OpenAI GPT-4o Forecasts

Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Nebraska has historically not been a strong contender in the NCAA Tournament, with no championships to date. The probability of them winning in 2026 is low given past performance and competition from traditionally stronger teams.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is volatile, but with only a few days left in March and no major negative news, a dip to $55,000 seems less likely. Current trends and market sentiment don't strongly indicate such a drop.”

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a few days left until the resolution date, it's unlikely that Polymarket's mindshare will see a significant increase to reach 85%. Such a large shift in market perception typically requires more time and substantial events.”

Will Solana reach $120 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and technological developments. With only a few days left in March and no major catalysts, reaching $120 seems unlikely based on typical price movements and current market conditions.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Viktor Orbán has been a dominant figure in Hungarian politics, leading Fidesz with strong support. Given his track record and current political landscape, it's likely he will continue as Prime Minister after the upcoming election.”

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“There is no significant public information or credible reports suggesting Trump plans to issue a Gold Card by the deadline. With only a few days left, the likelihood is low.”

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price has been relatively stable above $1,000, and significant dips are less likely without major market disruptions. With only a few days left in March, a drop to $1,000 seems improbable.”

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Anthropic is a strong player, but competitors like OpenAI, Google, and others have significant resources and talent. The AI field is highly competitive, making it unlikely for any single company to definitively lead by March 2026.”

Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“A direct strike on a NATO member would likely trigger Article 5, leading to a large-scale conflict. Russia has avoided such actions to prevent escalation. With only a few days left, the probability remains low.”

Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Fidesz party has historically been dominant in Hungarian politics. Despite DK's growth, Fidesz's stronghold and electoral system advantages make it unlikely for DK to win the most seats.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil prices are volatile and can be influenced by geopolitical tensions, supply-demand dynamics, and economic indicators. With a week left, there's a reasonable chance for fluctuations to reach $75, especially if current trends or news impact the market.”

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a few days left, significant military advances are unlikely. Kostyantynivka has strategic importance, and Ukraine likely has strong defenses in place. Recent reports suggest no imminent threat of capture.”

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the ongoing conflict and lack of diplomatic progress, a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026, seems unlikely. Historical tensions and recent events suggest low probability of such a meeting occurring within the next few days.”

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Acquiring Greenland is highly unlikely due to political, legal, and diplomatic challenges. No significant moves or negotiations have been reported, making it improbable that odds will reach 50% by the deadline.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a few days left until the end of March and considering current market trends, it is unlikely for crude oil prices to drop significantly to $45. Such a drop would require a major market disruption, which is improbable in the short timeframe.”

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The U.S. has not conducted a nuclear test since 1992 and is committed to non-proliferation treaties. There is no current indication or geopolitical pressure suggesting a test by March 31, 2026.”

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a few days left until the deadline, and given the complexity and ongoing nature of the conflict, a peace deal by March 31 is unlikely.”

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is highly volatile, but reaching $90,000 in a week is unlikely without a major catalyst. Current market trends and historical data suggest such a rapid increase is improbable.”

Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MicroStrategy is a relatively small company with a market cap that typically doesn't meet S&P 500 criteria. Additionally, its focus on Bitcoin investments adds volatility, making it less likely to be added to the index.”

Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-04

“The NCAA Tournament is highly competitive with 68 teams. Iowa State would need to outperform many strong teams. Without specific information on their current performance, a 5% chance reflects the general difficulty of winning the tournament.”

X banned in U.K. by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a few days left until the deadline, significant legal and procedural hurdles make a ban unlikely unless already in motion. No major news suggests imminent action.”

Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency is variable, but averaging around 40 tweets per day is high. Given historical patterns and variability, the probability of exactly 1240-1279 tweets is lower than 50%.”

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Alphabet's market cap is highly competitive with other tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon. Given the volatility and recent trends, it's less likely to be exactly third by March 31, 2026.”

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current date and the complexity of military operations, capturing all of Vovchansk in a few days is unlikely. Military advances often face logistical and strategic challenges, reducing the probability of a complete capture by the deadline.”

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The U.S. has shown no significant military buildup or political will to invade Venezuela. Diplomatic and economic measures are preferred. Historical precedent and current geopolitical focus suggest low likelihood of invasion.”

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Jorge Nieto is a candidate, but without strong polling data or significant political momentum reported, his chances appear limited. Other candidates may have stronger support or political alliances.”

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-13

“While Jon Rahm is a top golfer, the Masters field is highly competitive with many strong contenders. Historically, even top players have a low probability of winning any single major tournament.”

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Tesla's historical delivery trends show growth, and recent reports suggest production capacity aligns with this range. However, market fluctuations and supply chain issues introduce uncertainty.”

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is volatile and can experience significant swings in short periods. With a week left in March, reaching $3,200 is plausible if market conditions are favorable, though not guaranteed.”

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a few days left until the deadline and no public announcements or filings indicating an imminent IPO, it's unlikely Kraken will go public by March 31, 2026.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a few days left in March, short-term market volatility and geopolitical factors could push crude oil prices to hit $85. Current trends and market conditions suggest a slightly higher chance of this occurring.”

Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive. While Morikawa is a talented golfer, the field includes many top players, making any single player's chances relatively low.”

Will Solana dip to $50 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. Given the current date is close to the end of March and assuming no major negative events, a dip to $50 seems unlikely within the remaining timeframe.”

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the proximity to the deadline and the history of interactions between Trump and Putin, a meeting is plausible. However, no public announcements or confirmations make it uncertain, leading to a slightly above even chance.”

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“There have been no recent reports or announcements about Trump planning a visit to Greenland. With only a few days left until the deadline, a visit seems highly unlikely.”

Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Dogecoin's price is volatile, but reaching $0.15 in a week requires significant market movement. Current trends and market conditions suggest a lower likelihood of such a spike within the remaining timeframe.”

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is highly volatile, but reaching $150,000 in a week is unlikely without a major catalyst. Current market trends and historical data suggest such rapid increases are rare in short timeframes.”

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-21

“Redistricting reforms often have bipartisan support to ensure fair representation. Recent trends and public opinion in Virginia suggest a favorable outcome for such measures.”

Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Single-day losses of 5% or more in the S&P 500 are rare, typically occurring during significant market turmoil. With no major crises reported in Q1 2026, the likelihood remains low.”

Trump out as President by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a few days left until March 31, it is highly unlikely for a sitting president to be removed from office through resignation, impeachment, or other means in such a short timeframe.”

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is volatile and can be influenced by market trends, technological developments, and investor sentiment. Given the proximity to the target date and typical market fluctuations, there's a moderate chance it could reach $2,600.”

Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Winning the NCAA Tournament is highly competitive with 68 teams. Michigan State is a strong program but the probability of any single team winning is low given the tournament's structure and competition level.”

Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Winning the NCAA Tournament is highly competitive with many strong teams. Houston's probability is low given the number of contenders and the unpredictability of the tournament.”

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Rory McIlroy is a top golfer but winning a major like the Masters is highly competitive. With a field of elite players, individual win probabilities are low, even for top contenders.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil prices reaching $150 is unlikely given current market conditions, historical price trends, and the short time frame remaining until the end of March.”

Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Poland has a strong football team and a history of qualifying for World Cups. With expanded slots in 2026, their chances are higher. Current performance in qualifiers also supports a positive outcome.”

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Kharg Island is a strategic location with significant security measures. While regional tensions exist, a direct hit is unlikely without specific intelligence or recent escalations indicating an imminent threat.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Klára Dobrev is a prominent opposition figure, but Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party has been dominant in Hungarian politics. Unless significant political shifts occur, it's less likely she will become the next Prime Minister.”

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Golf tournaments have large fields and are highly competitive. Xander Schauffele is a strong player, but the probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the number of competitors and variability in performance.”

Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. MacIntyre is talented but has not consistently dominated major tournaments, making his chances relatively low compared to the field.”

Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a few days left in March and assuming current market trends, a dip to $1.20 seems unlikely unless there's a significant market event. Historical volatility and current price levels suggest a lower probability of such a dip within this timeframe.”

Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Z.ai is not widely recognized as a top AI model provider as of now. With only a few days left until the resolution date, it's unlikely they will suddenly rise to the #3 position.”

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-19

“Without specific polling data or trends, it's challenging to predict a win. Factors like political climate, incumbency, and campaign effectiveness are unknown, suggesting a lower probability for Velasco's victory.”

Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-19

“Camacho is a prominent political figure in Santa Cruz with strong regional support. However, political dynamics can change rapidly, and opposition candidates may gain traction. Given current trends, he has a slight edge.”

Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-19

“Without specific polling data or trends on Otto Ritter's campaign, it's challenging to predict a win. Given the typical competitiveness of elections, a probability below 0.50 reflects uncertainty and lack of clear advantage.”

Will Solana reach $100 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a few days left in March, significant price movement is unlikely unless driven by major news or market events. Current market trends and Solana's price history suggest a lower probability of reaching $100 by the end of March.”

Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Z.ai is a strong contender but faces stiff competition from established leaders like OpenAI and Google, who have significant resources and talent. The likelihood of Z.ai being exactly second-best is relatively low given the competitive landscape.”

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Mistral is a strong AI contender, but competition from major players like OpenAI, Google, and others makes it unlikely they will have the best model by March 2026.”

Will Nick Suzuki win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-20

“Nick Suzuki is a talented player, but the Art Ross Trophy typically goes to players with exceptional scoring ability. Given the competition from players like Connor McDavid and others, Suzuki's chances are relatively low.”

Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-23

“The NFL draft is highly unpredictable, and while Dante Moore may be a top prospect, being the exact second pick is unlikely due to team needs and other emerging talents.”

Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Trae Young is a top playmaker, but competition from other elite point guards like Luka Doncic and Ja Morant makes it unlikely he'll lead in assists. Current stats and team dynamics also influence this probability.”

Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Boston Celtics are historically strong and likely have a competitive roster. With the playoffs approaching, their current standing and performance suggest a high probability of making the playoffs.”

Will Ivan Demidov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-20

“The Art Ross Trophy is highly competitive, typically won by top NHL scorers. Ivan Demidov is a talented player, but given the presence of other strong contenders and his current performance, his chances are relatively low.”

Will Immanuel Quickley lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Immanuel Quickley is known more for scoring than playmaking. Historically, he hasn't been a top assist leader. Other players are more likely to lead in assists based on past performance and role.”

Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Ukraine has a competitive team but faces strong competition in European qualifiers. Given the limited number of spots and current standings, their qualification is uncertain, slightly below even odds.”

Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Cade Cunningham is a talented player, but leading the NBA in assists is highly competitive. Players like Trae Young and Luka Doncic are more established in this category. Without current season stats showing a lead, it's unlikely he will top the list.”

Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Jobbik has historically been a smaller party compared to Fidesz, which has dominated recent elections. Current political trends and polling data suggest Fidesz remains the leading party, making a Jobbik victory unlikely.”

Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Dialogue for Hungary is a smaller party in Hungary's political landscape. Historically, larger parties like Fidesz have dominated elections. Current polls and political trends do not suggest a significant shift in their favor.”

Will MrBeast hit 118 billion views by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast's channel has been growing rapidly, with consistent viral content and a large subscriber base. With only a few days left, it's likely he will reach 118 billion views by March 31, given his current trajectory and view count trends.”

Will Amazon reach $296 in March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a few days left in March, Amazon's stock price is volatile but has been trending upwards. Market conditions and recent performance suggest a slightly better than even chance of reaching $296.”

Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While Google is a leader in AI, competitors like OpenAI and DeepMind also excel in AI research. The competitive landscape makes it uncertain that Google will definitively have the best model for math by March 31, 2026.”

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current date is close to the resolution date, and assuming typical stock price volatility, a significant price increase in a few days is unlikely without major news or events. Thus, the probability of closing above $360 is less than 50%.”

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 75% by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a few days left until March 31, significant changes in odds are unlikely. Current political climate and historical trends suggest Republicans may not reach over 75% odds by this date.”

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Close to the resolution date, leadership changes are common in tech, and rumors or performance issues could influence this. Without specific news, a slight lean towards YES due to typical volatility in such roles.”

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of March?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“GOOGL's historical price trends and market cap make a close above $350 unlikely without a major split or market shift. Current price trends don't support such a surge in a short timeframe.”

Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Mar 25 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Jeff Bezos' wealth is highly volatile due to Amazon stock fluctuations and investments. As of now, he is not consistently ranked 3rd, with other billionaires like Elon Musk and Bernard Arnault often ahead. Short-term changes are unlikely to place him 3rd by March 31.”

Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is a strong contender but faces stiff competition from established leaders like OpenAI and Google. Current trends and market dynamics suggest it's unlikely to secure the #2 spot by the end of March 2026.”

Will Walker Kessler lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Walker Kessler is a strong rebounder, but leading the NBA in rebounds is highly competitive with players like Rudy Gobert and Nikola Jokic. Given the competition and his current performance, it's unlikely he will lead the league this season.”

Will Brook Lopez lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Brook Lopez is a strong shot-blocker but is aging and may face competition from younger players. His performance could decline, and others may surpass him in blocks per game.”

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Mesías Guevara is not a leading candidate in current polls and lacks significant national recognition compared to front-runners. Historical trends and current political climate suggest a low probability of winning.”

2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With the election approaching and current trends, it's likely that Republican odds will exceed 60% by March 31. Historical patterns and recent polling data suggest a favorable environment for Republicans.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation trends are influenced by various factors including economic policies, supply chain issues, and consumer demand. Given recent stabilization efforts and current economic indicators, a 2.1% increase seems slightly less likely than not.”

Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Drake is a top artist but faces competition from others like Taylor Swift and Bad Bunny. Monthly listener counts fluctuate, and without specific data, it's uncertain he'll be number one this month.”

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Dogecoin's price is volatile but has not shown consistent growth to suggest reaching $0.20 by March's end. Current trends and market conditions do not strongly support a significant price increase in the short term.”

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the context and timing, it's likely that some significant event involving Jerome Powell has occurred or will occur by the resolution date. However, without specific details, the probability is only slightly above chance.”

Will Pascal Siakam lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Siakam is a strong player but not typically a top contender for leading the league in points. Other players like Luka Doncic or Giannis Antetokounmpo are more likely candidates based on past performance and scoring ability.”

Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters field is highly competitive with many top players. Wyndham Clark, while a skilled golfer, faces tough odds against the entire field. Historically, individual players have low chances of winning any single major tournament.”

Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Hornets have historically struggled to make the playoffs and their current season performance is below average. With limited time left in the season, their chances are low unless they significantly improve their standings quickly.”

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Wembanyama is a promising player, but leading the NBA in points is highly competitive. Established scorers like Luka Doncic and Giannis Antetokounmpo are strong contenders. Wembanyama's role and team dynamics also influence his scoring potential.”

Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive, with many top players. Corey Conners is a skilled golfer, but the probability of any single player winning is low given the field size and competition.”

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Jokic is a strong rebounder, but competition from other elite rebounders and potential changes in team dynamics make it less likely he'll lead the league.”

Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Pelicans have a competitive roster and are unlikely to have the worst record. Other teams are more likely candidates for the worst record based on current standings and performance trends.”

Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive. With over 80 participants, even top players like Cantlay have low individual probabilities. Historical performance and current form are factors, but the field's depth keeps chances low.”

Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Cameron Smith is a strong golfer but the Masters field is highly competitive. With many top players, individual win probabilities are typically low. Historical win rates for any single golfer in such events are generally below 20%.”

Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The NBA season is nearing its end, and while the Wizards may be struggling, other teams like the Detroit Pistons and Houston Rockets are also contenders for the worst record. The probability reflects the competitive nature of the bottom standings.”

Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Clippers face strong competition from teams like the Warriors and Suns. Current standings and performance trends suggest they are less likely to win the division this season.”

Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The 76ers have been a strong team in recent seasons, consistently making the playoffs. With a few weeks left in the season, they are likely in a good position to qualify again.”

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“While Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a top scorer, leading the NBA in points is highly competitive with players like Luka Doncic and Giannis Antetokounmpo also in contention. His chances are significant but not the highest.”

Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Magic have shown improvement but face strong competition in the Eastern Conference. With limited games left, their current standing and performance metrics suggest they are unlikely to secure a playoff spot.”

Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Hawks have a strong roster and are currently in a playoff position. With only a few games left, their chances of maintaining or improving their standing are favorable.”

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Fiorella Molinelli is not a widely recognized political figure in Peru, and there is no significant public or media indication of her leading in the polls or having substantial political backing for the 2026 election.”

Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Sungjae Im is talented but winning requires exceptional performance. Historically, individual chances are low due to the field size and competition level.”

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Carlos Álvarez is not a well-known political figure in Peru, and there are no major indications of his candidacy gaining significant traction. Current polls and political climate do not favor him as a leading candidate.”

Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Pacers have historically been competitive and are unlikely to have the worst record. Other teams are more likely candidates based on recent performance and roster strength.”

Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Denver Nuggets have been a strong team in recent seasons, consistently making the playoffs. With their current roster and performance, it's highly likely they will qualify again this year.”

Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive. Brian Harman is a skilled golfer, but the field is strong, and his past performance doesn't make him a clear favorite. Hence, a low probability for a win.”

Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Karl-Anthony Towns is a strong player but not typically the league leader in rebounds. Other players like Rudy Gobert or Nikola Jokic are more consistent in this category. Current season trends and stats likely show others ahead in rebounds.”

Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Justin Thomas is a strong player but winning depends on many variables. His historical performance and current form suggest a low probability of winning any single tournament.”

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters is highly competitive with many top players. Sam Burns is talented but winning is difficult. Historical win rates for any single player are low.”

Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Maverick McNealy, while talented, has not been a dominant force in major tournaments historically, making his chances relatively low.”

Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Bulls have a competitive roster and are currently in a playoff position. With only a few games left, their chances of maintaining or improving their standing are favorable, though not guaranteed.”

Will Will Zalatoris win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament is highly competitive with many skilled participants. While Zalatoris is talented, the probability of any single player winning is low due to the field size and variability in performance.”

Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Dustin Johnson is a strong golfer, but the Masters field is highly competitive with many top players. Winning any major is difficult, and his probability is low given the number of competitors and the unpredictable nature of golf tournaments.”

Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Nicolai Hojgaard is talented but has not consistently dominated majors. The probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the field size and competition level.”

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Timberwolves have a strong roster and are currently in a playoff position with only a few games left in the season. Their performance and standings suggest a high likelihood of making the playoffs.”

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Cavaliers' performance this season has been inconsistent, and they face strong competition from teams like the Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls, who have better records and rosters. With limited time left in the season, their chances are lower.”

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“César Acuña has been a notable figure in Peruvian politics, but he has not shown strong polling numbers or widespread support in past elections. Without significant changes in his campaign or public perception, his chances remain low.”

Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Akshay Bhatia, while talented, faces strong competition, making his individual win probability low.”

Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Pelicans have a strong roster and are currently in a playoff position with only a few games left. Their recent performance and remaining schedule suggest a good chance of securing a playoff spot.”

Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. While Hojgaard is talented, the probability of any single player winning is low due to the large field and variability in golf performance.”

Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive, with many top players. Max Homa is a strong golfer but has not consistently dominated majors. The probability reflects the difficulty of winning against a strong field.”

Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Koepka is a strong golfer with past major wins, but the Masters field is highly competitive. With many top players, his individual win probability is low, despite his skills and experience.”

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“José Luna is a candidate but lacks strong national support and presence in recent polls. Other candidates have higher visibility and backing, making his win less likely.”

Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Bubba Watson is a skilled golfer with past Masters wins, but the field is highly competitive and winning again is statistically unlikely. His recent performance and age also factor in, reducing the likelihood of a win.”

Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Keegan Bradley is a skilled golfer but has not been a dominant force in recent majors. The Masters field is highly competitive, and predicting a single winner is difficult, making his chances relatively low.”

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Spurs have been rebuilding and may not yet be competitive enough to win the division. Other teams like the Mavericks and Grizzlies are strong contenders, making it less likely for the Spurs to win this season.”

Will Chet Holmgren lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“While Chet Holmgren is a strong shot blocker, leading the NBA in blocks is highly competitive with players like Rudy Gobert and Myles Turner. Given the competition and his injury history, the probability is relatively low.”

Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Raptors have a strong roster and recent performance trends suggest they are capable of surpassing 39.5 wins. With only a few games left, they are on track to achieve this mark.”

Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Milwaukee Bucks have been a strong team in recent years, consistently making the playoffs. Given their performance history and current standing, it's highly likely they will make the playoffs this season.”

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Patrick Reed, while a past winner, faces strong competition and the probability of any single player winning is low.”

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Raptors have been competitive but face strong division rivals like the Celtics and 76ers. Current standings and team performance suggest they are less likely to win the division.”

Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Miami Heat have been a strong team in recent seasons, often making the playoffs. With the current date close to the end of the regular season, they likely have a good record or are in contention, increasing their chances of making the playoffs.”

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament is highly competitive. While Scheffler is a top player, the field is strong and unpredictable, making individual victory unlikely.”

Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Luka Doncic is a top scorer, but competition from other elite players like Giannis, Curry, and Durant, along with potential injuries or team dynamics, makes it less than likely he'll lead in points this season.”

Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Golf tournaments have large fields and are highly competitive. Niemann is a skilled player, but the probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the number of competitors and variability in performance.”

Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Sergio Garcia is a skilled golfer but winning a major like the Masters is highly competitive. Given the field strength and his recent performance trends, his chances are relatively low.”

Will Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Thomas Detry, while talented, has not consistently been among the top favorites in major tournaments. Thus, his chances are relatively low compared to the field.”

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive. Despite Bryson DeChambeau's skills, the field is strong and unpredictable. Historically, even top players have low individual win probabilities in such events.”

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“With the election close, polls and political analysis suggest Carlos Espá is not the frontrunner. Historical trends and current political climate indicate a lower probability of his victory.”

Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Danny Willett is a skilled golfer, but the Masters field is highly competitive with many top-ranked players. His recent performance and odds suggest a low probability of winning.”

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Lescano is a known political figure, but current polls and political dynamics suggest he is not the frontrunner. Other candidates have stronger support and momentum leading up to the election.”

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Alfonso López Chau is not a widely recognized candidate in the current political landscape. Without significant media presence or polling data indicating strong support, his chances of winning are relatively low.”

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament is highly competitive. Fleetwood is a strong player but has not won a major yet. Given the field's depth, his probability of winning is low.”

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Timberwolves have historically been a mid-tier team. Without significant roster changes or a strong current season performance, surpassing 49.5 wins is challenging. Current standings and performance trends suggest they are unlikely to exceed this win total.”

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Ricardo Belmont has limited political influence and recent polling data does not favor him. Major parties and candidates have stronger support, making his victory unlikely.”

Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Taylor Pendrith, while talented, has not been a dominant force in major tournaments historically, making his chances relatively low.”

Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Sepp Straka, while talented, has not consistently dominated major tournaments. The probability of any single golfer winning is low given the field size and competition level.”

Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“With limited information on Enrique Valderrama's current standing in polls and political climate, and considering the competitive nature of Peruvian elections, his chances are uncertain but less than likely to win.”

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Vladimir Cerrón has faced legal challenges and political controversies, reducing his electability. Current polls and political climate suggest he is not a leading candidate.”

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Pistons have historically struggled in recent seasons, and the Central Division includes strong teams like the Bucks and Cavaliers. With limited time left in the season, it's unlikely they will overcome these teams to win the division.”

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Rafael Belaúnde Llosa is not a prominent candidate in the current election cycle, with limited media coverage and low polling numbers compared to leading candidates.”

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Hawks are competitive but face strong division rivals like the Miami Heat and Charlotte Hornets. Current standings and team performance suggest they are slightly less likely to win the division.”

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“With limited information on Mario Vizcarra's current political standing, popularity, and competition, estimating a win is challenging. Given the typical volatility of elections and lack of clear frontrunner status, a win seems less likely.”

Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“While George Forsyth is a notable candidate, the Peruvian political landscape is highly volatile with multiple strong contenders. Polls and historical trends suggest a competitive race, making his victory less likely than not.”

Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Tony Finau is a skilled golfer, but the Masters has a large field of competitors, and winning is highly competitive. Historically, even top players have low individual probabilities of winning any single major tournament.”

Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament is highly competitive. Theegala is talented but faces strong competition from top-ranked players. Historically, predicting a specific winner is challenging, leading to a low probability for any single player.”

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Marisol Pérez Tello is a known political figure, but current polls and political dynamics suggest she is not the frontrunner. With limited time before the election, her chances of winning appear less than even.”

Will Phil Mickelson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Phil Mickelson, while a skilled golfer, is aging and faces strong competition from younger players. His recent performance hasn't been dominant, making a win at the 2026 Masters unlikely.”

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament is highly competitive. Justin Rose, while a skilled golfer, faces strong competition from many top players. His historical performance and age suggest a low probability of winning the 2026 Masters.”

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Keiko Fujimori has a strong political base but also significant opposition due to her family's controversial history. Recent polls and political dynamics suggest she is not the frontrunner in the 2026 election.”

Will Alperen Sengun lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“While Alperen Sengun is a talented player, leading the NBA in rebounds is highly competitive with players like Rudy Gobert and Nikola Jokic. His current stats and competition make it unlikely he'll lead in rebounds this season.”

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Rockets have shown improvement but face strong competition from teams like the Mavericks and Grizzlies. Current standings and performance suggest they are unlikely to win the division this season.”

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Wembanyama is known for his exceptional shot-blocking ability and has been a top contender in previous seasons. Given his skills and current performance, he has a strong chance to lead the NBA in blocks this season.”

Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Phoenix Suns have been strong contenders in recent seasons, often making the playoffs. With a competitive roster and current standings, they are likely to secure a playoff spot this year.”

Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Sweden has a strong football tradition and competitive team. With expanded World Cup slots and their current performance in qualifiers, they have a reasonable chance of qualifying.”

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-15

“Given the longstanding and complex nature of the Iran-Israel/US conflict, a resolution by April 15, 2026, is highly unlikely. Historical tensions and recent developments suggest a low probability of a swift resolution.”

Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Charl Schwartzel won the Masters in 2011 but has not been a consistent top performer in recent years. The field is highly competitive, making his chances of winning again quite low.”

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Blazers have shown improvement this season with key player performances and strategic trades. Their current trajectory suggests they can surpass 35.5 wins, though it's close to the line.”

Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Grizzlies have been a strong team in recent seasons, often making the playoffs. With only a few weeks left in the season, their current standing and performance suggest a high likelihood of making the playoffs.”

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, there have been no significant announcements or rumors suggesting Tim Cook's departure. Such a major change would likely have been signaled earlier.”

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. While Ludvig Aberg is a talented player, the probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the field size and variability in performance.”

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Celtics have a strong roster and are currently leading the division. With only a few games left, they have a good chance to maintain their position and win the division.”

Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive. Denny McCarthy, while a skilled golfer, faces strong competition from top-ranked players. Historically, the probability of any single player winning is low.”

Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March, significant price movements are less likely unless driven by major news or market events. Assuming no such events, the probability of a dip to $24 is relatively low.”

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March and no significant market events or trends indicating a sharp decline, it's unlikely Hyperliquid will dip to $20. Market stability and current price trends suggest a lower probability of such a drop.”

Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March and no significant upward trend or news, reaching $52 seems unlikely. Market conditions and historical price movements suggest a lower probability.”

Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Bad Bunny is a top artist, but competition from others like Drake, Taylor Swift, and BTS is strong. Current trends and recent releases suggest others may lead in monthly listeners.”

Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Aaron Rai is a skilled player, but given the field's depth, his individual probability of winning is low.”

Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament is highly competitive. With over 80 participants, even top players have low individual win probabilities. Matsuyama is talented but faces strong competition, making his chances around 5%.”

Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Fred Couples is a past champion but is now in his 60s, making it highly unlikely for him to win against younger, top-ranked players. His recent performance in tournaments does not suggest a strong chance of winning.”

Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Clippers have a strong roster and are currently in a playoff position. With only a few games left in the season, their chances of maintaining a playoff spot are high.”

Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Zach Johnson, while a skilled golfer, is not among the top favorites for the 2026 Masters given his age and recent performance trends. The field is highly competitive with many younger, higher-ranked players.”

Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament is highly competitive. Billy Horschel, while a skilled golfer, faces strong competition from top-ranked players. His historical performance in majors doesn't suggest a high probability of winning the 2026 Masters.”

Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. While Tom Kim is talented, the probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the large field and variability in performance.”

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Jokic is a top playmaker, but leading in assists is challenging with competition from guards like Trae Young and Luka Doncic. Centers typically don't lead in assists, making it less likely despite Jokic's skills.”

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Knicks have been competitive but face strong division rivals like the Celtics and 76ers. Current standings and performance trends suggest they are less likely to win the division.”

Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Wizards have shown improvement in recent seasons and have a competitive roster. With only a few games left, they are likely to surpass 20.5 wins based on current performance and standings.”

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Leading the NBA in steals is highly competitive, with many established players. Dyson Daniels, while talented, is less likely to lead given the presence of other top defenders and his current performance trends.”

Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Curry is a top shooter, but age and competition from younger players like Trae Young and Luka Doncic make it less likely he'll lead in 3PM this late in his career.”

Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top contenders. Byeong Hun An has not shown consistent top-tier performance in majors, making his chances relatively low compared to the field.”

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Italy is historically a strong football nation with a good track record in World Cup qualifications. Given their resources and talent pool, they are likely to qualify for the 2026 World Cup.”

Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Davis Thompson, while talented, faces strong competition, making his individual probability low.”

Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Knicks have historically struggled to surpass 53.5 wins. Recent performance and roster changes suggest improvement, but not enough to confidently predict over 53.5 wins this season.”

Will March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“While global temperatures are rising, predicting a specific month as the hottest on record is uncertain. March 2026 could be very warm, but being the hottest ever is less likely without specific data indicating extreme conditions.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation trends are influenced by multiple factors, including economic policies and global events. Given recent stabilization efforts and current economic data, a 2.7% increase seems slightly less likely than not.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation trends are influenced by various factors including monetary policy, supply chain stability, and economic conditions. Given the current date and typical inflation volatility, a precise 2.2% increase is less likely than not.”

Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Miami Heat have strong competition in the Southeast Division, including teams like the Atlanta Hawks and Charlotte Hornets. With limited information on current standings and performance, a slight edge goes to other teams.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation trends are influenced by multiple factors including monetary policy, supply chain stability, and energy prices. Given current economic conditions and recent trends, a 2.4% increase seems slightly less likely than not.”

Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Momentum is a smaller party in Hungary, historically overshadowed by larger parties like Fidesz and the opposition coalition. Current polls and political landscape suggest it's unlikely for Momentum to win the most seats.”

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Lakers face strong competition from teams like the Warriors and Suns. Current standings and performance trends suggest they are not the favorites to win the division this season.”

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Our Homeland Movement is a smaller party in Hungary. Fidesz and opposition coalitions are more dominant. Historical trends and current polls suggest it's unlikely for Mi Hazánk to win the most seats.”

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“With limited information on Wolfgang Grozo's political standing, popularity, and competition, estimating his win is challenging. Given typical election dynamics and lack of specific data, a probability of 0.35 reflects uncertainty and potential competition.”

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Given current economic trends and recent inflation data, it's likely that inflation will exceed 2.0%. Recent policy measures and market conditions suggest continued inflationary pressures.”

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Orlando Magic have shown improvement but face strong competition from teams like the Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks. Current standings and performance metrics suggest they are less likely to win the division this season.”

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Rafael López Aliaga is a prominent figure, but Peru's political landscape is volatile with multiple strong candidates. Polls and historical election trends suggest a competitive race, making his win uncertain.”

Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive. Russell Henley is a skilled golfer, but the field includes many top players, making his individual chances relatively low.”

