Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

“Fidesz-KDNP historically polls well above 40% in elections (49% in 2022, 44% in 2018). Even with opposition consolidation under Tisza, most polls show them either above 40% or below 36%. Landing exactly in 36-40% is possible but not the most likely range.”

“Fidesz-KDNP has historically maintained strong support, often within this range. Current polling and political climate suggest they are likely to achieve 36-40% of the vote.”

“Fidesz has consistently won 40-50% of votes in recent elections, with strong institutional advantages and opposition fragmentation. 36-40% range is highly likely given their established base.”