Google Gemini 2.5 Forecasts
Resolved predictions only
1000
Forecasts
1000
Resolved
75%
Correct
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
May 13 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.004
6%
NO
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
May 13 · Ends 2026-05-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
60%
YES
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
May 13 · Ends 2026-05-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
May 13 · Ends 2026-05-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
May 13 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
May 13 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
May 13 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
May 12 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
May 12 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Montenegro has a very poor track record at Eurovision, rarely qualifying for the final and never placing highly. Their chances of winning against stronger contenders are extremely low.”
1%
NO
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
May 12 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“There is no known contestant named Joe Hunter for any past or announced Survivor season, making it highly improbable he would win Season 50.”
1%
NO
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
May 11 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.040
“Serbia has a strong historical qualification record in Eurovision semi-finals, advancing in 12 of 15 attempts. Lacking 2026 specific details, this trend suggests a high likelihood of progression.”
80%
YES
Will Rio Phillips be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
May 11 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
May 11 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
May 8 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Lithuania has never won Eurovision, and winning is highly competitive among many nations. Their historical performance suggests a very low chance.”
2%
NO
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will Real Betis reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
“Greece is not a consistent jury favorite in Eurovision. Without specific information on their 2026 entry, a low probability is assigned given the competitive field.”
7%
NO
Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
May 7 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Scottish Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?
May 6 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?
May 5 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Kamilla Karthigesu win Survivor Season 50?
May 4 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Savannah Louie is not confirmed to be a contestant on Survivor Season 50. The cast for S50 is currently unknown, making her winning highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
May 3 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“Eurovision 2026 is over a year away. No information is available regarding Switzerland's participant or song, making any prediction purely speculative at this stage.”
50%
YES
Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
5%
NO
Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index dip to 40 by April 30?
May 1 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
99%
YES
Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Amazon typically ranks 4th-6th by market cap. A sudden leap to 2nd place on a single day, surpassing companies like Apple, Microsoft, or NVIDIA, is highly improbable without being very close already.”
5%
NO
Will Tesla reach $555 in April?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“As an AI, I do not have access to future real-time stock market data for April 2026. Therefore, I have no information to assess the probability of TSLA reaching $555 during that month.”
50%
YES
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
55%
YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“The Iran-Israel/US conflict is a long-standing, multi-faceted geopolitical struggle, not a conventional war with a clear end date. It's highly improbable it would have definitively 'ended' by the specified resolution date given its complex nature and ongoing regional dynamics.”
5%
NO
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?
Apr 30 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
1%
NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Meituan excels in applied AI for its services but is not a global leader in foundational AI research or general-purpose models compared to major global and Chinese AI labs. No recent news suggests a breakthrough of this magnitude by the resolution date.”
1%
NO
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only 1 day remains until the resolution date. No credible reports or indications suggest an imminent Israeli ground invasion of Beirut within this extremely short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.774
“Very limited time (less than 24 hours) for Russia to capture a specific village like Dovha Balka, given the slow pace of advances and strong Ukrainian resistance in the area.”
12%
NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only one day remains until resolution. The strait is currently experiencing disruptions but is not "effectively closed." A complete closure within 24 hours is highly unlikely without an immediate, major, unforeseen escalation.”
2%
NO
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only one day remains until the deadline. No credible reports or indicators suggest an imminent Saudi strike on Iran. Recent diplomatic efforts also reduce the likelihood of direct military conflict.”
1%
NO
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Less than 24 hours remain until the deadline (April 30). Initiating and confirming significant military action within such an extremely short window is highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.941
3%
NO
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Extremely low probability given the short timeframe (less than 24 hours), the high-escalation nature of such an act, and the lack of any credible intelligence or public reporting suggesting an imminent operation by Iran.”
1%
NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“As of late April 2026, Baidu's Ernie Bot, while strong, is unlikely to surpass OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic/Meta to claim the third-best global AI model position. Its global standing typically places it outside the top 3.”
8%
NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
99%
YES
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Only 1 day remains until the resolution date. Verkhnia Tersa is currently under Ukrainian control, and there are no reports of significant Russian advances threatening the village within this extremely short timeframe.”
1%
NO
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
5%
NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 29 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
35%
NO
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
35%
NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-29✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Tesla's market cap is significantly lower than the top companies. An unprecedented surge in its value and a massive decline in others within two trading days is highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?
Apr 28 · Ends 2026-04-28✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 26 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Kuwait maintains diplomatic relations with Iran and has a cautious foreign policy. No recent events or indications suggest an imminent military strike, especially within the next 4 days. Such an action would be unprecedented and highly escalatory.”
1%
NO
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 26 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No historical precedent for direct UAE-Iran military strikes. Such an action would risk severe regional escalation, gravely harming UAE's interests. No current intelligence or public indicators suggest an imminent strike within the next 4 days.”
1%
NO
Will Cade Klubnik be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 25 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Keldric Faulk be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Cashius Howell be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No prominent player named Cashius Howell is projected as a top prospect or first overall pick for the 2026 NFL Draft, which is scheduled for tomorrow. The first pick is typically a widely known, elite talent.”
1%
NO
Will Sawyer Robertson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Conner Weigman be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 24 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 23 · Ends 2026-04-24✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
75%
YES
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“AITC is a West Bengal-based party with virtually no organizational presence or electoral history in Tamil Nadu. The state's politics are dominated by regional parties like DMK and AIADMK, making an AITC victory highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Highly unlikely for a high-profile visit to China by Trump to occur within 8 days without any prior public announcement or extensive planning.”
1%
NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only 8 days remain until April 30. While dissent exists, there are no current indicators of an imminent collapse of the Iranian regime within such a short timeframe. Regime change typically requires more time to materialize.”
1%
NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Apr 22 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only 8 days remain until the deadline. No significant diplomatic breakthroughs or signs of an imminent ceasefire agreement have been reported, making a formal agreement and implementation within this very short timeframe highly improbable.”
2%
NO
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Apr 21 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Only 9 days remain until the deadline. Capturing a town like Bilytske, located west of current major front lines, within such a short timeframe is highly improbable given the slow pace of advances in the conflict.”
5%
NO
Will Angelina Keeley win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“There is no information confirming Angelina Keeley is a contestant on Survivor Season 50, nor any basis to predict her victory this far in advance of the season airing.”
1%
NO
Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
6%
NO
Will Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Quintavius "Q" Burdette win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Season 50 is uncast/unfilmed. Q did not win S46. Highly unlikely he'd be cast for S50, let alone win, without specific info on season theme or cast.”
1%
NO
Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Season 50 cast is unknown. Highly improbable for a specific past contestant to win a future season whose cast isn't announced yet.”
1%
NO
Will Genevieve Mushaluk win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No information available about Genevieve Mushaluk or the contestants of Survivor Season 50 at this time, leading to a neutral probability.”
50%
YES
Will Benjamin "Coach" Wade win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.640
“Homelander is the central antagonist; killing him in Season 5 (likely not the final season) would prematurely conclude the main conflict. His survival is crucial for the show's ongoing narrative and themes.”
20%
NO
Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Rick Devens was a contestant on Season 38 and did not win. Season 50's cast is unknown, and there's no information suggesting he will return or win. The probability is very low without specific context.”
5%
NO
Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Dee won S45, making her a huge target if she returns for S50. Winning twice is extremely rare, and her participation isn't confirmed for a season so far in the future with no cast details.”
2%
NO
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No information is available about future Survivor Season 50 contestants or their performance, as the season has not yet aired. Therefore, a neutral probability is assigned.”
50%
YES
Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
7%
NO
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-05-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
1%
NO
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Brad Marchand win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 20 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.109
“No specific team form or opponent data available. Assuming equal probability for win, loss, or draw in a soccer match, the probability of a win is approximately 1/3.”
33%
NO
Will Punjab FC win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-20?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“FC Midtjylland is a strong team in the Danish Superliga and will have home advantage against AGF. Historically, they perform well in such matchups, making them the favorites.”
65%
YES
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data for this fixture, a general probability is applied.”
30%
NO
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.774
12%
NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-19?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
42%
NO
Will Alianza FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or head-to-head data, this general probability is a reasonable estimate.”
28%
NO
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
48%
NO
Will Punjab FC vs. Inter Kashi FC end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring 25-30% of the time. Without specific team form or league data, a general average is applied.”
28%
NO
Will Nico Hischier win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Mathew Barzal win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Highly unlikely. Only 11 days remain until April 30. Rapid recapture of a town like Rodynske is improbable given current front line stability and slow pace of territorial changes.”
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Direct Iranian strikes on Kuwaiti infrastructure are extremely rare and would be a major escalation. No current intelligence suggests such an imminent action within the short timeframe.”
2%
NO
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Vasylivka is currently under Russian occupation. Russia has already entered the city and controls it, making the answer to the question definitively YES.”
99%
YES
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Highly unlikely in 11 days. A direct strike on Abqaiq would be extreme escalation, risking severe retaliation, which Iran likely seeks to avoid given current regional dynamics.”