Will Tiger Woods win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Tiger Woods has faced significant injuries and is past his prime competitive years. The field is highly competitive, making a win unlikely.”

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Wembanyama is a promising player, but leading the NBA in rebounds is highly competitive. Players like Rudy Gobert and Nikola Jokic are strong contenders. Wembanyama's role and team dynamics may also affect his rebounding stats.”

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“With limited information on Roberto Sánchez Palomino's current standing in polls or political influence, and considering the competitive nature of Peruvian elections, his chances of winning are uncertain but likely below 50%.”

Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Blazers have struggled in recent seasons and face strong competition in the Western Conference. With limited time left in the season, their playoff chances are slim unless they have a strong finish and other teams falter.”

Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Min Woo Lee is talented but the field is large and unpredictable, making any single player's chances low.”

Will the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“The Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) has been declining in influence, with Fidesz dominating recent elections. Current trends and polling suggest MSZP is unlikely to win the most seats in the upcoming election.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation trends are influenced by multiple factors including monetary policy and economic conditions. Given current data and recent trends, a 2.6% increase seems slightly less likely than not.”

Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“While Jordan Spieth is a skilled golfer with a history of success at the Masters, the field is highly competitive and winning any major tournament is challenging. Given the number of competitors, his individual probability of winning is relatively low.”

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive, with many top players. Cameron Young is talented, but the probability of any single player winning is low given the field size and competition level.”

Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Winning a major golf tournament is highly competitive. Jason Day is a skilled golfer but faces strong competition from many top players. His recent form and past performance at the Masters suggest a low probability of winning.”

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters has a large field of top competitors. While Fitzpatrick is a strong player, winning is highly competitive. Historical data shows even top players have low individual win probabilities in such events.”

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Fidesz–KDNP has historically been dominant in Hungarian politics, winning the last several elections. Current polling and political climate suggest they are likely to maintain their lead in the upcoming election.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation trends are influenced by multiple factors including monetary policy, supply chain status, and economic conditions. Without specific data indicating a 2.3% rise, it's less likely to hit exactly that figure.”

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation trends are influenced by multiple factors like monetary policy, supply chain stability, and energy prices. Given recent stabilization efforts and economic indicators, a 2.5% increase in a single month seems unlikely.”

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“TISZA is a minor party with limited influence and recognition compared to major parties like Fidesz and the Hungarian Socialist Party. Historical trends and current polling suggest they are unlikely to win the most seats.”

Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters is a highly competitive event with many top golfers. Tyrrell Hatton is a skilled player but has not consistently dominated majors. The probability reflects the challenge of winning against a strong field.”

Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“Adam Scott is a skilled golfer but winning a major like the Masters is highly competitive. With many top players, his individual probability is low, especially considering age and recent performance trends.”

Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“The NCAA Tournament features 68 teams, making it highly competitive. Texas, while potentially strong, faces significant competition, reducing their individual probability of winning to around 5%.”

Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. While Hovland is talented, the probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the large field and variability in performance.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“Péter Magyar is not a widely recognized political figure in Hungary as of the last known data. The likelihood of an unknown candidate becoming Prime Minister is generally low unless there is significant recent political upheaval or change.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“László Toroczkai is a prominent figure but lacks the widespread support and political backing compared to other major candidates. The ruling party and its allies have a stronger position in Hungary's political landscape.”

Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“LMP has historically been a minor party in Hungary, with larger parties like Fidesz and the opposition coalition dominating. Current political trends and past election results suggest it's unlikely for LMP to win the most seats.”

Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“US strikes on Somalia vary; recent trends show fewer than 18-21 monthly strikes. With no major escalation reported, it's unlikely to reach this range in March 2026.”

Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“US strikes on Somalia have varied widely in frequency. Given the lack of specific context or escalation indicators for March 2026, the probability of exactly 14-17 strikes is relatively low.”

Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Historically, US strikes in Somalia are infrequent and often below 5 per month. Given no recent escalation, it's likely March 2026 will follow this pattern.”

Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-13

“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Shane Lowry is a skilled player, but the probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the large field and variability in performance.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“János Lázár is a prominent figure in Hungarian politics, but Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party has strong control. Unless significant political shifts occur, Lázár's chances are limited.”

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-12

“István Kapitány is not a widely recognized political figure in Hungary. The current political landscape and lack of significant public presence make it unlikely for him to become the next Prime Minister.”

Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-10

“Inflation trends have been stabilizing with recent policy measures. While economic factors can cause fluctuations, a ≥2.8% increase in March seems less likely given current data and historical patterns.”

Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Winning the NCAA Tournament is highly competitive with many strong teams. St. John's historically isn't a top contender, and predicting a specific team to win is unlikely without current dominance or a top seed.”

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“The NCAA Tournament features 68 teams, making it highly competitive. Even strong teams have low individual probabilities of winning. Connecticut's historical performance and current season data suggest a low probability of winning the entire tournament.”

Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“The NCAA Tournament features 68 teams, making any single team's probability of winning quite low. Iowa is not historically a dominant team, further reducing their chances.”

Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“With 68 teams in the tournament and the inherent unpredictability of March Madness, any single team's chances are low. Arkansas may be strong, but the probability of winning is still small given the competition.”

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Winning the NCAA Tournament is highly competitive with 68 teams. Arizona, while potentially strong, faces tough competition, making any single team's chances low.”

Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“The NCAA Tournament features 68 teams, making any single team's odds of winning low. Tennessee is a strong team, but the inherent unpredictability of the tournament and competition from other top teams reduce their chances significantly.”

Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“The NCAA Tournament is highly competitive with 68 teams. Even strong teams like Purdue have low individual chances due to the single-elimination format and variability in performance.”

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Illinois is one of many teams in the tournament, and winning requires overcoming numerous strong opponents. Historically, no single team has a high probability of winning, especially given the competitive nature of the NCAA Tournament.”

Will Tesla reach $533 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March, significant price movement is unlikely unless driven by major news or events. Current market trends and volatility suggest a lower probability of reaching $533.”

Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“The NCAA Tournament is highly competitive with 68 teams. Even strong teams have low individual probabilities of winning. Alabama is a strong team, but the probability of any single team winning is typically low.”

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“The NCAA Tournament features 68 teams, making it highly competitive. Michigan's probability of winning is low unless they are a top-seeded team, which is not specified. Historical data suggests a low probability for any single team to win.”

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-04

“Duke is a strong team historically, but the NCAA Tournament is highly competitive with 68 teams. Even top teams have low individual probabilities of winning due to the single-elimination format and variability in performance.”

Will Tesla dip to $263 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Given the volatility of Tesla's stock and the proximity to the target date, a dip to $263 is plausible. Market fluctuations and recent trends suggest a moderate chance of reaching this price point within the remaining days of March.”

Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“NVIDIA's stock price is influenced by strong market demand for GPUs and AI technology. A drop to $116 would require a significant market downturn or company-specific issue, which seems unlikely given current trends and historical performance.”

Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“NVIDIA has shown strong growth trends and market demand for GPUs remains high. With only a week left in March, a slight increase could push it to $280. Market volatility adds uncertainty, but reaching $280 is plausible.”

Will Netflix reach $228 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March, Netflix's stock price is likely influenced by recent trends and market conditions. Assuming no major disruptions, a slight increase to $228 is plausible given typical stock volatility.”

Will XRP reach $2.40 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP's price is volatile, but reaching $2.40 in a week is unlikely without significant market catalysts. Current trends and market conditions don't suggest such a sharp increase.”

Will XRP reach $2.60 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP reaching $2.60 in a week is unlikely without significant market catalysts. Current trends and historical volatility suggest a low probability of such a sharp increase in a short timeframe.”

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP's price is influenced by market trends, regulatory news, and investor sentiment. With only a week left in March, a significant dip to $1.00 is less likely unless major negative news occurs. Current trends do not indicate such a drop imminently.”

Will NVIDIA reach $260 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“NVIDIA has shown strong performance and market trends favor tech stocks. With a week left in March, reaching $260 is plausible given recent volatility and investor interest.”

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency is variable, but averaging around 30-40 tweets per week. This suggests a monthly total closer to 120-160. 1040-1079 tweets in a month is unusually high, making it less likely.”

Will XRP reach $2.80 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP's price is influenced by market trends, regulatory news, and investor sentiment. Given current market conditions and historical volatility, a significant price increase to $2.80 within a week is unlikely.”

Will XRP reach $2.20 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP's price is influenced by market conditions, regulatory news, and investor sentiment. Given the short timeframe and typical volatility, reaching $2.20 seems unlikely without a significant catalyst.”

Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is influenced by market trends, adoption, and macroeconomic factors. A dip to $600 would require a significant market downturn. Given current trends and historical volatility, such a drop seems unlikely within the next week.”

Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP's price is influenced by market trends, regulatory news, and investor sentiment. Given current market conditions and historical volatility, a significant price increase to $2.00 in the remaining days of March is unlikely.”

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk is known for frequent tweeting. With 24 days into March, he could reach 1400+ tweets if he maintains a high activity level, especially if involved in multiple discussions or events.”

Will Solana dip to $20 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and technological developments. Given the current market conditions and historical volatility, a dip to $20 is possible but not highly probable within the next week.”

Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in Q1, if buybacks are close to $200M, it's likely they'll surpass it. Companies often make large buybacks at quarter-end. Without specific data, a slight lean towards YES is reasonable.”

Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP has shown stability above $0.20 recently, and with only a week left in March, a significant drop seems unlikely without major market events.”

Will NVIDIA reach $244 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“NVIDIA's stock is volatile and has shown strong growth trends. With a week left in March, reaching $244 is plausible given historical performance and market conditions.”

Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP's price is influenced by market trends, regulatory news, and investor sentiment. Given current market stability and no major negative news, a dip to $0.80 seems less likely within the next week.”

Will Google dip to $215 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Google's stock price has historically been much higher than $215, and a drop to this level would require a significant market downturn or company-specific crisis, neither of which are currently evident.”

Will Solana dip to $80 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. With only a week left in March and no major negative catalysts, a dip to $80 seems unlikely, but not impossible.”

Will Solana reach $150 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. With only a week left in March and no significant bullish catalysts, reaching $150 seems unlikely given typical price volatility.”

Will Google reach $395 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March, significant price movement is less likely unless driven by major news or events. Current market trends and historical volatility suggest a lower probability of reaching $395.”

Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March and no major negative news or market trends, a dip to $0.60 seems unlikely. Current market conditions and historical volatility suggest a lower probability of such a decline in the short term.”

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk is known for frequent tweeting. Given his past activity levels, it's plausible he will post within this range. With only a week left in March, estimating a moderate probability based on typical behavior.”

Will Google reach $375 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March and considering typical stock volatility, reaching a specific price like $375 is uncertain. Current market trends and historical performance suggest a slightly less than even chance.”

