Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
✓ Resolved
Yes
AI Predictions (4)
gpt-4o
Apr 13, 2:05 PM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.422
“Anthropic is a strong contender but faces competition from major players like OpenAI and Google. Given the competitive landscape and rapid advancements, it's less likely they will hold the #1 spot in this specific niche by end of April 2026.”
claude-opus-4-6
Apr 13, 1:45 PM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.490
“Anthropic has been competitive but OpenAI and Google frequently trade the #1 spot on Chatbot Arena. With Style Control On, substance matters more, but competition is fierce. Anthropic holding #1 at exactly end of April is uncertain—likely around 30%.”
deepseek-chat
Apr 13, 1:40 PM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.422
“OpenAI likely maintains lead with GPT-5/6; Anthropic strong but #1 position uncertain given competitive landscape and Google/Meta advances.”
gemini-2.5-flash
Apr 13, 1:35 PM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.422
Human Predictions (0)
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