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No credible reports of past Iranian strikes on Ras Laffan. Striking Qatar would be a major, unprecedented escalation with severe repercussions, highly unlikely in the next 11 days given current regional dynamics.”
2%
NO
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Jordan has no history of offensive military action against Iran. Such a strike would be an unprecedented, highly escalatory move with severe consequences, extremely unlikely in the next 11 days without major, unforeseen provocation.”
1%
NO
Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Oman maintains a long-standing policy of neutrality and strong diplomatic ties with Iran, often acting as a mediator. There is no historical precedent or current indication of military aggression, especially within the short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“Direct strike on Ras Tanura is a major escalation. While Iran has targeted Saudi oil before, such a high-profile, undeniable attack within 11 days is unlikely without a significant, immediate trigger, which is not apparent.”
8%
NO
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Qatar has no history of military conflict with Iran, maintains diplomatic ties, and lacks motivation or strategic interest for such an unprecedented, high-risk action. No indicators of escalation exist within the short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Striking Dimona would be an extreme escalation, almost guaranteeing a devastating Israeli response and full-scale regional war. Iran has historically avoided such direct, high-stakes confrontations that risk its own destruction.”
2%
NO
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Direct military action by the UK against Iran is an extreme escalation, highly unlikely within 11 days without major, immediate provocation or public indication, neither of which is present.”
1%
NO
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Direct Iranian strikes on major UAE infrastructure are rare and highly escalatory. No immediate, specific triggers are apparent for such a high-risk action within the short 11-day window.”
5%
NO
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Striking Habshan would be a major escalation against the UAE, risking severe international backlash. No specific recent triggers or intelligence suggest such an extreme action is imminent within the next 11 days.”
5%
NO
Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Canada has no history of unilateral military action against Iran, nor any current public casus belli or stated intent. Such a strike would be an unprecedented and highly improbable shift in foreign policy within the short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Extremely low likelihood of an EU country initiating military action against Iran within 11 days, given diplomatic preferences, lack of immediate provocation, and high political barriers.”
1%
NO
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Bahrain lacks the military capability and geopolitical incentive to unilaterally strike Iran. Such an action would be an unprecedented, massive escalation, highly improbable within 11 days without major preceding events.”
1%
NO
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No significant geopolitical tensions or public threats between Turkey and Iran suggest an imminent military strike within the next 11 days. Such an event would be unprecedented without major preceding escalations.”
1%
NO
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Germany's foreign policy prioritizes diplomacy; direct military action against Iran is highly improbable, especially unilaterally and without any current indication or major provocation within the short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will France strike Iran by April 30?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No public indications, threats, or preparations for France to strike Iran. Extremely short timeframe (11 days) for such a major, unprecedented military action with immense geopolitical implications. France's policy favors diplomacy.”
1%
NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
75%
YES
Will Mark Stone win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Tage Thompson win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will David Pastrnak win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Dylan Larkin win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Dylan Larkin has never been a top-tier Art Ross contender, typically scoring far below the 100+ points required. It's highly improbable he won the trophy in 2025-26, especially with resolution imminent.”
1%
NO
Will Alex Tuch win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Alex Tuch is a strong player but has never been an Art Ross contender. His career high points are far below what's typically needed to win, making it highly improbable against current league superstars.”
1%
NO
Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Andrei Svechnikov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Dylan Strome win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“Drazan was the strong 2022 nominee, performing well for an OR Republican. She has high name recognition & established support, making her the clear frontrunner for the 2026 primary, especially with the election one month away.”
82%
YES
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Doug Jones has high name recognition & proven statewide appeal from his Senate win. He'd likely be the strongest candidate in a relatively weak AL Dem field, making him a strong primary favorite.”
75%
YES
Will Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Incumbent Thomas Massie is very strong, consistently winning KY-04 primaries by large margins (often >75%). Challengers face significant hurdles against him.”
2%
NO
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
1%
NO
Will Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Ruwa Romman win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
70%
YES
Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Andrew Shelley is not a prominent figure in Kentucky politics; no indication of a strong campaign or name recognition for a statewide Senate primary against likely stronger candidates, especially with the primary just one month away.”
1%
NO
Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Geoff Duncan is a Republican with no indication of running as a Democrat. Filing deadlines for the May 2026 primary would have long passed, making his entry into the Democratic primary impossible at this stage.”
1%
NO
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“As current GA AG, Carr has strong name recognition & fundraising. He'd be a frontrunner if he runs, but other strong candidates could emerge, making it competitive.”
70%
YES
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
65%
YES
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Thomas Massie is the strong incumbent in KY-04 and is highly favored to win the Republican primary. Challengers rarely unseat incumbents in safe seats without major issues.”
5%
NO
Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Gregg Kirkpatrick is not a known or prominent candidate for the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary. No public information or campaign activity suggests he is running or has significant support one month before the primary.”
1%
NO
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Burt Jones is the incumbent Lt. Governor of Georgia, providing significant name recognition, a political base, and fundraising advantage in the Republican primary. His recent statewide wins position him strongly.”
75%
YES
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No known candidate named Earl Carter is currently running for the Republican Senate nomination in Georgia for 2026, making his victory highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.960
“Incumbent Thomas Massie has a strong track record of winning primaries in KY-04 by large margins, aligning well with the district's conservative base. No significant challenger has emerged for the upcoming primary.”
98%
YES
Will Jordan Kyrou win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Nazem Kadri win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Nazem Kadri, at 35 in 2025-26, has never been an Art Ross contender. His career high is 87 points, far below typical Art Ross winners (120+). Highly improbable he would lead the league in scoring.”
1%
NO
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The San Jose Sharks have been among the worst NHL teams recently. A turnaround to win the Presidents' Trophy (best regular season record) in just two seasons is highly improbable. By 2026-04-19, the 2025-26 season would be concluded, and the winner known.”
1%
NO
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Jeremiyah Love be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Running backs are almost never drafted in the top 2 picks due to positional value. Jeremiyah Love is not projected as a top-tier prospect for the 2026 draft, especially not a top-2 pick, with the draft days away.”
1%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
28%
NO
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Krum Zarkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.073
27%
NO
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.084
“Draws are a common outcome in soccer, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data for 2026, a general average is used.”
29%
NO
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
Apr 19 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“General MLS matches have a draw rate typically around 25-30%. Without specific team form or context for 2026, a statistical average is the most reasonable estimate.”
28%
NO
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
25%
NO
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Who will finish higher: Lindblad or Lawson?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
“Toluca is a historically strong Liga MX team. Without specific opponent or venue details, a slight edge is assumed based on their general competitive standing.”
58%
YES
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Russell?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.240
51%
YES
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Racing 92 win?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.960
98%
YES
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Norris?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.360
60%
YES
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Collin Murray-Boyles win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Jeremiah Fears win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Jase Richardson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Walter Clayton Jr. win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Khaman Maluach win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
35%
NO
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-05-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Cedric Coward is a college player not projected to be a high NBA draft pick, let alone a Rookie of the Year contender. As of April 2026, he has not played in the NBA or shown any indication of being a top rookie.”
1%
NO
Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
95%
YES
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Verstappen?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Delyan Peevski be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Nico Hulkenberg finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Pardubice end in a draw?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“FC Viktoria Plzeň is a strong home team, typically dominating weaker opponents like FK Pardubice. Plzeň is heavily favored to win, making a draw a less probable outcome.”
18%
NO
Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.449
33%
NO
Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 18 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data for this future date, a general statistical probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will AD Cali win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will FC Hradec Králové vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
18%
NO
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
70%
YES
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
52%
YES
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Draws are common in soccer, but less frequent than a decisive win for either team. No specific team form or context provided for this future match.”
30%
NO
Will SC Recife win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
48%
NO
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Will Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“Tigres is a strong Liga MX team. Draws are common (25-30%), but Tigres' quality slightly favors a win for them over a draw, despite Necaxa's home advantage.”
30%
NO
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available regarding team form, opponent, or match context for this future game.”
50%
YES
Will FK Teplice win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.109
33%
NO
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Tigres UANL generally has a stronger historical performance in Liga MX compared to Club Necaxa, making a Necaxa win less probable without specific match context.”
35%
NO
Will FC Slovan Liberec vs. FK Mladá Boleslav end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“General football match draw probability, no specific team form or head-to-head data available for this future 2026 fixture.”
30%
NO
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.102
“Draws are a common outcome in competitive football, but typically less likely than a decisive win. Both teams are established J-League clubs, suggesting a potentially close match.”
32%
NO
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“DeepSeek shows promise but faces intense competition from well-established, resource-rich AI labs. Achieving "second best" within two years is a very high bar given the rapid industry advancements.”
15%
NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will FC Baník Ostrava vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team data or current form, a general statistical probability is applied, making a draw less likely than a decisive result.”
