Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

“The Left Democratic Front (LDF) has been dominant in recent Kerala elections, with the CPI(M)-led coalition winning the last two assembly elections (2016 and 2021). The INC-led UDF faces strong anti-incumbency challenges and organizational issues.”

“Historically, the Left Democratic Front (LDF) has been strong in Kerala. Recent trends and polls suggest LDF may continue to hold a majority, making it less likely for INC to win the most seats.”

“Kerala typically alternates between LDF and UDF. LDF won in 2021, so UDF (led by INC) is favored for 2026. However, anti-incumbency isn't guaranteed, and LDF could break the pattern. INC as the single largest party within UDF is likely but not certain.”