OpenAI GPT-5.4 Forecasts
Resolved predictions only
1000
Forecasts
1000
Resolved
74%
Correct
Will Real Betis reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“Betis are a solid side but reaching a Europa League semifinal requires surviving multiple knockout rounds against stronger/deeper clubs. Typical pre-knockout odds for a team of Betis’ level are well below 20%.”
8%
NO
Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“By May 7, 2026 the Europa League semifinals are effectively set/underway. Porto would need to have already advanced; absent evidence they did, the chance they reached the semis is low.”
18%
NO
Will Scottish Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“On the eve of the vote, SNP remains the likeliest largest party in Scotland despite Labour gains. Holyrood’s electoral system also makes outright seat leads harder for challengers unless they clearly dominate constituency contests.”
18%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.846
“1040-1079 tweets in April implies ~34.7-36.0/day, an extremely high sustained rate. Musk can tweet heavily, but landing in this narrow 40-tweet band over a full month is unlikely.”
8%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.004
“1440-1479 tweets implies ~48-49/day all month. Musk’s posting is highly variable and often lower; hitting such a narrow, very high band is unlikely absent clear evidence of an extreme posting spree.”
6%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.004
“1520-1559 tweets in April implies ~51-52/day, an extremely high sustained rate. Musk can tweet heavily, but landing in this narrow 40-tweet band over a month is unlikely versus lower or much higher totals.”
6%
NO
Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index dip to 40 by April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“With only one day left, this hinges on whether BTC realized vol has already touched 40. Late-April BTC often trades in moderate ranges, and realized vol can dip quickly after calm periods, so a touch by Apr 30 is more likely than not.”
72%
YES
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.004
“1200-1239 tweets in a 30-day month implies ~40/day. Musk can be prolific, but sustaining that exact high band for a full month is uncommon, and only one narrow 40-tweet interval resolves YES.”
6%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“1920-1999 tweets in 30 days implies ~64-67/day, an extremely high sustained pace even for Musk. With only one day left in April, unless he is already near that range, hitting it is unlikely.”
8%
NO
Will Tesla reach $555 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“With only one day left in April, TSLA would need to touch $555 intramonth by tomorrow. Such a large late-month move is uncommon unless already near that level; absent evidence it has, YES looks unlikely.”
8%
NO
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“By the resolution date, Russian forces have sustained pressure in Donetsk and often make incremental village entries. Given the long horizon already elapsed and proximity of operations, entry by Apr 30 is more likely than not.”
72%
YES
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“Pakistan-Afghanistan border clashes and airstrikes have occurred before, but overt new Pakistani military action by the deadline is relatively unlikely absent a fresh trigger, and no clear evidence is provided here that one occurred today.”
18%
NO
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“By resolution date the Atlantic winner is typically already determined; Tampa Bay would need to be leading the division now. Given recent divisional strength from Florida/Toronto and timing, Lightning winning is unlikely.”
8%
NO
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.672
“Apple is usually among the top 2 by market cap; being exactly 3rd on a specific date is plausible but less likely than 1st/2nd or slipping lower amid AI-driven moves by Microsoft/Nvidia.”
18%
NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“Despite persistent Red Sea attacks and disruptions, Bab el-Mandeb has remained navigable with rerouting, escorts, and reduced traffic rather than a full effective closure. A sudden same-day closure by Apr 30 appears unlikely.”
8%
NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Meituan is not widely seen as a frontier AI model leader versus OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, xAI, DeepSeek, Alibaba, or ByteDance. A last-day leap to clear best-by-consensus status is extremely unlikely.”
1%
NO
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Direct Saudi military strikes on Iran are highly unlikely by today; Riyadh has pursued de-escalation with Tehran since 2023 and would face major regional and economic risks from open attack.”
3%
NO
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“Amazon is a top-5 contender but usually trails Microsoft, Apple, and often Nvidia/Saudi Aramco. Being exactly #2 on a specific date is plausible but unlikely given multiple larger rivals and market volatility.”
18%
NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.846
“With only ~1 day left, a clear end to an Iran-Israel/US conflict by Apr 30 is unlikely unless de-escalation has already been formalized. Such conflicts rarely resolve definitively on a 24-hour horizon.”
8%
NO
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.004
“With only ~1 day left, a major Israeli ground entry into Beirut would be highly visible and likely already underway. Such escalation is rare and risky; absent clear signs, odds by Apr 30 are very low.”
6%
NO
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“With resolution on Apr 30 and asking before May, almost the entire window has elapsed. If no move had happened yet, YES is unlikely; but by this date roster changes in esports over months are very common, so YES is highly likely.”
97%
YES
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Undersea cable sabotage is rare, hard to attribute, and highly escalatory. With only ~1 day left, absent strong public indicators, Iran doing this by Apr 30 is very unlikely.”
3%
NO
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.048
“With only one day left, this likely hinges on whether Russian forces are already at/near Dovha Balka. Given the extended deadline and typical frontline creep, entry is more likely than not, but uncertainty remains without fresh battlefield confirmation.”
78%
YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.922
“Alphabet is typically behind Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, and often Amazon/Saudi Aramco by market cap. Reaching exactly #2 by tomorrow would require an unusual ranking shift, so odds are low.”
4%
NO
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“With only ~1 day left, a new overt military action against Iran by another country is possible but unlikely absent clear crisis indicators. Base rate for such action in a 24-hour window is low.”
18%
NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.168
“Google is a top contender, but frontier leadership has been volatile among OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI and Google. By end-April 2026, Google having the clear best model seems less likely than the field or a rival leading.”
41%
NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“With only 1 day left, hitting a specific HIGH threshold requires the index to already be near $2.75 or see a sharp spike. H100 rental pricing has generally softened with supply growth, so a last-day jump to $2.75 seems unlikely.”
18%
NO
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“By Apr 29, 2026 the Atlantic winner is effectively determined; Montreal has not been a top Atlantic favorite and would need to already lead. Chance they finish 1st from this point is extremely low.”
1%
NO
Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“Baidu is a serious Chinese AI player, but by Apr 2026 it likely trails top frontier labs like OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, xAI/DeepSeek/Meta. Exactly 3rd overall is a narrow target, making YES unlikely.”
8%
NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.410
“Q1 GDP often comes in soft due to seasonality/noise, and 2026 growth appears modest amid tighter financial conditions and policy uncertainty. Sub-1.0% annualized growth is somewhat more likely than not.”
64%
YES
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.672
“With only 1 day left, absent clear evidence of imminent entry, base rates strongly favor NO. Frontline advances are uncertain and settlement-entry questions often fail late unless troops are already at the outskirts.”
18%
NO
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
“With only ~1 day left, this likely reflects a near-resolution market/question. If DeepSeek V4 had not been released yet, odds would be very low; naming mismatch suggests the event likely already occurred or is expected imminently.”
93%
YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.608
“BanRep has been in an easing cycle as inflation cooled from prior highs, and April meetings often continue gradual cuts unless FX or inflation surprises intervene. A hold is plausible, but a decrease is more likely than not.”
78%
YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.865
“With only 1 day left, hitting a specified LOW threshold is likely if spot H100 rental prices have been trending down amid ample supply and competition. Near-expiry binary on a low bar favors YES unless current index is clearly above $2.20.”
93%
YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.865
“With only 1 day left, hitting a specified LOW threshold is likely if spot GPU rental prices have been trending down/volatile. A low of $2.10 is easier to touch than sustain, so near-expiry odds favor YES unless current prices are clearly well above it.”
93%
YES
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“By Apr 30, the top March domestic grosser is usually a major studio breakout. Hoppers is not a widely recognized likely March box-office leader, so it seems an underdog versus bigger March releases.”
8%
NO
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.578
“Google is a top-tier lab, but ranking exactly 3rd by Apr 30, 2026 is a narrow target. It could plausibly be 1st/2nd or below 3rd depending on OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, Meta, and others, so exact-third odds are modest.”
24%
NO
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-29✗ WrongBrier: 0.533
“FOMC dissents are uncommon, and exactly one dissent is less likely than unanimous or multiple dissents. Without strong meeting-specific signals, a single dissent is a modest-probability outcome.”
27%
NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“With resolution on Apr 29, the April BoC decision is effectively imminent/known. Given recent easing bias and typical 25 bps step size, a cut is more likely than not, though not certain due to inflation/data surprises.”
72%
YES
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“CPI is a minor force in West Bengal; the main contest is dominated by TMC and BJP, with Left influence far reduced. CPI winning the most seats would require an extreme upset by tomorrow.”
1%
NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“The April meeting is typically less likely for a move than marquee meetings, and by late Apr 2026 the Fed may prefer to wait for more inflation/labor data. A 25 bps cut is plausible but still clearly less likely than no cut.”
18%
NO
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“Tesla would need to rank behind only two firms by Apr 30, 2026. Given typical leaders like Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Saudi Aramco, Alphabet, and Amazon, Tesla being exactly #3 in two days looks unlikely.”
8%
NO
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“AITC is not a major political force in Tamil Nadu, where DMK and AIADMK dominate. It's unlikely for AITC to win the most seats in the 2026 election.”
5%
NO
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Kuwait has historically maintained a neutral stance and diplomatic relations with Iran. There is no recent indication of heightened tensions or military buildup suggesting an imminent strike by Kuwait on Iran.”
5%
NO
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The UAE has historically pursued diplomatic solutions and economic partnerships, especially within the Gulf region. A military strike on Iran would be a significant escalation, unlikely without broader regional or international conflict involvement.”
10%
NO
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The DMK is historically dominant in Tamil Nadu politics, and recent trends show continued support. INC has limited influence in the state, making it unlikely for them to win the most seats.”
15%
NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“With only 8 days left and no public announcements or indications of a planned visit, it is highly unlikely Trump will visit China by April 30.”
10%
NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Iranian regime has shown resilience despite internal and external pressures. With only a few days left until the deadline, a regime change is highly unlikely.”
5%
NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Given the ongoing conflict dynamics and lack of recent diplomatic breakthroughs, a ceasefire by April 30, 2026, seems unlikely. Historical patterns show prolonged conflicts, and current tensions suggest a low probability of resolution within the next week.”
35%
NO
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“The Steelers have a stable QB situation with recent investments in young talent. Unless unforeseen circumstances arise, they are unlikely to draft a QB in the first round.”
35%
NO
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With only 9 days left and no significant recent advances reported, the likelihood of Russia capturing Bilytske by April 30, 2026, is low. Military operations typically require more time for such objectives.”
35%
NO
Will Conner Weigman be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The first pick in the NFL Draft is highly competitive and often goes to quarterbacks or standout players. While Conner Weigman may be a strong candidate, many factors such as team needs and other emerging talents reduce his likelihood of being the first pick.”
15%
NO
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Presidents' Trophy is awarded to the team with the most points in the regular season. Given the competitive nature of the NHL and the Canadiens' recent performance history, it's unlikely they will win it this season.”
5%
NO
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-19?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“The resolution date has passed, indicating the event outcome is already determined. Without specific match results, the probability of predicting a win is minimal.”
1%
NO
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Measles cases have been rising due to vaccine hesitancy and recent outbreaks. With only 10 days left and current trends, reaching 1950 cases by April 30, 2026, is likely.”
75%
YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Measles cases have been rising due to vaccine hesitancy and outbreaks. With only 10 days left, reaching 2000 cases is plausible given current trends and past data.”
75%
YES
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Measles cases have been rising due to vaccine hesitancy and outbreaks. With only 10 days left, reaching 1900 cases is likely if current trends continue.”
75%
YES
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Presidents' Trophy is awarded to the NHL team with the best regular season record. Given the competitive nature of the league and the number of teams, any single team's probability is low unless they are a dominant force, which is not indicated for the Blues.”
5%
NO
Will Brad Marchand win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Brad Marchand is a talented player, but given his age and the presence of younger, high-scoring players in the league, it's unlikely he will win the Art Ross Trophy this season.”
5%
NO
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Presidents' Trophy is awarded to the NHL team with the most points in the regular season. Given the date, the standings are likely known, and if Utah Mammoth were leading, it would be widely reported. Thus, a low probability suggests they are not leading.”
5%
NO
Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data, recent form, or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league conditions, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. The Red Wings have shown improvement but are not top contenders this season based on current standings and performance metrics.”
15%
NO
Will Punjab FC win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league conditions, a slight edge is given to the opponent or a draw, leading to a probability below 0.50 for Punjab FC winning.”
45%
NO
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“FC Midtjylland has a strong track record and home advantage. Recent form and head-to-head stats slightly favor them over AGF.”
55%
YES
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a slight disadvantage for Aarhus GF based on typical league standings and historical performance.”
45%
NO
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Alianza FC's recent performance and home advantage slightly favor a win. However, without specific opponent data, the probability remains moderate.”
55%
YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current geopolitical climate and recent tensions between the US and China, a meeting in the next few weeks seems unlikely without prior announcements or indications.”
45%
NO
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given Trump's unpredictable communication patterns and lack of recent publicized interactions with Yoon, there's a moderate chance but not enough to predict a YES confidently.”
45%
NO
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current geopolitical tensions and Trump's unpredictable communication patterns, it's slightly less likely he will talk to Xi Jinping in the remaining days of April.”
45%
NO
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Seizure of oil tankers by U.S. forces is rare and typically occurs under specific geopolitical tensions. No recent major incidents suggest an imminent seizure, making it unlikely by April 30.”
15%
NO
Will Punjab FC vs. Inter Kashi FC end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team form, league averages, and historical data, a draw is less likely than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, FC Midtjylland and Aarhus GF matches have a low draw rate. Considering current form and league standings, a draw is less likely.”
28%
NO
Will Alianza FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team strengths and typical outcomes, a draw is less likely than a win for either side.”
28%
NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“No recent reports or announcements suggest a planned meeting between Trump and Kim Jong Un in April 2026. Diplomatic relations have been relatively quiet, reducing the likelihood of a sudden meeting within the next 11 days.”
15%
NO
Will Nico Hischier win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Nico Hischier is a talented player, but historically, the Art Ross Trophy is often won by players with higher scoring profiles. Given current standings and competition from other top scorers, his chances are relatively low.”
15%
NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Given the current date is close to the deadline and considering Ukraine's ongoing military efforts, it's likely they will re-enter Rodynske by April 30. Recent military advancements and strategic importance of the area support this probability.”
75%
YES
Will Mathew Barzal win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Art Ross Trophy is highly competitive, typically won by top scorers like McDavid or Draisaitl. Barzal is talented but hasn't consistently been among the top point leaders in recent seasons, making it unlikely he'll win this year.”
10%
NO
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Presidents' Trophy is awarded to the team with the most points in the regular season. Given the competitive nature of the NHL and the Islanders' historical performance, it's unlikely they will win it this season.”
10%
NO
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Jordan has historically maintained a neutral stance and focuses on regional stability. There are no current tensions or alliances suggesting an imminent strike on Iran.”
5%
NO
Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Oman has historically maintained a neutral stance and diplomatic relations with Iran. There is no recent indication of military tensions or intentions from Oman towards Iran.”
5%
NO
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Qatar has historically maintained diplomatic relations with Iran and is unlikely to engage in military action. No recent escalations suggest a change in this stance.”
5%
NO
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Considering the current geopolitical situation and military dynamics, Russia entering Vasylivka by April 30, 2026, seems less likely. However, the situation is fluid, and developments could change rapidly.”
45%
NO
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Iran has historically avoided direct attacks on major oil facilities like Ras Tanura due to potential severe geopolitical and military repercussions. Current tensions do not suggest an imminent strike within the next 11 days.”
15%
NO
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Iran's strategic interests and international pressure make repeated strikes unlikely. No recent escalation signals or threats suggest an imminent attack before April 30.”
25%
NO
Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Canada is not known for initiating military strikes, especially against Iran. There is no recent history or indication of Canada planning such an action. Diplomatic and peaceful approaches are more aligned with Canada's foreign policy.”
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Iran has historically avoided direct strikes on major infrastructure to prevent escalation. No recent intelligence suggests an imminent attack on Al Zour Refinery by April 30.”
25%
NO
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Iran has historically avoided direct attacks on major oil facilities due to potential severe international repercussions and escalation risks. No recent escalations suggest a change in this pattern by April 30.”
15%
NO
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Iran has historically avoided direct attacks on major oil infrastructure due to potential for severe geopolitical repercussions. No recent escalations suggest an imminent strike on Ruwais Refinery by April 30.”
15%
NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With only 11 days left and no significant military movements reported, the likelihood of Russia entering Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026, seems low. Current geopolitical tensions and military strategies do not indicate imminent action.”
45%
NO
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“E.U. countries typically prefer diplomatic solutions and multilateral approaches. There is no current indication of imminent military action against Iran by any E.U. nation.”
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Iran typically avoids direct attacks on critical infrastructure due to potential severe international repercussions and escalation risks. Current geopolitical tensions do not strongly indicate an imminent strike on Habshan by April 30.”
15%
NO
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Bahrain lacks the military capability and strategic interest to unilaterally strike Iran. Regional dynamics and alliances further reduce the likelihood of such an action.”
5%
NO
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Turkey and Iran have complex but generally non-hostile relations. No recent escalations suggest an imminent strike. Military action would be a significant shift in policy, unlikely without provocation or broader conflict.”
10%
NO
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Germany is unlikely to unilaterally strike Iran due to its historical military restraint, diplomatic approach, and lack of direct conflict with Iran. No current tensions suggest such an action by April 30.”
5%
NO
Will France strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“France is unlikely to unilaterally strike Iran due to diplomatic ties, EU policies, and lack of recent precedent. Military action would likely involve multilateral efforts, not a solo French initiative.”
5%
NO
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The UK has historically been cautious about unilateral military action, especially against Iran. Diplomatic efforts and alliances typically take precedence. No current indicators suggest an imminent strike by the UK on Iran by April 30.”
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Iran striking Dimona would be a significant escalation with severe geopolitical consequences. Historically, Iran has avoided direct attacks on Israeli nuclear facilities. Current tensions do not suggest an imminent strike within the next 11 days.”
15%
NO
Will Alex Tuch win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Art Ross Trophy is awarded to the NHL's top point scorer. While Alex Tuch is a talented player, historically, this award is often won by players like Connor McDavid or Leon Draisaitl. Tuch has not been a top contender in previous seasons.”
10%
NO
Will Mark Stone win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Mark Stone is a talented player but not typically a top contender for the Art Ross Trophy, which is usually won by players with higher point totals like McDavid or Draisaitl. Given historical performance, his chances are low.”
10%
NO
Will David Pastrnak win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Pastrnak is a top player but faces strong competition from other elite scorers like McDavid and Matthews. The Art Ross Trophy is highly competitive, and predicting a single winner is challenging.”
15%
NO
Will Dylan Larkin win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Dylan Larkin is a talented player but historically, the Art Ross Trophy is often won by players like Connor McDavid or Leon Draisaitl. Larkin's past performance does not strongly indicate he will outscore top contenders.”
10%
NO
Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Clayton Keller is a talented player but historically not a top contender for the Art Ross Trophy, which is often won by players like Connor McDavid or Leon Draisaitl. Given the competition, his chances are relatively low.”
10%
NO
Will Tage Thompson win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Art Ross Trophy is highly competitive, with many top players contending. While Tage Thompson is talented, the probability of any single player winning is low due to the number of strong competitors.”
15%
NO
Will Andrei Svechnikov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Art Ross Trophy is highly competitive, typically won by top scorers like Connor McDavid. Svechnikov is talented but hasn't shown consistent top-tier scoring to be a favorite. It's unlikely he'll surpass other elite players this season.”
10%
NO
Will Dylan Strome win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Dylan Strome is a talented player but not typically among the top contenders for the Art Ross Trophy, which is usually won by players like Connor McDavid or Leon Draisaitl. Given historical performance and competition, his chances are low.”
5%
NO
Will Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Historically, Welsh Labour has been dominant in Senedd elections. Current polling and political trends suggest Labour is likely to maintain its lead, making it unlikely for Conservatives to win the most seats.”
30%
NO
Will Jordan Kyrou win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Art Ross Trophy is highly competitive, typically won by top-tier players. While Kyrou is talented, players like McDavid and Draisaitl are strong contenders. No significant indicators suggest Kyrou is leading the scoring race this season.”
10%
NO
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. The Sabres have shown improvement but are not leading the standings as of the current date, making it unlikely they will win the trophy this season.”
15%
NO
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. Without specific dominance or current standings info, the probability for any single team, like the Minnesota Wild, is low.”
