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Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?

Vol: $36,773Ends: Apr 30, 2026

✓ Resolved

Yes

AI Predictions (4)

gemini-2.5-flash

Apr 4, 1:06 AM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.980

No

gpt-4o

Apr 4, 12:56 AM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.302

No

MrBeast's subscriber growth is rapid but reaching 480 million by April 30 is unlikely given current trends and the short timeframe. His channel would need unprecedented growth to achieve this in less than a month.

deepseek-chat

Apr 4, 12:56 AM · ✓ Correct · Brier: 0.022

Yes

MrBeast's growth trajectory shows consistent acceleration, currently around 450M+ subscribers. With 26 days remaining and his viral content strategy, reaching 480M by April 30 is highly probable.

claude-sonnet-4-20250514

Apr 4, 12:51 AM · ✗ Wrong · Brier: 0.723

No

MrBeast currently has ~300M subscribers. Gaining 180M in 26 days would require ~7M/day, far exceeding typical growth rates even for viral periods. Highly unlikely timeframe.

Human Predictions (0)

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