Will XRP reach $3.00 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP has historically been volatile, but reaching $3.00 in a week is unlikely without significant market catalysts. Current trends and market conditions do not suggest such a rapid increase.”

Will Solana dip to $70 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, recent news, and investor sentiment. Given the proximity to the end of March and no major negative catalysts, a dip to $70 seems less likely, but not impossible.”

Will Solana dip to $60 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. With only a week left in March and no significant negative catalysts, a dip to $60 seems unlikely, but not impossible.”

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“xAI is a strong contender but faces stiff competition from established leaders like OpenAI, Google, and Meta. Given the short timeframe and lack of recent breakthroughs, it's unlikely xAI will surpass them by March 2026.”

Will Google reach $420 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March and assuming current market trends, reaching a specific price like $420 is uncertain. Market volatility and external factors make it less likely without a significant catalyst.”

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is a strong contender, but competition from major players like OpenAI and Google is intense. Without specific breakthroughs or announcements, it's less likely they will lead by March 31.”

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week until the deadline, significant changes in odds are unlikely unless major events occur. Current political climate and historical trends suggest stability in odds over short periods.”

Will Solana reach $110 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. With only a week left in March and no significant catalysts, reaching $110 seems unlikely given current market conditions.”

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The 10-year treasury yield has been volatile and is currently close to 4.5%. With a week left and potential market reactions to economic data or Fed actions, it is likely to reach 4.5% by March 31.”

Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Trump has a history of legal threats but often does not follow through with lawsuits. With only a week left and no public indication of a lawsuit, the probability is low.”

US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Despite ongoing investigations, no conclusive evidence or device has been confirmed by the US government as the cause of Havana Syndrome. With only a week left until the deadline, it is unlikely a confirmation will occur in this timeframe.”

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Elon Musk's net worth has never approached $640b. Given historical trends and current market conditions, it's highly unlikely his net worth will exceed this amount by March 31, 2026.”

Will Solana reach $130 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and technological developments. With only a week left in March and no major catalysts, reaching $130 seems unlikely given typical price volatility and current market conditions.”

Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum has shown resilience and growth over the years. A dip to $800 would require a significant market downturn, which seems unlikely given current trends and market conditions in March 2026.”

Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Jeff Bezos is currently not the richest person, with Elon Musk and Bernard Arnault often leading. Bezos' wealth is tied to Amazon's stock, which hasn't surged recently. Unlikely to surpass others in a week.”

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk is known for high Twitter activity, but predicting exact tweet counts is difficult. Given his past variability, the specific range of 1360-1399 tweets in a month is unlikely, though not impossible.”

Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Amazon's market cap fluctuates with tech sector trends and competition from companies like Microsoft and Alphabet. Given current market dynamics and recent performance, it's less likely Amazon will be third-largest by March 31, 2026.”

Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Israel typically engages in targeted strikes rather than widespread multi-country conflicts. Striking 3 countries in a single month would be unprecedented and likely provoke significant international response, making it improbable.”

Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 6% and 8%?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The S&P 500's quarterly changes rarely fall within such a narrow range. Historical data suggests a wide variability, making a specific 6-8% range unlikely.”

Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast is a highly popular YouTuber with a history of rapidly accumulating views. Given his current trajectory and the short time frame until March 31, it's likely he will reach 119 billion views.”

Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency varies, but averaging around 30-40 tweets per day is high. Given the current date, it's unlikely he will reach 1160-1199 tweets by the end of March 2026.”

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current geopolitical climate and recent trade policies, it's unlikely the U.S. will reduce tariffs on China to below 5% by March 31, 2026.”

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is a strong contender, but competition from major players like OpenAI, Google, and Meta is intense. Given the rapid advancements and resources of these companies, it's less likely DeepSeek will be at the top by the end of March 2026.”

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“There is no recent news or indication of legal issues involving Peter Mandelson. With only a week left until the deadline, the probability of charges being filed is low.”

Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No significant recent developments suggest charges against Hillary Clinton. With only a week left until the deadline, the probability of charges being filed is low.”

Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Bernard Arnault has consistently been among the top richest individuals. Given the short time frame until March 31, significant changes in wealth rankings are less likely, making it probable he remains the richest.”

Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left until the deadline, and no major announcements or indications of an imminent listing, the likelihood of Penguin being listed on Binance by March 31 is low.”

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Bill Clinton, a former president, has not been in the news for any criminal activity recently. With only a week left until the deadline, the likelihood of charges being filed is very low.”

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“A blanket tariff of this nature is rare and would likely face significant political and economic opposition. No recent news suggests imminent implementation, making it unlikely by March 31.”

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the severity of the incident and public pressure, it's likely the shooter will be fired or resign by the deadline. Only a week remains, increasing the urgency for resolution.”

Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While Alibaba is a major tech player, competitors like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft have strong AI models and resources. Given the competitive landscape, it's unlikely Alibaba will lead in coding AI by March 31, 2026.”

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Sergey Brin's wealth is tied to Alphabet's stock, which is volatile. Other billionaires like Elon Musk and Bernard Arnault have more diversified and stable wealth sources, making it unlikely for Brin to be 3rd richest by March 31.”

Will Solana dip to $40 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, recent developments, and investor sentiment. With only a week left in March and no significant negative catalysts, a dip to $40 seems less likely.”

Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, significant military advances are unlikely. Current geopolitical dynamics and military reports suggest limited progress in this region.”

Will Solana reach $140 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is volatile, but reaching $140 in a week is unlikely without major catalysts. Current market trends and historical price movements suggest a lower probability of such a significant increase in a short timeframe.”

Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Moonshot is a lesser-known player compared to giants like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft, who have more resources and established models. It's unlikely Moonshot will surpass them by March 31, 2026.”

Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Stefon Diggs has no known history of legal issues. Arrests of high-profile athletes are rare without prior incidents. With only a week left, the probability remains low.”

Will Warren Buffett be richest person on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Warren Buffett is typically not the richest person, with others like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos having higher net worths. Given current trends and Buffett's age, it's unlikely he will surpass them by March 31, 2026.”

2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With the election approaching, odds are likely to fluctuate. Given historical trends and current political climate, it's probable that Republican odds will be over 30% by March 31.”

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Ukraine has consistently expressed interest in joining NATO, and there is no indication of a formal agreement to not join by March 31, 2026. The geopolitical context and Ukraine's strategic goals make such an agreement unlikely within the given timeframe.”

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast is known for viral content and has a large subscriber base. Achieving 100m views in a week is challenging but feasible given his track record and current trends.”

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given recent trade negotiations and historical trends, it's likely tariffs will be adjusted to a moderate range. Current geopolitical climate suggests a move towards stabilization, making a 5-15% range plausible.”

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No public information or credible reports suggest Jerome Powell's arrest is imminent. High-profile arrests are typically well-publicized, and there's no indication of legal issues involving him.”

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency is variable, but 1120-1159 tweets in a month is quite high. Based on past behavior, it's less likely he will reach this range in March 2026.”

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, current trends and economic indicators suggest a high likelihood of reaching 4.4%. Recent Fed policies and inflation data support this upward movement.”

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Historically, U.S. tariffs on China have been high but rarely reach 35%. Current trade policies and negotiations suggest no drastic increase imminent by March 31, 2026.”

Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While Alibaba is a major player in AI, competition from companies like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft is intense. These companies have significant resources and expertise, making it less likely for Alibaba to have the top AI model by March 2026.”

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current date is close to the resolution date, historical stock performance, market trends, and economic conditions should be considered. Without specific data indicating a strong upward trend, the probability is slightly below 0.50.”

Will Solana dip to $30 in March?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and technological developments. Given current market conditions and historical volatility, a dip to $30 is possible but not highly likely within the remaining days of March.”

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left and no prior indication of imminent declassification, the likelihood is low. Historically, such actions are announced in advance, and there has been no recent news suggesting this will occur by the deadline.”

Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“OpenAI is a leading player in AI, consistently ranking high in model performance. Given their resources and track record, it's plausible they maintain a top position, though competition is strong.”

Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Elon Musk frequently fluctuates between the top positions in wealth rankings. Given his business ventures and recent trends, there's a slightly higher chance he could be the richest by March 31, 2026.”

Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Mar 24 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The Weeknd is a top artist but faces strong competition from others like Bad Bunny and Taylor Swift. Current trends and recent releases by competitors suggest he may not lead this month.”

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current geopolitical climate and historical trends, it's likely the tariff rate will remain within this range. Sudden changes are less probable close to the resolution date.”

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency varies, but 1200-1239 tweets in a month is quite high. Based on past behavior, such high activity is less common, making it unlikely for March 2026.”

Will Solana dip to $10 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and technological developments. Given its current market position and historical volatility, a dip to $10 seems unlikely within the short time frame remaining in March.”

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left until the deadline and no prior announcements or indications of a token launch, it is unlikely that USD.AI will launch a token by March 31.”

Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“There is no significant recent news or political pressure suggesting Maduro's exile to Qatar by March 31. Such events are rare and typically involve complex negotiations and international pressure, which are not evident here.”

Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No current news or credible reports suggest Ilhan Omar is facing federal charges. With only a week left until the deadline, it's unlikely such charges will emerge suddenly.”

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is influenced by market trends, adoption, and macroeconomic factors. Given its historical volatility and current market conditions, a dip to $1,200 seems unlikely within the next week, barring a major market event.”

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Normalization talks have been ongoing but face significant political and regional challenges. With only a week left, it's unlikely a formal agreement will be reached by March 31.”

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. Given current market stability and lack of major negative news, a dip to $1,400 seems unlikely within the next week.”

Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oman has historically maintained a neutral and diplomatic stance in regional conflicts, often acting as a mediator. There is no recent evidence or indication of a shift towards military aggression against Iran.”

Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Kuwait has historically maintained a neutral stance and diplomatic relations with Iran. There is no significant military capability or geopolitical incentive for Kuwait to strike Iran by March 31.”

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is volatile and influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and technological developments. With a week left in March, a moderate increase is plausible given historical price swings and current market conditions.”

Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and technological developments. Given current trends and historical volatility, there's a moderate chance it could reach $3,400 by the end of March.”

Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is influenced by market trends, adoption, and macroeconomic factors. A dip to $400 would require a significant market downturn. Given current trends and historical volatility, such a drop seems unlikely within the remaining timeframe.”

Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“XRP reaching $3.20 in a week is unlikely given typical market volatility and current price trends. Such a significant price increase in a short time frame is rare without major catalysts.”

Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“NVIDIA is a major player in tech, but competition from other giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Saudi Aramco is strong. Market cap rankings can fluctuate, and being third-largest is challenging. Current trends suggest it's unlikely by March 31.”

Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“India and Pakistan have a history of tensions but avoid direct conflict due to nuclear deterrence and international pressure. No recent escalations suggest an imminent strike.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is volatile, but recent trends and market sentiment suggest a less than even chance of a dip to $30,000 within the next week.”

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March and no major catalysts, it's unlikely Ethereum will see a significant price surge to $3,600. Current market trends and historical volatility suggest a lower probability of reaching this target in such a short timeframe.”

Will Solana reach $160 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Solana's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and technological developments. Given the current market conditions and historical volatility, reaching $160 in the next week seems unlikely without a significant catalyst.”

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is highly volatile, but reaching $110,000 in the next week is unlikely without a major catalyst. Current market trends and historical data suggest a lower probability of such a rapid increase in a short time frame.”

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. With only a week left in March and no major negative catalysts, a dip to $1,600 seems less likely, but still possible given crypto volatility.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. Given the current date and typical volatility, a dip to $25,000 in the next week seems unlikely without a significant market event.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. With only a week left in March, a significant dip to $35,000 seems less likely unless a major negative event occurs.”

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is highly volatile, but reaching $105,000 in a week is unlikely without a major catalyst. Current market trends and historical data suggest a lower probability of such a rapid increase.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. As of now, there is no strong indication of a significant drop to $40,000 within the next week, given current market stability and trends.”

Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“E.U. countries typically favor diplomatic solutions and multilateral actions over unilateral military strikes. With only a week left, there's no indication of imminent military action against Iran by any E.U. country.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is volatile, but a dip to $45,000 within a week requires significant market movement. Current trends and market sentiment don't strongly indicate such a drop imminently.”

Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March and current market trends, reaching $3,800 seems unlikely. Market volatility and recent price trends suggest a lower probability of such a significant increase in a short time frame.”

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March and considering typical market volatility, reaching $2,800 is uncertain. Current trends and market sentiment suggest a lower probability of a significant price jump in such a short timeframe.”

Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Ex-FaZe members have a history of forming new ventures. With a week left, it's likely they have plans underway or already announced, given the esports industry's dynamic nature.”

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. Given current trends and historical volatility, a dip to $1,800 is possible but not highly likely within the short timeframe remaining in March.”

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price is volatile and can be influenced by market trends, technological developments, and investor sentiment. With a week left in March, there's a reasonable chance it could reach $2,400, given historical price swings and current market conditions.”

Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Ethereum's price has historically been volatile, but a dip to $200 would require a significant market downturn. Given current trends and market conditions, such a drastic drop seems unlikely within the next week.”

Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Lars Boje Mathiesen is not a prominent candidate for PM, with major parties like Social Democrats and Venstre typically leading. No significant shift in political landscape suggests his candidacy is unlikely to succeed.”

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is volatile but reaching $100,000 in a short timeframe is unlikely without a major catalyst. Current market trends and historical data suggest a lower probability of such a rapid increase.”

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is highly volatile, but reaching $85,000 in a week is unlikely without a major catalyst. Current market trends and historical data suggest such a rapid increase is improbable.”

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“With only a week left in March and no significant bullish catalysts, Ethereum's price is unlikely to surge to $4,000. Current market trends and historical volatility suggest a lower probability of such a rapid increase.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is volatile, but with only a week left in March and no major negative catalysts, a dip to $65,000 seems unlikely. Current trends and market sentiment do not strongly support such a drop.”

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, no significant military buildup or diplomatic signals suggest an imminent strike on Iran. Historically, such actions are preceded by clear indicators, which are currently absent.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is volatile, but current trends and market sentiment suggest it is unlikely to dip to $60,000 within the next week, barring significant market events.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. Given its volatility and current market conditions, a dip to $50,000 seems unlikely within the remaining days of March 2026.”

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is influenced by market trends, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors. As of now, there's no strong indication of a significant drop to $20,000 within the next week, given current market stability and lack of major negative catalysts.”

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is highly volatile, but reaching $95,000 in the next week is unlikely without a major catalyst. Current market trends and historical data suggest a lower probability of such a rapid increase in a short timeframe.”

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Bitcoin's price is highly volatile, but reaching $80,000 in the next week is unlikely without a major catalyst. Current market trends and historical data suggest a lower probability of such a rapid increase.”

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current date is close to the deadline and no recent reports suggest imminent capture, it's unlikely Russia will capture Kostyantynivka by April 30. Military advances often take longer than anticipated, especially in contested regions.”

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Apple's stock has shown strong performance and resilience in recent years. With only a week left in March, it's plausible for AAPL to close above $320, assuming no major market disruptions.”

Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Elon Musk's ambitious projects often face delays or do not materialize as initially planned. Given the category 'nothing-ever-happens-elon-edition', it suggests skepticism about completion, leading to a lower probability of a YES outcome.”

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Measles cases have been rising due to declining vaccination rates and increased travel. With only a week left, reaching 1600 cases by March 31, 2026, is likely given current trends.”

Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Google is a major player in AI, but competition from OpenAI, Microsoft, and others is strong. Recent trends show multiple leaders in AI coding models, making it unlikely for Google to be the sole leader by March 31, 2026.”

Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Political leadership changes are common, especially near election cycles. With only a week left, if there are strong rumors or political pressure, the likelihood of a change is high.”

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, Forsen has limited time to beat xQc's record. While he is skilled, the probability is low given the time constraint and the competitive nature of speedrunning improvements.”

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Trump is not currently in office, and the decision to send military aid like Tomahawk missiles is typically made by the sitting president and administration. Given the current date and context, this is unlikely.”

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While Google is a leading AI company, competition from other tech giants like OpenAI and Meta is intense. Given the rapid advancements and investments in AI, it's uncertain if Google will hold the second position by March 2026.”

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“OpenAI has a strong track record of leading AI advancements and significant resources. While competition is fierce, their history and investment suggest a high likelihood of maintaining a top position by March 2026.”

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Google has significant resources and history in AI development. While competitors like OpenAI and Meta are strong, Google's advancements in AI, such as DeepMind, make it likely they could have the top model by March 2026.”

Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Anthropic is a strong contender but faces stiff competition from other AI companies like OpenAI and Google DeepMind. Given the rapid advancements and competition, it's uncertain they will hold the second position by March 2026.”

Another US bank failure by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Bank failures are relatively rare and typically well-publicized. With only a week left and no current news of instability, the likelihood of another failure by March 31 is low.”

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, significant military advances are unlikely without prior indication. Current geopolitical and military conditions suggest a low probability of Russia entering Orikhiv by the deadline.”

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“There is no public information or indication suggesting that Tim Walz is under investigation or facing charges. With only a few days left until the resolution date, the likelihood of charges being filed is very low.”

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the historical tensions and recent conflicts between Pakistan and Afghanistan, a ceasefire by March 31 seems unlikely. Only a week remains, and no significant diplomatic progress has been reported.”

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Alnylam Pharmaceuticals is a significant biotech company but inclusion in the S&P 500 depends on market cap, liquidity, and sector representation. With only a week left, no announcements suggest imminent inclusion, making it unlikely by March 31, 2026.”

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“OpenAI has a strong track record with models like Codex and GPT-4. While competitors like Google and Microsoft are strong, OpenAI's focus on AI advancements suggests a slight edge in maintaining the best coding model.”

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Anthropic is a strong contender, but OpenAI and Google have historically led in AI development. Given the competitive landscape and recent advancements, it's less likely Anthropic will surpass them by March 31, 2026.”

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current date is close to the deadline and no significant advances reported, it's unlikely Russia will capture Kostyantynivka by June 30. Military operations typically take time, and recent trends suggest a low probability of success within the timeframe.”

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency varies, but 1320-1359 tweets in a month is high. Based on past behavior, it's plausible but not highly likely. March 2026 data is incomplete, so a slightly less than even chance is reasonable.”

Megaquake by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Megaquakes are rare and unpredictable. With only a week left until March 31, the probability of such an event occurring is low based on historical frequency and current seismic activity data.”

Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Netanyahu has faced legal challenges but arrest is unlikely without significant new developments. With only a week left, the probability of arrest by March 31 is low.”

Yoon out of custody by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until March 31, it is unlikely that Yoon will be released from custody given the typical duration of legal processes and any potential appeals or delays.”

Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast's growth rate is high, but reaching 475M by March 31, 2026, is unlikely given current trends and the short time frame remaining.”

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, there has been no announcement or indication from Pump.fun about an airdrop. Typically, such events are pre-announced to build hype, making a last-minute airdrop unlikely.”

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current date is March 23, 2026, and the launch is scheduled by April 30, the likelihood of a successful launch within this short timeframe is low due to potential delays in space missions.”

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Larry Page is currently not the 2nd richest person, and significant wealth shifts in a week are unlikely without major events. Other billionaires like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos are more likely to hold top positions.”

Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Oracle is currently not among the top three companies by market cap. With only a week left, significant changes in market cap rankings are unlikely without major events. Thus, the probability is low.”

Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Israel typically engages in targeted strikes for specific security threats, not broad multi-country campaigns. Striking ≥4 countries in one month would be unprecedented and likely escalate regional tensions significantly.”

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero, former Spanish Prime Minister, has not been involved in any major scandals or legal issues recently. Arrests of high-profile politicians are rare without prior indication of legal trouble.”

Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the historical trend of the Iranian rial's depreciation due to economic sanctions and inflation, it's likely the USD will reach 1.8M rials by March 31, 2026.”

Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is a strong contender but faces stiff competition from major players like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft. Given the rapid advancements and investments in AI, it's challenging for DeepSeek to secure the second position by March 2026.”

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, there is no significant news or indication of an imminent evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. Such actions are typically preceded by notable geopolitical tensions or threats, which are currently not evident.”

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given ongoing trade tensions and historical tariff rates, it's likely the U.S. will maintain tariffs within this range. Recent policy trends suggest stability rather than drastic changes in the short term.”

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, the probability is slightly above average due to potential economic pressures and recent global trends in monetary policy adjustments.”

Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast had around 200 million subscribers in late 2023. Gaining 280 million more in just over two years is unlikely given typical growth rates, even for top creators.”

Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Z.ai is a lesser-known player compared to giants like OpenAI and Google, who have more resources and established models. It's unlikely Z.ai will surpass them by March 31, 2026.”

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left and no major legislative movements reported, the likelihood of repealing the cap on gambling loss deductions by March 31 is low.”

Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While tensions in the region are high, direct strikes on Damascus by Israel are less frequent due to diplomatic and strategic considerations. With only a week left, the likelihood of such an event occurring is relatively low.”

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Apple is currently the largest or second-largest company by market cap. It is unlikely to drop to third in such a short time frame without significant market changes or a major competitor surge.”