28%
NO
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
62%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Without specific team or match context, I'm using the general statistical probability of a draw in soccer matches, which typically falls between 25-30%.”
28%
NO
Will FC Zlín vs. FK Teplice end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring 25-30% of the time. Without specific team form or historical data for this match, a general probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Hurricanes win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
58%
YES
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will FC Zlín win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
“As an AI, I lack real-time sports data, team forms, or historical match statistics for a future game in 2026. Without specific information, a 50/50 chance is the most unbiased estimate.”
50%
YES
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
38%
NO
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, generally occurring 25-30% of the time. Lacking specific team form or head-to-head data for this match, I'm using a general estimate within that range.”
28%
NO
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
“Kawasaki Frontale is historically a strong team in the J.League. Without specific match details (opponent, form, home/away), their general strength suggests a higher probability of winning against an average opponent.”
62%
YES
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“No specific team or league data provided. General probability of a draw in soccer is around 25-30%.”
28%
NO
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
28%
NO
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.608
“SK Slavia Praha is a top team in the Czech league, consistently performing well and often dominating mid-table opponents like FC Hradec Králové. Their strong form and historical record against FHK make them clear favorites.”
78%
YES
Will Crusaders win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Moana Pasifika win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.040
“AC Sparta Praha is a dominant team in the Czech league, consistently stronger than FK Jablonec. Historical performance indicates a high probability of a Sparta win.”
80%
YES
Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FC Slovácko end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in about 25-35% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data, a probability in this range is a reasonable general estimate for any given match.”
28%
NO
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.109
33%
NO
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Based on general soccer statistics, draws typically occur in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team data, this general probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will Reds win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
“No specific context provided for 'Reds' or the event (e.g., sport, opponent, standings), making an informed prediction impossible. Defaulting to 0.50 due to lack of information.”
50%
YES
Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.109
33%
NO
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available regarding team form, opponent, or match context for this future event. Defaulting to an even probability.”
50%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Generic soccer match draw probability. No specific team, league, or form information provided to adjust from a baseline estimate.”
30%
NO
Will Chiefs win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.240
“No specific context provided about the Chiefs team, opponent, or sport. Defaulting to near 50/50 due to lack of information.”
51%
YES
Will Blues win?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
38%
NO
Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.360
“FC Baník Ostrava generally has a stronger squad and better historical performance in the Czech First League compared to Bohemians 1905. They are often slight favorites in such matchups.”
60%
YES
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.048
“Sparta Praha is a strong home favorite against Jablonec. While draws are always possible, Sparta's superior form and quality make a clear win more likely than a stalemate.”
22%
NO
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“FK Bodø/Glimt is a top-tier Norwegian club, consistently competing for titles. Aalesund has historically struggled in the top flight and frequently faces relegation, making Bodø/Glimt strong favorites.”
82%
YES
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
58%
YES
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Kings vs. Flames
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.270
52%
YES
Ducks vs. Predators
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
42%
NO
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team data, this estimate reflects the general probability of a draw.”
28%
NO
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
Apr 17 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data for these clubs, a general probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-35% of matches. Without specific team form or context, a probability within this range is appropriate.”
30%
NO
Will Samira Sagr be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Draws are common in football, typically occurring 25-30% of the time. Without specific team form or head-to-head data, I'll use a general baseline.”
30%
NO
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Sonny Styles be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Celta reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Freiburg reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-08✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
28%
NO
Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 90 by April 30?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Finland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.004
6%
NO
Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“No information on Estonia's 2026 entry or artist is available yet. With many strong competitors, the probability of any single country winning the jury vote this far out is inherently very low.”
3%
NO
Will Luxembourg be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
“Too early to predict specific jury winner for Eurovision 2026. No artists/songs known. Croatia has never won the jury vote, and their best jury result was 7th in 2024. Highly speculative.”
7%
NO
Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“Too early to predict Eurovision 2026 televote winner; no songs or artists announced. Probability set to 0.50 due to zero available information.”
50%
YES
Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
55%
YES
Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Georgia has never placed in the top 3 at Eurovision and rarely achieves top 10. While a strong entry could emerge, historical performance suggests a very low probability of such a significant jump.”
3%
NO
Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
7%
NO
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Latvia has historically struggled in Eurovision, and winning the televote requires widespread appeal, which is difficult for smaller nations without strong voting blocs or an exceptionally viral song (unknown at this stage).”
2%
NO
Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
“Armenia has never won the televote and faces strong competition. While they often perform well, winning requires an exceptional entry, which is unknown a month out from the event.”
7%
NO
Will Montenegro be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Montenegro has a very poor historical record in Eurovision, rarely qualifying for the final and never placing highly with juries. It's highly improbable they will win the jury vote in 2026, especially with over a year until the event.”
1%
NO
Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
60%
YES
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Bulgaria's participation in Eurovision 2026 is unconfirmed, and no entry details exist. Winning the televote is highly competitive, making a victory very unlikely without any specific information.”
1%
NO
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.774
12%
NO
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
“Austria has a mixed Eurovision history, including past last-place finishes, but has qualified for the final and achieved mid-table results in recent years (2023, 2024). Predicting last place two years out is highly speculative without song details.”
7%
NO
Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Malta has never won Eurovision and historically struggles in the televote. With no artist or song known two years out, the chance is very low, especially without a strong voting bloc.”
2%
NO
Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“UK has a poor historical record in the Eurovision televote. No artist or song is known yet for 2026, making a win highly speculative and unlikely without specific information.”
8%
NO
Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
30%
NO
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Montenegro has a historically weak televote performance in Eurovision, often failing to qualify. Winning the televote is extremely competitive, and without any specific song details for 2026, their chances are very low.”
1%
NO
Will Cyprus be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“It's over a year until Eurovision 2026, with no artists or songs announced. Cyprus has a low historical win rate, making a jury victory highly improbable at this extremely early stage.”
3%
NO
Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Ukraine has an excellent track record at Eurovision, consistently placing in the top 10 in recent years (5 out of last 6 participations). Their strong national selection and public support suggest continued competitiveness.”
85%
YES
Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“Historically, Azerbaijan rarely tops the televote. Without knowing the 2026 entry or competition, a win is highly unlikely given their past performance and the strong competition for televote points.”
8%
NO
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
25%
NO
Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Eurovision 2026 is over a year away; no artists or songs are known. Denmark's recent jury performance has been modest, making a win unlikely without specific information.”
3%
NO
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
30%
NO
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.941
3%
NO
Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“San Marino has a very poor historical record in Eurovision, rarely qualifying for the final and never achieving a high placing. Winning the televote is exceptionally difficult for microstates with no significant diaspora.”
1%
NO
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Germany has a very poor track record in the Eurovision televote, consistently finishing in the bottom ranks in recent years. No specific information about the 2026 entry is available yet to suggest a change.”
3%
NO
Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.360
60%
YES
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Romania has never won the Eurovision televote and frequently fails to qualify for the final. Winning requires an exceptionally popular entry, which is historically very rare for Romania.”
5%
NO
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Belgium has never won the Eurovision televote and typically doesn't rank among the top televote getters. Winning requires an exceptionally popular entry, which is rare for any single country.”
5%
NO
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
18%
NO
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“It's too early to predict, as no songs or artists are known for Eurovision 2026. Malta has never won, and the probability of any single country winning the jury vote is very low among 25+ finalists.”
3%
NO
Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.048
“Sweden has a strong historical record with Eurovision juries, winning twice in the last decade. However, with over a year until the event and no artists/songs known, predicting a winner is highly speculative.”
22%
NO
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Australia has never won the Eurovision televote, historically performing better with juries. Winning the televote requires exceptional, broad appeal, which is difficult for non-European entries.”
15%
NO
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Eurovision 2026 is a month away; no songs or artists are known. Predicting a specific country's televote win is highly speculative. Estonia has no strong historical televote advantage, making the probability very low among many competitors.”
3%
NO
Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Czechia has never won Eurovision and is not typically a strong contender. Winning is highly improbable given the large field of competitors.”
2%
NO
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Romania has never won Eurovision, and winning is highly competitive among many countries. Predicting a winner two years out is extremely speculative, making a low probability appropriate.”
2%
NO
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Belgium has won Eurovision only once historically and is not a consistent top contender in a highly competitive field of many countries. Their chances are low in any given year.”
3%
NO
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Moldova has never won Eurovision and rarely places in the top tier. Winning is highly competitive, and they are not typically among the favorites.”
2%
NO
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
1%
NO
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.010
10%
NO
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
“Eurovision is highly unpredictable with many participants. While Norway often sends strong entries and has won before, winning is a low probability event for any single country in a large field.”
4%
NO
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Eurovision is highly competitive with many participants. Without knowing Serbia's 2026 entry (artist, song), it's difficult to assign a high probability, even with a past win. The odds for any single country are inherently low.”
3%
NO
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Eurovision is highly competitive and unpredictable. Armenia has never won, and without knowing their 2026 entry, a win is a low probability event.”