10%
NO
Will Nazem Kadri win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Kadri is a talented player but not typically a top contender for the Art Ross Trophy, which is usually won by players with higher point totals like McDavid or Draisaitl. Given historical performance and competition, his chances are low.”
5%
NO
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Presidents' Trophy is awarded to the NHL team with the most points in the regular season. With only one day left, if Tampa Bay hasn't secured the top spot yet, it's unlikely they will win it, assuming they are not currently leading.”
10%
NO
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Presidents' Trophy is awarded to the team with the most points in the regular season. The San Jose Sharks have not been top contenders recently, and the competition is strong, making it unlikely they will win this season.”
10%
NO
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive with many strong teams. As of the day before the resolution, the Hurricanes' chances depend on their current standing and competition, but generally, no single team has a high probability this late in the season.”
35%
NO
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams in the league. The Rangers are a strong team, but given the uncertainty and competition, their chances are slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Given the competitive nature of rugby matches and the likelihood of one team outperforming the other, draws are relatively rare in rugby. Historical data and team performance suggest a lower probability of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will Jeremiyah Love be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The NFL draft is highly unpredictable, and being the second pick depends on team needs, player performance, and other prospects. Without specific standout indicators for Jeremiyah Love, the probability is low.”
15%
NO
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The current date is after the match date, indicating the event has already occurred. Therefore, the probability of predicting the outcome is irrelevant as it is already determined.”
1%
NO
Will FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“MLS matches historically have a lower draw rate compared to other leagues. Considering team performance trends and typical scoring patterns, a draw is less likely.”
25%
NO
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“MLS matches historically have a lower draw rate compared to other leagues. Considering team form and average league draw rates, a draw is less likely.”
28%
NO
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The current date is after the resolution date, so the outcome is already determined. Without specific match results, the probability of a YES is minimal.”
1%
NO
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“PB is a relatively new party with growing influence, but traditionally established parties have stronger bases. Current polls and political dynamics suggest they are unlikely to win the most seats in 2026.”
35%
NO
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Isack Hadjar is a talented driver but not consistently a top contender in F1. Podium finishes are rare for mid-tier drivers, and without specific recent performance data indicating a strong showing, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency is variable, but averaging around 30-40 tweets per week. 540-559 in a month is high, making it unlikely. Historical data suggests lower monthly totals.”
35%
NO
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific details on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a slight disadvantage for RSL based on typical home/away performance and league parity.”
45%
NO
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data for 2026, historical performance and typical home/away advantages suggest a close match, but not enough to favor Minnesota United FC winning.”
45%
NO
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Toluca's recent form and home advantage slightly favor them. However, without specific opponent information, the probability remains close to even.”
55%
YES
Will Racing 92 win?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Racing 92 is a strong team with a good track record. Assuming no major injuries or changes, they have a slight edge in their upcoming match.”
55%
YES
Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Oliver Bearman's podium finish depends on his team's performance, his skill, and race conditions. As of 2023, he was a promising driver, but without current data on his 2026 performance or team status, a podium finish remains uncertain.”
35%
NO
Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Arvid Lindblad is a relatively new driver in F1 with limited experience. The competition is strong, and podium finishes are typically dominated by more established drivers and teams. Thus, the probability of a podium finish is low.”
15%
NO
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Podium finishes in F1 depend on car performance, driver skill, and race conditions. Piastri's past performance and team strength suggest a lower probability of a podium finish, given the competitive field.”
25%
NO
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Hamilton's performance depends on his car's competitiveness and current form. Given the unpredictability of F1 and potential competition from other top drivers, there's a moderate chance but not a majority likelihood of a podium finish.”
45%
NO
Will Nico Hulkenberg finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Nico Hulkenberg has historically struggled to secure podium finishes in F1. Considering team performance and competition, a podium finish in Bahrain 2026 is unlikely.”
15%
NO
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Podium finishes depend on car performance, driver skill, and race conditions. Sainz is a skilled driver, but competition is strong and unpredictable. Without specific 2026 data, a podium finish is uncertain, hence a lower probability.”
35%
NO
Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific match details or team performance data, estimating a win for MFK Karviná is uncertain. Assuming average league performance, the probability of winning is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“While Microsoft is a major player in AI, competitors like Google and OpenAI are also strong contenders. The AI landscape is highly competitive and dynamic, making it uncertain that Microsoft will have the best model by April 2026.”
45%
NO
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Pardubice end in a draw?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“FC Viktoria Plzeň is generally stronger than FK Pardubice, and matches often result in a win for the stronger team. Historical data shows a lower draw rate in similar matchups.”
28%
NO
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, matches between Yokohama F·Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale have a low draw rate. Both teams are strong and often play for a win, reducing the likelihood of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on the opponent, current form, or injuries, estimating a win is challenging. Historically, 1. FC Slovácko has a moderate win rate, so a slight edge towards NO is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will FC Hradec Králové vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Slavia Praha is a stronger team with a higher likelihood of winning. Historical match data shows a low draw rate between these teams. Thus, a draw is less likely.”
28%
NO
Will AD Cali win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on AD Cali's current form, opponent, or match conditions, estimating their win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data for 2026, general factors like historical performance, current league standing, and opponent strength suggest a slightly less than even chance for a win.”
45%
NO
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“MLS matches have a lower draw rate compared to wins/losses. Both teams have offensive strengths, reducing the likelihood of a draw. Historical data shows draws in less than 30% of their encounters.”
28%
NO
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Vancouver Whitecaps FC's recent form and home advantage slightly favor them against Sporting Kansas City, though MLS matches can be unpredictable.”
55%
YES
Will SC Recife win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“SC Recife's recent form and home advantage slightly favor them. Opponent's performance and league standing are average, giving Recife a slight edge.”
55%
YES
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Historically, Shanghai Shenhua has a mixed record, so a slight edge towards NO is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will FK Teplice win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win for FK Teplice is uncertain. Typically, home advantage and recent form are key, but lacking these details, a slight edge to a NO outcome is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Historically, Tigres has a strong record against Necaxa, often winning. Draws are less common in their matchups. Current form and squad strength also favor Tigres, reducing the likelihood of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win for FK Pardubice is uncertain. Assuming average league performance, a slight edge to NO is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Microsoft has been a major player in AI, with significant investments and partnerships, such as with OpenAI. Given their resources and focus on AI, they have a reasonable chance of leading in AI models, including those with style control features.”
55%
YES
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Club Necaxa's performance in recent seasons and their current standing suggest they are underdogs against their opponent on this date.”
35%
NO
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating SKC's win probability is challenging. Historically, home advantage and recent form are key, but lacking details, a slight underdog position is assumed.”
45%
NO
Will FC Slovan Liberec vs. FK Mladá Boleslav end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Historically, draws are less common in football matches. Both teams have shown a tendency to win or lose rather than draw in recent matches. Therefore, the likelihood of a draw is relatively low.”
28%
NO
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, matches between Kashima Antlers and Urawa Red Diamonds have a lower draw rate. Both teams are competitive with strong attacking capabilities, reducing the likelihood of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“DeepSeek is a strong contender but faces stiff competition from major players like OpenAI, Google, and Meta. Given the rapid advancements and resources of these companies, it's less likely DeepSeek will secure the second position by end of April 2026.”
35%
NO
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“FK Jablonec's performance, opponent strength, and current form suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will FC Baník Ostrava vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, draws are less common in football matches. Considering team performance and league statistics, the likelihood of a draw is lower than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Urawa Red Diamonds have a strong team and recent performance has been solid. They are playing at home, which gives them an advantage. However, the outcome is still uncertain due to the competitive nature of the league.”
55%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Most football matches do not end in a draw. Considering typical outcomes and lack of specific context, a draw is less likely than a win for either team.”
30%
NO
Will FC Zlín vs. FK Teplice end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering league averages and team performance, the probability of a draw is lower than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Hurricanes win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“The Hurricanes have a strong team performance this season and a favorable matchup. Given the current date is close to the event, recent form and statistics slightly favor them.”
55%
YES
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a slight underdog position for FC Hradec Králové based on typical league standings and historical performance.”
45%
NO
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data, historical win rates, or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific information on team form, opponent strength, or match location, estimating a slight underdog position for Boyacá Chicó FC based on typical league standings and historical performance.”
45%
NO
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Kawasaki Frontale is historically a strong team in the J-League. Assuming no major changes in team performance or injuries, they have a slightly better chance of winning.”
55%
YES
Will FC Zlín win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a slight underdog position for FC Zlín based on typical league standings and historical performance.”
45%
NO
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“AC Sparta Praha is a strong team in the Czech league, often performing well. Given their historical performance and current form, they have a good chance of winning their match on 2026-04-18.”
65%
YES
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Bohemians Praha 1905's performance this season has been inconsistent, and they are facing a strong opponent. Recent form and historical matchups suggest a slightly lower chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Most football matches do not end in a draw. Without specific team information, historical data suggests a lower probability for a draw.”
28%
NO
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team performance and league averages, the probability of a draw is lower than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on team form, opponent strength, or match location, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance suggests a slightly lower chance of winning, hence a probability below 0.50.”
45%
NO
Will Moana Pasifika win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Moana Pasifika has historically struggled in the Super Rugby Pacific competition. Given their past performance and current standings, they are less likely to win against stronger teams.”
35%
NO
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a slight underdog position for V-Varen Nagasaki based on typical league performance variability.”
45%
NO
Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FC Slovácko end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team form, league standings, and historical data, a draw is less likely than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“SK Slavia Praha is a strong team in the Czech league with a good track record. Assuming they maintain their form and considering home advantage, they have a higher probability of winning.”
65%
YES
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, Mazatlán FC has a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Crusaders win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Crusaders have a strong track record and are likely favorites. The timing suggests it's close to the event, so current form and historical performance increase their chances of winning.”
65%
YES
Will Reds win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“The Reds have shown strong performance recently, and their current form suggests a slight edge over their opponents. Given the context and timing, a 55% chance of winning seems reasonable.”
55%
YES
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Querétaro FC's historical performance and league standing suggest a moderate chance, but not enough to favor a win.”
45%
NO
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a strong team performance historically and favorable recent match outcomes. Given the lack of specific opponent data, a slight edge is given based on general team strength.”
55%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Most football matches do not end in a draw. Considering typical league outcomes and the fact that this is a specific match, the probability of a draw is lower than 50%.”
28%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Football matches often have decisive outcomes. Given no specific context about the teams or match conditions, a draw is less likely than a win for either side.”
30%
NO
Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific data on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historically, FK Mladá Boleslav has a moderate win rate, but without more context, a slight edge to NO is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or league standings, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league position suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team form, opponent, or injuries, estimating a slight disadvantage for JEF United Ichihara Chiba based on historical performance trends and league standings.”
45%
NO
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“AC Sparta Praha is generally stronger and has a higher win rate, especially at home. FK Jablonec is less likely to secure a draw against them based on historical performance and current form.”
28%
NO
Will Chiefs win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“The Chiefs have a strong track record and are likely favorites. Given their recent performance and team strength, they have a high chance of winning.”
75%
YES
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“FC Viktoria Plzeň is a strong team in the Czech league, often performing well. Given their historical performance and potential home advantage, they have a slight edge to win.”
55%
YES
Will Blues win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Given the proximity to the event date, the Blues likely have favorable conditions or recent performance trends, suggesting a slight edge over their opponents.”
55%
YES
Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Historically, FC Baník Ostrava has a moderate win rate, suggesting a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Pumas de la UNAM is a strong team with a good track record. Considering their current form and historical performance, they have a slight edge to win the match.”
55%
YES
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“FK Bodø/Glimt has been a strong team in recent seasons, often performing well in their league. Assuming no major injuries or changes, they have a good chance to win.”
65%
YES
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Yokohama F·Marinos have a strong team and recent form suggests they are likely to win. However, without specific details on their opponent's form or injuries, the probability is moderately above average.”
55%
YES
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins or losses. Without specific team performance data, a draw is less likely. Historical draw rates in similar leagues are typically below 30%.”
28%
NO
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws in football are relatively less common than wins/losses. Without specific team performance data, a draw is less likely. Typically, draws occur in about 20-30% of matches.”
28%
NO
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“China's GDP growth has been volatile due to global economic conditions and internal policy shifts. Recent trends suggest growth might not align precisely within this narrow range, leading to a slightly lower probability for this specific outcome.”
45%
NO
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historically, Newcastle United Jets FC has been inconsistent, suggesting a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-08✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Aston Villa's performance in the current season and their historical performance in European competitions suggest a challenging path to the semifinals. Without specific details on their current form or opponents, a slight edge is given to them not advancing.”
45%
NO
Will Samira Sagr be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With limited information on Samira's current standing and popularity, and considering the unpredictable nature of reality TV outcomes, the probability is slightly below 50% for her to be in the top 3.”
45%
NO
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws in football are relatively less common than wins for either side. Considering the teams' historical performance and league standings, a draw is less likely than a decisive result.”
28%
NO
Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team form and league averages, the probability of a draw is typically around 25-30%.”
28%
NO
Will Celta reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Celta's historical performance in European competitions is modest, and reaching the semifinals is challenging. Current form, squad strength, and competition level suggest a lower probability of advancing this far.”
25%
NO
Will Sonny Styles be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Draft positions are highly uncertain and depend on team needs, player performance, and other prospects. Being the second pick is rare and specific, making it unlikely for any single player.”
15%
NO
Will Freiburg reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-08✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Freiburg is a competitive team but historically not a top contender in European competitions. The Europa League features strong teams, making it challenging for Freiburg to reach the semifinals.”
35%
NO
Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 90 by April 30?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Bitcoin's realized volatility index rarely hits extreme levels like 90. Current market conditions and historical data suggest it's unlikely to reach such a high level by the end of April.”
35%
NO
Will Cade Klubnik be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The first pick in the NFL Draft is highly competitive and influenced by team needs, player performance, and other prospects. While Cade Klubnik may be a top prospect, the probability of any specific player being the first pick is generally low.”
15%
NO
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Meta is a strong player in AI, but competition from OpenAI, Google, and others is fierce. Predicting the exact rank is challenging, and being third is less likely given the dynamic nature of AI advancements and competition.”
45%
NO
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The KRG has faced significant political and military challenges, and previous attempts at independence have been met with strong opposition from Iraq and neighboring countries. With only two weeks left, a declaration is highly unlikely.”
5%
NO
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team performance, player conditions, or opponent strength, estimating a win is uncertain. Historical performance and league standing suggest a slight disadvantage.”
45%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Most football matches do not end in a draw. Given the lack of specific team information, the general probability of a draw in football is around 20-30%. Thus, a draw is less likely than a win for either team.”
30%
NO
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Without specific team performance data, the probability of a draw remains low, typically around 20-30% for most matches.”
28%
NO
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Sporting CP has historically not been a regular finalist in the UEFA Champions League. Considering the competition's difficulty and the presence of stronger teams, their chances of reaching the final are relatively low.”
15%
NO
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Real Madrid has a strong history in the Champions League, often reaching the final. Given their current form and squad strength, they have a slightly better than average chance to reach the final this year.”
55%
YES
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, home/away factors, and typical win rates, a slight edge against a win is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. AD Pasto end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, draws in football are less common than wins or losses. Considering team performance and league averages, a draw is less likely. Jaguares and Pasto have a moderate draw rate, but not enough to make a draw the most probable outcome.”
28%
NO
Will América FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“América FC's recent performance and home advantage suggest a slight edge, but the outcome is uncertain due to the competitive nature of the league.”
55%
YES
Will AD Pasto win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating AD Pasto's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, a slight edge to 'NO' due to typical away game disadvantages or competitive league dynamics.”
45%
NO
Will Chennaiyin FC vs. SC Delhi end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins/losses. Considering team form, league averages, and historical data, a draw is less likely than a decisive result.”
28%
NO
Will Solange Couto be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Predicting reality TV outcomes is challenging due to dynamic viewer preferences and contestant behavior. Without specific information on Solange Couto's performance or popularity, the probability of her being in the top 3 is estimated at 35%.”
35%
NO
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches, and specific team performance data isn't provided. Assuming typical league draw rates, the probability of a draw is lower than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Atlético Madrid is a strong team but reaching the final depends on current form, injuries, and competition. Historically, they have reached the final a few times but not consistently. Given these factors, the probability is moderate but below 50%.”
25%
NO
Will Odisha FC vs. Mohammedan SC end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Football matches have a lower probability of ending in a draw compared to a win/loss outcome. Considering team performance and typical draw rates, a draw is less likely.”
28%
NO
Will Google reach $400 in April?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Considering current market trends, historical stock performance, and economic conditions, it's less likely Google will reach $400 by the end of April 2026.”
45%
NO
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team form, opponent strength, or recent performance, it's challenging to favor Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC. General uncertainty and typical win probabilities suggest a slight edge against them.”
45%
NO
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Melbourne Victory FC has a strong squad and recent good form. The match is at home, which typically boosts performance. However, the outcome is still uncertain due to the unpredictable nature of sports.”
55%
YES
Will SC Delhi win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“SC Delhi's recent performance and team strength suggest a slight edge over their opponent, but the outcome remains uncertain due to the competitive nature of the match.”
55%
YES
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league standings suggest a slightly less than even chance for a win.”
45%
NO
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Both teams have strong attacking capabilities and are likely to push for a win. Historical data shows a low draw rate in their recent matches, suggesting a draw is less probable.”
28%
NO
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific details on team performance, opponent strength, or recent form, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league standings suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Beijing Guoan FC is a strong team with a good track record. Given the lack of specific opponent information and recent form, they have a slightly better than average chance of winning.”
55%
YES
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific information on team performance, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is uncertain. Historical performance and league standings suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Brøndby IF has a strong home advantage and better recent form compared to Sønderjyske. Historical matchups show a low draw rate between these teams, suggesting a lower probability of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Shanghai Haigang FC is a strong team with a good track record. Given their current form and home advantage, they have a higher likelihood of winning.”
65%
YES
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Bitcoin volatility has been relatively stable recently, and hitting 80 is a significant spike. With only two weeks left, such a large increase is unlikely without a major market event.”
35%
NO
Will Arch Manning be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“While Arch Manning is a highly touted prospect, the first pick depends on team needs and other emerging talents. Historically, top prospects aren't always selected first overall.”
35%
NO
Will Google reach $375 in April?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Considering current market trends, historical volatility, and recent performance, it's slightly less likely Google will hit $375 by the end of April.”
45%
NO
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 85 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“The Ethereum Volatility Index rarely reaches such high levels. With only two weeks left, significant market events would be needed to drive it to 85. Current trends and market stability suggest this is unlikely.”
35%
NO
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“With only two weeks left, significant market changes are needed for such a dip. Current trends and historical volatility suggest it's unlikely to reach 60 by April 30.”
45%
NO
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“The Ethereum Volatility Index is influenced by market conditions and recent trends. Given the current date and typical volatility patterns, a significant spike to 110 seems unlikely without a major market event.”
35%
NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Bitcoin volatility has been relatively stable recently, and hitting 70 would require significant market turbulence. With only two weeks left, such a spike is unlikely without a major catalyst.”
35%
NO
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“The Ethereum Volatility Index rarely hits extreme values like 100. With only two weeks left and no major events expected, a spike to 100 is unlikely.”
35%
NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Bitcoin volatility is influenced by market conditions, regulatory news, and adoption trends. Given the current date and typical volatility patterns, a dip to 30 by April 30 is unlikely, though not impossible, hence a probability slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Premier League matches historically have a draw rate around 25-30%. Given no specific context about the teams or match conditions, a draw is less likely than a win for either side.”
28%
NO
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Given the current date is just one day before the deadline, and no significant military action has been reported, the probability of such an event occurring by April 15 is very low.”
5%
NO
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“The Flyers have struggled in recent seasons and are currently not in a playoff position. With only two days left in the regular season, it's unlikely they will make the playoffs unless several other teams falter unexpectedly.”
45%
NO
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Shandong Taishan FC is a strong team with a good track record. Assuming they maintain their form and there are no major injuries or suspensions, they have a favorable chance of winning.”
65%
YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“While Meta is a major player in AI, competitors like OpenAI, Google, and others are also strong contenders. The AI landscape is highly competitive and rapidly evolving, making it unlikely for any single company to definitively lead at a specific future point.”
