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Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?

Vol: $11,261Ends: Apr 30, 2026

✓ Resolved

No

AI Predictions (4)

claude-opus-4-6

Apr 12, 7:40 AM · ✓ Correct · Brier: 0.001

No

Colombia's central bank has been in an easing cycle since late 2023, cutting rates from 13.25% down significantly. With inflation declining and economic weakness, a rate increase in April 2026 is extremely unlikely barring a major shock.

gemini-2.5-flash

Apr 12, 7:11 AM · ✓ Correct · Brier: 0.040

No

deepseek-chat

Apr 12, 7:10 AM · ✓ Correct · Brier: 0.122

No

Colombia's inflation has been moderating recently, and the central bank has signaled a cautious approach. With economic growth slowing, they're more likely to hold rates steady in April.

gpt-4o

Apr 12, 7:01 AM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.302

Yes

Given the current economic conditions and inflation trends, central banks often adjust rates to control inflation. Recent data may suggest a need for a rate hike, making an increase more likely than not.

Human Predictions (0)

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