3%
NO
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“San Marino has a very poor track record at Eurovision, rarely qualifying for the final and never placing highly. Their chances against larger, more established music industries are extremely slim.”
1%
NO
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Eurovision is highly competitive with many participants. Portugal has won once but is not a frequent contender. No specific information about their 2026 entry is available yet, making a low probability estimate appropriate.”
3%
NO
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Eurovision is highly competitive with many participants. Austria has won twice but lacks specific 2026 entry details, making a win unlikely without further information.”
3%
NO
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Switzerland won Eurovision 2024. Winning again in 2026 is highly improbable due to historical patterns; back-to-back or near-back-to-back wins are extremely rare in the contest's history, and voter fatigue is likely.”
5%
NO
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Albania has never won Eurovision and typically does not place highly. Winning a highly competitive contest with 30+ participants is very unlikely given historical performance.”
2%
NO
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Eurovision is highly competitive with many countries. While Azerbaijan has won once, winning is rare for any single nation, and they are not consistently among the top favorites.”
3%
NO
Will Dimitar Glavchev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Georgia has never won Eurovision and rarely places in the top 10. Winning is highly competitive, making a victory very unlikely without specific information on a standout entry.”
1%
NO
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.360
60%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Based on general soccer match statistics, draws occur in approximately 25-30% of games. Without specific team data, this base rate is the best estimate.”
28%
NO
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No recent indications of KRG planning an independence declaration. Significant political, economic, and security obstacles, coupled with strong regional opposition, make a sudden declaration within 2 weeks highly improbable.”
2%
NO
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?
Apr 16 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.084
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or head-to-head data, a probability within this general range is appropriate.”
29%
NO
Will América FC win on 2026-04-18?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.260
51%
YES
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. AD Pasto end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.084
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-35% of matches. Without specific team form or head-to-head data, a general probability within this range is applied. This makes a draw less likely than a win for either side.”
29%
NO
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will AD Pasto win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.449
33%
NO
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will Solange Couto be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Chennaiyin FC vs. SC Delhi end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Based on general football statistics, draws occur in roughly 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or head-to-head data, a probability within this range is a reasonable default.”
28%
NO
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Tianjin Jinmen Hu (CSL) is generally stronger than Yunnan Yukun (League One). While Yunnan has home advantage and good form, Tianjin's quality should prevail, making a draw less likely than a decisive outcome.”
28%
NO
Will Google reach $400 in April?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“GOOGL (Alphabet) currently trades around $170. Reaching $400 in 15 days would require a >135% surge, which is highly improbable for a mega-cap stock without an extraordinary, unforeseen catalyst. Extremely unlikely.”
1%
NO
Will Odisha FC vs. Mohammedan SC end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or head-to-head data, a general probability for a draw is applied, which is less than 50%.”
28%
NO
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
48%
NO
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Both are top CSL teams. Their last two head-to-head matches in 2023 both ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a strong tendency for tight, even contests between them.”
65%
YES
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available for this future match, including opponent, team form, or league context, to make an informed prediction.”
50%
YES
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
30%
NO
Will SC Delhi win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.260
“No specific information on SC Delhi's form, opponent, or match context is available. Probability is near 0.50 due to lack of data.”
51%
YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.240
“No specific information available regarding team form, opponent, or match context for this future game. Probability reflects a neutral stance given lack of data.”
51%
YES
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Crypto markets are highly volatile, and many hedge funds use leverage, making them susceptible to rapid collapses even over short periods. Past events show this is a recurring risk.”
75%
YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
5%
NO
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Kevin Warsh was considered for Fed Chair in 2017 but was never formally nominated. As there is no nomination, it cannot be withdrawn.”
1%
NO
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.360
“Beijing Guoan is a historically strong CSL team. Assuming an average opponent and no specific match details, they have a moderate probability of winning.”
60%
YES
Will Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically around 25-30%. Brøndby is historically stronger, slightly reducing draw likelihood against Sønderjyske in a standard league match.”
28%
NO
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Shanghai Haigang is a strong team in the CSL. Without opponent details, assuming they face an average team, they have a higher chance of winning.”
65%
YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“The conflict is deeply entrenched with multiple actors and proxies. A complete cessation of hostilities or resolution within one month is highly improbable given recent escalations and historical context.”
5%
NO
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.360
40%
NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Arch Manning be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Sharks vs. Blackhawks
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
48%
NO
Jets vs. Utah
Apr 15 · Ends 2026-04-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.462
68%
YES
Will Google reach $375 in April?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“GOOGL would need to more than double its current price (est. ~$150-$170) in <2 weeks to reach $375. Highly improbable for a mega-cap stock without unprecedented events.”
1%
NO
Will Boyko Borissov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
60%
YES
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 85 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-24✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Draws are a common outcome in soccer, but typically less frequent than a decisive win for either team. Without specific team or league context, a general probability is applied.”
30%
NO
Penguins vs. Blues
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
“No specific match details (opponent, form, home advantage) available. Assuming a slightly less than even chance without further information.”
48%
NO
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Less than 24 hours remain until the deadline. No credible reports of imminent large-scale military action by Pakistan against Afghanistan have emerged. Such operations require significant preparation not visible in this timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
35%
NO
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Australia has a strong track record in Eurovision, frequently qualifying for the Grand Final. Their consistent quality suggests a good chance of advancing, though qualification is never guaranteed.”
75%
YES
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
“Albania has a mixed but slightly positive qualification record in Eurovision semi-finals. Without specific 2026 song details or competitor strength, historical performance suggests a moderate chance of advancing.”
58%
YES
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
58%
YES
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Cyprus frequently qualifies for the Eurovision final, often due to consistent song quality and diaspora support. Their historical performance indicates a solid chance to advance.”
65%
YES
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
58%
YES
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-05-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
72%
YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Shandong Taishan is a strong team in their league. Without specific match details, a win probability above 0.50 is reasonable, reflecting their general competitive standing.”
65%
YES
Will the Washington Capitals make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Alan Bond win the NJ-11 special election?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available regarding candidates, polling, or political landscape for the NJ-11 special election in 2026 to favor either outcome.”
50%
YES
Canadiens vs. Flyers
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
40%
NO
Jets vs. Golden Knights
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
48%
NO
Avalanche vs. Oilers
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
60%
YES
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.102
“Without specific match details (opponent, home/away, team form), probability is based on general football match dynamics, slightly below 1/3 chance of winning.”
32%
NO
Wild vs. Blues
Apr 14 · Ends 2026-04-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.270
52%
YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-15?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
65%
YES
Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Amazon is a major AI investor (Titan, Bedrock) but faces intense competition from current leaders (OpenAI, Google, Meta). Securing the third-best spot by April 2026, ahead of multiple strong contenders, is a significant uphill battle despite their resources.”
25%
NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
35%
NO
Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
18%
NO
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Meituan's core business is local services, not foundational AI model development. The field is dominated by global tech giants and dedicated AI labs, making it highly improbable for Meituan to achieve the #1 AI model status by April 2026.”
2%
NO
Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.048
“DeepSeek is strong, but the AI landscape is intensely competitive. Achieving a top-3 position by April 2026 against numerous well-funded giants and rapidly evolving models is a very high bar, making it unlikely.”
22%
NO
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Baidu faces intense global competition from OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, etc. While strong in China, achieving global #1 status in general AI capabilities by end of April 2026 is highly unlikely given the current landscape and short timeframe.”
15%
NO
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
35%
NO
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“Lacking real-time data and future predictive capabilities, I have no specific information on Moonshot's AI model ranking by April 2026.”
50%
YES
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Z.ai is not a recognized leader in AI development. Given the short timeframe (17 days) and the current dominance of major tech companies, it's highly improbable for Z.ai to emerge with the 'best' model by April 30, 2026.”
5%
NO
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Anthropic is a top contender with rapid innovation (Claude 3 Opus), but faces intense competition from OpenAI, Google, and emerging players in a rapidly evolving field, making it difficult to maintain a definitive lead for two years.”
25%
NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
58%
YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Extremely unlikely for an unknown entity to develop and gain recognition for the 'best AI model' within a two-week timeframe, surpassing established leaders in a rapidly evolving field.”
1%
NO
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“While Baidu's Ernie Bot is strong, especially in China, it generally lags behind global leaders like OpenAI and Google in general AI capabilities. A sudden leap to "best" by end of April 2026 is highly improbable given current competitive landscape.”
8%
NO
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-04-17?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Oracle's market cap is currently far below the top 5-10 companies. A shift to third largest within two weeks would require an unprecedented, multi-trillion-dollar surge for Oracle and massive declines for several larger companies, which is highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Alphabet is currently 4th/5th by market cap. Overtaking NVIDIA (currently 3rd) in less than 3 weeks requires a substantial market cap increase for Alphabet or a significant drop for NVIDIA, which is unlikely given current market trends.”
15%
NO
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Charging a sitting head of state is extremely rare due to sovereign immunity & political implications. No public info suggests US investigation or imminent charges against Petro, especially within 17 days.”