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Tesla's delivery numbers have been growing steadily, but Q1 is typically slower. Given past trends and current market conditions, it's plausible they will hit this range, though it's not guaranteed.”

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Elon Musk's net worth is highly volatile, influenced by Tesla and SpaceX valuations. As of the latest data, his net worth is below $710b, and significant market changes would be needed in a short time to reach that level.”

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With a week left in March, Apple's stock performance, market trends, and historical data suggest a moderate chance of closing above $330, assuming no major market disruptions.”

Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Affirm Holdings is a relatively new and volatile company. Inclusion in the S&P 500 requires stability, profitability, and market cap criteria that Affirm may not yet meet. With only a week left, it's unlikely they will be added by March 31, 2026.”

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Somaliland's recognition has been stagnant for years. With only a week left, the likelihood of a sudden diplomatic shift is low. No recent indications suggest imminent recognition by another country.”

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Microsoft is consistently among the top companies by market cap. With only a week until the date, significant changes are unlikely unless major market events occur. Current trends suggest a slight edge towards maintaining its position.”

Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Netanyahu frequently visits NYC for diplomatic and UN-related events. With a week left until the deadline, it's likely he will visit, especially if there are ongoing international discussions or events.”

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“As of March 2026, there has been no significant movement or announcements from Trump regarding a tariff dividend. With only a week left, it's unlikely such a policy will be introduced and implemented by March 31.”

Will Mistral have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Mistral is a strong contender, but established players like OpenAI and Google have more resources and experience in AI development, making it less likely for Mistral to lead in coding AI by March 31, 2026.”

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until March 31, and no major controversies or sanctions reported, it's unlikely Iran will be removed from the World Cup at this late stage.”

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-04-01

“Elon Musk is known for frequent tweeting, but predicting exact numbers is challenging. Based on past behavior, the range is plausible but not certain. With 8 days left in March, the probability of hitting this specific range is slightly less than 50%.”

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, it's highly likely any decision about her position has already been made or is imminent. Such changes are often announced in advance, and the timeframe suggests a high probability of her being out by March 31.”

Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“xAI is a strong contender but faces competition from established players like OpenAI and Google. Given the short time frame until March 31, it's unlikely they will surpass these leaders in coding AI models.”

50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“MrBeast is known for high view counts and viral content. With a large subscriber base and previous videos reaching similar milestones, it's likely he can achieve 50m views in a day by March 31, 2026.”

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current date is close to the deadline and considering the ongoing conflict dynamics, it is unlikely Russia will capture all of Huliaipole by March 31. Military operations often face delays and resistance, reducing the likelihood of complete capture in such a short timef”

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline and no recent news of an imminent launch, it's unlikely Artemis II will launch by March 31. Delays in space missions are common due to technical and safety checks.”

Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Maduro has maintained power in Venezuela despite international pressure. Exile to Russia by March 31 seems unlikely given the short timeframe and lack of recent developments suggesting imminent exile.”

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“NVIDIA is a leading tech company, but surpassing giants like Apple or Microsoft by market cap is challenging. Market dynamics and competition make it unlikely to be second-largest by March 31, 2026.”

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, if Pump.fun has announced or hinted at an airdrop, it's likely to occur soon. Airdrops are common in crypto for user engagement, increasing the probability of it happening before the deadline.”

Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Mistral is a strong contender, but competition from major players like OpenAI, Google, and others makes it unlikely they will have the top AI model. The AI landscape is highly competitive and dynamic.”

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Tesla's production and delivery numbers have been consistently increasing. Given historical trends and expansion plans, it's unlikely they will deliver less than 350,000 vehicles in Q1 2026.”

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“There is no significant recent escalation or public indication of US/Israel planning to strike Yemen. Diplomatic efforts and regional stability concerns make a strike unlikely within the next week.”

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Microsoft has consistently been among the top companies by market cap. With only a week until the resolution date, significant changes are unlikely. Current trends and market stability support a high probability of maintaining its position.”

Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Saudi Aramco has been consistently among the top companies by market cap. Given its strong oil market position and recent trends, it is likely to maintain a high ranking, though fluctuations in oil prices and market dynamics could affect this.”

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is not widely recognized as a leader in AI coding models compared to established companies like OpenAI or Google. With only a week until the resolution date, it's unlikely they will surpass these competitors by March 31, 2026.”

Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Historically, U.S. presidents have been cautious about declaring war due to political, economic, and international implications. No significant recent escalations suggest a declaration of war is unlikely within the next week.”

BitBoy convicted?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the proximity to the resolution date and potential legal proceedings, a slight probability towards conviction is reasonable, though uncertainty remains high.”

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“SOFI is a relatively new company and may not yet meet the S&P 500's criteria for market cap, liquidity, and profitability. With only a week left until the deadline, it's unlikely they will be added by March 31, 2026.”

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Iran's economy faces ongoing inflation and currency devaluation pressures. Given the current trajectory and economic conditions, it's likely the USD will reach 1.7M rials by the end of March.”

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, no significant diplomatic moves or announcements suggest a new country will join the Abraham Accords imminently.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, significant price drops are unlikely unless driven by major geopolitical or economic events. Current market trends and stability suggest a low probability of hitting $55 by the end of March.”

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until March 31, there is little time for a significant change in the position of Secretary of Defense. Such changes typically involve lengthy processes and announcements, making it unlikely for Pete Hegseth to be out by this date.”

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current geopolitical tensions and lack of recent diplomatic progress, a meeting within the next week seems unlikely. Historically, such meetings require extensive preparation and signaling, which has not been observed recently.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil prices are influenced by global demand, geopolitical tensions, and production levels. As of now, prices are generally above $50, and a significant drop within a week is unlikely without a major event.”

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Amazon is a major player but faces strong competition from companies like Apple, Microsoft, and others. Market cap rankings can fluctuate, and it's currently unlikely Amazon will surpass these giants by March 31, 2026.”

US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“US military actions in Yemen are rare and typically involve drone strikes, not large-scale operations. With no recent escalation or major US policy shift, a strike by March 31, 2026, is unlikely.”

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Alphabet is currently not the second-largest company by market cap, with Apple and Microsoft typically holding the top spots. Market dynamics are unlikely to change drastically in a week to elevate Alphabet to second place.”

Weed rescheduled by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, significant regulatory changes like rescheduling typically require more time for discussion and implementation. No recent news suggests imminent action.”

Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“No significant announcements or leaks suggest imminent launch. Only a week remains, making it unlikely for such a major launch without prior notice.”

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the political tensions between the US and Venezuela, and Trump's historical stance, a meeting with Delcy Rodríguez seems unlikely. No recent reports suggest a change in this stance.”

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left and no significant market catalysts, it's unlikely the S&P 500 will reach an all-time high by March 31, 2026. Economic conditions and market trends don't suggest a rapid surge in this short timeframe.”

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Apple consistently ranks among the top companies by market cap. With only a week until the resolution date, significant changes in rankings are unlikely barring major market events.”

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, if there are ongoing issues or controversies, the likelihood of a decision being made soon is high. The proximity to the deadline suggests a higher probability of resolution.”

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While tensions exist, a publicized cyberattack is less likely due to diplomatic repercussions and the preference for covert operations. No recent escalation suggests imminent action.”

Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“There is no public information or indication suggesting Tim Walz is under investigation or facing charges. With only a week left until the deadline, the likelihood of charges being filed is very low.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil prices are influenced by global supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and economic conditions. With only a week left and no major disruptions expected, a drop to $40 seems unlikely.”

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the current geopolitical climate and recent history, foreign intervention in Gaza is unlikely within the next week. Diplomatic efforts and regional stability concerns typically deter such actions unless a major escalation occurs.”

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Hezbollah leadership changes are rare and typically occur under significant pressure or internal shifts. With only a week left until the deadline, a change is unlikely unless there are extraordinary circumstances.”

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, no significant military buildup or diplomatic signals suggest an imminent strike. Such actions typically involve extensive planning and international ramifications, making a strike unlikely in this timeframe.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left in March, market volatility and geopolitical factors could push crude oil prices to $90. Current trends and recent price movements suggest a moderate likelihood of this occurring.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left in March and considering recent market trends and geopolitical factors, it's less likely for crude oil to drop to $70. Market volatility could change this, but current indicators suggest a lower probability.”

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the ongoing tensions and historical difficulty in achieving lasting ceasefires between Israel and Hamas, a new ceasefire by June 30 seems unlikely. The short timeframe and complex geopolitical factors reduce the probability of a ceasefire agreement.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the end of March, significant price movements are less likely unless driven by major geopolitical or economic events. Current trends and market stability suggest a lower probability of hitting $60.”

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Zelenskyy has maintained strong leadership during the conflict with Russia and has significant public support. With only a week left until March 31, 2026, it is unlikely he will be out of office by then.”

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Polymarket is a niche platform with growing but limited reach. Achieving 90% mindshare in a competitive market with established players is unlikely within a week.”

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, if there have been announcements or leaks about the release, it's likely imminent. Companies often release products at the end of a quarter to boost financials. However, without specific news, there's still some uncertainty.”

Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Hezbollah has historically resisted disarmament due to its political and military role in Lebanon. With no recent developments indicating a change, disarmament by March 31 is highly unlikely.”

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the historical volatility and complexity of the Israel-Hamas conflict, achieving a ceasefire by March 31 is uncertain. With only a week left, the probability of reaching an agreement is relatively low.”

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the seriousness of the crime and proximity to the resolution date, it's likely charges have been filed. Law enforcement typically prioritizes such cases, increasing the probability of charges being laid.”

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“As of the latest data, Tesla is not close to being the second-largest company by market cap, with Apple and Microsoft typically holding the top spots. Significant market shifts in a week are unlikely.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil prices are volatile and can be influenced by geopolitical tensions, supply chain issues, and economic factors. With a week left and current trends, there's a significant chance prices could dip to $80.”

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Google is a major AI player, but competition from OpenAI, Microsoft, and others is strong. Recent trends show no clear dominance, making it uncertain if Google will lead by March 2026.”

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Government shutdowns are typically resolved within weeks due to political and economic pressures. With over a week remaining, it's likely a resolution will be reached by March 31, 2026.”

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Alphabet is a major player but currently trails behind Apple and Microsoft in market cap. With no major events suggesting a shift in rankings by March 31, it's unlikely Alphabet will surpass them in such a short timeframe.”

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Recent polls show slight public support for judicial reforms. The government has been actively campaigning for it, and there is a trend of reform acceptance in Italy. However, public opinion can be volatile, hence a moderate probability.”

Will Parivision win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“Parivision's chances are low due to strong competition and lack of recent wins in major tournaments. Historical performance and current form suggest they are not favorites.”

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Acquiring Greenland is highly unlikely due to geopolitical complexities and lack of serious negotiations. Odds reaching 30% by March 31 is improbable given current global political climate and historical context.”

