Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

“APS is a relatively new coalition with limited polling data showing it leading. Established parties like GERB and PP-DB have stronger electoral infrastructure and historical performance in Bulgarian politics.”

“APS (formerly DPS/MRF) represents primarily ethnic Turkish minority voters in Bulgaria. While it has been a significant parliamentary force, it has never won the most seats. GERB or other major parties are far more likely to lead. APS winning plurality would be unprecedented.”

“APS is a smaller party in Bulgaria, historically overshadowed by larger parties like GERB and BSP. Without significant changes in political dynamics or recent polling data indicating a surge, it's unlikely they will win the most seats.”