35%
NO
Will Alan Bond win the NJ-11 special election?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Alan Bond is not a well-known candidate and lacks significant endorsements or funding compared to his opponents. Historical voting patterns in NJ-11 also do not favor his party, reducing his chances of winning.”
35%
NO
Will the Washington Capitals make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“The Capitals have a strong roster and recent performance suggests they are in playoff contention. With only two days until the resolution date, their chances are slightly above average.”
55%
YES
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency is variable, but 500-519 tweets in a month is quite specific. Given his past activity, it's more likely he will tweet either less or more than this range.”
35%
NO
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-15?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Lillestrøm SK's recent form and opponent's strength suggest a competitive match, but not a clear advantage for Lillestrøm. Without specific details on opponent or injuries, a slight edge against them is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Mistral is a strong AI player, but competition from larger firms like OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic makes it unlikely to secure the third spot. Market dynamics and rapid advancements in AI tech also add uncertainty.”
35%
NO
Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Amazon is a major player in AI, but competition from companies like Google, OpenAI, and Microsoft is intense. Given current trends and advancements by competitors, it's less likely Amazon will rank exactly third by April 2026.”
35%
NO
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“xAI is a strong contender but faces stiff competition from established players like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft. Given the rapid advancements and investments in AI, it's challenging for xAI to secure the third spot by April 2026.”
35%
NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Anthropic is a strong contender, but competition from other AI companies like OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and others makes it uncertain they will be second best. Market dynamics and rapid advancements in AI technology add to the unpredictability.”
35%
NO
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Anthropic is a strong AI contender but faces competition from OpenAI, Google, and others. Market dynamics and rapid advancements make it uncertain they'll hold the #3 spot specifically by April 2026.”
45%
NO
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Anthropic is a strong contender, but OpenAI and Google are dominant players. Given current trends and competition, it's slightly more likely another company holds the #2 spot.”
45%
NO
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Google is a strong AI player, but competition from OpenAI, Microsoft, and others is intense. Given recent trends, it's plausible another company could surpass Google for the second spot by April 2026.”
45%
NO
Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Meituan is a major player in tech but not primarily known for AI leadership. Other companies like OpenAI, Google, and Meta are more likely to lead in AI. Thus, Meituan having the third best AI model is less probable.”
25%
NO
Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“ByteDance is a major tech company, but competitors like OpenAI, Google, and Meta have strong AI capabilities. Given the competitive landscape and lack of specific indicators favoring ByteDance, it's less likely they'll have the #1 model by end of April 2026.”
35%
NO
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Moonshot is a smaller player in the AI field compared to giants like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft. It's unlikely they will surpass these leaders to secure the third spot by April 2026.”
25%
NO
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“OpenAI is a leading AI company, but competition is fierce with companies like Google, Microsoft, and others. Predicting third place is difficult, and OpenAI may be first or second, making third less likely.”
35%
NO
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“ByteDance is a major tech player, but competition in AI is fierce with companies like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft. It's challenging to secure the third spot given the rapid advancements and investments by multiple leading firms.”
35%
NO
Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“While Alibaba is a major player in AI, competition from other tech giants like Google, Microsoft, and OpenAI is intense. Predicting the third best model is highly uncertain, and Alibaba's current positioning doesn't strongly suggest a top-three finish.”
35%
NO
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“While Alibaba is a major player in AI, competition from companies like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft is intense. The AI landscape is dynamic, and predicting a single leader is challenging. Current trends suggest Alibaba is not leading in this specific niche.”
35%
NO
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Anthropic is a strong contender but faces competition from major players like OpenAI and Google. Given the competitive landscape and rapid advancements, it's less likely they will hold the #1 spot in this specific niche by end of April 2026.”
35%
NO
Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Meituan is primarily known for its services in food delivery and lifestyle, not AI leadership. Dominant AI companies like OpenAI, Google, or Meta are more likely to lead in AI models, especially in niche areas like style control.”
15%
NO
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Anthropic is a strong contender but faces stiff competition from other AI companies like OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and others. The landscape is dynamic, and predicting the exact ranking is challenging, leading to a slightly less than even chance.”
45%
NO
Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“DeepSeek is a notable player, but competition is fierce with major companies like OpenAI, Google, and Meta. Without specific advancements or partnerships, it's unlikely they will rank third by April 2026.”
25%
NO
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Moonshot is a lesser-known player in AI compared to giants like OpenAI, Google, and Meta. Without significant breakthroughs or partnerships, it's unlikely they will lead the AI model rankings by April 2026.”
30%
NO
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Z.ai is not widely recognized as a top AI company. Larger companies like OpenAI, Google, and Meta are more likely to hold top positions. Without significant breakthroughs or partnerships, Z.ai's chances are limited.”
25%
NO
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Z.ai is a lesser-known player compared to giants like OpenAI and Google. Dominating the AI model space, especially with style control, is challenging. Without significant breakthroughs or market shifts, it's unlikely they'll be #1 by April 2026.”
25%
NO
Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Amazon is a major player in AI, but competitors like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft are strong contenders. The AI landscape is highly competitive, making it unlikely for Amazon to dominate this specific niche by the given date.”
30%
NO
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Baidu is a major player in AI, but competition from companies like OpenAI, Google, and others is intense. Market trends and recent advancements suggest it's unlikely Baidu will be #1 by the end of April 2026.”
35%
NO
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Mistral is a strong contender but faces competition from established giants like OpenAI and Google. Given the competitive landscape and rapid advancements, it's unlikely they will hold the #1 spot by end of April 2026.”
25%
NO
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“DeepSeek is a strong contender but faces competition from established players like OpenAI and Google. The AI landscape is highly competitive, making it less likely for any single company to dominate consistently.”
35%
NO
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“xAI is a strong competitor, but the AI landscape is highly competitive with major players like OpenAI, Google, and Meta. The likelihood of xAI being #1 specifically with Style Control On is relatively low given the competition and market dynamics.”
25%
NO
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Google is a major player in AI, but competition from OpenAI, Microsoft, and others is strong. The AI landscape is dynamic, and predicting a single leader is challenging. Current trends suggest no clear dominance by Google in this specific area.”
45%
NO
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Moonshot is a smaller player in the AI field compared to giants like OpenAI, Google, and Meta. While they could innovate, the likelihood of surpassing these established leaders by April 2026 is relatively low.”
30%
NO
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“OpenAI has a strong track record and significant resources. While competition is fierce, their focus on innovation and style control features makes them a likely leader by April 2026.”
65%
YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Anthropic is a strong contender, but competition from OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and others is intense. Predicting the 'best' model is subjective and depends on criteria like performance, safety, and adoption, making it unlikely any single company will dominate.”
35%
NO
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“ByteDance is a major tech player, but companies like OpenAI, Google, and Meta have more established AI research reputations. Given the competitive landscape, it's less likely ByteDance will lead by April 2026.”
30%
NO
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Amazon is a major player in AI, but competitors like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft are strong contenders. Given the competitive landscape and recent advancements by others, it's unlikely Amazon will be the clear leader by April 2026.”
30%
NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“OpenAI has a strong track record and significant resources, but competition from companies like Google and Meta is intense. Given current trends, OpenAI is slightly more likely to maintain a leading position by April 2026.”
55%
YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“xAI is a strong contender but faces competition from established leaders like OpenAI and Google DeepMind. Given the competitive landscape and rapid advancements, it's unlikely xAI will definitively have the best model by April 2026.”
30%
NO
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“While Mistral is a strong AI player, the competitive landscape includes giants like OpenAI, Google, and others. Given the rapid pace of AI development and competition, it's less likely Mistral will be definitively the best by April 2026.”
35%
NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“While Alibaba is a major player in AI, competition from companies like OpenAI, Google, and others is intense. The definition of 'best' is subjective and often varies by metric, making it unlikely Alibaba will be universally recognized as the best by April 2026.”
35%
NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Baidu is a strong AI player, but competitors like OpenAI, Google, and others are also advancing rapidly. Given the competitive landscape and recent trends, it's less likely Baidu will be the leader by the end of April 2026.”
30%
NO
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Brøndby IF's performance depends on current form, injuries, and opponent strength. Without specific details, historical performance and league standing suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“DeepSeek is a strong contender, but the AI field is highly competitive with major players like OpenAI, Google, and others. Predicting a single company to lead is uncertain, especially with rapid advancements and collaborations in AI technology.”
35%
NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Z.ai is a competitor in a rapidly evolving field with many strong players like OpenAI, Google, and others. Predicting dominance is difficult due to the fast pace of AI advancements and competition.”
30%
NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Saudi Aramco is consistently among the top companies by market cap. Given its strong oil market position and historical performance, it is likely to be the third-largest by April 30, though market fluctuations can affect this.”
55%
YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Microsoft is consistently among the top companies by market cap. With its strong financial performance and market position, it is likely to remain in the top three by April 30, 2026.”
55%
YES
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Oracle is a major tech company, but as of 2023, it was not close to being the third-largest by market cap. Companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Saudi Aramco have significantly larger market caps, making it unlikely for Oracle to surpass them by April 2026.”
15%
NO
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Amazon is a major player but faces competition from other tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Saudi Aramco. Market cap rankings can fluctuate, and current trends suggest it's not likely to be third by April 30, 2026.”
45%
NO
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Alphabet's market cap fluctuates with tech sector trends and competition. Currently, other companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Saudi Aramco have strong positions. With only a few weeks left, a shift to third place is less likely.”
45%
NO
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Gustavo Petro, as a Colombian political figure, would require significant evidence and international legal proceedings for US charges. No current major allegations suggest imminent charges by April 30.”
15%
NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Saudi Aramco is consistently among the top companies by market cap. Given its strong financial performance and the current market trends, it is likely to maintain its position as the second-largest company by the end of April.”
55%
YES
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Tesla is currently not the second-largest company by market cap, with companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Saudi Aramco typically holding top spots. Significant market shifts would be needed for Tesla to reach second place by April 30, making it unlikely.”
25%
NO
Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 5 cancelled by April 15?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“With only two days left until the deadline, if there has been no announcement of a new season or renewal, cancellation is likely. TV shows often announce renewals well in advance, so the lack of news suggests a high chance of cancellation.”
75%
YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“NVIDIA is a leading tech company, but competition from other giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Saudi Aramco is strong. Market cap rankings can fluctuate, and being second-largest is challenging. Current trends suggest it's unlikely by end of April.”
45%
NO
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Microsoft is consistently among the top companies by market cap. Given its strong market position and recent trends, it is likely to be the second-largest by April 30, though competition from other tech giants remains a factor.”
55%
YES
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“NVIDIA is a major player in tech, but competition from companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon is strong. Market cap rankings can fluctuate, and being third-largest is challenging. Current trends suggest it's unlikely by April 30, 2026.”
45%
NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Apple is consistently among the top companies by market cap. Despite market fluctuations, its strong brand and financial performance make it likely to remain near the top, though competition from other tech giants like Microsoft and Saudi Aramco is strong.”
55%
YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Central banks often adjust rates in response to economic conditions. Given the time elapsed since my last update, it's likely that economic factors have changed, prompting a rate adjustment by the Bank of Russia.”
45%
NO
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-29✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Historically, Fed decisions often have few dissents. Recent trends and statements suggest a consensus-driven approach. Two dissents are less likely given the current economic context and recent meeting outcomes.”
35%
NO
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-29✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Historically, Fed decisions rarely see four or more dissents. The Fed tends to reach consensus, and recent meetings have shown limited dissent. Thus, the probability of four or more dissents is low.”
15%
NO
Will Ty Simpson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The NFL draft is highly unpredictable, and being the second pick depends on team needs, player performance, and other prospects. Given these variables, the probability of Ty Simpson specifically being the second pick is relatively low.”
15%
NO
Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“André Carson is the incumbent with strong support and no significant challengers reported. Incumbents generally have a high chance of renomination.”
85%
YES
Will Denise Paul Hatch be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Denise Paul Hatch is not a widely recognized name in politics, and without significant media coverage or endorsements, her chances of securing the nomination are lower compared to more established candidates.”
35%
NO
Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-08✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Nottingham Forest is not traditionally a top-tier European team. Reaching the semifinals would require overcoming stronger, more experienced teams. Current form and historical performance suggest a lower probability of advancing this far.”
25%
NO
Will Apple dip to $216 in April?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Apple's stock is historically volatile, but a dip to $216 would require a significant drop. Given current market trends and Apple's financial health, such a drop seems unlikely without a major negative catalyst.”
30%
NO
Will Netflix reach $298 in April?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Stock prices are volatile and influenced by market conditions, earnings reports, and investor sentiment. Without specific positive catalysts or trends, reaching a specific price like $298 is uncertain. Current market conditions suggest a slightly less than even chance.”
45%
NO
Will Mainz reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Mainz is not traditionally a top European team and reaching the semifinals would be a significant achievement. Their current form and competition from stronger teams reduce the likelihood of advancing.”
35%
NO
Will Amazon reach $260 in April?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Amazon's stock price is influenced by market trends, earnings reports, and economic conditions. Given the current date in April 2026, there's a moderate chance it could reach $260, assuming positive market sentiment and performance.”
55%
YES
Will Matheus Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With limited information on current house dynamics and public sentiment, estimating a 35% chance for Matheus Moreira to win. Many factors, including alliances and public voting trends, influence the outcome.”
35%
NO
Will the Patek Index hit $109,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“The Patek Index is influenced by luxury market trends and economic conditions. With only a couple of weeks left and no significant upward trend reported, it's unlikely to hit $109,000 by April 30.”
45%
NO
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current geopolitical situation and military dynamics, Russia's advance into Serhiivka by April 30 seems unlikely. No significant movements or strategic advantages suggest an imminent entry within the next two weeks.”
45%
NO
Will Opendoor reach $5 in April?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Opendoor's stock price is influenced by market conditions, interest rates, and real estate trends. Given current market volatility and recent performance, a rise to $5 by the end of April seems unlikely without significant positive catalysts.”
45%
NO
Will Brigido Neto win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With limited information on Brigido Neto's popularity and performance, and considering the competitive nature of reality TV, the probability is lower than 0.50. Many factors, including public voting and alliances, influence the outcome.”
35%
NO
Will Alberto Pimentel be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With only a few weeks left, competition is intense. Without specific information on Alberto's popularity or alliances, it's difficult to confidently place him in the top 3. Thus, a slightly below even chance is estimated.”
45%
NO
Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With only 17 days left, significant price movement is unlikely unless driven by major market events. Current trends and economic conditions suggest a stable or slightly declining market, making a high of $112,000 improbable.”
45%
NO
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“With only 17 days left until the deadline, significant price movements are less likely unless driven by major market events. Current trends and market stability suggest a lower probability of hitting $107,000 by the deadline.”
45%
NO
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,500 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With only 17 days left, significant market movement is needed to reach $42,500. Given typical luxury watch market volatility and current trends, it's unlikely to hit the target by the deadline.”
45%
NO
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With only 17 days left, significant price movement is unlikely unless driven by major market events. Current trends and market stability suggest a low probability of reaching $42,000 by April 30.”
45%
NO
Will the Rolex Index hit $12,450 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.102
“The Rolex Index has shown a consistent upward trend, and with only a few weeks left, it is likely to reach the target if current market conditions persist.”
68%
YES
Will the Rolex Index hit $13,150 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“With 17 days left, market trends and demand for luxury watches suggest a moderate chance of reaching the target. Economic conditions and recent price movements support a slight lean towards YES.”
55%
YES
Joe Kent charged by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“No public information suggests Joe Kent is under investigation or facing charges. With only 17 days left until the deadline, the likelihood of charges being filed seems low.”
15%
NO
Major solar storm by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Solar storms are unpredictable but not frequent. With only 17 days left, the likelihood of a major storm is relatively low, though not impossible. Historical data suggests a low probability within such a short timeframe.”
35%
NO
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“The U.S. has a history of conducting anti-cartel operations abroad, especially in Latin America. Given the ongoing drug trade issues and recent political focus, it's likely such an operation will occur by the given date.”
75%
YES
Will Marciele Albuquerque be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Without specific information on Marciele's popularity, alliances, or performance in the show, estimating her top 3 placement is challenging. Historically, only a few contestants make it to the top, and competition is fierce.”
35%
NO
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $44,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Luxury watch indices are influenced by economic conditions, demand, and market trends. Given the short timeframe and typical market fluctuations, a significant rise to $44,000 seems unlikely without specific catalysts.”
45%
NO
Will Ana Paula Renault be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Ana Paula Renault's past popularity and media presence are strong, but competition is fierce and unpredictable in reality TV. With limited information on current season dynamics, her top 3 finish is uncertain.”
45%
NO
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,000 (LOW) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“With 17 days left, market trends and luxury watch demand suggest a moderate chance of reaching the target. Economic factors and recent sales data support a slight lean towards YES.”
55%
YES
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-15?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating Tromsø IL's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, a slight underdog position is reasonable, leading to a probability below 0.50.”
45%
NO
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“The U.S. has a history of conducting anti-cartel operations abroad, especially in collaboration with countries like Mexico. Given the ongoing drug trafficking issues and recent political focus, it's likely an operation will occur by the deadline.”
75%
YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 15, 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Given the geopolitical situation and potential consequences, it's unlikely Ukraine would directly hit Moscow. Such an action would escalate conflict significantly, and there is no recent precedent for such an event.”
15%
NO
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“The Houthis have a history of targeting shipping in the region, and tensions remain high. With the resolution date approaching, the likelihood of an incident occurring by then is significant.”
75%
YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With only a few weeks until the deadline, there are no major news or indications suggesting Pete Hegseth's imminent departure as Secretary of Defense.”
35%
NO
Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 15?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Military action against Kabul by Pakistan is unlikely due to diplomatic, economic, and geopolitical consequences. No recent escalations suggest imminent conflict. Only two days remain until the deadline.”
5%
NO
Will Rueben Bain Jr. be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Predicting a specific draft pick is highly uncertain due to numerous factors like team needs, player performance, and draft dynamics. The probability of any specific player being picked third overall is low without strong, specific indicators.”
5%
NO
Will Seth Jarvis win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Art Ross Trophy is awarded to the NHL's top point scorer. Seth Jarvis is a talented player, but historically, this award is dominated by elite players like Connor McDavid. Jarvis has not shown the same level of scoring dominance in past seasons.”
5%
NO
Will Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Podium finishes depend on car performance, driver skill, and race conditions. Ocon is a skilled driver, but podiums are rare due to strong competition from top teams like Red Bull, Mercedes, and Ferrari. Historical data suggests a low probability for midfield drivers.”
15%
NO
Will Joe Hathaway win the NJ-11 special election?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific polling data or trends, it's challenging to predict. However, incumbents or candidates from the dominant party in the district often have an edge. Given no clear advantage for Hathaway, a slight lean towards NO is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Anish Giri is a strong player but faces tough competition from other top grandmasters. Historically, he has not won the Candidates Tournament, and the field is highly competitive.”
15%
NO
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Sindarov is a strong player, but the Candidates Tournament features the world's top players, making it highly competitive. His chances are lower compared to more established elite players.”
15%
NO
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Houthis have a history of targeting shipping in the region, and tensions remain high. With only two days left, the likelihood of a successful attack is significant given past patterns and current geopolitical tensions.”
75%
YES
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Argentina has historically high inflation volatility, making precise monthly predictions challenging. A narrow range like 2.2%-2.4% is unlikely given past trends.”
15%
NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Argentina has faced persistent high inflation in recent years, often exceeding monthly rates of 2.1%. Without significant policy changes or economic shifts, it's unlikely to drop below this threshold by March 2026.”
35%
NO
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With only a few days left, no significant military buildup or diplomatic signals suggest imminent action. Historically, such actions require more lead time and public discourse.”
15%
NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Argentina has historically experienced high inflation rates, often exceeding 2.7% monthly. Given this trend, it's unlikely that inflation will fall within such a narrow range of 2.5% to 2.7% in March 2026.”
15%
NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Argentina has historically high inflation volatility. Predicting such a narrow range is unlikely given past trends and economic instability. Thus, the probability of inflation being exactly between 2.8% and 3.0% is low.”
25%
NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Argentina has historically experienced volatile inflation rates, making it unlikely for inflation to precisely fall within a narrow range like 3.4% to 3.6% in any given month.”
15%
NO
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Rory McIlroy is a top golfer but winning a major like the Masters is highly competitive. With many strong contenders, his individual probability is relatively low despite his skills and past performances.”
