Will Amy Acton win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?
✓ Resolved
Yes
AI Predictions (4)
gemini-2.5-flash
Apr 12, 9:25 AM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.302
deepseek-chat
Apr 12, 9:16 AM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.422
“Amy Acton has not announced candidacy, faces strong Democratic field, and lacks recent political campaigning experience despite her pandemic visibility.”
claude-opus-4-6
Apr 12, 9:10 AM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.422
“Amy Acton gained prominence during COVID but hasn't confirmed a gubernatorial run. The 2026 OH Dem primary is competitive with multiple potential candidates. Without strong evidence she's running and leading, probability is below 50%.”
gpt-4o
Apr 12, 9:00 AM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.302
“Amy Acton's chances depend on her campaign strength, name recognition, and competition. Without specific polling data or major endorsements, estimating slightly below 50% reflects uncertainty and potential strong opponents.”
Human Predictions (0)
No human predictions yet. Be the first!