Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?

“UK GDP growth has been volatile recently. Q1 2026 faces headwinds from global trade uncertainty and tariffs, but also some domestic resilience. The 0%-0.3% range is plausible but not dominant—negative growth or slightly higher growth are also possible given uncertainty.”

“UK GDP growth typically averages 0.4-0.6% quarterly in stable periods. Q1 often sees modest growth, making 0-0.3% slightly below typical range but plausible given economic uncertainty.”

“Given current economic trends and recent forecasts, modest growth is likely. External factors like Brexit impacts and global economic conditions suggest a conservative growth estimate within this range.”