1%
NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Current market cap gap between Saudi Aramco (~$1.9T) and the top two companies (NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, all ~$3T+) is over $1 trillion. Highly improbable to close this gap within two weeks (by April 30) without extreme, unforeseen market shifts.”
1%
NO
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Tesla's current market cap is significantly lower than the top companies. Bridging a multi-trillion dollar gap in less than three weeks is highly improbable, requiring an unprecedented market shift.”
1%
NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
75%
YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 5 cancelled by April 15?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
75%
YES
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-29✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Four or more dissents are extremely rare in FOMC history, which typically strives for consensus. Even during contentious periods, dissents rarely exceed two or three.”
5%
NO
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-29✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“André Carson is a long-serving incumbent in a safe Democratic district. Incumbents rarely lose primaries, especially without a significant challenge, which is not apparent as the primary date approaches.”
95%
YES
Will Denise Paul Hatch be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Incumbent André Carson holds a strong advantage in IN-07. Without specific information indicating a competitive primary challenge, it's unlikely Denise Paul Hatch will unseat him.”
15%
NO
Will Ty Simpson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Kings vs. Canucks
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.270
52%
YES
Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-08✗ WrongBrier: 0.846
8%
NO
Will Apple dip to $216 in April?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.360
60%
YES
Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Greece has a strong historical qualification record in Eurovision semi-finals, often advancing to the grand final. While specific 2026 song details are unknown, their consistent performance suggests a good likelihood of qualification.”
72%
YES
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“No public information or news about a contestant named Hannah Harper for American Idol Season 24 suggests she is not a participant or a prominent contender.”
1%
NO
Will Netflix reach $298 in April?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Mainz reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Mainz 05 has not qualified for European competitions recently and lacks the historical pedigree for deep runs. Reaching a Conference League semifinal would be an extraordinary and highly improbable achievement.”
1%
NO
Will Opendoor reach $5 in April?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
42%
NO
Will the Patek Index hit $109,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Matheus Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Brigido Neto win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Alberto Pimentel be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Amazon reach $260 in April?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
72%
YES
Will the Rolex Index hit $12,450 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will the Rolex Index hit $13,150 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“I lack specific real-time data or historical context for the 'Audemars Piguet Index' to make an informed prediction about its future value. Therefore, I assign a neutral probability.”
50%
YES
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“U.S. anti-cartel efforts are continuous and global, particularly in Latin America. Given the ongoing nature of these operations and a 2.5-month window, it's highly probable that some form of operation (e.g., intelligence, law enforcement, financial) will occur.”
92%
YES
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $42,500 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No information available regarding the current value or historical performance of the Audemars Piguet Index to assess the likelihood of hitting $42,500 by April 30.”
50%
YES
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $44,000 (HIGH) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Marciele Albuquerque be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Major solar storm by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Ana Paula Renault be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“BBB26 is two seasons away (2026). No casting info exists. Highly unlikely a former participant would return for a regular season, let alone reach top 3.”
1%
NO
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,000 (LOW) by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Joe Kent charged by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“No public information or credible reports suggest Joe Kent is facing imminent criminal charges by April 30, 2026. Charges against public figures typically involve longer investigations and public awareness.”
5%
NO
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Houthis have consistently targeted shipping in the Red Sea for months. Their ongoing capability and intent make further successful targeting highly probable before April 30.”
95%
YES
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
65%
YES
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-15?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 15, 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
“Ukraine has demonstrated capability and willingness to strike Moscow with drones. While the timeframe is short (2 days), such attacks can be executed rapidly given the ongoing conflict.”
58%
YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Rueben Bain Jr. be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 15?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Extremely short timeframe (2 days) for a major military action against a capital city like Kabul, with no current indicators of such an imminent, large-scale conflict or invasion.”
1%
NO
Will Seth Jarvis win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Seth Jarvis is not a perennial Art Ross contender. Winning requires an elite, league-leading scoring season, which is highly improbable for him against established superstars. The 2025-26 season is nearly concluded.”
2%
NO
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.048
22%
NO
Will Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Joe Hathaway win the NJ-11 special election?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available regarding Joe Hathaway or the NJ-11 special election to inform a directional probability, leading to a neutral estimate.”
50%
YES
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-17✗ WrongBrier: 0.941
3%
NO
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Houthis have consistently targeted shipping in the Red Sea/Gulf of Aden for months. With 2 days remaining until April 15, it's highly probable they will conduct at least one more successful attack given their ongoing operations and demonstrated capability.”
95%
YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Apr 13 · Ends 2026-04-15✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Only 2 days remain until the deadline (April 15, 2026). No public information suggests imminent military action against Iran by another country within this very short timeframe.”
2%
NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
95%
YES
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Official data for March 2026 inflation (4.2%) is already public and outside the specified range (3.4%-3.6%).”
1%
NO
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
55%
YES
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.774
“Incumbent Don Bacon is a strong favorite with significant fundraising & name recognition. Harding faces a steep challenge despite some national conservative endorsements. Primary upsets against strong incumbents are rare.”
12%
NO
Will Brad Underwood win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will there be 3+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Tommy Lloyd win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
5%
NO
Will Brett Lindstrom be the Republican nominee for NE-02?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Dusty May win the Men's 2026 Naismith Coach of the Year award?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Marco Penge is not a top-ranked golfer and is highly unlikely to have qualified for, let alone won, the Masters. His current standing in professional golf makes a victory extremely improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.008
9%
NO
Will Google dip to $255 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Paulo Augusto Carvalhaes win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Hao-Tong Li is a significant long-shot in a highly competitive Masters field, with no recent major success or strong form to suggest a win.”
1%
NO
Will Palantir reach $174 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“PLTR reaching $174 from its typical trading range ($20-$30) within the remaining days of April 2026 would require an unprecedented 5x-8x increase, which is highly improbable for a stock of this size in such a short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✗ WrongBrier: 0.846
8%
NO
Will Alexander Gaasserud be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Alexander Gaasserud is not a publicly known candidate in the WV GOP Senate primary. Gov. Jim Justice is the overwhelming favorite, making it highly improbable for an unknown candidate to win.”
1%
NO
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Croatia has shown strong competitive entries recently (e.g., 2024). While specific 2026 song details are unknown, their recent performance suggests a good chance of qualifying from the semi-final.”
65%
YES
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
7%
NO
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
“Estonia has a mixed but often competitive record in Eurovision, qualifying in several recent years. Without specific 2026 entry details, a slight edge is given based on historical performance and typical participation quality.”
58%
YES
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“San Marino has a historically very poor qualification record at Eurovision, rarely advancing to the Grand Final. Without specific song details, their general chances are very low based on past performance.”
5%
NO
Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Incumbent Don Bacon has consistently defeated challengers, including Dan Frei in the 2024 primary by a significant margin. Frei faces a strong uphill battle against an established incumbent.”
15%
NO
Will Jacy Todd win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Incumbent Senator Ricketts has strong name recognition, prior statewide electoral success as Governor, and significant fundraising capabilities, making him a formidable candidate for the Republican nomination.”
95%
YES
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
65%
YES
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“Belgium has a solid qualification record in recent years, making the final in 6 of the last 9 contests. While the 2026 entry is unknown, their historical performance suggests a good chance of advancing.”
65%
YES
Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Shelley Moore Capito is a popular incumbent Republican Senator in a deeply red state. Incumbents rarely lose primaries, especially without significant scandal or a strong challenger. She is highly likely to seek and win re-election.”
98%
YES
Will Welsh Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.774
88%
YES
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Portugal has a strong recent track record in Eurovision, qualifying for the final in 4 of their last 6 participations. Their entries often stand out, giving them a good chance to advance from the semi-final.”
65%
YES
Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
“Moldova has a mixed but often successful qualification record. The average qualification rate for semi-finalists is typically above 50%. Without specific 2026 song details, a slight edge is assumed based on historical performance.”
58%
YES
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Israel has a strong Eurovision track record, often qualifies for the final, and typically sends competitive entries. Despite potential political factors, their consistent performance suggests a good chance of advancing from the semi-final.”
75%
YES
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Incumbent governors typically have a strong advantage in primary elections due to name recognition, fundraising, and established party support. No major challengers or scandals are indicated.”
85%
YES
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Sovereignty Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No major party named 'Sovereignty Party' is a known contender in Scottish elections. Established parties like SNP, Labour, and Conservatives dominate, making it highly improbable for an unknown entity to win the most seats.”
1%
NO
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
75%
YES
Will Scottish Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Scottish Conservatives have never been the largest party in the Scottish Parliament. Despite recent SNP challenges, it's highly improbable for them to overcome both SNP and Labour to win the most seats in less than a month.”
5%
NO
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Labour has historically dominated Welsh Senedd elections, consistently winning the most seats. Plaid Cymru has never achieved this, and there are no strong indicators of such a significant shift in voter sentiment for 2026.”