15%
NO
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive with many skilled players. Sungjae Im is talented, but the probability of any single player winning is low due to the large field and variability in performance.”
5%
NO
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Given Tiger Woods' age and recent injury history, it's unlikely he will participate in the 2026 Masters. His focus has shifted more towards mentoring and other ventures.”
30%
NO
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Xander Schauffele is a strong player, but the probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the large field and variability in performance.”
5%
NO
Will Vejle BK win on 2026-04-13?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating Vejle BK's win probability is challenging. Assuming average conditions, a slight underdog position is reasonable, leading to a probability below 0.50.”
45%
NO
Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The Masters has a large field of competitors, and winning is highly competitive. Alexander Noren is a skilled golfer, but the probability of any single player winning is low due to the number of participants and the unpredictability of golf tournaments.”
2%
NO
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-04-13?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating FC Fredericia's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, a slight underdog position is reasonable, leading to a probability below 0.50.”
45%
NO
Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific polling data or information on Jacob Chiara's campaign strength, it's difficult to assess his chances. Given the competitive nature of primaries, a probability below 0.50 reflects uncertainty and lack of clear frontrunner status.”
45%
NO
Will Tommy Lloyd win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“The Naismith Coach of the Year award is highly competitive with many candidates. While Tommy Lloyd is a strong coach, the probability of any single coach winning is low due to numerous factors like team performance and competition.”
15%
NO
Will Brad Underwood win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The award is highly competitive with many candidates. No strong indications or news suggest Brad Underwood is the frontrunner this year.”
5%
NO
Will there be 3+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Historically, NCAA tournaments average around 1-2 buzzer beaters. While 3 is possible, it's less common. Given the current date, no indication suggests an unusually high number this year.”
45%
NO
Will Dusty May win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Winning the Naismith Coach of the Year is highly competitive with many strong candidates. Without specific information on Dusty May's recent performance or team success, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive with many skilled participants. While Morikawa is a talented golfer, the probability of any single player winning is low due to the large field and variability in performance.”
10%
NO
Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Marco Penge, while talented, is not currently among the top favorites to win, reducing his chances significantly.”
5%
NO
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. While Jon Rahm is a strong player, the probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the large field and variability in performance.”
10%
NO
Will Paulo Augusto Carvalhaes win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With limited information on current season dynamics and public sentiment, estimating a specific contestant's win is challenging. Historically, individual contestants have a low probability due to multiple competitors and unpredictable public voting patterns.”
35%
NO
Will Palantir reach $174 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Palantir's stock price has historically been volatile, but reaching $174 by April 2026 seems unlikely given its current price and market conditions. A significant increase in a short time frame would require extraordinary circumstances.”
5%
NO
Will Google dip to $255 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Google's stock price is historically volatile but has not been near $255 in recent years. A drop to $255 would imply a significant market downturn or company-specific issue, which seems unlikely given current market conditions.”
15%
NO
Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Alex Warren is not widely known for chart-topping hits. Without recent major releases or significant media buzz, a #1 hit in April seems unlikely.”
15%
NO
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Gary Woodland, while a skilled player, has not been a dominant force in recent tournaments. The probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the large field of competitors.”
2%
NO
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“The Masters has a large field of competitors, and winning is highly competitive. Si Woo Kim is a skilled golfer but given the number of participants and the unpredictability of golf, his individual probability of winning is low.”
3%
NO
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning a major golf tournament is highly competitive with many top players. Hao-Tong Li, while talented, is not among the top favorites, making his chances relatively low.”
5%
NO
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Reform UK has historically had limited electoral success in Wales, and major parties like Labour and Plaid Cymru dominate the Senedd. Current polling and political trends do not indicate a significant shift in favor of Reform UK.”
5%
NO
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Historically, Labour has been the dominant party in Welsh Senedd elections. Plaid Cymru has not shown significant gains in recent polls to suggest a shift in this trend by 2026.”
15%
NO
Will Sovereignty Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Sovereignty Party is a minor party with limited historical success in Scottish elections. Major parties like SNP and Labour typically dominate, making it unlikely for a smaller party to win the most seats.”
15%
NO
Will Welsh Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Welsh Labour has historically been the dominant party in Wales, often winning the most seats. Current polling and political trends suggest they are likely to maintain this position in the 2026 election.”
75%
YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Given current economic conditions, inflation trends, and recent monetary policy actions, a rate increase is slightly more likely than not at the May meeting.”
55%
YES
Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Sherrod Brown is an incumbent with strong name recognition and a history of electoral success in Ohio. As of now, there are no significant challengers within the Democratic Party, making him the likely nominee.”
75%
YES
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Atlético Madrid is a strong team but faces tough competition in the Champions League. Their recent form and historical performance suggest a slightly less than even chance of reaching the semifinals.”
45%
NO
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Barcelona is a strong team but faces tough competition in the semifinals. Their recent performance and injuries could impact their chances. Historical data shows they often reach late stages but not always the final.”
45%
NO
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Bayern München is historically strong in the Champions League, often reaching the latter stages. Given their current form and squad strength, they have a good chance of reaching the final.”
65%
YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“PSG is a strong team but reaching the final depends on many factors including current form, injuries, and competition. Historically, they have struggled to consistently reach the final despite their strong squad.”
45%
NO
Will Greg Landsman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Greg Landsman is a potential candidate, but Ohio's Democratic primaries can be competitive with multiple strong contenders. Without specific polling data or endorsements, his nomination is uncertain.”
45%
NO
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Central banks often maintain rates if economic conditions are stable. Given no major economic disruptions reported recently, a decision to hold rates is slightly more probable.”
55%
YES
Will Amy Acton win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Amy Acton's chances depend on her campaign strength, name recognition, and competition. Without specific polling data or major endorsements, estimating slightly below 50% reflects uncertainty and potential strong opponents.”
45%
NO
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Given current economic conditions and inflation trends, it's more likely the Bank of Mexico will maintain or increase rates rather than decrease them. Recent global economic stability suggests a cautious approach.”
45%
NO
Will Alba Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Alba Party is a smaller party in Scotland, with limited electoral success compared to major parties like the SNP and Labour. It is highly unlikely they will win the most seats in the 2026 election.”
5%
NO
Will Scottish Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Historically, the SNP has been dominant in Scottish Parliament elections. Current polling and political trends suggest the SNP or Labour are more likely to win the most seats than the Conservatives.”
15%
NO
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Given the current economic indicators and inflation trends, the RBA is likely to maintain or increase rates to manage inflation, rather than decrease them.”
35%
NO
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Arsenal has a strong squad but faces tough competition from top European clubs. Their recent performance in the league and past UCL history suggests they are contenders but not favorites to reach the final.”
35%
NO
Will Meta dip to $500 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Meta's stock price is influenced by market trends, earnings, and economic conditions. Given no major negative news or market downturn, a dip to $500 seems unlikely within the next few weeks.”
35%
NO
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-03✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Shakira's participation depends on her tour schedule, interest, and festival lineup. No current announcements suggest her involvement, making it less likely but not impossible.”
45%
NO
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“NVIDIA's stock is volatile but has shown strong growth trends. A dip to $168 would require a significant downturn. Given current market conditions and historical performance, such a drop seems unlikely within the next few weeks.”
30%
NO
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Olivia Dean is a rising artist but achieving a #1 hit is challenging. It depends on competition, promotion, and current trends. Without specific indicators of a major release or strong chart performance, the probability remains moderate.”
35%
NO
Will Tesla dip to $248 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Tesla's stock is volatile, but predicting a specific price dip is challenging. Current market trends and economic indicators suggest a moderate chance, but not a majority likelihood, of hitting exactly $248 by the end of April.”
45%
NO
Will Russia enter Khatnie by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“There is no significant current geopolitical tension or strategic interest indicating Russia will enter Khatnie by the given date.”
35%
NO
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current date is close to the deadline and assuming no major changes in military dynamics, capturing a specific location like Viroliubivka in a short timeframe is uncertain. Without specific intel on military movements, a capture seems unlikely by April 30.”
45%
NO
Will Microsoft dip to $353 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Microsoft's stock price is influenced by market trends, earnings, and economic conditions. Given no significant negative news or market downturn, a dip to $353 seems less likely within the remaining days of April.”
45%
NO
Will Netflix reach $105 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Netflix's stock price is influenced by market trends, earnings reports, and investor sentiment. Given current market conditions and historical volatility, there's a moderate chance it could reach $105 by the end of April.”
55%
YES
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Kanye West's recent releases have not consistently topped charts. While he has a strong fan base, competition and changing music trends make a #1 hit in April less likely.”
35%
NO
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given current economic conditions, inflation trends, and recent RBA statements, a slight increase in the cash rate is probable to curb inflation, though not certain.”
55%
YES
Will Tesla dip to $285 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Tesla's stock is volatile, but current market trends and recent performance suggest it's unlikely to dip to $285 in the short term. However, external factors could still influence a drop.”
45%
NO
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“There has been limited recent news on Epstein-related files implicating U.S. Congress members. With only a few weeks left until the deadline, the probability of a member being ousted over this seems low.”
15%
NO
Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“MrBeast's growth rate is high, but reaching 485 million by April 30 is unlikely given current trends and the short timeframe remaining.”
45%
NO
X Money released by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“With only a few weeks left until the deadline, it's likely that X Money has been in the final stages of release. Companies often aim to meet publicized timelines, and the proximity to the deadline suggests a high probability of release by April 30, 2026.”
75%
YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Given the geopolitical situation and Ukraine's military focus, a direct strike on Moscow is unlikely due to potential international repercussions and strategic priorities.”
15%
NO
Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“MrBeast's growth rate is high, but reaching 479 million by April 30, 2026, is unlikely given current trends and the short time frame remaining.”
35%
NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Given the current geopolitical climate and military dynamics, Russia's ability to capture Pokrovka by April 30 seems unlikely. The timeframe is short, and there is no significant indication of imminent military success in that area.”
35%
NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Economic forecasts often show variability, and precise GDP growth predictions are challenging. Current trends and economic indicators suggest a wider range of potential outcomes, making a narrow band like 1.0% to 1.5% less likely.”
45%
NO
Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Noah Kahan is popular but achieving a #1 hit is highly competitive. Without recent major releases or collaborations, the probability is lower.”
35%
NO
Will FaZe make a roster move before May?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Esports teams like FaZe often make roster changes to improve performance, especially if recent results are unsatisfactory. With only a few weeks left until May, the likelihood of a move is high to prepare for upcoming competitions.”
75%
YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Central banks often maintain rates if economic conditions are stable. Without specific data on Colombia's economy, a slight lean towards no change is reasonable, assuming no major economic shifts since last meeting.”
55%
YES
Will Amazon dip to $168 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Amazon's stock is volatile, but a specific price dip prediction is uncertain without current market trends. Given no specific negative catalysts, a dip to $168 seems less likely.”
45%
NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“With 18 days left, the index is likely to reach $3.50 given current trends and market conditions. The proximity to the target and potential for market volatility support a slightly favorable outcome.”
55%
YES
Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“David Portnoy frequently reviews pizzas and has given 9+ scores in the past. With over two weeks remaining, it's likely he'll encounter a high-quality pizza deserving of such a score.”
75%
YES
Will Sarah Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With limited information on Sarah Andrade's current standing in the competition and the unpredictable nature of reality TV, estimating her win probability at 0.35 reflects the typical uncertainty and competition dynamics in Big Brother Brasil.”
35%
NO
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Given the current geopolitical situation and military dynamics, Russia's complete capture of Vovchansk by April 30 seems unlikely. The timeframe is short, and significant resistance or logistical challenges could impede progress.”
35%
NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Given the current economic conditions and inflation trends, central banks often adjust rates to control inflation. Recent data may suggest a need for a rate hike, making an increase more likely than not.”
55%
YES
Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“MrBeast's growth rate is high, but reaching 478 million in 18 days is unlikely given current trends and typical subscriber growth rates.”
45%
NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Given the ongoing conflict and Ukraine's recent military advancements, it is plausible they could re-enter Uspenivka by April 30. The timeframe is short, but recent momentum suggests a higher likelihood of success.”
65%
YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With only 18 days left until the deadline, significant price movement is unlikely unless driven by major market events. Current trends and historical volatility suggest a lower probability of reaching $4.00.”
45%
NO
Will Russia enter Stinky by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“There is no known location named 'Stinky' in geopolitical contexts. Assuming it's a hypothetical or niche location, it's unlikely Russia will enter it without significant context or reason.”
15%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency varies, but averaging 25 tweets/day is high. Historical patterns suggest variability, making this specific range less likely.”
45%
NO
Will Aline Campos win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Winning Big Brother depends on popularity, strategy, and alliances. Without specific information on Aline's current standing or public support, estimating her win probability is challenging. Historically, many factors influence the outcome, suggesting a lower probability.”
35%
NO
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“The Bride's performance depends on competition from other March releases. Without specific box office data or knowledge of competing films, it's unlikely to be the top grosser given typical market dynamics and competition.”
30%
NO
Will Meta reach $660 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Meta's stock price reaching $660 by April 2026 seems unlikely given current market trends and historical performance. Significant growth would be needed in a short time frame, which is improbable without major catalysts.”
15%
NO
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Economic forecasts are uncertain, and growth rates can fluctuate due to various factors. Given the narrow range, it's less likely to precisely fall between 0.4% and 0.6%.”
45%
NO
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Given the current geopolitical situation and military dynamics, it's unlikely Russia will capture all of Ternuvate by the deadline. The short timeframe and potential resistance reduce the probability of a complete capture.”
35%
NO
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Iran's removal from the World Cup would require significant political or regulatory issues. With no major events reported, the likelihood of removal by April 30 is low.”
15%
NO
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Given the current geopolitical climate and lack of recent aggressive moves by Russia towards Shevchenko, the likelihood of entry by April 30 is relatively low. No significant military buildup or political signals suggest imminent action.”
30%
NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Given the current date is close to the resolution date, market trends and recent price movements suggest a moderate likelihood of the index hitting $1.50, especially if recent trends continue.”
55%
YES
Will Marcelo Alves win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With limited information on Marcelo Alves' popularity, alliances, and performance in the show, estimating his win is challenging. Historically, many factors influence the outcome, and with multiple contestants, his chances are less than even.”
35%
NO
Will MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“MrBeast has shown rapid subscriber growth in recent years. With 18 days left and his current trajectory, reaching 490 million by April 30 is likely, assuming no major disruptions.”
75%
YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With only a few weeks left until the deadline, significant price movements are less likely unless driven by major market events. Current trends and stability suggest a lower probability of hitting the target price by the deadline.”
45%
NO
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current date is close to the deadline and no significant reports of Russian advancement towards Svitle, the likelihood of entry by April 30 is low.”
45%
NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-29✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Recent economic indicators suggest stable inflation and growth, reducing the likelihood of a rate hike. The Bank of Canada has also shown a tendency to maintain rates unless significant economic changes occur.”
45%
NO
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-28✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific match details or team form, estimating Southampton's win probability is challenging. Assuming average performance and league position, a slight underdog position is reasonable, leading to a probability below 0.50.”
45%
NO
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Given the current geopolitical climate and military dynamics, Russia's entry into Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026, seems unlikely. No significant movements or strategic advantages suggest an imminent entry within the next few weeks.”
45%
NO
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-28✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Ipswich Town's historical performance and league position suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Matayo Uiagalelei be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Being the first pick depends on multiple factors including performance, team needs, and competition. While Matayo Uiagalelei is a strong prospect, the uncertainty and competition make it unlikely he will be the first pick.”
15%
NO
Will Sawyer Robertson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The first pick is highly competitive and depends on performance, team needs, and other prospects. As of now, there is no strong indication that Sawyer Robertson is the leading candidate.”
15%
NO
Will Kadyn Proctor be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Being the first pick involves many variables: team needs, performance, and competition. While Kadyn Proctor may be a top prospect, the likelihood of him being the first pick is low given the unpredictability of draft decisions.”
15%
NO
Will Raylen Wilson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The first pick is highly competitive and often goes to quarterbacks or standout players. Without specific standout performance data or consensus, it's unlikely Raylen Wilson will be the first pick.”
15%
NO
Will Cashius Howell be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With limited information on Cashius Howell's current standing among draft prospects and the unpredictable nature of draft selections, it's more likely that another player will be chosen first overall.”
35%
NO
Will LT Overton be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The NFL Draft's first pick is highly unpredictable and often favors quarterbacks. Without specific standout information about LT Overton, the probability is low.”
15%
NO
Will Aidan Chiles be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“While Aidan Chiles may be a talented player, predicting the first pick involves many variables including team needs, performance, and competition. Historically, the first pick is often a quarterback, but it's too uncertain to favor him strongly at this point.”
15%
NO
Will Kyron Drones be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“While Kyron Drones may be a top prospect, the first pick often depends on team needs and other emerging talents. With limited information on team preferences and other prospects, the probability is moderate but not high.”
35%
NO
Will Jayden Maiava be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Being the first pick involves many factors including performance, team needs, and competition. Without specific standout indicators or consensus, the probability is low.”
15%
NO
Will Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Being the first pick depends on numerous factors like performance, team needs, and competition. As of now, Ty Simpson is not widely projected as the top pick, with other prospects receiving more attention.”
15%
NO
Will John Mateer be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The NFL Draft is highly unpredictable, and many factors influence the first pick. Without specific standout information about John Mateer's performance or consensus projections, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
Will David Bailey be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The NFL Draft is highly unpredictable, with many factors influencing the first pick. Without specific standout information about David Bailey's performance or draft projections, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“While Garrett Nussmeier is a talented quarterback, the first pick often depends on team needs and other standout players. As of now, there is no strong consensus that he will be the top pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.”
15%
NO
Will Jordyn Tyson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The first pick is highly competitive and often goes to a quarterback or a standout player. Jordyn Tyson is not widely projected as the top pick in current mock drafts or expert analyses.”
5%
NO
Will Caleb Downs be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Being the first pick is highly competitive and depends on team needs, player performance, and other prospects. While Caleb Downs may be a top prospect, the likelihood of him being the first pick is low given the uncertainty and competition.”
15%
NO
Will Jalon Daniels be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“While Jalon Daniels is a talented player, being the first pick depends on many factors including team needs and other prospects' performances. Historically, the first pick is often a QB, but competition is high and other players may be favored.”
15%
NO
Will Peter Woods be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The NFL Draft is highly unpredictable, with many factors influencing the first pick. While Peter Woods may be a top prospect, competition and team needs make it unlikely he will be the first pick.”
15%
NO
Will Francis Mauigoa be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Predicting the exact draft position is highly uncertain due to many variables like team needs and player performance. Being the second pick is particularly unlikely given the number of eligible players.”
15%
NO
Will Keldric Faulk be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Being the first pick involves many factors: performance, team needs, and competition. Without specific standout indicators or consensus, the probability remains low for any individual player this far out.”
15%
NO
Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Predicting the exact draft position is highly uncertain due to many variables like team needs and player performance. Historically, specific predictions like this have low probabilities unless there's strong consensus, which is not indicated here.”
10%
NO
Will Nico Iamaleava be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“While Nico Iamaleava is a talented prospect, the first pick depends on team needs, draft order, and other emerging talents. Historically, predicting the first pick this early is uncertain, and quarterbacks often compete with other top prospects.”
15%
NO
Will Drew Allar be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“While Drew Allar is a talented quarterback, the first pick often depends on team needs and other emerging talents. Historically, predicting the exact first pick is challenging due to these variables.”
15%
NO
Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Draft predictions are uncertain, and going top 10 is highly competitive. Without specific standout performance data or consensus projections, the probability is lower than 50%.”
35%
NO
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“QBs are often top picks due to their impact on the game. Recent drafts have seen QBs frequently chosen first. Given the importance of the position and historical trends, it's likely the 1st pick will be a QB.”
75%
YES
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“South Korea's economy has shown resilience and steady growth trends. Recent policy measures and global economic conditions suggest a moderate likelihood of achieving at least 2.5% growth in Q1 2026.”
55%
YES
Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Predicting specific draft picks is highly uncertain due to team needs, player performance, and other variables. Reese's current standing and media coverage suggest he is not a top contender for the third pick.”
15%
NO
Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The BSP has historically had limited influence in Tamil Nadu, where regional parties like DMK and AIADMK dominate. There is no indication of a significant shift in political dynamics favoring BSP.”
5%
NO
Will Garrett Nussmeier be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Predicting specific draft picks is highly uncertain due to many variables like player performance, team needs, and draft trades. Nussmeier's current status and competition make it unlikely he will be the second pick.”
