Will Caleb Downs be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

“Caleb Downs is a talented safety, but safeties almost never go #1 overall. QBs and edge rushers dominate top picks. Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders, or a top QB/edge prospect are more likely #1. Downs is projected as a top-10 pick but not #1.”

“Caleb Downs is a talented safety, but safeties are rarely drafted first overall. The #1 pick typically goes to elite quarterbacks or exceptional pass rushers/tackles. His position makes him an unlikely top selection.”

“Safeties are almost never the first overall pick due to positional value. QBs, OTs, and Edge Rushers dominate top picks. Downs, while talented, plays a position not valued at #1 overall.”

“Being the first pick is highly competitive and depends on team needs, player performance, and other prospects. While Caleb Downs may be a top prospect, the likelihood of him being the first pick is low given the uncertainty and competition.”