5%
NO
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
58%
YES
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
42%
NO
Will Amy Acton win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
70%
YES
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
“PSG consistently fields a strong squad with top talent and high ambition for the UCL. Having reached the semi-finals, they have a good chance to overcome their opponent and reach the final.”
60%
YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Greg Landsman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Jacob Chiara is a relatively unknown candidate in Ohio politics, lacking significant name recognition & campaign infrastructure. He faces likely established contenders in a statewide primary, making his chances very low.”
2%
NO
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
5%
NO
Will Alba Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Alba Party won no seats in 2021 and holds 1 via defection. Current polling is extremely low, making it highly improbable they will win the most seats against established parties like the SNP and Labour.”
1%
NO
Will Microsoft dip to $353 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.040
20%
NO
Will Meta dip to $500 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Olivia Dean is acclaimed but hasn't had a #1 hit. Achieving one is rare, and there's no current indication of a new release or viral track gaining sufficient momentum in April to reach the top spot.”
5%
NO
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-05✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
35%
NO
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“A dip to $168 from NVIDIA's likely higher valuation in April 2026 would represent an extreme ~80% decline, highly improbable within a single month without catastrophic, unforeseen market or company-specific events.”
5%
NO
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will Netflix reach $105 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Finland has demonstrated a strong qualification record in recent Eurovision contests, consistently advancing to the Grand Final. This trend suggests a good likelihood of success in the 2026 semi-final.”
75%
YES
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-03✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
65%
YES
Will Tesla dip to $248 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will Russia enter Khatnie by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Tesla dip to $285 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Reaching 479M subs by April 30 (18 days from current date) would require an unprecedented growth of ~70-80M subs in less than 3 weeks. MrBeast's growth, while high, is typically in the millions per month, not tens of millions per week.”
1%
NO
Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Ukraine has repeatedly demonstrated capability and intent to strike targets in Russia, including Moscow, with drones. The ongoing conflict and short remaining timeframe make further attempts plausible.”
65%
YES
Will FaZe make a roster move before May?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
“FaZe is a large esports organization with multiple teams. Roster changes are common in esports due to performance, contract cycles, or strategic shifts, making a move within 18 days plausible across their various rosters.”
65%
YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
55%
YES
X Money released by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Amazon dip to $168 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
95%
YES
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Very short timeframe (18 days) for new Epstein file revelations to directly cause a US Congress member's removal from office. Such processes are typically lengthy and rarely unfold so quickly.”
5%
NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“Lack of real-time market data for the SDH100RT index and its current value makes an informed prediction impossible within the remaining 18 days. Defaulting to 0.50 due to insufficient information.”
50%
YES
Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Meta reach $660 in April?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
60%
YES
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
18%
NO
Will Russia enter Stinky by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“"Stinky" is not a recognized geographical location or strategic target. There is no information suggesting Russia would enter a place with this name by the specified date.”
1%
NO
Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
5%
NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.040
20%
NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Ukraine is largely on the defensive, facing resource constraints. Uspenivka is deep behind current Russian lines, making a significant breakthrough and re-entry within 18 days highly improbable given current front dynamics.”
3%
NO
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The Bride is scheduled for release in September 2025, not March 2026. Therefore, it cannot be a March film and cannot be the highest-grossing March film of 2026.”
1%
NO
Will Aline Campos win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Sarah Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.240
49%
NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
15%
NO
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No real-time data on SDH100RT's current value or volatility. Cannot assess likelihood of hitting $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026, with only 18 days left. Defaulting to 0.50 due to lack of information.”
50%
YES
Will Marcelo Alves win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“Big Brother Brasil 26 has not started, and contestants are unknown. There is no information available to assess the probability of a specific individual winning.”
50%
YES
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.040
“Only 18 days remain until the deadline. While Russia continues offensive operations, capturing an entire settlement against entrenched Ukrainian defenses within such a short timeframe is unlikely given the current slow pace of advances.”
20%
NO
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-28✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
15%
NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-29✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Kadyn Proctor be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Matayo Uiagalelei be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
7%
NO
Will LT Overton be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Raylen Wilson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Linebackers are rarely selected first overall due to positional value. While talented, it's highly improbable Wilson would be chosen over top QBs, edge rushers, or OTs in the 2026 draft.”
1%
NO
Will Jalon Daniels be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Nico Iamaleava be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Jayden Maiava be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will John Mateer be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No prominent football prospect named John Mateer is projected as a 1st overall pick for the 2026 NFL Draft, especially with the draft being just days away. There is no public information supporting this claim.”
1%
NO
Will Kyron Drones be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
“Being the first overall pick is highly competitive. While Drones is a prospect, he is not widely projected as the undisputed top choice days before the 2026 NFL Draft, with other strong candidates likely in contention.”
8%
NO
Will Aidan Chiles be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
5%
NO
Will Peter Woods be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Jordyn Tyson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Wide receivers are extremely rarely taken first overall in the NFL Draft; the last was in 1984. Tyson, while talented, is not currently projected as a generational, position-breaking talent to defy this trend.”
2%
NO
Will Francis Mauigoa be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Caleb Downs be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Safeties are almost never the first overall pick due to positional value. QBs, OTs, and Edge Rushers dominate top picks. Downs, while talented, plays a position not valued at #1 overall.”
1%
NO
Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“DMDK has been in decline, won no seats in recent elections, and lost its founder Vijayakanth. It faces strong competition from DMK and AIADMK, making it highly improbable to win the most seats.”
1%
NO
Will David Bailey be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Drew Allar be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Arvell Reese is not widely projected as a top-3 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, especially as a linebacker. Top picks typically go to QBs, elite edge rushers, or generational offensive linemen/WRs.”
1%
NO
Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The National People's Party (NPEP) has no significant presence or electoral history in Tamil Nadu. The state's politics are dominated by regional parties like DMK and AIADMK, making a win for NPEP highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Linebackers rarely go top-2 in NFL drafts. Reese is a true freshman, unproven at the elite college level, and many variables make this outcome highly improbable two years out.”
1%
NO
Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“BSP has negligible electoral presence & historical success in Tamil Nadu, a state dominated by regional parties (DMK/AIADMK). Winning most seats is highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
15%
NO
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
82%
YES
Will Dylan Guenther win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Garrett Nussmeier be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“CPI has historically held a very minor presence in Tamil Nadu, typically winning only a few seats as part of alliances. The state's politics are dominated by Dravidian parties (DMK, AIADMK), making it highly improbable for CPI to emerge as the single largest party.”
1%
NO
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The Blackhawks are in a rebuilding phase. Winning the Presidents' Trophy by the 2025-26 season is highly improbable given typical NHL rebuild timelines and the strength required to lead the league. By April 2026, their standing would be clear.”
2%
NO
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Miro Heiskanen win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Heiskanen is a defenseman; the Art Ross is almost exclusively won by forwards. His career high points are far below typical winning totals, and no defenseman has won it since 1975. Extremely unlikely.”
1%
NO
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The Kings have never won the Presidents' Trophy and are not historically a dominant regular season team. It's highly improbable they are leading the league in points this late in the 2025-26 season.”
1%
NO
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Rumen Radev is the current President of Bulgaria, a distinct role from Prime Minister. It is highly unusual for a sitting or recently-serving President to transition directly to PM in Bulgaria's parliamentary system.”
5%
NO
Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will BSP – United Left win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECH) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.006
8%
NO
Will Fijian Drua win?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-18✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
52%
YES
Will Vazrazhdane win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
48%
NO
Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Western Force win?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-18✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.462
68%
YES
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will There Is Such a People (ITN) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will the Detroit Red Wings make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Velichie win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
7%
NO
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-19✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will the Vegas Golden Knights make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
“The Vegas Golden Knights have a strong track record of making the NHL playoffs, consistently being a top contender since their inception. Given the late date in the season, they are likely in a playoff position.”
88%
YES
Will the New York Islanders make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
62%
YES
Will the Anaheim Ducks make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“The Anaheim Ducks have consistently missed the playoffs in recent seasons. Given the late date (April 12, 2026) in the NHL regular season, it's highly probable they are already mathematically eliminated from playoff contention for the 2025-2026 season.”
1%
NO
Will Highlanders win?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will the Nashville Predators make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
99%
YES
Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Brumbies win?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-17✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“The Oilers are a consistent playoff team with star power. By April 12, the NHL regular season is nearly complete, making it highly probable they would have secured a playoff spot if performing as expected.”
95%
YES
Will the Boston Bruins make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
“The Boston Bruins are a consistently strong NHL team with a high playoff appearance rate. Given the late season date (April 12, 2026), it's highly probable they would have secured a playoff spot by this point in the season.”
88%
YES
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The San Jose Sharks have been among the worst NHL teams for multiple seasons. It is highly improbable they would make the playoffs by April 2026, given their consistent poor performance and current trajectory.”