15%
NO
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Predicting specific draft positions is highly uncertain. Factors include team needs, player performance, and draft dynamics. Without specific standout indicators for Reese, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
Will the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“DMDK has historically not been a major contender in Tamil Nadu elections, with DMK and AIADMK being the dominant parties. Current trends and political dynamics suggest DMDK is unlikely to win the most seats.”
5%
NO
Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The NPEP is not a major political force in Tamil Nadu, where regional parties like DMK and AIADMK dominate. Historical trends and current political dynamics suggest a low probability of NPEP winning the most seats.”
15%
NO
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With only a few games left, the Presidents' Trophy race is typically competitive. The Devils' current standing and performance relative to other top teams suggest they are not the frontrunners, reducing their likelihood of winning the trophy.”
35%
NO
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The CPI has historically been a minor player in Tamil Nadu politics, with major parties like DMK and AIADMK dominating. There's no indication of a significant shift in voter base or political landscape favoring CPI to win the most seats.”
5%
NO
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. The Winnipeg Jets would need to be leading the league this late in the season, which is unlikely given the typical distribution of team strengths.”
15%
NO
Will Dylan Guenther win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Art Ross Trophy is highly competitive, typically won by established top scorers. Dylan Guenther, while talented, is not currently among the leading candidates or top scorers in the league this season.”
10%
NO
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. The Calgary Flames' current performance and standings suggest they are not the frontrunners for the trophy this season.”
15%
NO
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, and the Blackhawks' recent performance and standings suggest they are not the frontrunners this season.”
15%
NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. The Avalanche are a top team but face stiff competition. With only a few games left, their chances are lower if they are not leading the standings.”
25%
NO
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive with 32 NHL teams. The Kings' performance, while strong, faces stiff competition from other top teams. Historical data shows no team is a clear favorite this late in the season.”
15%
NO
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive with many strong teams. The Dallas Stars are a good team, but the probability of any single team winning is low given the league's parity and remaining games.”
15%
NO
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Macklin Celebrini is a talented player, but winning the Art Ross Trophy requires exceptional performance against established stars. Given the competitive field and his current standing, the probability is relatively low.”
15%
NO
Will Miro Heiskanen win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Art Ross Trophy is typically awarded to forwards, as they score more points. Heiskanen, a defenseman, would need an extraordinary season to win, which is unlikely given historical trends.”
5%
NO
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, typically won by top-performing teams. The Flyers have not been dominant in recent seasons, making it unlikely they will win this year.”
10%
NO
Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Liam Lawson is a talented driver, but podium finishes depend on car performance, team strategy, and competition. Without specific data on his current team or car, a podium finish is unlikely given the competitive nature of F1.”
15%
NO
Will Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Franco Colapinto is a talented driver, but as of 2026, he is not in a top-tier F1 team. Podium finishes are typically dominated by drivers from leading teams. Without specific information on team performance or race conditions, his podium chances are low.”
15%
NO
Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“DPS historically has not been the largest party in Bulgarian elections, typically trailing behind GERB and BSP. Current polling and political trends do not indicate a significant shift in their favor.”
25%
NO
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. The Predators have not historically been dominant in regular seasons. With only a few games left, it's unlikely they lead the league in points.”
15%
NO
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Russell is a strong driver, but factors like team performance, car reliability, and competition from other top drivers make a podium finish uncertain.”
45%
NO
Will BSP – United Left win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“BSP – United Left has historically struggled to secure a majority. Current polls and political trends suggest they are unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 election.”
35%
NO
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. The Leafs have a history of strong regular seasons but winning is uncertain. With only a few games left, their current standing and competition make a win less likely.”
25%
NO
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Bottas has been a consistent mid-field driver in recent seasons, and the competition from top teams makes a podium finish unlikely.”
15%
NO
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECH) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“MECH is a relatively new party and lacks the established support of traditional parties. Current polls and historical trends suggest they are unlikely to win the most seats.”
35%
NO
Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Podium finishes are rare for most drivers due to competition from top teams. Unless Gasly is with a top team or shows exceptional form, a podium is unlikely.”
15%
NO
Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Gabriel Bortoleto is a promising driver but has limited F1 experience. Podium finishes are typically dominated by top teams and drivers with more experience. Without current data on his team or performance, a podium finish seems unlikely.”
15%
NO
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Perez's performance depends on factors like car competitiveness, team strategy, and current form. Without specific 2026 data, estimating a slightly below average chance for a podium, considering typical variability in F1 races.”
45%
NO
Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Albon's team performance and historical podium finishes suggest a low probability. Top teams like Red Bull, Mercedes, and Ferrari typically dominate podiums.”
15%
NO
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“APS is a smaller party in Bulgaria, historically overshadowed by larger parties like GERB and BSP. Without significant changes in political dynamics or recent polling data indicating a surge, it's unlikely they will win the most seats.”
15%
NO
Will There Is Such a People (ITN) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“ITN's popularity has declined since its peak in 2021, and recent polls show other parties like GERB and PP-DB leading. Historical trends and current political dynamics suggest ITN is unlikely to win the most seats.”
30%
NO
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Alonso's age and team performance in recent seasons suggest a lower likelihood of podium finishes. While skilled, competition from younger drivers and top teams reduces his chances.”
35%
NO
Will Western Force win?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Western Force's recent performance and opponent strength suggest a less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Fijian Drua win?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Fijian Drua's performance history and current form suggest they are underdogs. Opponent's strength and recent matches indicate a lower probability of winning.”
45%
NO
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“While PP–DB is a significant political force, Bulgarian politics are highly fragmented and competitive. Historical trends and recent polls suggest a close race, but not a clear lead for PP–DB.”
45%
NO
Will Highlanders win?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“The Highlanders' recent performance and current standings suggest they are underdogs against their opponents. Without specific details on their form or injuries, a slight edge is given to the opposing team.”
45%
NO
Will Vazrazhdane win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Vazrazhdane is a smaller party in Bulgaria, traditionally not leading in polls. Larger parties like GERB and BSP have historically dominated. Without significant changes in political dynamics or recent polling data, Vazrazhdane winning the most seats seems unlikely.”
30%
NO
Will Velichie win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Velichie's chances depend on current polling and political trends. If they are not leading in recent polls or lack strong momentum, their probability is lower. Without specific data indicating their lead, a 0.35 estimate reflects uncertainty and competition.”
35%
NO
Will the Detroit Red Wings make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“The Red Wings have shown improvement but face strong competition in their division. Current standings and recent performance suggest they are just outside playoff contention.”
45%
NO
Will Brumbies win?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Brumbies have a strong track record and recent performance suggests they are likely to win. However, the outcome is still competitive, hence a moderate probability.”
55%
YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Vegas Golden Knights have been a strong team in recent seasons, often making the playoffs. With only a few days left in the season, they are likely in a good position to qualify.”
85%
YES
Will the New York Islanders make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“The Islanders are currently in a strong position in the standings with only a few games left. Their recent performance and remaining schedule suggest a high likelihood of securing a playoff spot.”
75%
YES
Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“The Blues are likely in a competitive position close to the end of the season. Given their historical performance and current standings, they have a slightly better than even chance of making the playoffs.”
55%
YES
Will the Nashville Predators make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“The Predators are likely in contention given the date. Assuming they are close to a playoff spot, recent performance and remaining games are crucial. Slight edge towards making it based on typical late-season dynamics.”
55%
YES
Will the Anaheim Ducks make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“The Ducks have struggled in recent seasons and are not currently in a playoff position. With only a few days left in the regular season, it's unlikely they will qualify for the playoffs.”
35%
NO
Will the Boston Bruins make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Bruins have historically been a strong team and it's late in the season. If they're in playoff contention now, it's likely they'll secure a spot.”
85%
YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Edmonton Oilers have been a strong team in recent seasons, often making the playoffs. With only a few days left in the regular season, it's likely they are in a competitive position to secure a spot.”
85%
YES
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With only a few days left in the regular season, the Blue Jackets' playoff chances depend on their current standings and remaining games. Historically, they have been inconsistent, and if they are not in a strong position now, their chances are slim.”
45%
NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Argentina has historically high and volatile inflation rates, making a precise monthly rate prediction between 3.1% and 3.3% unlikely.”
15%
NO
Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“The Senators have shown strong performance in recent games and are close to a playoff spot. With only a few games left, their chances are slightly better than even, assuming they maintain form and competitors falter.”
55%
YES
Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“With only a few days left in the season, the Jets' current standings and recent performance suggest a strong likelihood of making the playoffs. Their position in the conference and remaining games are favorable.”
75%
YES
Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“The Seattle Kraken have shown strong performance in recent seasons and are currently in a favorable position in the standings. With only a few games left, their playoff chances are high.”
75%
YES
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Sharks have struggled in recent seasons, and as of the current date, they are not in a playoff position. With only a few days left in the regular season, it's unlikely they will qualify for the playoffs.”
10%
NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be 3.7% or higher?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Argentina has faced high inflation rates historically, and recent trends suggest persistent inflationary pressures. Given this context, a monthly rate of 3.7% or higher in March 2026 is likely.”
75%
YES
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific polling data or trends, it's uncertain if Tisza will win by such a narrow margin. Political dynamics and voter behavior can vary, making a precise prediction challenging.”
45%
NO
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Cade Cunningham is a talented player, but leading the NBA in points is highly competitive. Players like Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and others are strong contenders. Historical data shows it's rare for a single player to dominate scoring consistently.”
10%
NO
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“The resolution date is today, suggesting the regular season is over. The Magic's playoff chances depend on their current standings, which are likely favorable given the timing of the question.”
55%
YES
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Historically, Fidesz has been dominant in Hungarian politics. Without significant shifts in public opinion or coalition dynamics, it's unlikely DK will surpass Fidesz in seats.”
35%
NO
Will Mikal Bridges lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Mikal Bridges is a strong defender but leading the league in steals is highly competitive. Other players with higher historical steal rates and defensive roles make this unlikely.”
10%
NO
Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Kawhi Leonard is known for his defensive skills, but leading the league in steals is rare for him. Other players typically have higher steal averages. Given his age and injury history, it's unlikely he leads in this stat.”
10%
NO
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific polling data or trends, it's challenging to predict Tisza's success. Given the competitive nature of Hungarian politics and potential for multiple strong parties, Tisza's chances are less than even.”
45%
NO
Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Pacers have been competitive in recent seasons and have not shown signs of being the worst team. Other teams are more likely candidates for the worst record based on current standings and performance trends.”
15%
NO
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“The Suns have a strong roster and are currently leading the division standings. With only one day left in the season, their chances of maintaining the lead are favorable.”
55%
YES
Will Jalen Williams lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Jalen Williams is a talented player, but leading the NBA in points is highly competitive, typically dominated by established superstars. Given the lack of historical precedent and competition, his chances are low.”
5%
NO
Will Donovan Clingan lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Leading the NBA in rebounds is highly competitive, typically dominated by established players. Donovan Clingan, while talented, is less likely to surpass seasoned leaders in the 2025-26 season.”
15%
NO
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Karl-Anthony Towns is a strong player but not typically the league leader in rebounds. Other players like Rudy Gobert or Nikola Jokic are more likely to lead in this category based on historical performance and playing style.”
15%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been strong in Hungarian elections, often securing significant margins. Current political climate and recent polls suggest a likely win within the 6-9% range, though opposition gains could narrow this margin.”
55%
YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is more known for scoring than assists. Historically, players like Trae Young or Luka Doncic are more likely to lead in assists. His current stats and role don't suggest a leading position in assists.”
15%
NO
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-04-12?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“EC Juventude's current form, historical performance, and opponent's strength suggest a slightly lower chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Jordan Poole lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Jordan Poole is a talented scorer but leading the NBA in points is highly competitive. Players like Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Jayson Tatum are more likely candidates based on recent performance and scoring averages.”
10%
NO
Will EC Juventude vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team form, league averages, and historical data, a draw is less likely than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-04-12?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or match context, estimating Cuiabá EC's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, an away game typically lowers win chances, hence a slight edge to NO.”
45%
NO
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. The Penguins' current performance and standings suggest they are not leading, making their win unlikely at this late stage in the season.”
15%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been a dominant party in Hungary, often securing a significant number of seats. Current political climate and past election results suggest a strong likelihood of winning within this range.”
75%
YES
US x Iran meeting by April 14, 2026?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“With only 3 days left and no prior announcements or indications of a meeting, it's unlikely a US-Iran meeting will occur by April 14, 2026.”
45%
NO
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“CF Monterrey is a strong team with a good track record. Assuming no major injuries or changes, they have a slight edge over their opponent.”
55%
YES
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific details on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historically, Minnesota United has been competitive but not dominant, suggesting a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data for 2026, historical performance and league standings suggest a close match. San Jose Earthquakes have a slightly less than even chance against Sporting Kansas City based on typical competitive balance.”
45%
NO
Will Pascal Siakam lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Siakam is a strong player but not typically a top scorer. Historically, players like Luka Doncic or Giannis Antetokounmpo are more likely to lead in points. Siakam's past performance doesn't suggest he'll lead the league in scoring.”
10%
NO
Will Draymond Green lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Draymond Green is known for his playmaking, but historically, he hasn't led the league in assists. Players like Luka Doncic and Trae Young are more likely candidates. Given his age and role, it's unlikely he tops the assists leaderboard.”
5%
NO
Will Donovan Mitchell lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“While Donovan Mitchell is a strong shooter, leading the league in 3PM is highly competitive with players like Stephen Curry and Damian Lillard. Given historical performance and competition, it's less likely he will lead in 3PM this season.”
35%
NO
US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-13✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Given the current date is very close to the resolution date and no meeting has been announced, the likelihood of a meeting occurring by April 13, 2026, is low.”
15%
NO
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent details, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, home advantage, and typical win rates, a probability slightly below 0.50 is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Saudi Aramco is a strong contender, but tech giants like Apple and Microsoft often lead in market cap. Market dynamics can shift quickly, but current trends suggest Aramco is slightly less likely to be the largest by April 30.”
45%
NO
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific polling data or trends, it's difficult to assess Mejia's chances. However, incumbency, party support, and district leanings often play a significant role, suggesting a slight disadvantage for Mejia.”
45%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been a dominant party in Hungary, often securing a majority. Given past election trends and current political climate, they are likely to win at least 110 seats.”
75%
YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically maintained strong support, often within this range. Current polling and political climate suggest they are likely to achieve 36-40% of the vote.”
55%
YES
Will Andrew Nembhard lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Andrew Nembhard is a talented player, but leading the NBA in assists is highly competitive, typically dominated by established stars. Given his current performance and competition, it's unlikely he will lead in assists this season.”
5%
NO
Will Devin Booker lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“While Devin Booker is a top scorer, leading the NBA in points is highly competitive with players like Luka Doncic and Giannis Antetokounmpo also in contention. Given the competition and variability in scoring, the probability is moderate but not high.”
25%
NO
Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“GERB-SDS has historically been a strong political force in Bulgaria. Recent polls and political trends suggest they are likely to win the most seats, but the margin is not overwhelming, hence a moderate probability.”
55%
YES
Will T.J. Parker be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The NFL Draft is highly unpredictable, with many factors influencing the first pick. Without specific standout information on T.J. Parker's performance or draft buzz, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.810
“Given the current date is just one day before the deadline and no prior announcements or indications of a meeting, it is highly unlikely that a meeting will occur by April 12, 2026.”
10%
NO
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific polling data or trends, estimating Tisza's seat count is uncertain. Given typical seat distributions and historical context, a specific range like 120-129 is less likely than broader ranges, leading to a probability below 0.50.”
45%
NO
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Without specific information on Jake Knapp's current form or ranking, the probability of any single golfer winning is low.”
5%
NO
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Barcelona is a strong team with a history of reaching late stages in the Champions League. Their current form and squad strength suggest a slightly better than even chance of reaching the semifinals.”
55%
YES
Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Bologna is not traditionally a strong contender in European competitions. Their current form and historical performance suggest a lower probability of reaching the semifinals compared to more established teams.”
35%
NO
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“No significant recent escalations or threats reported in Baghdad that would necessitate an evacuation. U.S. embassies are typically evacuated only under severe conditions.”
15%
NO
Will Sam Leavitt be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The first pick is highly uncertain and depends on team needs, player performance, and other prospects. Without specific standout information on Sam Leavitt, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Economic forecasts for 2026 are uncertain, with potential impacts from global events and policy changes. Historical variability in GDP growth makes a specific range prediction less likely.”
45%
NO
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific polling data or trends, estimating Tisza's success is challenging. Given typical electoral volatility and lack of clear information, a probability below 50% is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Miller Moss be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Miller Moss is a talented player, but being the first pick involves many factors including team needs and other prospects' performances. Historically, QBs are often picked first, but Moss's current standing doesn't strongly indicate a #1 pick likelihood.”
15%
NO
Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Andrew Novak is not currently among the top-ranked players, making his chances relatively low.”
5%
NO
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“The 76ers have a strong roster and recent performance trends suggest they are likely to exceed 43.5 wins. With only one game left, they are likely to achieve this win total.”
75%
YES
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive. With many top players, the probability of any single player winning is low unless they are a dominant favorite, which MacIntyre is not currently considered to be.”
5%
NO
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. While Cameron Smith is a strong player, the probability of any single golfer winning is low due to the large field and variability in performance.”
10%
NO
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Given recent diplomatic efforts and ongoing international negotiations, a meeting by April 30, 2026, is likely. The geopolitical climate suggests a moderate probability of engagement to address ongoing issues.”
65%
YES
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Elon Musk is known for high Twitter activity, but predicting exact tweet counts is challenging. Based on past behavior, a range of 1120-1159 is plausible but not certain. Given variability, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Historically, Hungarian voter turnout has fluctuated around 60-70%. Achieving 77-80% would be unusually high, suggesting a lower probability based on past trends.”
35%
NO
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Hungarian voter turnout historically varies, often influenced by political climate. Recent trends and political engagement suggest turnout could be slightly lower or higher than 71-74%, making this range less likely.”
45%
NO
Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Anthony Davis is a strong rebounder but has faced injury issues and competition from other top rebounders like Rudy Gobert and Nikola Jokic. Given these factors, it's unlikely he will lead the league in rebounds.”
15%
NO
Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Cam Thomas is a talented scorer but faces competition from established stars like Luka Doncic and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Leading the league in points is challenging, and he hasn't shown consistent dominance over a full season yet.”
15%
NO
Will Jakob Poeltl lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Jakob Poeltl is a strong rebounder but not typically a league leader. Other players like Rudy Gobert or Nikola Jokic are more likely candidates based on past performance and current season stats.”
5%
NO
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Election outcomes are uncertain, and winning 50-54% is a narrow range. Without specific polling data or trends indicating TISZA's dominance, it's less likely they will hit this exact range.”
45%
NO
Will Moussa Diabate lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Moussa Diabate is not widely recognized as a top rebounder in the NBA. Leading the league in rebounds is typically achieved by established stars known for rebounding, such as Rudy Gobert or Giannis Antetokounmpo. Thus, it's unlikely Diabate will lead in this category.”
5%
NO
Will Jordan Poole lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Jordan Poole is known more for his scoring than defensive prowess. Historically, he hasn't been a leader in steals, and it's unlikely for him to suddenly top the league in this category.”
5%
NO
Will Jarrett Allen lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Jarrett Allen is a strong rebounder, but players like Rudy Gobert and Nikola Jokic are more likely to lead the league. Historical performance and competition suggest a low probability for Allen leading in rebounds.”
15%
NO
Will Isaiah Collier lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Isaiah Collier is a talented player, but leading the NBA in assists is highly competitive. Established players like Luka Doncic and Trae Young are more likely candidates. Without current season stats indicating a lead, the probability is low.”
15%
NO
Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Jalen Brunson is a strong player but not typically a league leader in assists. Historically, players like Chris Paul or James Harden have led in this category. Without significant changes, it's unlikely Brunson will lead in assists.”
10%
NO
Will Amen Thompson lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Amen Thompson is primarily a guard, and guards rarely lead the NBA in rebounds. Centers and forwards typically dominate this statistic.”
5%
NO
Will Kristaps Porzingis lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Porzingis is not typically known for leading in 3PM, with guards usually dominating this stat. His role and injury history also reduce the likelihood.”
15%
NO
Will Alex Caruso lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“While Alex Caruso is known for his defensive skills, leading the NBA in steals is highly competitive. Other players with higher averages and more playing time are likely to surpass him.”
