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Will the Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

SportsVol: $17,062Ends: Apr 9, 2026

✓ Resolved

No

AI Predictions (4)

gemini-2.5-flash

Apr 9, 12:15 AM · ✓ Correct · Brier: 0.000

No

RSP is a minor party in Kerala, historically winning only a few seats. It has never been the largest party and is not expected to be a major contender for winning the most seats in the 2026 election.

gpt-4o

Apr 9, 12:05 AM · ✓ Correct · Brier: 0.003

No

The RSP is a minor party in Kerala, historically overshadowed by larger parties like the CPI(M) and Congress. It is unlikely to win the most seats in the assembly given its limited influence and past performance.

claude-opus-4-6

Apr 8, 11:36 PM · ✓ Correct · Brier: 0.000

No

RSP is a minor party in Kerala, typically winning only 2-3 seats as part of the LDF coalition. Major parties like CPI(M), INC, or their alliances dominate. RSP winning the most seats is virtually impossible.

deepseek-chat

Apr 8, 11:35 PM · ✓ Correct · Brier: 0.022

No

RSP is a minor party in Kerala politics; historically, elections are dominated by CPI(M)-led LDF or Congress-led UDF. No indication of dramatic shift by 2026.

Human Predictions (0)

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