.”

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Israel has shown restraint despite Hezbollah attacks, preferring targeted strikes over full invasion. International pressure and risk of wider war make major ground offensive unlikely in next week.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil at $200 would require extreme geopolitical escalation or supply shock in just 8 days. Current prices around $80-90, no imminent catalyst suggests such unprecedented spike.”

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“China prefers economic and political pressure over direct invasion. Military action would trigger severe international consequences and economic disruption. With only 8 days remaining, invasion timing is extremely unlikely.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil at $100 requires major geopolitical shock or supply disruption. Current fundamentals show ample supply, moderate demand, and strategic reserves available. Unlikely in one week.”

Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“CS2 esports is highly competitive with many top teams; predicting a specific winner two years out is speculative. NAVI has strong history but faces stiff competition from teams like Vitality, FaZe, and G2.”

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While Iran faces significant protests and economic challenges, the regime has maintained control through security forces and institutional resilience. A complete collapse within 8 days is extremely unlikely given historical patterns of authoritarian regime survival.”

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-26

“Central banks typically signal policy changes in advance; no recent data suggests imminent rate change. Current inflation trends likely support maintaining rates.”

Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022

“Green Left (Socialist People's Party) has never been the largest party in Denmark. Current polling shows Social Democrats and Liberals leading, with Green Left typically around 8-12% support.”

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Alibaba has strong AI capabilities, but faces intense competition from OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, and Chinese rivals like Baidu. Being 'the best' by end of March 2026 is unlikely given rapid advancements by multiple players.”

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is strong but faces intense competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others. By March 2026, multiple companies will likely have comparable top-tier models, making 'best' status uncertain and contested.”

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“OpenAI has consistently led frontier AI development with GPT-4/5, strong infrastructure, and talent retention. While competitors like Anthropic and Google are close, OpenAI's momentum and resources give them an edge for March 2026.”

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Meituan is strong in AI applications for delivery/logistics, but unlikely to surpass dedicated AI leaders like OpenAI, Google, or Chinese giants like Baidu/Alibaba in general model capability by end of March 2026.”

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only 8 days remaining, negotiations are complex and contentious. Recent diplomatic setbacks and domestic political constraints in both countries make a finalized deal by March 31 unlikely, though talks may continue beyond.”

Will Team Falcons win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“Team Falcons is a solid CS2 team, but Blast tournaments feature many top-tier teams. Without specific 2026 roster/performance data, they'd need exceptional form to win a stacked event.”

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Z.ai is a relatively unknown player compared to OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta. While AI progress is rapid, established leaders have massive resources, talent, and data advantages. By March 2026, it's unlikely a smaller company would surpass all major incumbents.”

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Moonshot is a capable AI company but faces intense competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and others. By March 2026, established players likely maintain leadership in model performance benchmarks.”

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Baidu faces intense competition from OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, and Chinese rivals like Alibaba. While strong in China, global leadership by March 2026 is unlikely given current AI race dynamics.”

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Saudi Aramco currently trails Apple and Microsoft in market cap. While oil prices could surge, tech giants' growth momentum and Aramco's valuation constraints make a 7-day overtake unlikely.”

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Ilhan Omar is an established incumbent with no current resignation signals, strong district support, and no major scandals imminent. Congressional resignations mid-term are rare without clear triggers.”

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-22

“GS is a relatively new party facing established competitors. Recent polling shows them trailing behind SDS and other major parties. While possible, current momentum suggests they're unlikely to secure most seats.”

Mavericks vs. Bucks

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Mavericks have home advantage and stronger recent performance, but Bucks remain competitive. Slight edge to DAL based on current season trends.”

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Microsoft is currently second to Apple/Nvidia in market cap. With only 8 days until March 31, significant relative shifts are unlikely without major catalysts.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil at $140 requires major geopolitical shock or supply disruption in just 8 days. Current fundamentals and price momentum make such a sharp spike unlikely in this timeframe.”

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Iran has historically resisted permanent enrichment limits in nuclear negotiations. With current geopolitical tensions and no major breakthrough reported by late March 2026, a complete halt by March 31 seems unlikely.”

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“NVIDIA has strong momentum but faces competition from Apple, Microsoft, and Saudi Aramco. Market volatility and valuation concerns make sustained #1 position by March 31 unlikely despite recent AI-driven growth.”

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-22

“Recent polling shows SDS trailing behind the Freedom Movement (GS) and other center-left coalitions. Incumbent government has maintained moderate popularity, and SDS faces challenges from fragmented right-wing competition.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil at $130 requires major geopolitical shock or supply disruption. Current fundamentals and demand outlook don't support such a sharp spike in just 8 days from current levels (~$85-90).”

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No credible military buildup or political will for invasion; US prefers sanctions/diplomacy. Venezuela conflict would be costly with low strategic gain.”

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Despite tensions, full-scale invasion unlikely due to geopolitical constraints, domestic opposition, and Iran's military capabilities. Diplomatic channels remain active.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oil at $105 requires major geopolitical escalation or supply shock in just 8 days. Current fundamentals and technical resistance make such a sharp spike unlikely in this timeframe.”

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given current tensions and the short timeframe (8 days), a complete resolution is unlikely. Conflicts of this scale typically involve prolonged negotiations, not quick resolutions.”

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Tesla faces intense competition from tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. While innovative, achieving world's largest market cap in 8 days requires massive valuation surge unlikely given current market conditions.”

Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“Vitality is a strong CS2 team, but Blast tournaments feature many elite teams. Predicting a specific tournament winner two years out involves high uncertainty, with Vitality likely having <50% chance.”

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-26

“Inflation remains above target in Mexico, requiring continued restrictive policy. Recent economic data suggests persistence in price pressures, making a cut in March unlikely despite some global easing trends.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil at $180 would require extreme geopolitical escalation or supply shock. Current fundamentals and historical price patterns make such a spike in one week highly improbable.”

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Amazon is large but faces competition from tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. Market leadership often shifts quarterly, and Amazon hasn't consistently held the top spot recently.”

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-26

“Inflation has been moderating in Mexico recently, and the Bank of Mexico typically prefers gradual policy shifts. With only 3 days until the meeting, no strong signals of an imminent hike have emerged.”

Blue Jackets vs. Flyers

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250

“Blue Jackets have home advantage and Flyers are on a back-to-back road game, giving Columbus a slight edge in this late-season matchup.”

Will Moderates win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122

“Moderates are a relatively new centrist party; while they gained seats in 2022, traditional blocs (Social Democrats and Venstre/Conservative alliances) typically dominate. Recent polling suggests they remain a smaller force.”

Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Pia Olsen Dyhr leads the Socialist People's Party, which typically polls around 8-10%. Coalition dynamics and larger parties (Social Democrats, Liberals) make her PM bid unlikely despite potential kingmaker role.”

Will Red–Green Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022

“Red–Green Alliance historically wins around 10-15% of seats; Social Democrats typically lead coalitions. Recent polling shows them far from majority position.”

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Lars Løkke Rasmussen is a significant political figure, but the 2026 election outcome is uncertain, with strong competition from other parties and leaders. His Moderate party's current polling and coalition dynamics make a return as PM less likely than alternatives.”

Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Vanopslagh leads a small libertarian party (Liberal Alliance) with limited national support. Current PM Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats remain dominant, and other opposition parties are larger contenders.”