15%
NO
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Tyrese Maxey is known more for his scoring and playmaking than defense. Leading the NBA in steals is typically achieved by players with a strong defensive focus. Without evidence of a significant defensive shift, it's unlikely he'll lead in steals.”
10%
NO
Will Mark Williams lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Mark Williams is a strong rebounder, but leading the NBA in rebounds is highly competitive with players like Rudy Gobert and Nikola Jokic. Without specific data indicating his dominance this season, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been a dominant party in Hungary, often securing a significant number of seats. Given their past performance and current political climate, they are likely to win at least 60 seats.”
75%
YES
Will Sam Hauser lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Sam Hauser is not widely recognized as a top-tier three-point shooter compared to established leaders like Stephen Curry or Damian Lillard. It's unlikely he will lead the NBA in three-pointers made for the 2025-26 season.”
5%
NO
Will Brice Sensabaugh lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Brice Sensabaugh is not currently known as a top-tier three-point shooter in the NBA. Leading the league in three-pointers made is typically achieved by established sharpshooters. Without evidence of a breakout season, this is unlikely.”
5%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been a dominant party in Hungary, often securing a significant number of seats. Given their past performance and current political landscape, it's likely they will win at least 70 seats.”
75%
YES
Will América FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“América FC has a strong team and good recent performance. Given the lack of specific opponent information, a slight edge is given based on general team strength and historical performance.”
55%
YES
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The resolution date has passed, and the outcome is already determined. Probability is near zero as the event is in the past.”
1%
NO
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Historically, Hungarian parliamentary elections have not seen turnout rates of 80% or higher. The highest in recent years was around 70%. Without significant changes in political engagement or circumstances, reaching 80% is unlikely.”
15%
NO
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws are less common than wins/losses in football. Considering team form and league averages, a draw is less likely than a decisive result.”
28%
NO
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The current date is after the match date, indicating the event has already occurred. Therefore, the probability of predicting a future outcome is effectively zero.”
1%
NO
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Generally, home advantage and recent form are key, but lacking details, a slight edge to NO.”
45%
NO
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win for Bohemians Praha 1905 is uncertain. Historical performance suggests a moderate chance, but not enough to favor a win.”
45%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically maintained strong support and has a track record of winning by significant margins. However, political dynamics can shift, so a narrow probability reflects potential changes in voter sentiment.”
55%
YES
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league standings suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Yokohama F·Marinos have a strong team and recent performance has been positive. Given their current form and historical success, they have a slight edge to win the match.”
55%
YES
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-21✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Redistricting reforms often have bipartisan support to address gerrymandering. Recent polls and historical trends suggest a favorable outcome for such measures in Virginia.”
65%
YES
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Millwall's performance and league standing suggest a competitive match, but not a clear advantage over their opponent. Without specific team news or form details, a slight edge to the opponent is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability of a win is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Leicester City's performance in recent seasons and current standings suggest a competitive match. Without specific details on opponent strength or injuries, a slight edge is given to the opposition.”
45%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been a dominant party in Hungary, often securing a significant number of seats. Given their past performance and current political climate, they are likely to win at least 100 seats.”
75%
YES
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Given the current date is just one day before the deadline and no prior indication of a scheduled meeting, the likelihood of a US-Iran meeting by April 11, 2026, is low.”
15%
NO
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“QPR's performance this season has been inconsistent, and they face a strong opponent. Without specific match details, the probability of a win is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Soccer matches typically have a draw probability around 25-30%. Considering team form and league averages, a draw is less likely than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Shanghai derbies often have decisive outcomes due to competitive nature and team strengths. Historical data shows a lower draw rate in these matchups.”
28%
NO
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Kyōto Sanga FC's recent performance and opponent's strength suggest a challenging match. Without specific details on team form or injuries, a slight edge is given to the opponent.”
45%
NO
Will Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Based on historical match outcomes and current team performance, draws are less frequent. Shandong Taishan FC has a strong record, reducing the likelihood of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins/losses. Considering team form, league averages, and historical data, the likelihood of a draw is lower. Gwangju and Bucheon may have differing strengths, reducing the chance of a stalemate.”
28%
NO
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent details, estimating based on typical win probabilities for mid-tier teams in competitive leagues.”
45%
NO
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Stoke City's performance in the current season, their position in the league, and recent form suggest a slightly lower chance of winning. Opponent's strength and match location also influence this estimate.”
45%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been a dominant force in Hungarian politics, often securing a significant number of seats. Current polling and political trends suggest they are likely to win within this range again.”
75%
YES
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Oxford United's performance, league standing, and recent form suggest a competitive match, but not a clear advantage. Opponent's strength and historical data slightly favor a NO outcome.”
45%
NO
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific data on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Coventry's historical performance and league position suggest a moderate chance, but not enough to favor a win.”
45%
NO
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Hull City AFC's performance, current league standing, and recent form suggest a slightly lower chance of winning against their opponent on this date.”
45%
NO
Will Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team form, league position, and historical draw rates, a draw is less likely than a win for either side.”
28%
NO
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Given the sensitive nature of Epstein-related data and potential legal or privacy issues, releases are often delayed or blocked. With only 20 days left, the probability of release by April 30 is low.”
30%
NO
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common than wins/losses in football. Considering team form, league position, and historical data, a draw is less likely than a decisive result.”
28%
NO
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Portsmouth FC's win probability depends on factors like current form, injuries, and opponent strength. Without specific details, estimating a slight disadvantage based on typical league variability.”
45%
NO
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability of winning is slightly less than 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team form, league position, and historical draw rates, a draw is less likely than a win for either side.”
28%
NO
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Middlesbrough's performance in the current season, their position in the league, and historical matchups against their opponent suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will FC Seoul vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, matches between FC Seoul and Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC have a lower draw rate. Both teams are competitive, often resulting in decisive outcomes rather than draws.”
28%
NO
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Charlton Athletic's recent form and league position suggest a competitive match, but not a clear advantage. Without specific match details or opponent's form, a slight edge against them is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Most matches in tournaments tend to have a winner due to competitive nature and strategies. Historical data shows draws are less common in such settings.”
30%
NO
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific polling data or trends, estimating Tisza's seat count is challenging. Historical context and typical seat distributions suggest a moderate likelihood, but not enough to confidently predict 110-119 seats.”
45%
NO
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the ongoing conflict dynamics, capturing Sofiivka by April 30 seems unlikely. The timeframe is short, and recent military reports suggest limited progress in the area.”
45%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Most football matches do not end in a draw. Considering typical outcomes and the competitive nature of tournament matches, a draw is less likely.”
30%
NO
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating Avispa Fukuoka's win probability is challenging. Historically, mid-table teams have around a 45% chance of winning any given match.”
45%
NO
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historically, V-Varen Nagasaki has a moderate win rate, suggesting a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league standings suggest a slightly less than even chance for a win.”
45%
NO
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent details, estimating a win is challenging. Historically, Newcastle United Jets have been inconsistent, suggesting a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data for 2026, historical performance and league standings suggest a close match, but not enough to favor Tromsø IL winning outright.”
45%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Most matches in competitive tournaments like the UEFA Champions League tend to have decisive outcomes due to the high stakes and quality of teams. Historical data shows a lower draw rate in such matches.”
28%
NO
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating Henan FC's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, a slight underdog position is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering typical league draw rates and no specific context suggesting a higher likelihood, a draw is less probable.”
28%
NO
Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“FK Pardubice's performance and league standing suggest a competitive match. Without specific opponent data, estimating a slight disadvantage for FK Pardubice based on historical performance trends.”
45%
NO
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating Kashiwa Reysol's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, matches between these teams have a low draw rate. Current form and league standings suggest a decisive result is more likely.”
28%
NO
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Auckland FC has a strong recent performance record and home advantage. However, the outcome is uncertain due to competitive opposition.”
55%
YES
Will Saracens win?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Saracens have a strong track record and recent form. Given their historical performance and current standings, they are likely to win.”
65%
YES
Will FK Teplice win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data, recent form, or opponent strength, estimating a win for FK Teplice is uncertain. Historically, home advantage and league position could influence, but lacking details, a slight edge to NO.”
45%
NO
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Bulls win?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Given the proximity to the event, the Bulls' recent performance, and any available team statistics, they have a slight edge. However, without specific details on opponents or conditions, the probability remains moderate.”
55%
YES
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Sydney FC has a strong team and recent performance has been good. They have a slight edge over their opponents, Western Sydney Wanderers, based on current form and head-to-head statistics.”
55%
YES
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league standing suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Club León FC has a strong track record and current form suggests they are likely to win. However, without specific match details or opponent strength, the probability is moderately above average.”
55%
YES
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“FC Utrecht has a home advantage and a slightly better recent performance compared to their opponent. However, the match could still be competitive, leading to a moderate probability of a win.”
55%
YES
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in soccer are less common than wins/losses. Considering team form and league averages, the likelihood of a draw is around 28%.”
28%
NO
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Al Nassr is a strong team with a history of success in the league. Given their current form and squad strength, they have a higher likelihood of winning their match on 2026-04-11.”
65%
YES
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Shandong Taishan FC is a strong team with a good track record. Considering their recent form and historical performance, they have a slight edge over their opponent.”
55%
YES
Will FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“FC Utrecht, being a stronger team in the Eredivisie, is likely to win against Telstar, a lower-tier team. Historical data shows a low draw rate in similar matchups.”
28%
NO
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Western Sydney Wanderers FC's recent form and home advantage slightly favor them. Opponent's current form and head-to-head record are also considered, leading to a modest edge for a win.”
55%
YES
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Both teams are competitive with strong offensive records, making a draw less likely. Historical matchups show a low draw rate between them.”
28%
NO
Will Francis Mauigoa be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Being the first pick involves many variables: performance, team needs, and competition. While Mauigoa is a top prospect, the likelihood of any single player being first is low due to these factors.”
15%
NO
Will Fernando Mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The NFL draft is highly unpredictable, and while Fernando Mendoza may be a top prospect, many factors such as team needs and other player performances influence the second pick. Historically, predicting exact draft positions is challenging.”
15%
NO
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating Ceará SC's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, a slight underdog position is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Naoyuki Kataoka win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Without specific information on Kataoka's recent performance or ranking, the probability of any single golfer winning is low.”
5%
NO
Will Babu Santana win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Babu Santana is a popular contestant, but winning depends on many factors including public votes, alliances, and current house dynamics. Without specific information on these, his chances are moderate but not leading.”
35%
NO
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Sporting CP has historically not been a regular semifinalist in the UEFA Champions League. Considering the competition's difficulty and their current performance, reaching the semifinals is unlikely.”
25%
NO
Will Toulon win?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Toulon has a strong team and recent performance has been solid. Given the proximity to the event date, there is likely some insider confidence in their chances, slightly favoring a YES outcome.”
55%
YES
Will Glasgow Warriors win?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Glasgow Warriors have a strong team and recent performance has been solid. Home advantage and current form suggest a slight edge over their opponents.”
55%
YES
Will Reds win?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“The Reds have a slightly better recent performance record and favorable conditions leading up to the game, giving them a slight edge over their opponents.”
55%
YES
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific data on team performance, opponent strength, or recent match outcomes, estimating a win is challenging. Defaulting slightly below 0.50 suggests a slight underdog status or lack of sufficient information.”
45%
NO
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$4.00 in March?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Egg prices have been volatile due to factors like inflation and supply chain issues. Given recent trends and economic conditions, it's likely that prices will remain high, making it probable that a dozen eggs will cost ≥$4.00 in March.”
75%
YES
Will March 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Recent trends show increasing global temperatures, with several recent months breaking records. Given the current climate trajectory, there's a moderate chance March 2026 could be the 2nd hottest on record.”
55%
YES
Will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Historically, March sees an average of 80 tornadoes in the US. Given climate patterns and recent trends, it's likely that the number will fall within the 70-99 range.”
65%
YES
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“FC Nordsjælland has a strong recent performance record and home advantage. However, AGF is a competitive team, making the match relatively balanced but slightly favoring Nordsjælland.”
55%
YES
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Brian Campbell win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Brian Campbell is not a top-ranked player, making his chances of winning relatively low compared to favorites.”
5%
NO
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. The Bruins have a chance, but given the typical variability and competition, their probability is lower than 50%.”
35%
NO
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“With only a few days until the election, current polling and historical trends suggest Tisza is unlikely to secure 120 seats. Political dynamics and recent shifts in voter sentiment indicate a competitive race, but not a clear majority for Tisza.”
45%
NO
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“NEOM SC's recent performance and home advantage suggest a slight edge, but the outcome is uncertain due to competitive league dynamics.”
55%
YES
Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are relatively less common, and specific team dynamics or league statistics may suggest a lower likelihood of a draw. Without specific data on these teams, a draw is less probable.”
28%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Most matches in tournaments like the UEFA Champions League knockout stages do not end in draws due to the need for a winner to advance, often resolved by extra time or penalties.”
28%
NO
Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Davis Riley, while talented, faces strong competition. Individual win probabilities are typically low in such fields.”
5%
NO
Will Fijian Drua win?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Fijian Drua's performance in recent matches has been inconsistent, and they face a strong opponent. Given these factors, their chances of winning are slightly below even.”
45%
NO
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are relatively less common in football matches. Considering team strengths and league averages, the probability of a draw is lower than a win for either side.”
28%
NO
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a slight underdog position for Aarhus GF based on general league performance trends.”
45%
NO
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Soccer matches typically have a lower probability of ending in a draw. Considering team performance and league averages, a draw is less likely than a win for either side.”
28%
NO
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data, recent match outcomes, or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Aarhus GF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Historically, draws in soccer are less common than wins/losses. Both teams have shown competitive form, reducing the likelihood of a draw. Recent head-to-head matches also suggest a lower draw probability.”
28%
NO
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current economic climate, inflation trends, and recent statements from the Bank of Korea, it is likely they will maintain the rate to support economic stability. Market expectations also suggest a hold rather than an increase.”
45%
NO
Will Rueben Bain Jr be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Being the first pick requires exceptional talent and fit for team needs. While Rueben Bain Jr may be a strong player, the likelihood of any specific player being the first pick is low due to competition and team preferences.”
10%
NO
Will the Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The RSP is a minor party in Kerala, historically overshadowed by larger parties like the CPI(M) and Congress. It is unlikely to win the most seats in the assembly given its limited influence and past performance.”
5%
NO
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“FC Volendam's performance in the current season, their position in the league, and the strength of their opponent suggest a lower probability of winning.”
35%
NO
Will the Janata Dal (Secular) (JD(S)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“JD(S) is a minor party in Kerala, historically dominated by CPI(M) and INC. Unlikely to win most seats.”
5%
NO
Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The BSP has historically had minimal influence in Kerala, where the main political competition is between the LDF and UDF. It is highly unlikely for BSP to win the most seats.”
5%
NO
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a slight underdog position for Damac Saudi Club based on typical league standings and historical performance.”
45%
NO
Will Myles Turner lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Myles Turner is a strong contender, but competition from other top shot-blockers and potential injuries make it less than likely he will lead the NBA in blocks for the 2025-26 season.”
45%
NO
Will Trump attend UFC 327?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Trump has a history of attending UFC events and maintains a relationship with Dana White. With no conflicting events reported, his attendance is likely.”
65%
YES
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“TISZA is a new party with limited historical data. Achieving 54%+ is challenging due to Hungary's multi-party system and historical voting patterns. No recent polls suggest such dominance.”
35%
NO
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Liverpool has a strong squad and recent history of performing well in the Champions League. Their current form and experience in knockout stages slightly favor their advancement to the semifinals.”
55%
YES
Will Mumbai City FC win on 2026-04-09?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Mumbai City FC has been performing well this season and has a strong squad. Given their current form and home advantage, they have a slightly better chance of winning.”
55%
YES
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Historically, the Left Democratic Front (LDF) has been strong in Kerala. Recent trends and polls suggest LDF may continue to hold a majority, making it less likely for INC to win the most seats.”
45%
NO
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Real Madrid has a strong track record in the Champions League, often reaching the semifinals. Their current form and squad strength suggest a high likelihood of advancing.”
75%
YES
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Al Taawoun's historical performance and league standing suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average conditions, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With only two days until the meeting, there have been no strong signals or economic indicators suggesting a rate cut. The Bank of Korea has maintained a cautious stance recently, making a decrease unlikely at this time.”
35%
NO
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Without specific team data, the probability of a draw is generally lower than a win for either side.”
28%
NO
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Given current economic conditions, inflation trends, and RBI's recent stance on maintaining rates, a rate cut seems unlikely.”
35%
NO
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Bayern München is a consistently strong team with a history of reaching the semifinals. Given their current form and squad strength, they have a high probability of advancing.”
75%
YES
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Arsenal's performance in recent seasons has been inconsistent. While they have a strong squad, the competition is fierce, and reaching the semifinals requires overcoming several top teams. Current form and draw difficulty suggest a slightly less than even chance.”
45%
NO
Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top players. Harris English is a skilled golfer but not a frequent favorite to win majors. Given the field's depth, his chances are relatively low.”
5%
NO
Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive with many top players. Michael Kim, while a professional golfer, is not currently among the top favorites or ranked players, making his chances relatively low.”
5%
NO
Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top-ranked golfers. Nicolas Echavarria, while a professional golfer, is not currently among the top favorites to win. Upsets are rare in such tournaments.”
2%
NO
Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Michael Brennan is not among the top-ranked favorites, making his chances relatively low.”
5%
NO
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Ben Griffin is a skilled player but has not consistently been a top contender in major tournaments. The probability of any single player winning is low given the field size and competition level.”
5%
NO
Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Without specific information on Johnny Keefer's current form or ranking, the probability of any single golfer winning is low.”
5%
NO
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top-ranked golfers. Ryan Gerard, while talented, is not currently among the favorites or top-ranked players, making his chances of winning relatively low.”
5%
NO
Will Tom McKibbin win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Tom McKibbin, while talented, faces strong competition, making his chances relatively low.”
5%
NO
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Kitayama is talented but not a consistent top contender. Winning odds are low for any single player.”
5%
NO
Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Sam Stevens, while a professional, is not currently among the top favorites or ranked players, making his chances relatively low.”
5%
NO
Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Nick Taylor, while a skilled player, is not among the top favorites. Historical win rates for any single player are low, making his chances around 5%.”
5%
NO
Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Harry Hall, while talented, is not currently among the top favorites. The probability reflects the difficulty of predicting a single winner in such a large field.”
5%
NO
Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Unless McCarty is a top-ranked player or has recent wins, his chances are low. No specific information suggests he's a favorite.”
5%
NO
Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Max Greyserman is not currently among the top-ranked players, reducing his chances of winning significantly.”
5%
NO
Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Casey Jarvis, while talented, faces strong competition. Winning probability for any single player is low unless they are a dominant favorite, which is not the case here.”
5%
NO
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning a major golf tournament like the Masters is highly competitive. With many top players participating, the probability of any single player winning is low unless they are a dominant favorite, which Chris Gotterup is not currently known to be.”
5%
NO
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top-ranked players. J.J. Spaun, while a professional golfer, is not among the top favorites to win, making his chances relatively low.”
2%
NO
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top players. Kristoffer Reitan, while talented, is not currently among the top favorites. Historical data shows that winning is unlikely for players not consistently ranked at the top.”
5%
NO
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Ryan Fox, while talented, faces strong competition. Historically, any single golfer's chance is low unless they are a top favorite, which Fox is not currently considered.”
5%
NO
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Daniel Berger is a skilled player but not a dominant favorite. The probability reflects the difficulty of predicting a single winner in such a field.”
5%
NO
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Jacob Bridgeman, while a professional, is not currently among the top-ranked players or favorites, making his chances relatively low.”
5%
NO
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning the Masters is highly competitive with many top golfers. Aldrich Potgieter, while talented, faces long odds against a strong field. Historical data shows few players dominate, making individual predictions difficult.”
5%
NO
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Given the current economic conditions and recent trends, the RBI is likely to maintain rates to support growth. Inflation is stable, and there is no immediate pressure to hike rates.”
35%
NO
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Al Riyadh Saudi Club's recent performance and home advantage suggest a slight edge over their opponent.”
55%
YES
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win fewer than 10 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“IUML has historically been a strong party in Kerala, consistently winning more than 10 seats. Without significant political shifts or scandals, it's unlikely they will win fewer than 10 seats in 2026.”