1%
NO
Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
25%
NO
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“Columbus Blue Jackets have consistently missed the playoffs in recent seasons. Without specific positive information for the 2025-26 season, their historical performance suggests a low probability of making the playoffs.”
15%
NO
Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
95%
YES
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be 3.7% or higher?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Official INDEC data released on April 12, 2026, shows Argentina's monthly inflation for March 2026 was 11.0%, which is significantly higher than 3.7%.”
99%
YES
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-14✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
75%
YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.846
“Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party has consistently won supermajorities in Hungary. He is a strong incumbent, and the opposition remains fragmented, making his re-election in 2026 highly probable.”
92%
YES
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
“Karl-Anthony Towns has never led the league in rebounds. While a good rebounder, he's not among the NBA's elite in this category, and his career averages are typically not high enough to lead the league against dominant centers.”
3%
NO
Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
12%
NO
Will Mikal Bridges lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
Apr 12 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
25%
NO
Will Donovan Clingan lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Jalen Williams lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.240
51%
YES
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Jordan Poole lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Jordan Poole has never been a top-tier scorer, and it's highly improbable he would lead the league in 2025-26, especially with the season nearly concluded as of the current date.”
1%
NO
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-04-12?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“SGA is a primary scorer, not a pass-first guard. His career-high APG is 6.2, far below typical league leaders (10+ APG). Many elite playmakers are more likely to lead in assists.”
2%
NO
Will EC Juventude vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“General soccer statistics indicate draws occur around 30% of the time. No specific team form or historical data for this future match to adjust the baseline.”
30%
NO
Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-04-12?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
US x Iran meeting by April 14, 2026?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-14✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Only 3 days remain until the resolution date. A significant diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran is highly unlikely to be arranged and confirmed within such an extremely short timeframe, given the complex nature of their relations and lack of prior indications.”
5%
NO
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
38%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
38%
NO
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“CF Monterrey is a historically strong Liga MX team. While specific match details (opponent, home/away) are unknown, their consistent high performance makes a win more likely than not.”
70%
YES
Will Pascal Siakam lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Draymond Green lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Draymond will be 35 in 2025-26. He has never led the league in assists, and his career-high (8.9 APG) is well below typical assist leader numbers (10+ APG). Younger, primary ball-handlers are far more likely to achieve this.”
2%
NO
Will Donovan Mitchell lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
30%
NO
US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-13✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Only 2 days remain until the deadline. High-level US-Iran meetings require extensive planning and public announcement, which would almost certainly be known by now if one were to occur within this very short timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.281
53%
YES
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-16✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“NJ-11 has trended Democratic in recent federal elections. As a prominent progressive Democrat, Mejia likely benefits from the district's lean, though special elections can be unpredictable.”
70%
YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Fidesz-KDNP has consistently won supermajorities in recent Hungarian elections (e.g., 135 seats in 2022). A drop below 110 seats would be a significant and unexpected reversal, especially with results imminent.”
95%
YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
15%
NO
Will Andrew Nembhard lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-19✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
85%
YES
Will Devin Booker lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“With only one day remaining until the resolution date, it is highly improbable for a significant US-Iran meeting to occur and be publicly known without prior announcement or leaks.”
5%
NO
Will T.J. Parker be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“T.J. Parker is a talented DE, but #1 overall often goes to QBs or generational talents. High competition & early prediction make it unlikely for any single non-QB this far out.”
5%
NO
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-05-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Farrer is a very safe Liberal seat. Without specific information on Michelle Milthorpe's strong candidacy or major party endorsement, an upset is highly unlikely.”
5%
NO
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available regarding the 2026 Hungarian election results or pre-election polls for Tisza's performance.”
50%
YES
Will Miller Moss be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-05-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
“A full embassy evacuation within 19 days requires a sudden, severe, and unforeseen crisis or policy shift. While regional instability is present, such a drastic measure is a high-threshold event and unlikely without specific, imminent threats.”
15%
NO
Will Sam Leavitt be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.360
60%
YES
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
75%
YES
Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-05-01✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.846
“Extremely short timeframe (19 days) and deeply strained US-Iran relations make a meeting highly improbable without significant, unforeseen diplomatic breakthroughs or urgent crises, which are unlikely to materialize and lead to a meeting within this window.”
8%
NO
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.902
“Recent Hungarian parliamentary elections (2018, 2022) saw turnout around 70%. The 77-80% range is significantly higher than any turnout in the last 20+ years (highest 73.51% in 2002), making it unlikely.”
5%
NO
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.002
4%
NO
Will Moussa Diabate lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Moussa Diabate is an unproven player with limited NBA experience. Leading the league in rebounds is an extremely rare feat, typically achieved by established All-Stars, making it highly improbable for him.”
1%
NO
Will Jakob Poeltl lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Anthony Davis lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
15%
NO
Will Cam Thomas lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Cam Thomas is a talented scorer, but leading the NBA in points requires a massive leap in consistency, efficiency, and usage against elite competition. Unlikely to surpass established superstars.”
2%
NO
Will Kristaps Porzingis lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Amen Thompson lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO
Will Jordan Poole lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Poole is a scorer, not a defensive specialist. His career high in SPG is 1.0, far below league leaders (2.0+ SPG). Highly improbable he'd lead the league.”
1%
NO
Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Jalen Brunson is not historically an assist leader. His career high is 6.7 APG, far below typical league leaders (10+ APG). With the 2025-26 season nearly complete, it's highly improbable he led the league.”
1%
NO
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Tyrese Maxey has never averaged close to league-leading steal numbers (typically 2.0+ SPG). His career high is 1.0 SPG, making a jump to lead the league highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Jarrett Allen lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Alex Caruso lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Isaiah Collier lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Sam Hauser lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Mark Williams lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.960
“Fidesz-KDNP has consistently won supermajorities (130+ seats) in recent elections. Winning at least 60 seats is a very low bar for them, making it highly probable despite potential shifts in the political landscape.”
98%
YES
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will Brice Sensabaugh lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Brice Sensabaugh is not an established high-volume 3-point shooter. Leading the NBA in 3PM is an extremely rare feat, typically achieved by perennial All-Stars, and his current trajectory doesn't suggest this level of dominance.”
1%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Fidesz-KDNP has consistently won supermajorities in recent elections. 70 seats is a very low threshold (less than 1/3 of 199 seats) for the dominant ruling party, making it highly probable they will exceed it.”
99%
YES
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-21✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
1%
NO
Will América FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
“Draws are a common outcome in football, but typically less frequent than a decisive win for either team. Without specific team data, a general average is used.”
28%
NO
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Historical Hungarian parliamentary election turnout has consistently been below 71% in recent decades (e.g., 69.59% in 2022, 70.22% in 2018). Reaching 80% would require an unprecedented surge in voter engagement, which is highly improbable.”
5%
NO
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
42%
NO
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
99%
YES
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.270
“Melbourne Victory is a competitive A-League team. Without specific match details (opponent, form, venue), a slight edge is given over a generic opponent.”
52%
YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Apr 11 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.846
92%
YES
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
40%
NO
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.048
22%
NO
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“Leicester City is historically a strong team, often competing for promotion in the Championship. Playing at home against Swansea City, who are typically a mid-table Championship side, makes them favorites.”
70%
YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.960
“Fidesz-KDNP has consistently won supermajorities (130+ seats) in recent Hungarian elections. Winning at least 100 seats is a significantly lower bar, making it highly probable given their established dominance and the imminent election.”
98%
YES
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.980
“Less than 24 hours remain until the deadline. No public indication of any US-Iran meeting, direct or indirect, has emerged. Such a meeting would require significant prior arrangement, making it highly improbable to occur and be confirmed within this timeframe.”
1%
NO
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.518
28%
NO
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
“Derby matches often lead to cautious play and balanced contests, slightly increasing draw probability from the average, but a clear winner remains more likely.”
38%
NO
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
38%
NO
Will Henan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.102
“Shandong Taishan is historically a stronger team. While Henan FC has home advantage, a draw is less likely than a win for the favored Shandong, or a narrow loss for Henan.”
32%
NO
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will Gwangju FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-33% of matches. Without specific team form or context for this 2026 fixture, a general baseline probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
65%
YES
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.384
38%
NO
Will Stoke City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.462
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or context, a general probability is applied.”
32%
NO
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.102
32%
NO
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
42%
NO
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
35%
NO
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Based on the general probability of a draw in football matches (typically 25-30%), without specific team form or historical data for this future fixture.”
28%
NO
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.270
52%
YES
Will FC Seoul vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.109
“Draws are common in competitive football (25-30%). K League 1 match between two established teams, making a draw a significant possibility.”
33%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Without specific team or match data, a draw probability is estimated based on general soccer statistics, where draws are less common than wins for either side.”
30%
NO
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
25%
NO
Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
55%
YES
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
28%
NO
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-30✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Russia maintains offensive pressure in Donetsk, making slow but steady gains. Capturing a specific village like Sofiivka within 20 days is plausible given current front-line dynamics and ongoing Russian efforts.”
