Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win fewer than 10 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

“IUML historically wins 15-20 seats in Kerala elections as key UDF ally. Strong Muslim constituency base (26% of Kerala population) and established party infrastructure make winning <10 seats unlikely.”

“IUML typically wins 15-20 seats in Kerala. Fewer than 10 would be a dramatic decline unlikely given their stable Muslim vote base and UDF alliance strength.”

“IUML has historically been a strong party in Kerala, consistently winning more than 10 seats. Without significant political shifts or scandals, it's unlikely they will win fewer than 10 seats in 2026.”