30%
NO
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league conditions, a slight edge is given to the opponent or a draw, hence a probability below 0.50.”
45%
NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“PSG has a strong squad but often struggles in later stages. Current form, injuries, and potential opponents suggest a challenging path to the semis.”
45%
NO
Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Scottish Liberal Democrats have historically not been the dominant party in Scotland, with SNP and Labour typically leading. Current trends and polls do not indicate a significant shift in their favor for the 2026 election.”
5%
NO
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“The SNP has historically been the dominant party in Scotland, winning the most seats in recent elections. Despite challenges, they remain popular, making it likely they will win the most seats again in 2026.”
75%
YES
Will Scottish Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Scottish Green Party has historically held a small number of seats compared to major parties like SNP and Labour. No significant shifts suggest they will surpass these parties by 2026.”
5%
NO
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins/losses. Considering team form and league averages, a draw is less likely.”
28%
NO
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“IUML has historically been a strong party in Kerala, often winning a significant number of seats. Given past performance and current political trends, winning 16-18 seats is plausible.”
55%
YES
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Reform UK has limited presence and influence in Scotland, where SNP and other established parties dominate. No significant polling or trends suggest a major shift in their favor by the 2026 election.”
5%
NO
Will the Kerala Congress (M) (KEC(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“KEC(M) is a regional party with limited influence compared to major parties like CPI(M) and INC in Kerala. Historically, they have not won the most seats, and current trends do not suggest a significant shift in their favor.”
15%
NO
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“CPI(M) has historically been strong in Kerala, often winning the most seats. Recent polls and political trends suggest they maintain significant support, making them likely to win the most seats in the 2026 election.”
75%
YES
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“The IUML is a significant party in Kerala but historically does not win the most seats. The CPI(M) and Congress are typically the dominant parties. Current political trends do not suggest a major shift in IUML's favor.”
10%
NO
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current economic stability and inflation rates within target, the RBI is likely to maintain the status quo to support growth. Recent trends suggest a cautious approach, favoring no change in the repo rate.”
55%
YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Global temperature changes are influenced by numerous factors and predicting a specific range is challenging. Historical data shows variability, making it unlikely to precisely hit a narrow range like 1.15ºC to 1.19ºC.”
45%
NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Recent trends show inflation is stabilizing, and a 0.6% monthly increase is relatively high. Economic conditions and policy measures likely aim to curb such spikes.”
45%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been a dominant party in Hungary, often securing a significant number of seats. Given their past performance and current political climate, they are likely to win at least 80 seats.”
75%
YES
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“With the election just days away, current polling and political analysis suggest Tisza is slightly below the threshold needed for 130 seats. Historical trends and recent shifts in voter sentiment contribute to this assessment.”
45%
NO
Will Cameron Boozer be the NCAA Division 1 leading scorer at the end of the season?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Leading NCAA scorers are typically upperclassmen with significant experience. Freshmen rarely lead due to adaptation challenges. Cameron Boozer, being a freshman, is unlikely to outscore seasoned players.”
5%
NO
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With the election only days away, Tisza's campaign has shown strong momentum in recent polls, suggesting a reasonable chance of securing at least 100 seats.”
55%
YES
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“With the election just days away, current polling suggests Tisza is slightly below the threshold needed for 110 seats. While late shifts are possible, the data indicates a less than even chance of reaching this target.”
45%
NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Kharg Island is strategically important for Iran's oil exports. There is no recent indication of a significant geopolitical shift or conflict that would lead to Iran losing control over it by April 15, 2026.”
10%
NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Kharg Island is strategically important for Iran's oil exports. There is no recent indication of a significant geopolitical shift or conflict that would lead to a change in control by April 30, 2026.”
15%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been a dominant party in Hungary, often securing a strong majority. Given their past performance and current political climate, they are likely to win at least 90 seats.”
75%
YES
Will Rueben Chinyelu have the most rebounds per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Given the competitive nature of NCAA Division 1 basketball, it's unlikely for one player to dominate rebounds consistently. Without specific data on Rueben Chinyelu's performance, it's improbable he leads in rebounds per game by season's end.”
15%
NO
NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Triple-doubles are rare in the NCAA Tournament due to shorter games and high competition. Historically, only a few players achieve this each year, making it unlikely for any single player to record one.”
15%
NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Conflicts of this nature are complex and rarely resolve quickly. Given the current date and lack of significant peace developments, resolution by tomorrow is highly unlikely.”
1%
NO
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" ≤ 40 times during March Madness?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Rothstein is known for tweeting 'This is March' frequently, but 40 times is a high threshold. Given typical tweet frequency and past behavior, it's likely he stays under this number, but it's close.”
55%
YES
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The award is highly competitive, with many players in contention. Without specific standout performances or team success, it's unlikely any single player has a high probability. Joshua Jefferson's chances are limited by these factors.”
15%
NO
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Melbourne City FC has a strong track record and favorable recent performance. Given the lack of specific opposing team data, a slight edge is given to Melbourne City FC.”
55%
YES
DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Given the current date is just one day before the deadline, it's highly likely that DeepSeek V4 has been released or is about to be released by April 7, 2026.”
95%
YES
Will Ebuka Okorie be the NCAA Division 1 leading scorer at the end of the season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With the season ending tomorrow, if Ebuka Okorie were leading, it would be widely reported. The lack of such information suggests he is not the current leader, making it unlikely he will be the top scorer by season's end.”
15%
NO
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Winning the Outstanding Player award is highly competitive, with many talented players in the tournament. Without specific standout performance data or team success, the probability for any single player is low.”
15%
NO
Will Mateo Esmeraldo have the most assists per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely for significant changes in rankings. If Mateo isn't currently leading, it's improbable he will surpass others in such a short time frame.”
45%
NO
Will Armani Mighty have the most rebounds per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely for Armani Mighty to change his standing significantly unless he's already leading. Without specific data on his current rank, 0.35 reflects the general difficulty of leading in such a competitive category.”
35%
NO
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Given the current political climate and historical difficulty in passing similar legislation, the probability of the Senate passing the SAVE America Act is low. The act's passage would require significant bipartisan support, which is currently unlikely.”
35%
NO
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Al Hilal is a strong team with a history of success in the league. Given their current form and squad strength, they have a slight edge over most opponents, leading to a probability of 0.55 for a win.”
55%
YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Current trends and economic factors suggest a decrease in reserves, but reaching 350M barrels by May 1 is unlikely given the current reserve levels and typical consumption rates.”
35%
NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“US crude oil reserves fluctuate based on production, consumption, and geopolitical factors. A significant drop to 325M barrels in less than a month is unlikely without major disruptions, which are not currently evident.”
35%
NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“US crude oil reserves fluctuate based on production, consumption, and geopolitical factors. Current trends and recent data suggest reserves are unlikely to fall to 375M by May 1, given typical seasonal patterns and current economic conditions.”
35%
NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“US crude oil reserves are influenced by production, consumption, and geopolitical factors. A significant drop to 250M barrels in less than a month is unlikely without major disruptions, which are not currently evident.”
15%
NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“US crude oil reserves are typically above 400M barrels. A drop to 200M by May 1 seems unlikely given current production levels and strategic reserves management.”
15%
NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“US crude oil reserves are influenced by production, consumption, and geopolitical factors. Current trends and historical data suggest a significant drop to 300M barrels by May 1 is unlikely within the short timeframe remaining.”
35%
NO
Will Brody Robinson have the most assists per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely for Brody Robinson to surpass others if he's not already leading. Statistical leaders are usually consistent, and changes at this point are rare.”
45%
NO
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 41–50 times during March Madness?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Jon Rothstein is known for frequently tweeting 'This is March' during March Madness. Given his past behavior and the popularity of this phrase, it's likely he will tweet it 41-50 times during the tournament.”
75%
YES
Will Elliot Cadeau win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Winning the Most Outstanding Player award is highly competitive, with many talented players in the tournament. Without specific information on Cadeau's performance or team success, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 51–60 times during March Madness?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Jon Rothstein is known for tweeting 'This is March' frequently during March Madness, but 51-60 times is a high range. Based on past patterns, it's more likely he tweets fewer than 51 times, hence the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, matches between these teams have a low draw rate. Melbourne City FC often performs strongly at home, reducing the likelihood of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been a dominant party in Hungary, often securing a strong majority. Current political trends and past election results suggest they are likely to win more than 70 seats.”
35%
NO
Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Tisza's historical performance and current polling suggest a range slightly below 100 seats. Political dynamics and recent trends indicate a challenging environment for them to secure 100-109 seats.”
45%
NO
Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Tisza's historical performance and current polling suggest a range slightly below 70 seats. Political dynamics and recent trends indicate a competitive environment, but not enough to confidently predict 70-79 seats.”
45%
NO
Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Tisza's historical performance and current polling suggest they are unlikely to win exactly 90-99 seats, as this is a narrow range. Variability in election outcomes and potential coalition dynamics further reduce the probability of this specific outcome.”
35%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been a dominant force in Hungarian politics, often securing a strong majority. Given their past performance and current political landscape, they are likely to win 130+ seats again.”
75%
YES
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Tisza's party historically struggles to secure a majority. Current polls and political climate suggest they are unlikely to win 130+ seats.”
35%
NO
Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Historical turnout in Hungary has varied, with recent elections around 70%. However, predicting exact turnout is challenging due to political dynamics and voter sentiment. Slightly less than 50% chance for this specific range.”
45%
NO
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Recent polls and political analysis suggest Tisza is losing support, making it likely they will win fewer than 70 seats.”
75%
YES
Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Tisza's historical performance and current polling suggest they are likely to win fewer than 80 seats, with competition and political dynamics making 80-89 seats less probable.”
45%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Fidesz-KDNP has historically been strong in Hungarian elections, often securing a significant number of seats. Current polling and political climate suggest a similar outcome, making it likely they will win within the 115-129 seat range.”
75%
YES
Will Justin Neely have the most rebounds per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“With the season ending tomorrow, it's unlikely for Justin Neely to suddenly lead in rebounds per game unless he's already very close to the top, which is not indicated. Typically, leaders are established well before the final day.”
10%
NO
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-04-07?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific match details, such as opponent strength and current form, it's challenging to predict a win. Historically, Brøndby IF has a moderate win rate, so a probability slightly below 0.50 is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-07?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Central Coast Mariners FC has a strong recent performance record and favorable match conditions. However, without specific opponent information, the probability is moderate.”
55%
YES
Will Josiah Davis have the most assists per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely for Josiah Davis to suddenly lead in assists per game unless he's already close to the top. Without specific data indicating his current standing, the probability is low.”
15%
NO
Will Duke Brennan have the most rebounds per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely Duke Brennan will surpass other leading rebounders unless he's already very close to the top. Without specific stats indicating he's leading or very close, the probability is low.”
15%
NO
Will Quinn Denker have the most assists per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely for a player to significantly change their assists per game ranking. If Quinn Denker isn't already leading, the probability of him overtaking the leader is low.”
15%
NO
Will Braden Smith have the most assists per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely for a player to significantly change their assists per game ranking. If Braden Smith isn't already leading, the probability of him finishing first is low.”
15%
NO
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-07?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or match context, estimating Fredrikstad FK's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, a slight underdog position is reasonable, leading to a probability below 0.50.”
45%
NO
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“While Cameron Boozer is a talented player, the award depends on team performance and individual impact during the tournament. With many variables and competitors, his chances are significant but not dominant.”
25%
NO
Will Aidan Kehoe have the most rebounds per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely for Aidan Kehoe to surpass other top rebounders unless he is already leading or very close. Without specific data indicating his current standing, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-04-07?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific data on team performance, player conditions, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Given typical league dynamics, a slight edge is given to the possibility of not winning.”
45%
NO
Will Delrecco Gillespie have the most rebounds per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely for a player to drastically change their average. If Gillespie isn't already leading, the probability of him overtaking the leader is low.”
15%
NO
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Al Fayha's recent performance and league standing suggest they are underdogs against their opponent. Without specific details on the opponent, a slight edge is given to the opposing team.”
45%
NO
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the NCAA Division 1 leading scorer at the end of the season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With only one day left in the season, if Darius Acuff Jr. isn't already leading, it's unlikely he will surpass the current leader. Scoring leads are typically established over the season, making last-minute changes rare.”
15%
NO
Will Themus Fulks have the most assists per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Themus Fulks is currently leading in assists per game. With only one day left in the season, it's likely he maintains his lead, barring any unexpected performances from close competitors.”
55%
YES
Will Jordan Riley be the NCAA Division 1 leading scorer at the end of the season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely for Jordan Riley to surpass the current leader unless he is very close in points per game. Without specific data on his current standing, the probability remains low.”
15%
NO
Will a 1 seed win the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Historically, 1 seeds have a strong track record of winning the tournament. Given their consistent performance and advantage in matchups, a 1 seed winning is likely.”
65%
YES
Will Daeshun Ruffin be the NCAA Division 1 leading scorer at the end of the season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Leading scorer is highly competitive and unpredictable. Without specific performance data on Ruffin this season, it's unlikely he leads NCAA D1 in scoring.”
10%
NO
Will P.J. Haggerty be the NCAA Division 1 leading scorer at the end of the season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“With only one day left in the season, if P.J. Haggerty is not currently leading, it's unlikely he will surpass the current leader. Scoring leads are typically stable late in the season.”
15%
NO
Will Jeremy Fears Jr. have the most assists per game at the end of the NCAA Division 1 season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“With only one day left in the season, it's unlikely for a player to significantly change their assists per game ranking. Jeremy Fears Jr. would need to be leading or very close to the top already, which is improbable without prior indication.”
15%
NO
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 71–80 times during March Madness?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Jon Rothstein is known for frequently tweeting 'This is March' during March Madness. Given the popularity and his past behavior, it's likely he tweets within this range, though exact counts are hard to predict.”
55%
YES
Will AJ Dybantsa be the NCAA Division 1 leading scorer at the end of the season?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Leading scorer in NCAA Division 1 is highly competitive. Without specific data on AJ Dybantsa's current performance or standing, the probability is low given the number of potential competitors and variability in scoring across the season.”
15%
NO
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 61–70 times during March Madness?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Jon Rothstein is known for frequently tweeting 'This is March' during March Madness. Given his past behavior and the popularity of the phrase, it's likely he will tweet it 61-70 times, especially considering the length of the tournament.”
75%
YES
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Winning the Most Outstanding Player award depends on team performance and individual impact. With many contenders and variables, the probability for any single player like Caleb Wilson is low unless he has shown exceptional performance leading up to the final.”
15%
NO
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 81+ times during March Madness?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Jon Rothstein is known for his frequent 'This is March' tweets during March Madness. Given his past behavior and the popularity of the phrase, it's likely he will tweet it 81+ times, especially with the tournament's excitement and his active social media presence.”
75%
YES
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Al Ahli Saudi Club has a strong squad and recent performance history. Given their current form and league standing, they are likely to win against their opponent on this date.”
65%
YES
Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Winning the Outstanding Player award depends on team performance and individual excellence. With many competitors and variables, the probability for any single player is low unless they are a standout favorite, which isn't indicated here.”
15%
NO
Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current economic stability and recent trends in monetary policy, it's slightly more likely that the Bank of New Zealand will maintain the current cash rate to support ongoing economic conditions.”
55%
YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the April decision?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Given the current economic conditions and inflation trends, central banks are generally cautious about rate cuts. Recent statements from the RBNZ suggest a focus on stability, making a rate decrease unlikely at this time.”
35%
NO
Will Darius Acuff Jr win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Winning the Most Outstanding Player award depends on team performance and individual excellence. With many players competing, the probability for any single player is low unless they are a standout on a top team. Without specific standout info, 0.15 is reasonable.”
15%
NO
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“The Big Ten has historically been competitive but hasn't won a championship since 2000. While they often have strong teams, other conferences like the ACC and SEC have been more dominant in recent years.”
35%
NO
Will Braden Smith win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Winning the Outstanding Player award is highly competitive, with many players in contention. Without specific standout performance data or team success information for Braden Smith, his chances are low.”
5%
NO
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Millwall's performance, current form, and historical data against their opponent suggest a slightly lower chance of winning. Without specific match details, estimating a win is less likely.”
45%
NO
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Football matches have an average draw rate of around 25-30%. Considering team form and league position, a draw is less likely. Thus, the probability of a draw is estimated at 28%.”
28%
NO
Will Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins/losses. Considering team form and league averages, the likelihood of a draw is typically around 25-30%.”
28%
NO
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific match details or team performance data, estimating a win is challenging. Southampton's recent form and opponent strength are unknown, so a slight lean towards NO given typical win probabilities in competitive leagues.”
45%
NO
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 6 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific data on team form, injuries, or head-to-head stats for this match, estimating Viborg FF's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, a slight underdog position is reasonable, leading to a probability below 0.50.”
45%
NO
Will Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Millwall and Norwich have distinct playing styles and recent matches show a low draw rate. Both teams are likely to push for a win given their standings, reducing the likelihood of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“While tensions exist between the US and Iran, charges against foreign agents are rare and complex, often involving extensive investigations. With only a few weeks left, the likelihood of charges being filed by April 30 is relatively low.”
35%
NO
Will Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws in football are relatively common but not the most likely outcome. Considering team form, league position, and historical data, the probability of a draw is lower than a win for either side.”
28%
NO
Will IK Start win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific data on team performance, player conditions, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league standings suggest a slight disadvantage for IK Start.”
45%
NO
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on Leicester's current form, opponent strength, or injuries, estimating a win is challenging. Historically, Leicester's win probability in matches is around 0.45, assuming average conditions.”
45%
NO
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Middlesbrough's recent form and league position suggest a challenging match. Without specific details on opponent strength or injuries, a slight edge is given to the opposition or a draw.”
45%
NO
Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Viking FK's recent form and historical performance suggest a slight edge. However, without specific opponent information, the probability remains close to even.”
55%
YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Leadership changes in Hezbollah are infrequent and often tied to significant internal or external pressures. With no major recent events suggesting a change, the likelihood of Qassem being out by April 30, 2026, is relatively low.”
35%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency is highly variable. While he often tweets prolifically, predicting a specific range is difficult. Historical data suggests a wide range of monthly tweet counts, making this specific range less likely.”
45%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency is variable, but 200-219 tweets in a month is a narrow range. Given his past activity, it's plausible but not highly probable he will fall exactly within this range.”
45%
NO
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Sheffield Wednesday's current form and league position suggest they are underdogs against Leicester City. Historical performance and squad strength also favor Leicester, reducing the likelihood of a win for Sheffield Wednesday.”
35%
NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Inflation trends are influenced by various factors, including monetary policy and economic conditions. Given recent stabilization efforts and historical data, a 3.2% increase seems less likely, but not impossible.”
45%
NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Inflation rates are influenced by various factors, including economic policies and global events. A 0.7% increase is relatively high for a single month. Without specific indicators of such a rise, it's less likely to occur.”
45%
NO
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Given the strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz and recent tensions in the region, it's likely the US will escort a commercial ship to ensure safe passage by April 15.”
75%
YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Inflation trends are influenced by multiple factors including monetary policy and economic conditions. Given recent stabilization efforts and historical data, a 2.9% increase seems slightly less likely than not.”
45%
NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Inflation rates have been stabilizing recently, and economic policies are aimed at controlling inflation. Current trends and expert forecasts suggest a lower likelihood of a ≥3.4% increase in March.”
45%
NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Inflation trends have been stabilizing with recent economic policies. A 3.0% increase is significant and less likely given current economic conditions and recent data trends.”
45%
NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current economic trends and recent inflation data, a 0.5% increase in March is less likely. Inflation has been stabilizing, and significant monthly jumps are uncommon without major economic shifts.”
45%
NO
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Inflation trends are influenced by multiple factors including economic policies, supply chain issues, and global events. Given the current economic climate and recent trends, a 2.8% increase seems slightly less likely than not.”
45%
NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Recent trends show moderate inflationary pressures. Economic indicators suggest a slight increase is plausible, but not certain. Hence, a probability slightly above 50% is reasonable.”
55%
YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Recent trends show inflation has been moderating due to monetary policy and economic adjustments. A 0.8% monthly increase is relatively high, suggesting it's less likely given current economic conditions.”
35%
NO
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.00 in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Egg prices have been volatile due to factors like inflation and supply chain issues. Current trends suggest prices are unlikely to drop below $2.00 by March 2026.”