65%
YES
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
38%
NO
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
28%
NO
Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
30%
NO
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.102
68%
YES
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
30%
NO
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.130
36%
NO
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
40%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
30%
NO
Will Saracens win?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.260
51%
YES
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.102
“Derbies can be tight, increasing draw probability slightly above average. However, draws are still less common than a team winning outright in soccer matches, typically around 25-35%.”
32%
NO
Will FK Teplice win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.109
33%
NO
Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.240
51%
YES
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.144
62%
YES
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.102
“Machida Zelvia's strong home form and attacking style often lead to decisive results. While Kashiwa Reysol can be defensively solid, Machida's offensive power makes a draw slightly less likely than a win for either side.”
32%
NO
Will Bulls win?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No specific information provided about the Bulls team, opponent, or sport to make an informed prediction. Defaulting to 0.50 due to lack of data.”
50%
YES
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.032
“Al Nassr is a top-tier Saudi Pro League team with a superior squad, historically performing much better than their likely opponent (Al-Okhdood). They are strong favorites for this match.”
82%
YES
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
55%
YES
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.014
“FC Utrecht is an Eredivisie team, Telstar is Eerste Divisie. Significant league quality difference makes Utrecht a strong favorite in this match.”
88%
YES
Will FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.048
22%
NO
Will Viking FK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.084
29%
NO
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available regarding Liaoning Tieren FC's form, opponent, or match context for the upcoming game on 2026-04-11.”
50%
YES
Will Glasgow Warriors win?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
55%
YES
Will Babu Santana win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-30✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Babu Santana was a contestant in Big Brother Brasil 20 (2020), not BBB 26. It is highly improbable he would be a contestant, let alone win, BBB 26.”
1%
NO
Will Toulon win?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will Fernando Mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-23✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
“Sporting CP has historically not advanced deep into the Champions League knockout stages, never reaching the semifinals. The competition at this stage is extremely high, typically dominated by elite European clubs.”
5%
NO
Will Francis Mauigoa be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.005
“Offensive linemen rarely go #1 overall. Mauigoa is a top prospect, but a QB or elite pass rusher is far more likely to be the first pick in 2026.”
7%
NO
Will Naoyuki Kataoka win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Naoyuki Kataoka has not made the cut in previous Masters appearances and is not currently ranked among the top contenders. Winning the Masters is exceptionally difficult, even for top-ranked players.”
1%
NO
Will Reds win?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.260
51%
YES
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-11✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available regarding team form, opponent, or match context for this future game. Defaulting to an even probability.”
50%
YES
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
“No information on opponent, league standing, or team form for this specific match. Assuming an equal probability for a win or not win.”
50%
YES
Wild vs. Stars
Apr 10 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.176
42%
NO
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$4.00 in March?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will March 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.302
45%
NO
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
“No specific information available regarding Al Kholood Saudi Club's form, opponent, or match context for 2026-04-10 to make an informed prediction.”
50%
YES
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will Brian Campbell win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Brian Campbell is not a prominent PGA Tour player and lacks the track record of success typically required to win a major like the Masters, which features the world's elite golfers.”
1%
NO
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-20✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-12✗ WrongBrier: 0.723
15%
NO
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.053
“FC Twente is a stronger team, especially at home, compared to FC Volendam. While draws are common in football, Twente is favored to win, making a draw a less probable outcome in this specific matchup.”
23%
NO
Will the match end in a draw?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“No specific team data available. General probability of a draw in football matches is typically around 25-30%.”
28%
NO
Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-05-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.336
42%
NO
Will Fijian Drua win?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are a common outcome in football, typically occurring in 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data, a general probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.022
15%
NO
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“Draws are common in football, typically 25-30% of matches. Lacking specific team form or head-to-head data for this Yelo League fixture, a general probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will Aarhus GF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
“Draws are a common football outcome, but less likely than a win. Without specific team form or historical data for this future match, a general probability is applied.”
30%
NO
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.250
50%
YES
Will the Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“RSP is a minor party in Kerala, historically winning only a few seats. It has never been the largest party and is not expected to be a major contender for winning the most seats in the 2026 election.”
1%
NO
Will Rueben Bain Jr be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
Apr 9 · Ends 2026-04-25✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
40%
NO
Will the Janata Dal (Secular) (JD(S)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“JD(S) is a minor party in Kerala, typically winning only a few seats as part of the LDF. It is highly improbable for them to emerge as the single largest party, surpassing major players like CPI(M) or INC.”
1%
NO
Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“The BSP has virtually no presence or historical success in Kerala, a state dominated by the LDF and UDF coalitions. It is highly improbable for them to win the most seats.”
1%
NO
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Will Trump attend UFC 327?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-11✓ CorrectBrier: 0.063
“Trump frequently attends UFC events and has a close relationship with Dana White. Given his past attendance record, it's more likely than not he will be present for a numbered event.”
75%
YES
Will Myles Turner lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-12✓ CorrectBrier: 0.003
5%
NO
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Mumbai City FC win on 2026-04-09?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
“Mumbai City FC is generally a strong team in the Indian Super League. Without specific opponent or match details, a slight favoritism is assumed based on their historical performance and standing.”
65%
YES
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
65%
YES
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.563
“Real Madrid has an exceptional UCL pedigree, consistently reaching the latter stages. Their strong squad and experience make them favorites to advance past the quarter-finals.”
75%
YES
Penguins vs. Devils
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.230
52%
YES
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
35%
NO
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.040
20%
NO
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-10✗ WrongBrier: 0.422
65%
YES
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.078
“General football statistics indicate draws occur in roughly 25-30% of matches. Without specific team form or historical data for this future date, a generic probability is applied.”
28%
NO
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-10✓ CorrectBrier: 0.090
“Football matches between competitive teams often have a significant chance of ending in a draw, though wins are more common. Both are strong Saudi Pro League clubs, suggesting a competitive match.”
30%
NO
Oilers vs. Utah
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-08✗ WrongBrier: 0.490
70%
YES
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the April Meeting?
Apr 8 · Ends 2026-04-08✓ CorrectBrier: 0.203
45%
NO
Flyers vs. Red Wings
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.240
49%
NO
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen is a promising but relatively new pro with limited major experience. Winning the Masters is extremely difficult, even for top players, making his chances very low against a strong field.”
1%
NO
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-05-07✗ WrongBrier: 0.270
48%
NO
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-05-07✓ CorrectBrier: 0.122
65%
YES
Blue Jackets vs. Sabres
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-09✓ CorrectBrier: 0.160
40%
NO
Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Harris English is a solid PGA Tour player but not a consistent major contender. The Masters field is extremely strong, making individual win probabilities very low for players outside the top favorites.”
1%
NO
Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Michael Brennan is currently an amateur. Winning the Masters as an amateur is exceptionally rare, and he would need to turn pro and become a top-tier player in just two years to be a contender, which is highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Ben Griffin is not a top-ranked player or major contender. Winning the Masters is extremely difficult against a world-class field, making his probability very low.”
1%
NO
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Ryan Gerard is not a top-ranked golfer and has no PGA Tour wins. Winning the Masters is exceptionally difficult, even for elite players. His chances against a field of the world's best are extremely low.”
1%
NO
Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“PGA Tour winner but missed cut in only Masters. Field is elite; winning a major is extremely rare for players outside the top tier. Very low probability given his current standing and past performance in majors.”
1%
NO
Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“No known professional golfer named Johnny Keefer is a contender for the Masters. Winning this major is extremely difficult, even for top-ranked players.”
1%
NO
Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Michael Kim is a significant long shot in a strong Masters field. While a professional with a tour win, he is not a top-ranked player or consistent major contender, making his chances of winning very low.”
1%
NO
Will Tom McKibbin win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Young player with one DP World Tour win and no Masters experience. Winning a major, especially the Masters, is extremely difficult for a debutant and requires consistent top-tier performance not yet demonstrated.”
1%
NO
Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Sam Stevens has no PGA Tour wins & no prior Masters experience. Winning the Masters is exceptionally difficult, especially for a debutant without a strong track record. His current ranking makes a win highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Matt McCarty is not a known professional golfer, making his victory in a major championship like the Masters highly improbable.”
1%
NO
Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Harry Hall is not a top-ranked player and has no major wins. The Masters field is extremely strong, making an upset win highly improbable for a player of his current standing.”
1%
NO
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Kurt Kitayama is a PGA Tour winner but not a top-tier favorite for the Masters. Winning a major is extremely difficult, and his historical performance at Augusta National does not indicate a strong likelihood of victory.”
1%
NO
Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.001
3%
NO
Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
“Max Greyserman is a Masters debutant, ranked outside the top 100, and has no prior PGA Tour wins. First-time winners are extremely rare, and the field is exceptionally strong, making his chances very low.”
1%
NO
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
1%
NO
Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Apr 7 · Ends 2026-04-13✓ CorrectBrier: 0.000
2%
NO