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While Alibaba is a major player in AI, competition from companies like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft is intense. Given the current landscape and advancements by these companies, it's less likely Alibaba will lead by the end of March 2026.”

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“There has been no significant progress or public indication of a deal between Trump and Denmark regarding Greenland. With only a week left until the deadline, the likelihood of a deal being signed is very low.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, significant price movement is less likely unless driven by major geopolitical or economic events. Current trends and market stability suggest a lower probability of hitting $65.”

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“xAI is a strong contender, but competition from established giants like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft makes it unlikely they'll have the best model by March 2026. The AI landscape is highly competitive and rapidly evolving.”

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Apple has consistently been one of the largest companies by market cap. Given its strong financial performance and brand value, it is likely to remain at the top, barring any major market shifts in the next week.”

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the lack of substantial evidence or credible reports supporting the claim that Maduro's capture was staged, and considering the seriousness of such an event, it is unlikely to be staged. Thus, the probability is low.”

Will Team Spirit win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“Team Spirit's performance in recent tournaments and current form suggest they are not the favorites. Other teams have shown stronger results leading up to the event.”

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Z.ai is a strong contender, but competition from established giants like OpenAI, Google, and others makes it unlikely they will have the best model. Market dynamics and rapid advancements in AI tech favor larger players with more resources.”

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“DeepSeek is a strong contender, but competition from major players like OpenAI, Google, and others makes it unlikely to be the best. The AI landscape is highly competitive and dynamic, with frequent advancements from multiple companies.”

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“OpenAI has a strong track record and significant resources, but competition from other tech giants like Google and Meta is intense. Given current trends and OpenAI's reputation, they have a slightly better chance of leading by March 2026.”

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Meituan is a strong company in AI, but leading AI models are typically developed by tech giants like Google, OpenAI, or Meta. Given the competitive landscape, it's unlikely Meituan will have the best AI model by March 2026.”

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left until the deadline, and given the complexity and historical challenges in US-Iran negotiations, a deal by March 31 is unlikely.”

Will Team Falcons win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“Team Falcons' chances depend on their current form, past performance, and competition. Without specific data on these factors, a 0.35 estimate reflects moderate underdog status typical for many teams in competitive tournaments.”

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Moonshot is a contender but faces strong competition from established AI leaders like OpenAI, Google, and others. Given the competitive landscape and lack of specific indicators favoring Moonshot, it's less likely they will have the best AI model by March 2026.”

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Baidu is a major AI player, but competitors like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft have strong models and resources. The AI landscape is competitive, making it unlikely for Baidu to be definitively the best by March 2026.”

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“While Saudi Aramco is a leading contender, fluctuations in oil prices and competition from tech giants like Apple and Microsoft make it uncertain. Current trends suggest a slightly higher chance for a tech company to hold the top spot by market cap.”

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“There have been no significant reports or indications suggesting Ilhan Omar plans to resign imminently. Politicians typically announce resignations well in advance, and with only a week left, it's unlikely she will resign by March 31.”

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-22

“With the election close, polls suggest a tight race. The Freedom Movement (GS) is a strong contender but faces significant competition from other parties. Historical volatility in Slovenian politics adds uncertainty, making a win less than likely but still possible.”

Mavericks vs. Bucks

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The Bucks have been strong contenders in recent seasons, often outperforming the Mavericks. Without specific game details, the Bucks' historical performance gives them a slight edge.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil prices are influenced by supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and economic conditions. As of now, there is no significant indication of a spike to $140 within the next week, making it unlikely.”

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Despite tensions, an invasion is unlikely due to international consequences, economic risks, and military challenges. No significant escalation suggests imminent action.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, oil prices are volatile and can be influenced by geopolitical tensions, supply constraints, or economic factors. Current trends and market conditions suggest a moderate chance of reaching $100.”

Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“Natus Vincere is a strong team, but predicting a specific tournament win is challenging due to the competitive nature of esports and potential roster changes. Without specific recent performance data, a slight underdog position is assumed.”

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Despite ongoing diplomatic efforts, the conflict remains unresolved with no significant breakthroughs. Historical patterns and current tensions suggest a ceasefire by March 31, 2026, is unlikely.”

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The Iranian regime has shown resilience despite internal and external pressures. With only a week left until the deadline, a regime change is highly unlikely in such a short timeframe.”

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“European countries typically prefer diplomatic solutions and there is no current indication of imminent military action against Iran by France, UK, or Germany.”

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Amazon is a leading company but faces strong competition from other giants like Apple and Microsoft. Current trends and market conditions suggest it's unlikely to surpass them by March 31, 2026.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil prices are influenced by supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and economic conditions. While prices can be volatile, reaching $200 in a week is unlikely without a major global crisis or supply disruption, neither of which are currently evident.”

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Current geopolitical tensions and historical patterns suggest a low likelihood of a major ground offensive. Diplomatic efforts and international pressure often deter such actions. With only a week left, the probability remains low.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, reaching $110 requires significant market movement. Current trends and market conditions suggest this is unlikely without a major geopolitical or economic event.”

Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“Aurora's chances depend on team performance, past records, and competition strength. Without specific data on their current form or competitors, a 30% chance reflects a moderate underdog position typical for many teams in such tournaments.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left, significant price movement is unlikely without major geopolitical or economic events. Current trends and market stability suggest a lower probability of reaching $120.”

Will The MongolZ win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“The MongolZ are not traditionally top contenders in major CS:GO tournaments. Given the competitive nature of Blast Open events and presence of stronger teams, their chances of winning are relatively low.”

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The U.S. has shown no recent military interest in Venezuela, and diplomatic efforts are preferred. With only days left until the deadline, an invasion is highly unlikely.”

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given Iran's strategic interests in maintaining its nuclear program and historical reluctance to fully cease enrichment, it is unlikely they will agree to end enrichment by the deadline.”

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“As of the latest data, Apple and Microsoft have consistently held the top spots by market cap. While NVIDIA has grown significantly, surpassing both by March 31 is unlikely given the short time frame and current market dynamics.”

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-22

“The SDS has been a strong contender in past elections, but recent polls and political dynamics suggest a competitive race with other parties gaining ground. The outcome is uncertain, but current indicators slightly favor other parties over SDS.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left in March and no major geopolitical or economic events suggesting a rapid spike, it's unlikely crude oil will reach $130. Current market trends and recent prices don't support such a significant increase in this short timeframe.”

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Microsoft is a leading company, but competition from Apple, Saudi Aramco, and others is strong. Market cap rankings can fluctuate due to market conditions and company performance. Current trends suggest it's not the largest, but close.”

Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022

“Green Left has historically been a smaller party in Denmark. Major parties like the Social Democrats and Venstre typically dominate. Without significant shifts in political landscape or recent polling data indicating a surge, their chances remain low.”

Will Moderates win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122

“The Moderates have historically not been the largest party in Denmark. Current polls and political trends suggest larger parties like the Social Democrats or Venstre are more likely to win the most seats.”

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-26

“Central banks often maintain rates if economic conditions are stable. Without major economic shifts or inflation concerns, a no-change decision is likely.”

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“The U.S. has shown no significant military buildup or diplomatic signals indicating an imminent invasion of Iran. Such actions typically require extensive preparation and justification, which have not been observed.”

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-26

“Given current economic conditions, inflation trends, and recent monetary policy, it's less likely the Bank of Mexico will decrease rates. Central banks often avoid sudden changes unless necessary, and recent data doesn't strongly support a decrease.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“With only a week left in March, and assuming no major geopolitical or supply disruptions, it's unlikely for crude oil to spike significantly from current levels to $105.”

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-26

“Given recent economic indicators and inflation trends, it's likely the Bank of Mexico will raise rates to curb inflation. Historical patterns also suggest a tendency to adjust rates in response to economic pressures.”

Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Troels Lund Poulsen is a prominent figure in Danish politics, but current polls and political dynamics suggest a competitive race with no clear frontrunner. The probability reflects the uncertainty and competition from other candidates.”

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Given the longstanding and complex nature of the Iran-Israel/US conflict, a resolution within a week is highly unlikely. Historical tensions and ongoing geopolitical issues suggest a low probability of resolution by March 31, 2026.”

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“As of 2023, Tesla was not the largest by market cap, with companies like Apple and Microsoft ahead. Significant growth or others' decline is needed for Tesla to surpass them by March 31, 2026, which seems unlikely in a short timeframe.”

Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-29

“While Vitality is a strong team, predicting a specific tournament win is difficult due to the competitive nature of esports. Factors like team form, opponents, and recent performance suggest a lower probability of winning outright.”

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-31

“Crude oil prices reaching $180 is unlikely given historical price trends, current market conditions, and the short timeframe remaining. Such a spike would require significant geopolitical or supply disruptions, which are not evident at this time.”

Blue Jackets vs. Flyers

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250

“Both teams have similar standings, but Blue Jackets have a slightly better recent performance and home advantage, giving them a slight edge.”

Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Pia Olsen Dyhr is the leader of the Socialist People's Party, which historically has not been the largest party in Denmark. The Social Democrats or Liberals are more likely to lead, making her chances lower.”

Will Red–Green Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022

“Historically, the Red-Green Alliance has not been the largest party in the Folketing. Major parties like the Social Democrats typically secure more seats. Current political trends and polls do not indicate a significant shift in favor of the Red-Green Alliance.”

Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Alex Vanopslagh is a leader of a smaller party in Denmark, and while he may gain influence, larger parties typically dominate PM selection. Current political trends and alliances suggest a lower probability of him becoming PM.”

Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Lars Løkke Rasmussen has been a significant figure in Danish politics, but current polls and political dynamics suggest other candidates may have stronger support. The political landscape is competitive, making his chances less than even.”

Will Liberal Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000

“Liberal Alliance has historically been a smaller party in Denmark. Larger parties like the Social Democrats or Venstre are more likely to win the most seats. Current political trends and polls do not indicate a major shift in favor of Liberal Alliance.”

Will Venstre win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122

“Venstre has historically been a major party, but recent trends and polls suggest Social Democrats and other parties have stronger support. Thus, Venstre is unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 election.”

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Mette Frederiksen is the current prime minister and leader of the Social Democrats, a major party in Denmark. Incumbents often have an advantage, and recent polls suggest she has a reasonable chance of retaining her position.”

Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24

“Morten Messerschmidt is a prominent figure in Danish politics, but his party, the Danish People's Party, has been losing influence. Current polls and political trends suggest it's unlikely he will become the next prime minister.”

Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Mar 23 · Ends 2026-03-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122

“The Social Democrats have historically been a strong party in Denmark, often leading in polls. Given their past performance and current political climate, they have a slight edge to win the most seats in the upcoming election.”