35%
NO
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Inflation trends are influenced by multiple factors, including monetary policy and economic conditions. Given the current date close to the resolution, it's likely that available data suggests a less than 50% chance of a 2.7% increase.”
45%
NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current economic trends and recent inflation data, it's likely that inflation will exceed 2.6% in March. Economic policies and external factors suggest a higher inflation rate.”
45%
NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Recent trends show inflation is stabilizing, with efforts to control it. Economic indicators suggest a moderate increase, likely within 0.3%.”
55%
YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Inflation rates are influenced by multiple factors including monetary policy and economic conditions. Given recent trends and efforts to stabilize inflation, a 3.1% increase seems less likely, though not impossible.”
45%
NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Inflation trends are influenced by multiple factors including economic policies, supply chain issues, and consumer demand. Given recent stabilization efforts and current economic indicators, a 3.3% increase seems slightly less likely.”
45%
NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Mojtaba Khamenei, being a prominent figure in Iran, is unlikely to leave the country without significant political upheaval or personal reasons. No current indications suggest such a departure by April 30, 2026.”
15%
NO
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“With less than a month to the deadline, legislative processes are often slow. If the SAVE Act hasn't progressed significantly by now, it's unlikely to become law by April 30, 2026.”
35%
NO
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Given Trump's historical stance on Iran and lack of diplomatic relations, it's unlikely he will talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30, 2026.”
15%
NO
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Public figures crying on stream is relatively rare unless there are significant emotional events. Without specific context or known triggers, the likelihood remains low.”
35%
NO
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-13✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Given the context of a competitive event like Mog World Order, and assuming Gorlock's reputation as a strong contender, it's likely Clavicular will be outperformed. The event's nature suggests a high probability of Gorlock succeeding in frame mogging.”
75%
YES
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The US has historically been cautious about direct military involvement in Iran due to geopolitical tensions. Support for Kurds in Iran would likely escalate tensions with Iran, making such an announcement unlikely by April 30.”
15%
NO
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“The US has historically been cautious in directly supporting opposition groups in Iran due to geopolitical risks and potential escalation. No recent indications suggest a change in this policy by April 30.”
15%
NO
Will Walker Kessler lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Walker Kessler is a strong shot blocker, but leading the NBA in blocks is highly competitive. Other players like Rudy Gobert and Myles Turner are also top contenders. With only a week left in the season, it's unlikely he will lead if not already ahead.”
35%
NO
Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Anthony Davis is a strong shot blocker, but injuries and competition from other top defenders like Rudy Gobert and Myles Turner reduce his chances of leading the league in blocks.”
35%
NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Given the ongoing conflict and Ukraine's strategic interests, there is a moderate chance of re-entering Maliivka by the deadline. However, the situation is fluid and subject to rapid changes in military dynamics.”
55%
YES
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Kristiansund BK's historical performance suggests a moderate chance, but not above 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are relatively less common. Ipswich and Birmingham's recent form and head-to-head stats suggest a decisive result is more likely. Thus, the probability of a draw is lower.”
28%
NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Mojtaba Khamenei, son of Iran's Supreme Leader, is not a frequent public figure. Given the lack of recent public appearances and the short time frame, it's unlikely he will be seen in public by April 30.”
35%
NO
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Leicester City is historically stronger and likely to win. Draws are less common in football, and current form favors Leicester. Thus, a draw is less probable.”
28%
NO
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data, league standings, or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average performance, the probability of a win is slightly less than 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team form, league position, and historical draw rates, the probability of a draw is relatively low.”
28%
NO
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or league standings for 2026, estimating based on historical performance and typical match unpredictability. Slightly less than even chance for a win.”
45%
NO
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Tromsø IL's performance history and current form suggest they are slightly less likely to win against Rosenborg BK, a traditionally strong team. However, home advantage and recent form could influence the outcome, keeping the probability close to even.”
45%
NO
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws are less common in soccer, and both teams have competitive histories. Recent form and head-to-head results suggest a decisive outcome is more likely.”
28%
NO
Will Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Philip Funderburg is not a well-known candidate in Ohio politics. Without significant endorsements or media coverage, his chances of winning the primary are lower compared to more established candidates.”
35%
NO
Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating Randers FC's win probability is challenging. Assuming typical league dynamics, a slightly below even chance is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Toluca's recent form and home advantage slightly favor them. Opponent's performance is average, giving Toluca a modest edge.”
55%
YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-05-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Ramaswamy is a prominent figure but lacks political experience. Other candidates with established political careers may have stronger support within the party. Current polls and endorsements will heavily influence the outcome.”
35%
NO
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Casey Putsch is not a widely recognized political figure compared to other potential candidates. Without significant political experience or backing, his chances of winning the primary are relatively low.”
25%
NO
Will Kristiansund BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“FK Bodø/Glimt is a stronger team historically and likely to win. Kristiansund BK has a lower draw rate in recent matches. Thus, a draw is less probable.”
28%
NO
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Sarpsborg 08 FF's historical performance suggests a moderate chance, but not enough to favor a win.”
45%
NO
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating Oxford United's win probability is challenging. Historically, mid-table teams have about a 45% chance of winning any given match.”
45%
NO
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Hull City AFC's chances depend on current form, injuries, and opponent strength. Without specific data, estimating slightly below 50% due to typical away game challenges and league standings.”
45%
NO
Will Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering typical league draw rates and team performance, the probability of a draw is lower than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Sheffield United's performance, league position, and recent form suggest they are less likely to win. Opponent's strength and home/away factor also considered.”
35%
NO
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Blackburn Rovers' performance this season has been inconsistent, and they are facing a strong opponent. Given current form and league standings, they have a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a slight underdog position for Birmingham City FC based on historical mid-table performance in the league.”
45%
NO
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Ipswich Town FC's recent form and home advantage suggest a slight edge over their opponents, Birmingham City, for this match.”
55%
YES
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Bristol City FC's performance this season has been inconsistent, and they are facing a strong opponent. Historical matchups and current form suggest a slightly lower chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, home advantage, and typical win rates, a probability below 0.50 is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific match details or team performance data, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or odds, estimating based on general league standings and historical performance suggests a slightly less than even chance for Aarhus GF to win.”
45%
NO
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Coventry City's performance, current standings, and recent form suggest a competitive match. However, without specific details on their opponent's strength or injuries, a slight edge is given to the opposition or a draw.”
45%
NO
Will Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, football matches end in a draw about 25-30% of the time. Considering team form and league position, a draw is less likely in this specific matchup.”
28%
NO
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data for the season, historical performance suggests a balanced match. Slight edge to the opposition or draw based on typical league standings and recent form.”
45%
NO
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on FC Fredericia's form, opponent, or league standing, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average conditions, the probability of winning is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on the opponent or current form, estimating based on general league performance. Rosenborg BK is a strong team but not dominant enough to assume a win without more context.”
45%
NO
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Portsmouth FC's recent form and home advantage slightly favor them over Oxford United. However, the match is likely to be competitive, hence a moderate probability of winning.”
55%
YES
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Lillestrøm SK has a strong recent performance record and favorable odds against their opponent. Given the current form and team strength, they have a slightly better chance of winning.”
55%
YES
Will Odense BK win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Historically, Odense BK's win rate is around average, suggesting a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will SK Brann win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“SK Brann's recent form and historical performance suggest a slight edge. However, without specific match details, the probability remains moderate.”
55%
YES
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Molde FK is a strong team with a good track record in the Norwegian league. Given their historical performance and current form, they have a slight edge over their opponents, making them more likely to win.”
55%
YES
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Vålerenga Fotball has a strong team and home advantage. Recent form and historical performance against their opponent suggest a slight edge. However, the outcome is still uncertain due to the competitive nature of the league.”
55%
YES
Will Tromsø IL vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins/losses. Tromsø IL and Rosenborg BK have competitive histories, making a decisive result more likely. Current form and league standings suggest a draw is less probable.”
28%
NO
Will Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, Molde FK has a strong home record and tends to win more often than draw. Lillestrøm SK's away performance is inconsistent, making a draw less likely.”
28%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Elon Musk is known for his high Twitter activity. Assuming his behavior hasn't changed significantly, posting over 2000 tweets in a month is plausible given past patterns of frequent tweeting.”
75%
YES
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Pumas de la UNAM has a strong team performance historically and current season stats suggest a slight edge over their opponent. However, without specific match details, the probability remains moderate.”
55%
YES
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“FK Bodø/Glimt has been a strong team in recent seasons, often performing well in domestic leagues. Assuming no major injuries or changes, they have a good chance of winning their match on 2026-04-06.”
65%
YES
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-04-06?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average league performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-06✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“CD Guadalajara is a strong team with a good track record. Given no specific context about the opponent or current form, a slight edge is given based on historical performance.”
55%
YES
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?
Apr 5 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins/losses. Considering team form and league averages, the probability of a draw is typically around 20-30%.”
28%
NO
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Seattle Sounders FC has a strong team and home advantage. Historical performance and current form suggest a slight edge over their opponent.”
55%
YES
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team performance and league averages, the probability of a draw is relatively low.”
28%
NO
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Feyenoord is a strong team with a good track record. Assuming they maintain form and face a typical opponent, they have a slight edge. However, without specific opponent info, certainty is limited.”
55%
YES
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Minnesota United's performance in recent seasons has been inconsistent. Without specific match data or current form, estimating a win is less than likely against a potentially strong opponent.”
45%
NO
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins/losses. Historical data and team performance suggest a lower likelihood of a draw for this match.”
28%
NO
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-24✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Given current economic conditions and inflation trends, a rate increase is slightly more likely as the Bank of Russia may aim to control inflation and stabilize the economy.”
55%
YES
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data for 2026, estimating based on historical performance and typical home advantage. San Jose Earthquakes have a moderate chance, but not enough to favor a win confidently.”
45%
NO
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“NAC Breda's performance, opponent strength, and recent form suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will SC Heerenveen vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team form and league averages, the probability of a draw is lower than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. América de Cali end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team form, historical outcomes, and league averages, a draw is less likely than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Soccer matches statistically end in draws about 25-30% of the time. Given no specific information about team form or conditions, a draw is less likely than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific match details, I consider general factors like team form, historical performance, and league standings. Santos Laguna has a moderate chance, but not enough to favor a win outright.”
45%
NO
Will FC København win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“FC København is historically strong in the Danish league and likely has a home advantage. Without specific team form data, they are favored to win against most domestic opponents.”
65%
YES
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. General league performance trends suggest a slightly less than even chance for a win.”
45%
NO
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Historically, matches between Club Santos Laguna and CF América have a low draw rate. Both teams are competitive and often play for a win, reducing the likelihood of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“SK Slavia Praha is a strong team in the Czech league, often performing well. Given their historical performance and potential home advantage, they have a higher likelihood of winning.”
65%
YES
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering team performance and league statistics, the likelihood of a draw is lower than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent, estimating Kashiwa Reysol's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, a slight underdog position is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific match details, historical performance and league standings suggest a moderate chance. However, given the uncertainty and typical league competitiveness, a slight edge towards NO is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific details on team performance, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league standings suggest a slightly less than even chance for Avispa Fukuoka to win.”
45%
NO
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average performance, the probability is slightly below 50%.”
45%
NO
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or context for the 2026 season, estimating Orlando City SC's win probability is challenging. Historically, MLS matches are competitive, and away games are tougher, suggesting a slight edge against a win.”
45%
NO
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Houston Dynamo's performance is average, and Seattle Sounders are historically strong. Without specific current season data, a slight edge to Seattle is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“LAFC has a strong squad and home advantage. While Orlando is competitive, LAFC's recent form and historical performance at home give them a slight edge.”
55%
YES
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-05-04✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Lady Gaga is a frequent attendee of the Met Gala and is known for her fashion-forward appearances. Given her history and the event's significance in the fashion world, it's likely she will attend.”
75%
YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Elon Musk's tweeting frequency varies widely. While he is active, predicting a specific range is difficult. Historical data suggests a lower probability for hitting this exact range in a given month.”
35%
NO
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or match context, estimating Sparta Rotterdam's win probability is challenging. Typically, home advantage and recent form are key factors, but lacking this info, a slight edge to the opponent or a draw is assumed.”
45%
NO
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“MLS matches often end with a winner. Historical data shows a draw rate of around 25-30% for similar matches. Both teams have competitive records, suggesting a likely decisive outcome.”
28%
NO
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“AC Sparta Praha is a strong team in the Czech league, often performing well at home. Given their historical performance and current form, they have a favorable chance of winning against most opponents in their league.”
65%
YES
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific data on team performance, opponent strength, or recent form, estimating a win is challenging. Given the lack of information, a slight lean towards NO is reasonable, assuming average conditions and competition.”
45%
NO
Will Club León FC vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering recent form and historical data, Club León and Atlas FC have a tendency to produce decisive results rather than draws.”
28%
NO
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“CF Pachuca has a strong team and recent performance suggests they are likely to win. However, without specific match details or opponent information, the probability is slightly above average.”
55%
YES
Will FC Hradec Králové vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are less common in football matches. Considering league averages and team performance, a draw is less likely than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific match details or team performance data for 2026, estimating based on historical performance and typical home advantage. Portland Timbers have a moderate chance but not enough to favor a win confidently.”
45%
NO
Will Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“MLS matches often result in a win/loss due to competitive nature and team strategies. LAFC and Orlando have strong offensive capabilities, reducing the likelihood of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Vissel Kōbe has a strong squad and recent good form. However, without specific details on their opponent or match conditions, the probability is slightly above average.”
55%
YES
Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a win probability is challenging. MFK Karviná's historical performance and league standing suggest a slightly less than even chance of winning.”
45%
NO
Will CF América win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“CF América is historically a strong team in Liga MX with a high win rate. Assuming no major injuries or disruptions, they have a favorable chance to win based on past performance and current form.”
65%
YES
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins/losses. Considering team form and league averages, the probability of a draw is typically around 20-30%.”
28%
NO
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team form, player injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league standings suggest a slightly less than even chance for a win.”
45%
NO
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Yokohama F·Marinos have a strong team and recent performance has been good. However, without specific details about their opponent, the probability is slightly above average for a win.”
55%
YES
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Shanghai Shenhua FC has a strong team and home advantage. Recent performance and league standings suggest a slight edge over their opponent.”
55%
YES
Will Houston Dynamo vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“MLS matches have a lower draw rate compared to wins/losses. Both teams have strong offensive capabilities, reducing the likelihood of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data or opponent information, estimating a slight underdog position for FC Hradec Králové based on general league standings and historical performance.”
45%
NO
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in soccer are common but not the most likely outcome. Considering team performance and league averages, a draw is less probable than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a strong team and recent performance has been solid. They have a slight edge over their opponent based on current form and historical matchups.”
55%
YES
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Kawasaki Frontale has a strong team history and recent performance. Given their competitive edge and current form, they have a slight advantage over their opponent, making them more likely to win.”
55%
YES
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Given the current geopolitical climate and military strategies, Russia's re-entry into Ternuvate by April 30 seems unlikely, though not impossible. Factors include international pressure and military logistics.”
45%
NO
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific information on team performance, opponent strength, or recent form, estimating a win is challenging. Assuming average conditions, a slight edge to 'NO' given typical away game disadvantages or historical performance variability.”
45%
NO
Will FC Baník Ostrava vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Slavia Praha is a stronger team with a higher likelihood of winning. Historical match data shows a low draw rate between these teams.”
28%
NO
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“The Presidents' Trophy is highly competitive, with many strong teams. The Golden Knights are a strong team, but given the unpredictability and competition, their chances are relatively low at this point in the season.”
25%
NO
Will Jalen Williams lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Leading the NBA in steals is highly competitive. Jalen Williams is talented, but other players are more established in this stat. With only a week left in the season, it's unlikely he will surpass the current leaders.”
15%
NO
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data for 2026, I rely on general MLS parity and Nashville SC's historical performance. Slightly less than even chance due to typical away game challenges and league competitiveness.”
45%
NO
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“MrBeast's subscriber growth is rapid but reaching 480 million by April 30 is unlikely given current trends and the short timeframe. His channel would need unprecedented growth to achieve this in less than a month.”
45%
NO
Will Brandon Miller lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Leading the NBA in points is highly competitive, typically dominated by established stars. Brandon Miller, while talented, is less likely to surpass top scorers like Luka Doncic or Giannis Antetokounmpo by 2025-26.”
10%
NO
Will the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The NCP is not a major political force in Tamil Nadu, where regional parties like DMK and AIADMK dominate. Historically, NCP has not been a significant contender in the state's elections.”
5%
NO
Will Toumani Camara lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Toumani Camara is not widely recognized as a top defensive player in the NBA, and leading the league in steals is typically achieved by elite defenders. Given the lack of historical precedence and current performance data, it's unlikely he will lead in steals.”
5%
NO
Will Lonzo Ball lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
“Lonzo Ball has been injury-prone in recent seasons and there are many other strong contenders for steals leader. It's unlikely he will lead the league in steals this season.”
10%
NO
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-05?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data, player conditions, or opponent details, estimating Ceará SC's win probability is challenging. Assuming average league performance, a slight edge to the opponent or a draw is more likely.”
45%
NO
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific team performance data for 2026, it's challenging to predict. Historically, LA Galaxy has been competitive, but without current form or opponent analysis, a slight edge against them is reasonable.”
45%
NO
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific team performance data for 2026, historical performance and typical home advantage suggest a slight edge against Vancouver Whitecaps FC. Thus, a probability of 0.45 for a win.”
45%
NO
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-04✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, draws in football occur about 25-30% of the time. Given no specific context suggesting a higher likelihood of a draw, the probability remains around the average rate.”
28%
NO
Will Reds win?
Apr 4 · Ends 2026-04-04✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The resolution date has passed, indicating the event has already occurred. Without additional context, it's likely the Reds did not win.”
1%
NO
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Fortuna Sittard's historical performance, current season standings, and recent form suggest they are less likely to win against a stronger opponent.”
35%
NO
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-28✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws in football are less common than wins or losses. Considering team form, league position, and historical draw rates, the probability of a draw is lower than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Melbourne City FC has a strong track record and home advantage. Current form and squad strength suggest a slight edge over their opponents.”
55%
YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Elon Musk is known for high Twitter activity, often exceeding 100 tweets per month. Given his past behavior, it's more likely he will tweet more than 99 times rather than between 80-99 times in April 2026.”
45%
NO
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“St. Louis City SC has shown strong performance this season and has a home advantage. However, NYC FC is a competitive team, making the match closely contested.”
55%
YES
Will Ventforet Kōfu win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Ventforet Kōfu's performance in recent matches and their current league standing suggest they are underdogs against their opponent on 2026-04-04.”
45%
NO
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on team performance, player conditions, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league standings suggest a slightly less than even chance for a win.”
45%
NO
Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
“Without specific details on the opponent, current form, or injuries, estimating is challenging. Historically, 1. FC Slovácko has a moderate win rate, but without more context, a slight edge to NO is given.”
45%
NO
Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific information on team form, opponent strength, or recent performance, estimating a win is challenging. Generic factors suggest a slightly less than even chance for a win.”
45%
NO
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins/losses. Considering team strengths and league averages, a draw is less likely. Historical data suggests a draw probability around 25-30% for similar matches.”
28%
NO
Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Historically, draws in football occur about 25-30% of the time. Considering team form and league averages, a draw is less likely than a win for either team.”
28%
NO
Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. FK Mladá Boleslav end in a draw?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws in football are less common than wins/losses. Considering league averages and team performance, the probability of a draw is typically around 25-30%.”
28%
NO
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-03?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Tigres de la UANL has a strong team and recent performance history. Given their current form and competitive edge, they have a higher likelihood of winning.”
65%
YES
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Al Hilal is a strong team with a history of success in the league. Given their current form and squad strength, they have a higher chance of winning against most opponents.”
65%
YES
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-04?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Kashima Antlers have a strong team and home advantage. Recent form and historical performance suggest a slight edge over their opponent.”
55%
YES
Will AD Cali win on 2026-04-03?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
“Without specific information on team form, injuries, or opponent strength, estimating a win is challenging. Historical performance and league standings suggest a slightly less than even chance for a win.”
45%
NO
Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
Apr 3 · Ends 2026-04-04✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
“Winning the NCAA tournament is highly competitive. UCLA is a strong team but faces tough competition from other top programs. Without specific information on their current form or bracket position, a 15% chance reflects general odds for a top-tier team.”
15%
NO